1720001428000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x5a18d756
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$8.20
|
20.00
|
0.4100
|
π |
Tx
|
1717292776000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x21d46360
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$27.00
|
150.00
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1717287922000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0x6fafba4c
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.10
|
6.10
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1717267980000
|
Trump jail before election day?
|
0xc1188f17
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$43.90
|
243.90
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1710701224000
|
Will Putin be reelected?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.32
|
4,317.99
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1710700995000
|
Will Putin be reelected?
|
0xf8b58c79
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1710700927000
|
Will Putin be reelected?
|
0x43372356
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1710700901000
|
Will Putin be reelected?
|
0x3077107a
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.89
|
888.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1710700835000
|
Will Putin be reelected?
|
0x43372356
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.79
|
793.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1710700633000
|
Will Putin be reelected?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1710700194000
|
Will Putin be reelected?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1,001.00
|
0.0010
|
π |
Tx
|
1704920804000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x431ff640
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1704920628000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xe327285a
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1704920628000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xe327285a
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1704913652000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x0645d65c
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1704913652000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x0645d65c
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$30.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1704740342000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x097274e2
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$100.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.1000
|
π |
Tx
|
1698301506000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0x144acc15
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.56
|
164.86
|
0.6100
|
π |
Tx
|
1698253531000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0xb1101cfd
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$21.43
|
35.13
|
0.6100
|
π |
Tx
|
1697536058000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x6cf31245
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$11.76
|
34.60
|
0.3400
|
π |
Tx
|
1697529906000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x7c9046f5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$21.55
|
63.38
|
0.3400
|
π |
Tx
|
1697466105000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x066a7727
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.70
|
2.00
|
0.3500
|
π |
Tx
|
1696531273000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.63
|
15.63
|
0.6800
|
π |
Tx
|
1696531273000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.00
|
15.63
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696300305000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x32cf8efc
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$845.64
|
880.87
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1696031968000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$836.83
|
880.87
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1696031968000
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xee292607
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$836.83
|
880.87
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1695784879000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$7.68
|
28.45
|
0.2700
|
π |
Tx
|
1695782224000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.55
|
20.55
|
0.2700
|
π |
Tx
|
1695777560000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.27
|
1.00
|
0.2700
|
π |
Tx
|
1694305802000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xfcb7cecd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$29.03
|
120.94
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1694305802000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$50.00
|
198.62
|
0.2517
|
π |
Tx
|
1694305802000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$56.71
|
77.68
|
0.7300
|
π |
Tx
|
1693803864000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.30
|
15.00
|
0.6200
|
π |
Tx
|
1693803864000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xd3b25f3c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.45
|
5.75
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1693803864000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xd3b25f3c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$122.00
|
200.00
|
0.6100
|
π |
Tx
|
1693803864000
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$86.00
|
220.75
|
0.3896
|
π |
Tx
|
1692815161000
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday?
|
0xd932b940
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$18.28
|
481.05
|
0.0380
|
π |
Tx
|
1692813073000
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$14.43
|
481.05
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1692813073000
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x3ee2bbb9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$14.43
|
481.05
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1691966039000
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$28.00
|
82.48
|
0.3395
|
π |
Tx
|
1691966039000
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$48.09
|
69.69
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1691966039000
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xe834d058
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$6.40
|
12.79
|
0.5000
|
π |
Tx
|
1691634013000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x4826c568
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$28.24
|
91.10
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1691249587000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x72b2fbe3
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.76
|
8.90
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1690900738000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x4dedd078
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$53.45
|
90.60
|
0.5900
|
π |
Tx
|
1690900738000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x3ba7f78e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.85
|
9.18
|
0.4200
|
π |
Tx
|
1690900738000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$41.00
|
99.78
|
0.4109
|
π |
Tx
|
1690524564000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x1ff2f3c1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$11.00
|
100.00
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1690524564000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$133.50
|
150.00
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1690524564000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x1ff2f3c1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$40.00
|
400.00
|
0.1000
|
π |
Tx
|
1690524564000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$106.72
|
1,008.82
|
0.1058
|
π |
Tx
|
1690524564000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x45580fea
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$297.10
|
333.82
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1690524564000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$22.50
|
25.00
|
0.9000
|
π |
Tx
|
1687646431000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0xf691cab4
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$586.71
|
611.16
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1687645117000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0x75f8ff11
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
10.42
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1687643415000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0x75f8ff11
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
10.42
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1687627356000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x1ff2f3c1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$524.56
|
632.00
|
0.8300
|
π |
Tx
|
1687627356000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$524.56
|
632.00
|
0.8300
|
π |
Tx
|
1687615271000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0x1ff2f3c1
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$135.00
|
900.00
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1687615257000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0x1ff2f3c1
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
100.00
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1687567919000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$14.56
|
104.00
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1687567919000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x3c49ee9a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$21.00
|
150.00
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1687567919000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$35.56
|
254.00
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1687565011000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$60.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1687565011000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x3e6ebb4a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$940.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1687563241000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xd1acd392
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$223.52
|
254.00
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1687563241000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$30.48
|
254.00
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1684092841000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$15.99
|
27.10
|
0.5900
|
π |
Tx
|
1684092841000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.99
|
27.10
|
0.5900
|
π |
Tx
|
1684085683000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xcb91b2f0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$13.00
|
27.66
|
0.4700
|
π |
Tx
|
1684085683000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$13.00
|
27.66
|
0.4700
|
π |
Tx
|
1684075504000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$8.25
|
15.87
|
0.5200
|
π |
Tx
|
1684075504000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$8.25
|
15.87
|
0.5200
|
π |
Tx
|
1682774888000
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.011 by April 30?
|
0x43372356
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.00
|
500.00
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1680309051000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x07e87487
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
49.35
|
0.2026
|
|
Tx
|
1679946379000
|
Will CZ be arrested by April 30?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xa74be8a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
12.47
|
0.0802
|
|
Tx
|
1679431910000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$40.00
|
50.00
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1679431910000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.00
|
50.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1679124872000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x84834141
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.24
|
30.30
|
0.3048
|
|
Tx
|
1679073020000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.00
|
15.87
|
0.6300
|
π |
Tx
|
1679073020000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xf44bf702
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
15.87
|
0.6300
|
π |
Tx
|
1677963210000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd60e82bd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.00
|
30.30
|
0.3300
|
π |
Tx
|
1677963210000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xf6129c47
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
30.30
|
0.3300
|
π |
Tx
|
1668023578000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$10.00
|
47.13
|
0.2122
|
|
Tx
|
1667837339000
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xa0711fc0
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$33.00
|
99.09
|
0.3330
|
|
Tx
|
1662842646000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$111.24
|
625.60
|
0.1778
|
|
Tx
|
1659180911000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x08bb711d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
46.24
|
0.4325
|
|
Tx
|
1659180857000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$28.47
|
50.05
|
0.5688
|
|
Tx
|
1658847050000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x947628b9
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
345.73
|
0.0289
|
|
Tx
|
1658846890000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x947628b9
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
192.07
|
0.0260
|
|
Tx
|
1658770020000
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xce3107e5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
43.86
|
0.2280
|
|
Tx
|
1658678128000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$30.26
|
50.00
|
0.6052
|
|
Tx
|
1658424808000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$49.64
|
85.00
|
0.5840
|
|
Tx
|
1658318195000
|
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x306078a4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
13.39
|
0.3733
|
|
Tx
|
1657808753000
|
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xce7f7637
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
9.25
|
0.1081
|
|
Tx
|
1657808603000
|
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x8b593026
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
10.00
|
0.1000
|
|
Tx
|
1657724087000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0xb5a71e19
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.00
|
173.42
|
0.0058
|
|
Tx
|
1657717954000
|
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x22c5a57c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.22
|
17.88
|
0.2921
|
|
Tx
|
1657579720000
|
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15?
|
0xd60e82bd
|
0x22c5a57c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
18.94
|
0.1584
|
|
Tx
|