1615115746000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xbeea392a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$924.21
|
1,073.00
|
0.8613
|
|
Tx
|
1614721481000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$262.14
|
600.33
|
0.4367
|
|
Tx
|
1614687590000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xbeea392a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$899.94
|
1,073.01
|
0.8387
|
|
Tx
|
1614296687000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xbeea392a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$564.64
|
1,000.08
|
0.5646
|
|
Tx
|
1614211490000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xbeea392a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$335.29
|
545.00
|
0.6152
|
|
Tx
|
1614123503000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xbeea392a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$305.11
|
444.95
|
0.6857
|
|
Tx
|
1614123465000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$304.49
|
585.00
|
0.5205
|
|
Tx
|
1613569684000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$400.00
|
819.69
|
0.4880
|
|
Tx
|
1613569642000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xbeea392a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$619.62
|
756.00
|
0.8196
|
|
Tx
|
1613500550000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xbeea392a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$955.07
|
1,104.12
|
0.8650
|
|
Tx
|
1613237653000
|
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x5c40715d
|
Sell |
53-55 |
|
$350.73
|
622.00
|
0.5639
|
|
Tx
|
1613230581000
|
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x5c40715d
|
Sell |
53-55 |
|
$351.16
|
568.00
|
0.6182
|
|
Tx
|
1613156575000
|
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x5c40715d
|
Sell |
56-58 |
|
$313.77
|
800.06
|
0.3922
|
|
Tx
|
1613070556000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xbeea392a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
398.90
|
0.6267
|
|
Tx
|
1613043090000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xbeea392a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$275.45
|
420.00
|
0.6558
|
|
Tx
|
1613008886000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xbeea392a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
420.27
|
0.7138
|
|
Tx
|
1612897816000
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x82a69e75
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,075.68
|
1,162.28
|
0.9255
|
|
Tx
|
1611602747000
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x82a69e75
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$261.81
|
429.87
|
0.6090
|
|
Tx
|
1611261636000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$555.78
|
850.26
|
0.6537
|
|
Tx
|
1611235378000
|
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x63f505dc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$302.72
|
411.47
|
0.7357
|
|
Tx
|
1611232830000
|
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x63f505dc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
411.25
|
0.7295
|
|
Tx
|
1611232280000
|
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x63f505dc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$259.15
|
370.00
|
0.7004
|
|
Tx
|
1611231746000
|
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x63f505dc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$270.00
|
370.22
|
0.7293
|
|
Tx
|
1611177038000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$571.10
|
1,000.00
|
0.5711
|
|
Tx
|
1611165654000
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x82a69e75
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$309.76
|
445.46
|
0.6954
|
|
Tx
|
1611013082000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
853.19
|
0.5860
|
|
Tx
|
1610740699000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xd0df23f8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$415.83
|
485.00
|
0.8574
|
|
Tx
|
1610733075000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xd0df23f8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$400.00
|
485.33
|
0.8242
|
|
Tx
|
1610671941000
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x82a69e75
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$261.29
|
541.37
|
0.4827
|
|
Tx
|
1610671603000
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x82a69e75
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$534.29
|
1,045.03
|
0.5113
|
|
Tx
|
1610667915000
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x82a69e75
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
440.32
|
0.5678
|
|
Tx
|
1610667667000
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x82a69e75
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$350.00
|
629.58
|
0.5559
|
|
Tx
|
1610591487000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$272.00
|
739.09
|
0.3680
|
|
Tx
|
1610569725000
|
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x63f505dc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$303.36
|
559.65
|
0.5420
|
|
Tx
|
1610561801000
|
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x63f505dc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$295.75
|
564.00
|
0.5244
|
|
Tx
|
1610561367000
|
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x63f505dc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
939.54
|
0.5322
|
|
Tx
|
1610395613000
|
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x785dce2b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$483.96
|
557.88
|
0.8675
|
|
Tx
|
1610322237000
|
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x785dce2b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
559.70
|
0.8933
|
|
Tx
|
1610250634000
|
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x785dce2b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$322.90
|
395.21
|
0.8170
|
|
Tx
|
1610250524000
|
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x785dce2b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$337.00
|
396.14
|
0.8507
|
|
Tx
|
1610250128000
|
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x785dce2b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$336.55
|
403.19
|
0.8347
|
|
Tx
|
1610249326000
|
Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x1dbb1300
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$319.58
|
387.00
|
0.8258
|
|
Tx
|
1610110778000
|
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x785dce2b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
404.14
|
0.7423
|
|
Tx
|
1610060640000
|
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x785dce2b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$380.40
|
547.97
|
0.6942
|
|
Tx
|
1610059814000
|
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x785dce2b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
552.38
|
0.5431
|
|
Tx
|
1610054170000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$366.67
|
698.59
|
0.5249
|
|
Tx
|
1610049994000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
1,314.57
|
0.3804
|
|
Tx
|
1610049886000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
705.52
|
0.3544
|
|
Tx
|
1610049850000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$400.00
|
1,208.50
|
0.3310
|
|
Tx
|
1610048988000
|
Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xa6b9948e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$536.15
|
845.48
|
0.6341
|
|
Tx
|
1610046524000
|
Will Trump complete his first term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x2954629f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$250.00
|
1,390.90
|
0.1797
|
|
Tx
|
1610044578000
|
Will Trump complete his first term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x2954629f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$390.70
|
2,165.70
|
0.1804
|
|
Tx
|
1610043048000
|
Will Trump complete his first term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x2954629f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
2,170.06
|
0.1382
|
|
Tx
|
1610023494000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$400.00
|
1,322.55
|
0.3024
|
|
Tx
|
1609988414000
|
Will Trump complete his first term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x2954629f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$260.70
|
1,162.65
|
0.2242
|
|
Tx
|
1609964878000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$824.15
|
2,762.99
|
0.2983
|
|
Tx
|
1609907598000
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R)
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x84ebf471
|
Sell |
Dems/Ossoff |
π΄ |
$261.00
|
276.40
|
0.9443
|
|
Tx
|
1609897162000
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D)
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x334e037e
|
Sell |
Reps/Loeffler |
π΅ |
$250.29
|
1,355.93
|
0.1846
|
|
Tx
|
1609868384000
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R)
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x84ebf471
|
Buy |
Reps/Perdue |
π΄ |
$500.00
|
1,072.96
|
0.4660
|
|
Tx
|
1609782768000
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D)
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x334e037e
|
Sell |
Reps/Loeffler |
π΅ |
$526.99
|
1,403.25
|
0.3756
|
|
Tx
|
1609782614000
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D)
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x334e037e
|
Buy |
Reps/Loeffler |
π΄ |
$500.00
|
1,403.25
|
0.3563
|
|
Tx
|
1609759978000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x77843cde
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
1,176.56
|
0.2125
|
|
Tx
|
1609723866000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$297.49
|
920.13
|
0.3233
|
|
Tx
|
1609705048000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
994.88
|
0.3015
|
|
Tx
|
1609671744000
|
What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x8d2e5b7f
|
Sell |
Long |
π |
$518.97
|
814.36
|
0.6373
|
|
Tx
|
1609603682000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$309.81
|
1,087.79
|
0.2848
|
|
Tx
|
1609443328000
|
What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x8d2e5b7f
|
Buy |
Long |
π |
$500.00
|
816.19
|
0.6126
|
|
Tx
|
1608682928000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x77843cde
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$468.33
|
1,200.00
|
0.3903
|
|
Tx
|
1608674080000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x77843cde
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$400.00
|
1,732.43
|
0.2309
|
|
Tx
|
1608309423000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x77843cde
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$718.33
|
1,908.10
|
0.3765
|
|
Tx
|
1608259224000
|
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x85a75694
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$391.73
|
1,000.81
|
0.3914
|
|
Tx
|
1608226662000
|
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x85a75694
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$430.00
|
1,000.80
|
0.4297
|
|
Tx
|
1608225054000
|
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x85a75694
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$429.17
|
1,307.02
|
0.3284
|
|
Tx
|
1607358792000
|
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4b49f951
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,478.61
|
1,786.72
|
0.8276
|
|
Tx
|
1607358418000
|
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4b49f951
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,500.00
|
1,790.32
|
0.8378
|
|
Tx
|
1607358150000
|
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4b49f951
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,821.91
|
2,167.03
|
0.8407
|
|
Tx
|
1607355232000
|
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4b49f951
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
465.41
|
0.5372
|
|
Tx
|
1606926888000
|
Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x9b44a253
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$362.00
|
426.48
|
0.8488
|
|
Tx
|
1606926818000
|
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Bidenβs inauguration ceremony in person?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x012fbf9a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$358.95
|
1,906.96
|
0.1882
|
|
Tx
|
1606869701000
|
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Bidenβs inauguration ceremony in person?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x012fbf9a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$380.00
|
1,911.71
|
0.1988
|
|
Tx
|
1606860397000
|
Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x9b44a253
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$381.83
|
469.25
|
0.8137
|
|
Tx
|
1606850377000
|
Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x9b44a253
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$383.00
|
469.25
|
0.8162
|
|
Tx
|
1606850273000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$271.58
|
1,097.74
|
0.2474
|
|
Tx
|
1606355341000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
1,105.53
|
0.2261
|
|
Tx
|
1606264755000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
1,546.16
|
0.1617
|
|
Tx
|
1606264279000
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D)
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x334e037e
|
Buy |
Dems/Warnock |
π΅ |
$270.00
|
657.63
|
0.4106
|
|
Tx
|
1606263521000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
1,640.31
|
0.1524
|
|
Tx
|
1604974169000
|
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xcc459f92
|
Buy |
Democratic |
π΅ |
$500.00
|
597.20
|
0.8372
|
|
Tx
|
1604889953000
|
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0xcc459f92
|
Buy |
Democratic |
π΅ |
$335.00
|
423.23
|
0.7915
|
|
Tx
|
1604889913000
|
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?
|
0xc831ffe1
|
0x365e12b4
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$335.49
|
369.64
|
0.9076
|
|
Tx
|