1668757355000
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xf414c775
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
95.94
|
0.5211
|
|
Tx
|
1668663114000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x08bb711d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$70.00
|
80.36
|
0.8711
|
|
Tx
|
1668618241000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x08bb711d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$7.00
|
8.12
|
0.8619
|
|
Tx
|
1668617769000
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x233c912c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
52.77
|
0.9475
|
|
Tx
|
1668581275000
|
Will Artemis or Starship reach space first?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x2bfb863f
|
Buy |
Artemis |
|
$38.00
|
40.78
|
0.9318
|
|
Tx
|
1668580879000
|
Will Artemis or Starship reach space first?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x2bfb863f
|
Buy |
Artemis |
|
$80.00
|
86.47
|
0.9252
|
|
Tx
|
1668526854000
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x47a05b70
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
56.31
|
0.8879
|
|
Tx
|
1668281176000
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xdda9a46e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.42
|
90.00
|
0.0158
|
|
Tx
|
1668185285000
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xdda9a46e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.83
|
90.00
|
0.0426
|
|
Tx
|
1668163257000
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xdda9a46e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.49
|
90.00
|
0.0499
|
|
Tx
|
1668063802000
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xdda9a46e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.34
|
51.50
|
0.1036
|
|
Tx
|
1668062136000
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xdda9a46e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
314.87
|
0.0635
|
|
Tx
|
1667998525000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Republican |
π΅ |
$4.07
|
23.92
|
0.1702
|
|
Tx
|
1667986400000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Republican |
π΅ |
$9.32
|
40.00
|
0.2329
|
|
Tx
|
1667977043000
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xf8a088b3
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$83.00
|
99.72
|
0.8323
|
|
Tx
|
1667977017000
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xdda9a46e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$12.00
|
97.10
|
0.1236
|
|
Tx
|
1667242652000
|
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xe0b725df
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
113.14
|
0.8839
|
|
Tx
|
1667242492000
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x282a811a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
34.53
|
0.4344
|
|
Tx
|
1652559338000
|
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x43f32943
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
53.28
|
0.1877
|
|
Tx
|
1650358603000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x106f595a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$63.27
|
68.72
|
0.9208
|
|
Tx
|
1648760422000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$50.00
|
63.92
|
0.7822
|
|
Tx
|
1647563918000
|
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x7894d934
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
43.37
|
0.6917
|
|
Tx
|
1647562996000
|
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x7894d934
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$40.00
|
58.11
|
0.6884
|
|
Tx
|
1647562840000
|
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x7894d934
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$80.00
|
117.21
|
0.6825
|
|
Tx
|
1645695526000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 15, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xdbba21f8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.12
|
88.17
|
0.0014
|
|
Tx
|
1645691046000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x559bfa2a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.20
|
123.32
|
0.0179
|
|
Tx
|
1643911430000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x106f595a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$40.00
|
68.72
|
0.5820
|
|
Tx
|
1643705728000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x559bfa2a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
123.33
|
0.4054
|
|
Tx
|
1643211108000
|
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 4, 2022 be higher than on February 11, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x4251b590
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
58.74
|
0.8512
|
|
Tx
|
1643103204000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x0287ed21
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
56.89
|
0.8789
|
|
Tx
|
1642676601000
|
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 4, 2022 be higher than on February 11, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x4251b590
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$80.00
|
85.27
|
0.9382
|
|
Tx
|
1642521769000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 15, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xdbba21f8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$16.00
|
88.18
|
0.1814
|
|
Tx
|
1642521741000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by May 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x75bd3dbc
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$79.00
|
95.45
|
0.8276
|
|
Tx
|
1640079276000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$41.12
|
66.00
|
0.6230
|
|
Tx
|
1639549766000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
122.52
|
0.4081
|
|
Tx
|
1639549700000
|
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xf6340fb0
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$105.12
|
110.00
|
0.9557
|
|
Tx
|
1639505795000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$40.00
|
78.28
|
0.5110
|
|
Tx
|
1639505547000
|
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xd67c99e0
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$46.68
|
48.00
|
0.9726
|
|
Tx
|
1639462039000
|
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xf6340fb0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$37.66
|
43.32
|
0.8693
|
|
Tx
|
1639461993000
|
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xd67c99e0
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$37.01
|
40.00
|
0.9254
|
|
Tx
|
1639461293000
|
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xd7511a6e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$19.00
|
46.56
|
0.4081
|
|
Tx
|
1639461139000
|
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xd7511a6e
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$19.64
|
33.31
|
0.5896
|
|
Tx
|
1639419840000
|
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xd7511a6e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$17.99
|
78.23
|
0.2300
|
|
Tx
|
1639419560000
|
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xf6340fb0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
31.92
|
0.7831
|
|
Tx
|
1638953405000
|
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xd7511a6e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
27.55
|
0.9075
|
|
Tx
|
1638898953000
|
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xd7511a6e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
5.76
|
0.8677
|
|
Tx
|
1638823270000
|
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xf6340fb0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
36.53
|
0.2737
|
|
Tx
|
1638820341000
|
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xd67c99e0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$80.00
|
89.04
|
0.8984
|
|
Tx
|
1634805902000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xbf59861d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
31.27
|
0.6395
|
|
Tx
|
1634408398000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?
|
0x7be63109
|
0xbf59861d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
48.06
|
0.6242
|
|
Tx
|
1633534486000
|
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x494d0a33
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
52.23
|
0.3829
|
|
Tx
|
1633533666000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
31.10
|
0.6430
|
|
Tx
|
1633369435000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
33.63
|
0.4460
|
|
Tx
|
1633074346000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
31.32
|
0.6385
|
|
Tx
|
1632990315000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
46.40
|
0.6466
|
|
Tx
|
1630953514000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
40.02
|
0.6248
|
|
Tx
|
1630758925000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
34.27
|
0.5836
|
|
Tx
|
1630758787000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.03
|
7.40
|
0.4101
|
|
Tx
|
1630758745000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
33.62
|
0.5949
|
|
Tx
|
1630758517000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$53.42
|
130.00
|
0.4109
|
|
Tx
|
1630758255000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$60.00
|
137.40
|
0.4367
|
|
Tx
|
1630758213000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$40.35
|
98.25
|
0.4107
|
|
Tx
|
1630594965000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$60.00
|
98.25
|
0.6107
|
|
Tx
|
1630594899000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$18.67
|
47.12
|
0.3962
|
|
Tx
|
1630594779000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$17.85
|
45.00
|
0.3967
|
|
Tx
|
1629961319000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
34.71
|
0.4321
|
|
Tx
|
1629875671000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
20.06
|
0.7479
|
|
Tx
|
1629790810000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.00
|
0.00
|
NaN
|
|
Tx
|
1629707074000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
37.35
|
0.8032
|
|
Tx
|
1628155781000
|
Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x18c94959
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$17.84
|
21.47
|
0.8309
|
|
Tx
|
1627485583000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
72.87
|
0.2745
|
|
Tx
|
1627135019000
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x89682c16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$14.34
|
29.14
|
0.4922
|
|
Tx
|
1626988390000
|
Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x18c94959
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$16.07
|
21.47
|
0.7487
|
|
Tx
|
1626981940000
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x89682c16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$16.07
|
29.00
|
0.5542
|
|
Tx
|
1626947401000
|
Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x0091c59a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$24.97
|
29.68
|
0.8412
|
|
Tx
|
1626947349000
|
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x07e49d02
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$24.94
|
28.00
|
0.8906
|
|
Tx
|
1626943608000
|
Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x0091c59a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$33.00
|
39.27
|
0.8404
|
|
Tx
|
1626943530000
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x89682c16
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$32.52
|
57.00
|
0.5706
|
|
Tx
|
1626852963000
|
Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
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0x7be63109
|
0x0091c59a
|
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Yes |
β
|
$7.00
|
8.94
|
0.7832
|
|
Tx
|
1626852913000
|
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x07e49d02
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$6.39
|
8.00
|
0.7990
|
|
Tx
|
1626441881000
|
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x4568e4dc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.37
|
0.40
|
0.9342
|
|
Tx
|
1626441543000
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x89682c16
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
35.96
|
0.4172
|
|
Tx
|
1626441503000
|
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x4568e4dc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$14.95
|
16.00
|
0.9342
|
|
Tx
|
1626441181000
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x89682c16
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$14.00
|
34.21
|
0.4092
|
|
Tx
|
1626441125000
|
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x4568e4dc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$14.01
|
15.00
|
0.9342
|
|
Tx
|
1626440841000
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x89682c16
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$18.00
|
44.97
|
0.4003
|
|
Tx
|
1626382501000
|
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
|
0x07e49d02
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
14.19
|
0.7049
|
|
Tx
|
1626246902000
|
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?
|
0x7be63109
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0x07e49d02
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Buy |
Yes |
β
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$11.00
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15.69
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0.7013
|
|
Tx
|
1626242832000
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Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?
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0x7be63109
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0x07e49d02
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Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
35.80
|
0.6983
|
|
Tx
|
1625693740000
|
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.5 ppm on July 22, 2021?
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0x7be63109
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0xd6ad5331
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Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
18.76
|
0.7997
|
|
Tx
|
1625646371000
|
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.5 ppm on July 22, 2021?
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0x7be63109
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0xd6ad5331
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No |
β |
$25.00
|
31.50
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0.7936
|
|
Tx
|
1624603639000
|
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
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0x7be63109
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0x162fe12f
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Buy |
Garcia |
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$19.00
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28.66
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0.6630
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|
Tx
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1624518298000
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Will FEWOCiOUSβs βI Taught Myself How To Flyβ have a final sale price of more than $700K at Christieβs?
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0x7be63109
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0x38cf7345
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Buy |
Yes |
β
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$20.00
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57.83
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0.3458
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|
Tx
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1624511688000
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Will βBananasβ by Basquiat & Warhol sell for more than $6M at Phillips?
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0x7be63109
|
0x3d5bb327
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$37.27
|
38.14
|
0.9770
|
|
Tx
|
1624477107000
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Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25?
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0x7be63109
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0xe25fc2fa
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Yes |
β
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$20.00
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21.29
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0.9394
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|
Tx
|
1624468663000
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What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26?
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0x7be63109
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0xa8b030ae
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Long |
π |
$3.00
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61.57
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0.0487
|
|
Tx
|
1624465819000
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Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?
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0x7be63109
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0x4568e4dc
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Buy |
No |
β |
$18.00
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28.26
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0.6370
|
|
Tx
|
1624465477000
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Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?
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0x7be63109
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0x4568e4dc
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No |
β |
$2.00
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3.14
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0.6366
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|
Tx
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1624464557000
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Will Mark Rothkoβs βUntitledβ sell for more than $4.5M at Phillips?
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0x7be63109
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0x96bd1640
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No |
β |
$20.00
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32.40
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0.6173
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|
Tx
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1624464487000
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Will βBananasβ by Basquiat & Warhol sell for more than $6M at Phillips?
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0x7be63109
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0x3d5bb327
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Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
38.14
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0.5243
|
|
Tx
|