1679201251000
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6948996d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$75.75
|
3,787.50
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1679201251000
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xee292607
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3,711.75
|
3,787.50
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1669155444000
|
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x6cd3e58c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
910.78
|
0.0110
|
|
Tx
|
1668276996000
|
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xdfb130ac
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$6.00
|
372.41
|
0.0161
|
|
Tx
|
1667764538000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$6.00
|
207.65
|
0.0289
|
|
Tx
|
1667764476000
|
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x6f5fffa4
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6.26
|
536.62
|
0.0117
|
|
Tx
|
1667677525000
|
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x6f5fffa4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$6.00
|
536.63
|
0.0112
|
|
Tx
|
1667492012000
|
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x34fb5c3a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
128.89
|
0.0388
|
|
Tx
|
1667491970000
|
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xdfb130ac
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
223.68
|
0.0224
|
|
Tx
|
1667491932000
|
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x8cbee0a1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
925.27
|
0.0054
|
|
Tx
|
1667491865000
|
Will US 10-yr treasury bond yield reach 5% by November 8, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xeeaa5d3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
313.09
|
0.0160
|
|
Tx
|
1667491834000
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xa51e296d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
179.37
|
0.0279
|
|
Tx
|
1667491777000
|
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xce7f7637
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
311.21
|
0.0161
|
|
Tx
|
1667491719000
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x38a2bb08
|
Buy |
Democrats |
π΅ |
$10.00
|
549.05
|
0.0182
|
|
Tx
|
1667491651000
|
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xf85e2502
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
274.41
|
0.0182
|
|
Tx
|
1667491603000
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xbe648a2b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
130.00
|
0.0385
|
|
Tx
|
1664907098000
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x61234ab9
|
Sell |
Democratic |
π΄ |
$23.51
|
104.14
|
0.2258
|
|
Tx
|
1664906980000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x5137cb11
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
423.48
|
0.0236
|
|
Tx
|
1664906909000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x106f595a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
1,617.48
|
0.0062
|
|
Tx
|
1664906857000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xb1aa538f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
160.60
|
0.0311
|
|
Tx
|
1664906795000
|
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x9cea8c03
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
104.24
|
0.0480
|
|
Tx
|
1664156359000
|
Will 'Don't Worry Darling' gross more than $20 million domestically on its opening weekend?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x45b490f2
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
252.22
|
0.0198
|
|
Tx
|
1664156297000
|
Will JoΓ£o Doria win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x05f7f704
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
327.47
|
0.0153
|
|
Tx
|
1663124661000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xa630c933
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
92.26
|
0.0542
|
|
Tx
|
1663124557000
|
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x09c6782d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
251.91
|
0.0198
|
|
Tx
|
1663124459000
|
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xf647ddb2
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
194.33
|
0.0257
|
|
Tx
|
1663124413000
|
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xf85e2502
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
173.90
|
0.0288
|
|
Tx
|
1663124377000
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xa51e296d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
50.20
|
0.0996
|
|
Tx
|
1663124323000
|
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x38f32165
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
104.65
|
0.0478
|
|
Tx
|
1663124273000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xe62c8552
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
159.09
|
0.0314
|
|
Tx
|
1661892625000
|
Will Joe Bidenβs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x52778dfc
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$37.37
|
239.89
|
0.1558
|
|
Tx
|
1660192434000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by August 31?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x9c962e05
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.59
|
9.32
|
0.0633
|
|
Tx
|
1660192314000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by August 31?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x9c962e05
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
439.45
|
0.0569
|
|
Tx
|
1660192249000
|
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xbda4be29
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
152.74
|
0.0655
|
|
Tx
|
1659913420000
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xb250ea7e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.00
|
105.01
|
0.0286
|
|
Tx
|
1659913374000
|
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xda5b5c86
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
101.17
|
0.0494
|
|
Tx
|
1659913190000
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x4e6c4e48
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
2,244.09
|
0.0022
|
|
Tx
|
1659804296000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x6489b853
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
976.51
|
0.0051
|
|
Tx
|
1659804156000
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x4e6c4e48
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
155.04
|
0.0322
|
|
Tx
|
1659804058000
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x4e6c4e48
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
227.19
|
0.0220
|
|
Tx
|
1659804002000
|
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through August?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xd11f1815
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
1,533.63
|
0.0326
|
|
Tx
|
1659649751000
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xaf3bce1a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
192.69
|
0.0259
|
|
Tx
|
1659649463000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x826f0234
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$55.00
|
1,407.61
|
0.0391
|
|
Tx
|
1659447633000
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xd9e0838e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
340.44
|
0.0294
|
|
Tx
|
1659447485000
|
Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xdaf17b32
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
181.19
|
0.0276
|
|
Tx
|
1659447331000
|
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x3628331c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
312.78
|
0.0320
|
|
Tx
|
1659389517000
|
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x306078a4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
3,010.52
|
0.0017
|
|
Tx
|
1659371557000
|
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x306078a4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
319.31
|
0.0157
|
|
Tx
|
1659371313000
|
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x306078a4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.00
|
387.19
|
0.0077
|
|
Tx
|
1659371231000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x55e623af
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.00
|
805.26
|
0.0025
|
|
Tx
|
1659371189000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x8d84995a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
250.16
|
0.0200
|
|
Tx
|
1659371075000
|
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x306078a4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
2,630.13
|
0.0019
|
|
Tx
|
1659120243000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xcf0d2e86
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
820.41
|
0.0061
|
|
Tx
|
1659120053000
|
Will there be more than 10,000 Monkeypox cases in the USA by August 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x540af6c2
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
818.65
|
0.0061
|
|
Tx
|
1659119855000
|
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x448c72b1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
593.51
|
0.0084
|
|
Tx
|
1658583184000
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xaf3bce1a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
133.66
|
0.0374
|
|
Tx
|
1658151321000
|
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x448c72b1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$40.00
|
464.49
|
0.0861
|
|
Tx
|
1657922129000
|
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x09c6782d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
115.63
|
0.0432
|
|
Tx
|
1657922011000
|
Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xa6b0993a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
406.47
|
0.0123
|
|
Tx
|
1657921783000
|
Will CryptoPunks flip Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) by August 1?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x634383bb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
151.72
|
0.0659
|
|
Tx
|
1657809385000
|
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x4ef0f6c9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
201.18
|
0.0249
|
|
Tx
|
1657809273000
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x981e7140
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
118.19
|
0.0423
|
|
Tx
|
1657728979000
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x5dc23005
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
560.06
|
0.0179
|
|
Tx
|
1657728933000
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xe74b400a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
129.62
|
0.0386
|
|
Tx
|
1657728883000
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x981e7140
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
165.56
|
0.0604
|
|
Tx
|
1657728847000
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xaf3bce1a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
119.70
|
0.0835
|
|
Tx
|
1657545081000
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x5dc23005
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
273.06
|
0.0183
|
|
Tx
|
1657545043000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xcf0d2e86
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
181.78
|
0.0550
|
|
Tx
|
1656986957000
|
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xbac45d55
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
1,064.81
|
0.0939
|
|
Tx
|
1656986869000
|
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xbac45d55
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
173.19
|
0.0866
|
|
Tx
|
1656986753000
|
Will CryptoPunks flip Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) by August 1?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x634383bb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
148.34
|
0.0674
|
|
Tx
|
1656986731000
|
Will Joe Bidenβs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x52778dfc
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
239.90
|
0.0625
|
|
Tx
|
1656986661000
|
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xbac45d55
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
291.12
|
0.0859
|
|
Tx
|
1656986645000
|
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xbac45d55
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
301.24
|
0.0830
|
|
Tx
|
1656986603000
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x61234ab9
|
Buy |
Democratic |
π΅ |
$10.00
|
104.14
|
0.0960
|
|
Tx
|
1655556609000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x467f7b3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
375.73
|
0.0266
|
|
Tx
|
1655556547000
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xac7a7e8a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$11.00
|
142.24
|
0.0773
|
|
Tx
|
1654877616000
|
2022 Norway Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any game?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x2cb67763
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
198.36
|
0.0504
|
|
Tx
|
1654877568000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x467f7b3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
222.53
|
0.0449
|
|
Tx
|
1653323103000
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xc5b828c0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
869.71
|
0.0115
|
|
Tx
|
1653323069000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x321554ac
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
151.31
|
0.0661
|
|
Tx
|
1652716165000
|
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x59d64ea6
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
125.52
|
0.0797
|
|
Tx
|
1652460721000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xe764de3e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
322.67
|
0.0620
|
|
Tx
|
1652375346000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x321554ac
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
130.83
|
0.0764
|
|
Tx
|
1652375268000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xc9a19c31
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
377.49
|
0.0265
|
|
Tx
|
1652375198000
|
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xa36fbf5d
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
155.28
|
0.0644
|
|
Tx
|
1652375134000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xac128541
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
349.14
|
0.0573
|
|
Tx
|
1652375000000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x321554ac
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
108.69
|
0.0920
|
|
Tx
|
1652374898000
|
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xe060d399
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
247.14
|
0.0405
|
|
Tx
|
1650298409000
|
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x1e4ceb99
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
1,161.81
|
0.0043
|
|
Tx
|
1650298229000
|
Will Nikola JokiΔ win NBA β21-β22 MVP?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xe72a79ed
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
183.56
|
0.0545
|
|
Tx
|
1650298203000
|
Will Luka Doncic win the NBA β21-β22 Most Valuable Player (MVP) Award?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xc0b18ab9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$11.00
|
312.44
|
0.0352
|
|
Tx
|
1650298189000
|
Will Kevin Durant win NBA β21-β22 MVP?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x3561bf24
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
490.44
|
0.0204
|
|
Tx
|
1650298139000
|
Will Joel Embiid win NBA β21-β22 MVP?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xbf0a5276
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
266.12
|
0.0376
|
|
Tx
|
1650298121000
|
Will Stephen Curry win NBA β21-β22 MVP?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x05ac64d9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
551.13
|
0.0181
|
|
Tx
|
1650298029000
|
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win NBA β21-β22 MVP?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x4891b55e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$11.00
|
309.42
|
0.0356
|
|
Tx
|
1650297971000
|
Will Ja Morant win NBA β21-β22 MVP?
|
0x6948996d
|
0xe0591f8a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
451.55
|
0.0221
|
|
Tx
|
1650297953000
|
Will Lebron James win NBA β21-β22 MVP?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x95b54926
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$11.00
|
1,105.45
|
0.0100
|
|
Tx
|
1650297839000
|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x53095584
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
140.66
|
0.1066
|
|
Tx
|
1650297825000
|
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election?
|
0x6948996d
|
0x2b64d113
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
140.36
|
0.1069
|
|
Tx
|