1628004837000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$75.00
|
209.78
|
0.3575
|
|
Tx
|
1628004703000
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x46dd33d1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
135.13
|
0.7400
|
|
Tx
|
1628004569000
|
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by December 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xdd36f8b6
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
557.20
|
0.0897
|
|
Tx
|
1628004467000
|
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd05f57c8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
57.21
|
0.8740
|
|
Tx
|
1628004343000
|
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x7b4686a7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
1,036.41
|
0.0965
|
|
Tx
|
1628004101000
|
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x52722001
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.57
|
467.82
|
0.0055
|
|
Tx
|
1628003963000
|
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x4568e4dc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$103.00
|
106.55
|
0.9667
|
|
Tx
|
1622538278000
|
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x4568e4dc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$60.00
|
106.55
|
0.5631
|
|
Tx
|
1622537966000
|
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xdf35ec97
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.65
|
1,568.60
|
0.0017
|
|
Tx
|
1621795318000
|
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x2c3593b0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
187.35
|
0.2669
|
|
Tx
|
1621790852000
|
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xbde8f888
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
52.18
|
0.9581
|
|
Tx
|
1621790694000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd1278ee9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
21.39
|
0.9351
|
|
Tx
|
1621790508000
|
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x514e63f5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
42.59
|
0.5869
|
|
Tx
|
1621529737000
|
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x2c3593b0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$14.53
|
55.03
|
0.2640
|
|
Tx
|
1621515421000
|
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x2c3593b0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$40.00
|
153.60
|
0.2604
|
|
Tx
|
1621515365000
|
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x2c3593b0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
39.27
|
0.2546
|
|
Tx
|
1621483186000
|
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xdf35ec97
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
565.84
|
0.0177
|
|
Tx
|
1621192709000
|
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x2c3593b0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$150.00
|
535.33
|
0.2802
|
|
Tx
|
1621167850000
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x11eb79c7
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$291.00
|
400.00
|
0.7275
|
|
Tx
|
1620873874000
|
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x2c3593b0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
217.50
|
0.2299
|
|
Tx
|
1620873470000
|
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x52722001
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
467.82
|
0.2138
|
|
Tx
|
1620754619000
|
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christieβs?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x1d5f9ff4
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
74.22
|
0.6737
|
|
Tx
|
1620752694000
|
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x73d852eb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
67.58
|
0.7398
|
|
Tx
|
1620094474000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xeb915066
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
76.85
|
0.3904
|
|
Tx
|
1620094394000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xeb915066
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
51.89
|
0.3854
|
|
Tx
|
1620094358000
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x11eb79c7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$43.00
|
52.02
|
0.8266
|
|
Tx
|
1620094264000
|
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x08379e7a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$160.00
|
172.99
|
0.9249
|
|
Tx
|
1620094012000
|
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xf01be110
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$6.77
|
1,064.15
|
0.0064
|
|
Tx
|
1620093920000
|
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x08379e7a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$40.00
|
43.36
|
0.9225
|
|
Tx
|
1619874855000
|
Will Man City or PSG advance to the finals of the Champions League?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x1372c9b9
|
Buy |
PSG |
|
$30.00
|
198.32
|
0.1513
|
|
Tx
|
1619803248000
|
Will Man City or PSG advance to the finals of the Champions League?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x1372c9b9
|
Buy |
PSG |
|
$20.00
|
146.71
|
0.1363
|
|
Tx
|
1619749508000
|
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xf01be110
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
1,064.15
|
0.0235
|
|
Tx
|
1619554695000
|
Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xba019af0
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$18.83
|
872.02
|
0.0216
|
|
Tx
|
1619487852000
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x2dabdc8c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.26
|
280.15
|
0.0723
|
|
Tx
|
1619404904000
|
Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xba019af0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
872.02
|
0.1147
|
|
Tx
|
1619376630000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xff5b2659
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$24.51
|
2,445.14
|
0.0100
|
|
Tx
|
1619376590000
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x11eb79c7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
301.65
|
0.8288
|
|
Tx
|
1619022509000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$51.50
|
1,000.84
|
0.0515
|
|
Tx
|
1618952920000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd4189805
|
Buy |
2 |
|
$22.09
|
43.48
|
0.5082
|
|
Tx
|
1618777689000
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x11eb79c7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
124.05
|
0.8061
|
|
Tx
|
1618455034000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$201.78
|
256.96
|
0.7853
|
|
Tx
|
1618454986000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x70ee26d1
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$201.78
|
207.67
|
0.9717
|
|
Tx
|
1618453974000
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x11eb79c7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$7.00
|
8.50
|
0.8231
|
|
Tx
|
1618158573000
|
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xdf35ec97
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$40.00
|
1,002.76
|
0.0399
|
|
Tx
|
1618158333000
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x2dabdc8c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$47.00
|
200.00
|
0.2350
|
|
Tx
|
1618035353000
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x2dabdc8c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$24.41
|
89.78
|
0.2719
|
|
Tx
|
1618035269000
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x2dabdc8c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
390.37
|
0.2562
|
|
Tx
|
1618017218000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd4189805
|
Buy |
2 |
|
$2.20
|
7.06
|
0.3118
|
|
Tx
|
1618017176000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd4189805
|
Buy |
1 |
|
$122.00
|
369.70
|
0.3300
|
|
Tx
|
1618017128000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd4189805
|
Buy |
2 |
|
$100.00
|
320.88
|
0.3116
|
|
Tx
|
1618017094000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd4189805
|
Buy |
2 |
|
$100.00
|
341.33
|
0.2930
|
|
Tx
|
1618017068000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd4189805
|
Buy |
1 |
|
$100.00
|
308.52
|
0.3241
|
|
Tx
|
1618016978000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xff5b2659
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$548.61
|
750.00
|
0.7315
|
|
Tx
|
1618015870000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd4189805
|
Buy |
2 |
|
$63.96
|
225.25
|
0.2839
|
|
Tx
|
1618015828000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd4189805
|
Buy |
1 |
|
$100.00
|
323.45
|
0.3092
|
|
Tx
|
1617776893000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xe6ef4328
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.70
|
20.98
|
0.7482
|
|
Tx
|
1617506428000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd4189805
|
Buy |
2 |
|
$25.00
|
105.28
|
0.2375
|
|
Tx
|
1617505620000
|
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x9b416609
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
122.09
|
0.8190
|
|
Tx
|
1617505154000
|
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x89ae2252
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$150.00
|
163.96
|
0.9149
|
|
Tx
|
1617487445000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$400.00
|
536.17
|
0.7460
|
|
Tx
|
1616991308000
|
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x943f6441
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
397.43
|
0.0503
|
|
Tx
|
1616991252000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x69fa558c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
82.55
|
0.3634
|
|
Tx
|
1616991136000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$56.89
|
764.00
|
0.0745
|
|
Tx
|
1616898942000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$324.00
|
449.04
|
0.7215
|
|
Tx
|
1616808174000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$392.00
|
1,526.63
|
0.2568
|
|
Tx
|
1616807420000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$920.56
|
1,252.24
|
0.7351
|
|
Tx
|
1616564735000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$300.00
|
552.40
|
0.5431
|
|
Tx
|
1616331767000
|
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x21ffd941
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$200.00
|
213.28
|
0.9377
|
|
Tx
|
1616331657000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x70ee26d1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$200.00
|
207.67
|
0.9631
|
|
Tx
|
1616184890000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
686.72
|
0.7281
|
|
Tx
|
1616184680000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
161.20
|
0.6203
|
|
Tx
|
1615855241000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$200.00
|
538.64
|
0.3713
|
|
Tx
|
1615659702000
|
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x13f48066
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$184.00
|
199.74
|
0.9212
|
|
Tx
|
1615602799000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$200.00
|
265.40
|
0.7536
|
|
Tx
|
1615474714000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$791.89
|
1,475.32
|
0.5368
|
|
Tx
|
1615078162000
|
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x21ffd941
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$40.00
|
48.19
|
0.8300
|
|
Tx
|
1614828643000
|
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x13f48066
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$82.00
|
101.14
|
0.8107
|
|
Tx
|
1614722484000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$500.00
|
880.49
|
0.5679
|
|
Tx
|
1614653992000
|
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa342ecae
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,129.02
|
0.8857
|
|
Tx
|
1614653528000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
469.16
|
0.5329
|
|
Tx
|
1614189478000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$62.58
|
125.67
|
0.4979
|
|
Tx
|
1614189438000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$62.58
|
124.68
|
0.5019
|
|
Tx
|
1613597403000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$71.66
|
124.68
|
0.5747
|
|
Tx
|
1611698172000
|
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x5c40715d
|
Buy |
53-55 |
|
$50.00
|
100.24
|
0.4988
|
|
Tx
|
1611697842000
|
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x5c40715d
|
Sell |
56-58 |
|
$63.32
|
343.60
|
0.1843
|
|
Tx
|
1611697764000
|
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x5c40715d
|
Sell |
59-61 |
|
$30.35
|
461.03
|
0.0658
|
|
Tx
|
1611662930000
|
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x5c40715d
|
Buy |
59-61 |
|
$50.00
|
461.03
|
0.1085
|
|
Tx
|
1611662912000
|
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x5c40715d
|
Buy |
56-58 |
|
$50.00
|
343.60
|
0.1455
|
|
Tx
|
1611662884000
|
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x5c40715d
|
Buy |
53-55 |
|
$25.00
|
82.97
|
0.3013
|
|
Tx
|
1611662814000
|
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x5c40715d
|
Buy |
53-55 |
|
$25.00
|
83.34
|
0.3000
|
|
Tx
|
1611662130000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$83.98
|
227.89
|
0.3685
|
|
Tx
|
1611268780000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
75.90
|
0.6587
|
|
Tx
|
1611267290000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
151.98
|
0.6580
|
|
Tx
|
1611074603000
|
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x9c50fbee
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$150.00
|
173.94
|
0.8623
|
|
Tx
|
1611074287000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd0df23f8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,500.00
|
1,687.16
|
0.8891
|
|
Tx
|
1611071883000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd0df23f8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$12.36
|
13.82
|
0.8940
|
|
Tx
|
1611071815000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x4faf484d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$12.36
|
107.99
|
0.1144
|
|
Tx
|
1610370637000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
107.99
|
0.4630
|
|
Tx
|
1610370597000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
|
0x68e5b48c
|
0xd0df23f8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
55.98
|
0.8932
|
|
Tx
|