1719973010000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x0020580c
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1,712.81
|
3,425.62
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1719973010000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$941.78
|
1,922.00
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1719973010000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3,114.23
|
6,298.50
|
0.4944
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1719973010000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$282.08
|
587.67
|
0.4800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718942928000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$528.04
|
1,228.00
|
0.4300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718942928000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$860.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.4300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718942928000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$150.50
|
350.00
|
0.4300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718928545000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,953.10
|
2,000.00
|
0.9765
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718928545000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$318.90
|
326.07
|
0.9780
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718928545000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,417.08
|
1,451.93
|
0.9760
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718850343000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,597.90
|
6,298.50
|
0.7300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718850343000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x5431a20c
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,597.90
|
6,298.50
|
0.7300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718383350000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x6963a156
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$240.00
|
279.07
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718304278000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x95c019f7
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$300.00
|
348.84
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718277558000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xce405268
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3,046.12
|
3,542.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1716394730000
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?
|
0x20054442
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$718.58
|
971.06
|
0.7400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712199066000
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5,373.00
|
5,970.00
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712199066000
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$457.55
|
508.39
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712199066000
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,115.45
|
3,461.61
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712199066000
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xfeb58108
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,800.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709685194000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0xa3572980
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$770.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708902410000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$105.00
|
500.00
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707607707000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$170.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707607707000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$94.35
|
555.00
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707607707000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$75.65
|
445.00
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707607707000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,660.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706305916000
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
|
0x209c21d4
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5,313.30
|
5,970.00
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704777778000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xa97111e0
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3,334.51
|
3,922.95
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704777738000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xd9f05a2c
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,841.55
|
2,166.53
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704777025000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3,440.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704777025000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x289eb5fb
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3,440.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704775026000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xc532090d
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$616.46
|
725.25
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704721209000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xecdbd795
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$540.54
|
702.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704720574000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xecdbd795
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$770.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704719459000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xecdbd795
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$385.00
|
500.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704718073000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xecdbd795
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$770.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704718021000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xecdbd795
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$770.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704715468000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$614.46
|
798.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704689559000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x62755344
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,200.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700187178000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0xf313178f
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$1,040.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690075096000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31?
|
0x569e37de
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,967.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.9890
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690075018000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xd6627736
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.95
|
394.86
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690075018000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,579.09
|
2,605.14
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690075018000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,970.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1679360127000
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$14,700.00
|
15,000.00
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1679360127000
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$14,700.00
|
15,000.00
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1679358798000
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$9,800.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1679358798000
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$9,800.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1674967431000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31?
|
0x7f2de588
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,958.43
|
2,019.00
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1674688997000
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x6404bfa3
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$100.00
|
250.00
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1669428400000
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xf414c775
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$127.24
|
1,280.32
|
0.0994
|
|
Tx
|
1669254528000
|
Will Switzerland qualify from Group G?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x1bb8f917
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$221.19
|
487.67
|
0.4536
|
|
Tx
|
1669073430000
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xc9a3c733
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$89.17
|
2,342.99
|
0.0381
|
|
Tx
|
1668388911000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x386feb76
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$224.83
|
844.99
|
0.2661
|
|
Tx
|
1668013504000
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x2da61c36
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$62.20
|
484.20
|
0.1285
|
|
Tx
|
1667961787000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x9b902840
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$1,111.00
|
1,138.95
|
0.9755
|
|
Tx
|
1667961721000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$333.00
|
755.91
|
0.4405
|
|
Tx
|
1667956483000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$555.00
|
1,451.82
|
0.3823
|
|
Tx
|
1667955329000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x9b902840
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$555.00
|
599.49
|
0.9258
|
|
Tx
|
1667952973000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x45467ab3
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$222.00
|
266.23
|
0.8339
|
|
Tx
|
1667949373000
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x16337d7b
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$222.00
|
264.08
|
0.8407
|
|
Tx
|
1667945858000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xe6f71bb7
|
Sell |
Democrat |
🔴 |
$87.32
|
400.00
|
0.2183
|
|
Tx
|
1667939238000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x9b902840
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$222.00
|
254.17
|
0.8734
|
|
Tx
|
1667929070000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xdf76edcb
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$333.00
|
381.83
|
0.8721
|
|
Tx
|
1667925784000
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xa0711fc0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$79.11
|
392.45
|
0.2016
|
|
Tx
|
1667923672000
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x2da61c36
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$333.00
|
356.95
|
0.9329
|
|
Tx
|
1667869906000
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x16337d7b
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$1,000.00
|
1,170.82
|
0.8541
|
|
Tx
|
1667869772000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x9b902840
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$444.00
|
512.85
|
0.8658
|
|
Tx
|
1667869432000
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xe6f71bb7
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$333.00
|
872.73
|
0.3816
|
|
Tx
|
1667867390000
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xa0711fc0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$57.50
|
300.00
|
0.1917
|
|
Tx
|
1667859838000
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x16337d7b
|
Buy |
Democrat |
🔵 |
$1,000.00
|
1,153.16
|
0.8672
|
|
Tx
|
1667671921000
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xc9a3c733
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$22.97
|
500.00
|
0.0459
|
|
Tx
|
1667062203000
|
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x43b1bfe4
|
Sell |
Anderson Silva |
|
$354.45
|
1,168.74
|
0.3033
|
|
Tx
|
1666926917000
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x74d42485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$40.25
|
946.13
|
0.0425
|
|
Tx
|
1666895135000
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x282a811a
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$203.61
|
500.50
|
0.4068
|
|
Tx
|
1666198802000
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x282a811a
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$222.00
|
293.76
|
0.7557
|
|
Tx
|
1666198428000
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xd2b1027d
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$64.15
|
1,234.00
|
0.0520
|
|
Tx
|
1664241957000
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by October 31?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x10092d6a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$444.00
|
470.73
|
0.9432
|
|
Tx
|
1663341809000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$561.92
|
7,393.90
|
0.0760
|
|
Tx
|
1663105580000
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x9fbee21e
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$285.65
|
662.34
|
0.4313
|
|
Tx
|
1662671659000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x6b4a555e
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,066.97
|
5,955.63
|
0.1792
|
|
Tx
|
1662093146000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xa630c933
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,532.01
|
1,688.85
|
0.9071
|
|
Tx
|
1662093102000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xa630c933
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$382.87
|
4,016.00
|
0.0953
|
|
Tx
|
1661966563000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xf8ab7333
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$78.48
|
1,418.73
|
0.0553
|
|
Tx
|
1660337548000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x0199f041
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$109.85
|
1,172.70
|
0.0937
|
|
Tx
|
1660082799000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x1ee6af25
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$333.00
|
512.69
|
0.6495
|
|
Tx
|
1660063131000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x86e2b8e5
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$400.00
|
441.04
|
0.9069
|
|
Tx
|
1660062767000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x1ee6af25
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$222.00
|
348.02
|
0.6379
|
|
Tx
|
1658478312000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xe45ad17e
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,498.29
|
1,708.32
|
0.8771
|
|
Tx
|
1656693635000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xae211785
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,262.71
|
2,020.00
|
0.6251
|
|
Tx
|
1656539948000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xae211785
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$7,178.00
|
8,748.10
|
0.8205
|
|
Tx
|
1656448082000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xae211785
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$6,695.44
|
8,469.56
|
0.7905
|
|
Tx
|
1656371234000
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0xae211785
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$7,000.00
|
8,385.79
|
0.8347
|
|
Tx
|
1655487836000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x6489b853
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$155.70
|
1,180.54
|
0.1319
|
|
Tx
|
1655169089000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x6489b853
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,847.69
|
5,675.19
|
0.8542
|
|
Tx
|
1655139292000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x6489b853
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5,000.00
|
5,619.43
|
0.8898
|
|
Tx
|
1654910693000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x6489b853
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,143.81
|
5,224.10
|
0.7932
|
|
Tx
|
1654909875000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x6489b853
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,615.57
|
2,009.83
|
0.8038
|
|
Tx
|
1654891199000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x6489b853
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,321.41
|
3,000.00
|
0.7738
|
|
Tx
|
1654876344000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
|
0x6404bfa3
|
0x6489b853
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$721.17
|
1,000.00
|
0.7212
|
|
Tx
|