1707189127000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,330.00
|
6,999.99
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707189005000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$315.00
|
375.00
|
0.8400
|
π |
Tx
|
1707189005000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,438.52
|
2,903.00
|
0.8400
|
π |
Tx
|
1707189005000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$640.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.1600
|
π |
Tx
|
1707189005000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$420.00
|
500.00
|
0.8400
|
π |
Tx
|
1707173575000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$307.50
|
750.00
|
0.4100
|
π |
Tx
|
1707173575000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$304.44
|
516.00
|
0.5900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707173575000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$790.92
|
1,929.07
|
0.4100
|
π |
Tx
|
1707167538000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x063d4783
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,172.84
|
6,172.84
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707150035000
|
Ukraine aid package in February?
|
0x43ca835f
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3,520.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1707149609000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$652.37
|
733.00
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707149609000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,670.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707149609000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$278.18
|
312.56
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707149609000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$556.70
|
625.50
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707149609000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,182.76
|
1,328.94
|
0.8900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707145218000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$510.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.1700
|
π |
Tx
|
1707097909000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$969.68
|
2,620.76
|
0.3700
|
π |
Tx
|
1707094740000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2,440.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.6100
|
π |
Tx
|
1707094740000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$305.00
|
500.00
|
0.6100
|
π |
Tx
|
1707094740000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,932.27
|
7,518.63
|
0.3900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707094740000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,525.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.6100
|
π |
Tx
|
1707032520000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x69026a45
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,150.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1707030275000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$12,301.78
|
14,304.40
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1707026382000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,954.60
|
3,740.00
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707026382000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$272.55
|
345.00
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1707026382000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$857.85
|
4,085.00
|
0.2100
|
π |
Tx
|
1707015171000
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R)
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Pilip |
|
$1,818.95
|
12,992.48
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1707010888000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x7eae4871
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$8,600.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1707006221000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$860.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1707006125000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$818.84
|
952.14
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706996356000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,576.68
|
1,995.80
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1706993995000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3,440.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706993995000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$314.18
|
365.32
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706993995000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$955.46
|
1,111.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706993995000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10,320.00
|
12,000.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706993995000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,972.16
|
3,456.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706993995000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$381.84
|
444.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706982660000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x2a2c1dc9
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4,800.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1706981681000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x528fd5e0
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$731.50
|
962.50
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706978892000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$256.68
|
713.00
|
0.3600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706978860000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$655.92
|
1,822.00
|
0.3600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706945684000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
|
0x7789806c
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,081.11
|
2,845.03
|
0.3800
|
π |
Tx
|
1706938481000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$860.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706937923000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5,144.15
|
5,912.82
|
0.8700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706937923000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,820.00
|
14,000.00
|
0.1300
|
π |
Tx
|
1706937923000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x0b644e44
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5,813.50
|
6,682.18
|
0.8700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706937923000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x24c8cf69
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,029.21
|
1,183.00
|
0.8700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706936326000
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination?
|
0x209c21d4
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,960.00
|
14,000.00
|
0.1400
|
π |
Tx
|
1706934863000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x7789806c
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$975.00
|
1,300.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706927922000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$455.24
|
599.00
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706927922000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$250.32
|
1,043.00
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1706920213000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4,305.89
|
4,949.30
|
0.8700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706909637000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4,300.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706909637000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4,300.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706897614000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$860.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706897614000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,730.32
|
2,012.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706897614000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$870.32
|
1,012.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706895548000
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$793.00
|
1,220.00
|
0.6500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706895548000
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$722.15
|
1,111.00
|
0.6500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706894752000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5,655.00
|
6,500.00
|
0.8700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706894752000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$455.00
|
3,500.00
|
0.1300
|
π |
Tx
|
1706894752000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x6b7ec4ba
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,610.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.8700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706879680000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x528fd5e0
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$876.00
|
1,200.00
|
0.7300
|
π |
Tx
|
1706829310000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,500.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706823396000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x7f4b04b1
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,343.12
|
3,166.38
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1706812190000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x2e91439a
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,006.56
|
2,640.21
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706808867000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,070.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1706808867000
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xc2d5826b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$822.75
|
2,654.02
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1706808234000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x8b2c6df8
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$468.00
|
624.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706805289000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,758.75
|
2,345.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706805245000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$433.96
|
578.61
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706766777000
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$462.00
|
600.00
|
0.7700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706766777000
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$462.00
|
600.00
|
0.7700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706758559000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0xa7abfe0f
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$409.50
|
650.00
|
0.6300
|
π |
Tx
|
1706755056000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0x6ee022f6
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$472.88
|
750.60
|
0.6300
|
π |
Tx
|
1706750354000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0xff0d645d
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$950.00
|
1,507.94
|
0.6300
|
π |
Tx
|
1706748966000
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R)
|
0x7789806c
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Pilip |
|
$735.00
|
4,900.00
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706747331000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x296bd652
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,350.00
|
1,800.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706741721000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xcc792a28
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,222.29
|
1,608.27
|
0.7600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706741701000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0x528fd5e0
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$275.00
|
500.00
|
0.5500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706739469000
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$427.00
|
700.00
|
0.6100
|
π |
Tx
|
1706738679000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0x528fd5e0
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$322.00
|
575.00
|
0.5600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706736873000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0x528fd5e0
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$285.00
|
500.00
|
0.5700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706736747000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0x43ca835f
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$377.00
|
661.41
|
0.5700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706732010000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$628.28
|
775.66
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730770000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x209c21d4
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,860.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.6200
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730452000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,240.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.6200
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730226000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0x296bd652
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$650.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.6500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730226000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$650.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.6500
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730095000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$660.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730095000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$660.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730055000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$264.00
|
400.00
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730055000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,320.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730029000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x209c21d4
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,320.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730019000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$536.00
|
800.00
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706730019000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$603.00
|
900.00
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706729917000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$452.64
|
656.00
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1706729917000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$314.64
|
456.00
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1706729597000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,571.15
|
2,345.00
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1706729014000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4a9a9c28
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$406.06
|
606.06
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|