1698860581000
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$37.03
|
617.12
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1698860581000
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$37.03
|
617.12
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1698852463000
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
|
0x4286e3af
|
0x06af4337
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$4.00
|
50.00
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1697331865000
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$37.91
|
45.13
|
0.8400
|
π |
Tx
|
1697331865000
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$172.00
|
200.00
|
0.8600
|
π |
Tx
|
1697331865000
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$188.70
|
222.00
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697331865000
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$98.52
|
667.13
|
0.1477
|
π |
Tx
|
1697331865000
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$170.00
|
200.00
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1693889533000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,271.25
|
1,368.75
|
0.9288
|
π |
Tx
|
1693889533000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xee292607
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$155.25
|
168.75
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1693889533000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x5bbdda8c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,116.00
|
1,200.00
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1687643441000
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Buy |
Putin |
|
$207.52
|
211.76
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1687643441000
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner
|
0x06af4337
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Wagner |
|
$4.24
|
211.76
|
0.0200
|
π |
Tx
|
1687615639000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x45580fea
|
0x06af4337
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$39.29
|
59.53
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1687615171000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x45580fea
|
0x06af4337
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$264.00
|
400.00
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1687614831000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4b0f6096
|
0x06af4337
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.90
|
15.00
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1687613636000
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x2c079529
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$34.50
|
37.50
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1687613636000
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$42.86
|
46.59
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1687613636000
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xd6a2e4cd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$54.65
|
59.40
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1687613636000
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x2c079529
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$181.18
|
196.93
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1687613636000
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$313.19
|
340.42
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1687612209000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0xfc7e110e
|
0x06af4337
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$590.19
|
894.22
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1687582852000
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$320.00
|
340.43
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1687582852000
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x524cece3
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.43
|
340.43
|
0.0600
|
π |
Tx
|
1687580703000
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Sell |
Putin |
|
$180.00
|
211.76
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1687580703000
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner
|
0x06af4337
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Wagner |
|
$31.76
|
211.76
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1685293333000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$248.63
|
250.64
|
0.9920
|
π |
Tx
|
1685293333000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$248.63
|
250.64
|
0.9920
|
π |
Tx
|
1684603718000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$156.90
|
192.04
|
0.8170
|
π |
Tx
|
1684603718000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$156.90
|
192.04
|
0.8170
|
π |
Tx
|
1684109087000
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x1469e1db
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.04
|
0.90
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1684109087000
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$0.04
|
0.90
|
0.0400
|
π |
Tx
|
1684101501000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x2f23d06b
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.06
|
60.06
|
0.3340
|
π |
Tx
|
1684101501000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$40.00
|
60.06
|
0.6660
|
π |
Tx
|
1684100385000
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
111.11
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1684100385000
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x06af4337
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.00
|
111.11
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1665018573000
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xc9a3c733
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$503.55
|
8,857.37
|
0.0569
|
|
Tx
|
1665016578000
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xc9a3c733
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$520.00
|
10,080.27
|
0.0516
|
|
Tx
|
1663881921000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xe62c8552
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$226.00
|
735.47
|
0.3073
|
|
Tx
|
1654182262000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on June 3, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x0ca0c09b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$230.00
|
266.33
|
0.8636
|
|
Tx
|
1653740408000
|
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xaaac3994
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
226.83
|
0.4409
|
|
Tx
|
1653739780000
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x8a66bc94
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$200.80
|
259.94
|
0.7725
|
|
Tx
|
1653695895000
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x8a66bc94
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$227.57
|
259.95
|
0.8754
|
|
Tx
|
1653695703000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$222.84
|
285.57
|
0.7803
|
|
Tx
|
1652990425000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$216.17
|
285.57
|
0.7570
|
|
Tx
|
1652574816000
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xc8dedd8d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$180.00
|
335.63
|
0.5363
|
|
Tx
|
1652140664000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$285.91
|
357.76
|
0.7992
|
|
Tx
|
1651695316000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$169.00
|
229.36
|
0.7368
|
|
Tx
|
1651688288000
|
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x97937dfd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$268.67
|
271.87
|
0.9882
|
|
Tx
|
1651620338000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$98.09
|
128.40
|
0.7640
|
|
Tx
|
1651367352000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on April 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xe4d84c91
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$98.09
|
99.65
|
0.9844
|
|
Tx
|
1651356054000
|
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x97937dfd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$187.48
|
271.88
|
0.6896
|
|
Tx
|
1651355436000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on April 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xe4d84c91
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$117.96
|
123.00
|
0.9590
|
|
Tx
|
1651274332000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on April 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xe4d84c91
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$200.00
|
222.64
|
0.8983
|
|
Tx
|
1651270894000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on April 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xe4d84c91
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$96.32
|
112.67
|
0.8549
|
|
Tx
|
1651270650000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on April 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xe4d84c91
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
112.67
|
0.8875
|
|
Tx
|
1651270066000
|
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x55be7445
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$222.74
|
225.60
|
0.9873
|
|
Tx
|
1651258798000
|
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x55be7445
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$200.00
|
225.60
|
0.8865
|
|
Tx
|
1651258360000
|
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xe7063785
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$249.41
|
252.72
|
0.9869
|
|
Tx
|
1651250425000
|
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xe7063785
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$226.04
|
252.73
|
0.8944
|
|
Tx
|
1651053515000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xc9a19c31
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$226.04
|
253.56
|
0.8914
|
|
Tx
|
1650839294000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xc9a19c31
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$120.01
|
134.80
|
0.8903
|
|
Tx
|
1650809126000
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xc5b828c0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$120.01
|
126.54
|
0.9484
|
|
Tx
|
1649973821000
|
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x2f98c776
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$6.22
|
39.90
|
0.1559
|
|
Tx
|
1649972739000
|
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x2f98c776
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$45.00
|
240.53
|
0.1871
|
|
Tx
|
1649968390000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xc9a19c31
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$25.74
|
29.00
|
0.8874
|
|
Tx
|
1649968312000
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xc5b828c0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$25.49
|
27.00
|
0.9439
|
|
Tx
|
1649520432000
|
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x2f98c776
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.76
|
7.95
|
0.0956
|
|
Tx
|
1648848978000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xc9a19c31
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$125.00
|
147.77
|
0.8459
|
|
Tx
|
1648848920000
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xc5b828c0
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$125.00
|
153.55
|
0.8141
|
|
Tx
|
1648848736000
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x2a133117
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
661.34
|
0.0756
|
|
Tx
|
1648848500000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x1bdd7f4a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
1,805.91
|
0.0554
|
|
Tx
|
1648847726000
|
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0x8deaf6d4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$99.00
|
2,201.43
|
0.0450
|
|
Tx
|
1648846400000
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?
|
0x06af4337
|
0xbc175410
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$99.00
|
951.13
|
0.1041
|
|
Tx
|