1645300550000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x106f595a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.33
|
9.31
|
0.2501
|
|
Tx
|
1645300532000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xe407df53
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$18.36
|
19.17
|
0.9578
|
|
Tx
|
1645300508000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xaeaf2016
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.71
|
22.33
|
0.9273
|
|
Tx
|
1645300422000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x371b3cee
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$21.27
|
22.22
|
0.9570
|
|
Tx
|
1645300398000
|
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before March 4, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xc1a78a72
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.39
|
1,232.84
|
0.0019
|
|
Tx
|
1645187971000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xe407df53
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.00
|
0.00
|
0.0250
|
|
Tx
|
1645187867000
|
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before March 4, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xc1a78a72
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.52
|
17.24
|
0.5522
|
|
Tx
|
1645115224000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xaeaf2016
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.00
|
0.00
|
0.0769
|
|
Tx
|
1645103265000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xaeaf2016
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$19.88
|
246.23
|
0.0807
|
|
Tx
|
1645103229000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x371b3cee
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$12.84
|
380.63
|
0.0337
|
|
Tx
|
1645103205000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xe407df53
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$8.65
|
342.24
|
0.0253
|
|
Tx
|
1642526839000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xe407df53
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.23
|
9.49
|
0.5504
|
|
Tx
|
1642526711000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xaeaf2016
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.82
|
1.65
|
0.4959
|
|
Tx
|
1642526691000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xcc3bad8e
|
Sell |
Democratic |
π΄ |
$1.12
|
2.43
|
0.4603
|
|
Tx
|
1642526671000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xe407df53
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6.05
|
10.98
|
0.5505
|
|
Tx
|
1642526649000
|
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x511d011a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$17.25
|
41.25
|
0.4182
|
|
Tx
|
1642526625000
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x371b3cee
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$18.71
|
32.12
|
0.5825
|
|
Tx
|
1642277506000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x106f595a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.31
|
2.33
|
0.5594
|
|
Tx
|
1642155953000
|
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x511d011a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.54
|
18.27
|
0.5222
|
|
Tx
|
1641483561000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x0a1cf8a4
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.95
|
3.36
|
0.2829
|
|
Tx
|
1641479336000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x0a1cf8a4
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$19.31
|
129.23
|
0.1495
|
|
Tx
|
1641363100000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xb6cba485
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.50
|
764.76
|
0.0007
|
|
Tx
|
1641234175000
|
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xea0cfe4e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$75.00
|
84.30
|
0.8897
|
|
Tx
|
1640918156000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x0a1cf8a4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$6.39
|
11.46
|
0.5577
|
|
Tx
|
1640913607000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x67a3628f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.97
|
6,134.21
|
0.0005
|
|
Tx
|
1640832872000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xb6cba485
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
305.01
|
0.0656
|
|
Tx
|
1640832776000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x67a3628f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
936.41
|
0.0053
|
|
Tx
|
1640818828000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x67a3628f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
5,197.80
|
0.0048
|
|
Tx
|
1640818540000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xb6cba485
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
459.75
|
0.0653
|
|
Tx
|
1640817006000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.62
|
8,073.68
|
0.0006
|
|
Tx
|
1640794470000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
1,338.88
|
0.0037
|
|
Tx
|
1640760779000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
1,450.94
|
0.0034
|
|
Tx
|
1640730848000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
970.01
|
0.0103
|
|
Tx
|
1640721073000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
1,016.56
|
0.0246
|
|
Tx
|
1640720931000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
999.67
|
0.0200
|
|
Tx
|
1640720869000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
517.90
|
0.0193
|
|
Tx
|
1640718253000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
548.73
|
0.0364
|
|
Tx
|
1640669515000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.00
|
0.00
|
NaN
|
|
Tx
|
1640669463000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.00
|
0.00
|
NaN
|
|
Tx
|
1640669397000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.01
|
633.97
|
0.0000
|
|
Tx
|
1640669337000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
208.64
|
0.0719
|
|
Tx
|
1640660994000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
104.78
|
0.1909
|
|
Tx
|
1640658452000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
120.09
|
0.2498
|
|
Tx
|
1640657420000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
121.12
|
0.2477
|
|
Tx
|
1640632452000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
163.49
|
0.1835
|
|
Tx
|
1640566824000
|
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x6108fe23
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$75.00
|
86.74
|
0.8646
|
|
Tx
|
1640566410000
|
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x06646f53
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$75.00
|
84.21
|
0.8906
|
|
Tx
|
1640566036000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$75.00
|
512.86
|
0.1462
|
|
Tx
|
1640539745000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x6dff66c5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$20.82
|
1,628.24
|
0.0128
|
|
Tx
|
1640539607000
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x932b2ac1
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$19.24
|
445.27
|
0.0432
|
|
Tx
|
1640498238000
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x4a82a5c6
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$11.61
|
28.10
|
0.4130
|
|
Tx
|
1640280052000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$22.93
|
264.47
|
0.0867
|
|
Tx
|
1640279174000
|
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on December 23, 12pm ET?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xcb947333
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.38
|
475.87
|
0.0008
|
|
Tx
|
1640278300000
|
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on December 23, 12pm ET?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xcb947333
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
222.98
|
0.0448
|
|
Tx
|
1640219454000
|
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on December 23, 12pm ET?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xcb947333
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
96.81
|
0.3099
|
|
Tx
|
1640212713000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
188.99
|
0.1587
|
|
Tx
|
1640007126000
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xf5449ccc
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$59.47
|
180.55
|
0.3294
|
|
Tx
|
1639843140000
|
Will the Polygon ($MATIC) Market Cap be above $15 billion on December 25?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x15d28cd6
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$75.00
|
125.43
|
0.5979
|
|
Tx
|
1639842946000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x0a1cf8a4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$75.00
|
121.13
|
0.6192
|
|
Tx
|
1639842830000
|
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on December 23, 12pm ET?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xcb947333
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$75.00
|
156.08
|
0.4805
|
|
Tx
|
1639842642000
|
Will Dogecoin (DOGE) price be $0.19 or more at noon on December 21, 2021?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x71510e70
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$75.00
|
92.54
|
0.8105
|
|
Tx
|
1638837318000
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x932b2ac1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.22
|
0.44
|
0.4981
|
|
Tx
|
1638710408000
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x932b2ac1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$13.41
|
24.05
|
0.5576
|
|
Tx
|
1638633696000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$98.76
|
111.17
|
0.8884
|
|
Tx
|
1638562511000
|
Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x13a1d126
|
Buy |
Magnus Carlsen |
|
$104.35
|
115.34
|
0.9047
|
|
Tx
|
1638562161000
|
Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x13a1d126
|
Buy |
Magnus Carlsen |
|
$50.00
|
56.99
|
0.8773
|
|
Tx
|
1638561956000
|
Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x13a1d126
|
Buy |
Magnus Carlsen |
|
$50.00
|
58.67
|
0.8522
|
|
Tx
|
1638003463000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.38
|
61.57
|
0.0712
|
|
Tx
|
1638003187000
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x4a82a5c6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$5.22
|
9.52
|
0.5479
|
|
Tx
|
1637998670000
|
What will the fully diluted market cap of Openseaβs token be 1 week after it starts trading?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x55a51564
|
Sell |
Short |
π |
$6.78
|
16.52
|
0.4103
|
|
Tx
|
1637881797000
|
Will $CRO (Crypto.com Coin) be above $1 on December 1?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x4da54e0a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$146.97
|
192.12
|
0.7650
|
|
Tx
|
1637654577000
|
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 24th: Polygon ($MATIC) or Algorand ($ALGO)?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xccf4577c
|
Buy |
Polygon |
|
$44.03
|
70.54
|
0.6243
|
|
Tx
|
1637654545000
|
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 24th: Polygon ($MATIC) or Algorand ($ALGO)?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xccf4577c
|
Buy |
Polygon |
|
$44.00
|
76.43
|
0.5757
|
|
Tx
|
1637478385000
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x4a82a5c6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$8.27
|
14.56
|
0.5681
|
|
Tx
|
1637292159000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x6dff66c5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.75
|
3.08
|
0.5698
|
|
Tx
|
1636999092000
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x8b50307a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$23.43
|
27.05
|
0.8662
|
|
Tx
|
1636690317000
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x8b50307a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
135.24
|
0.3697
|
|
Tx
|
1636341100000
|
Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x9ccd430a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
56.57
|
0.8839
|
|
Tx
|
1634461217000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$57.58
|
94.68
|
0.6081
|
|
Tx
|
1634377951000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
82.56
|
0.6056
|
|
Tx
|
1634323012000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$32.14
|
126.27
|
0.2545
|
|
Tx
|
1633776240000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x6dff66c5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$9.67
|
16.51
|
0.5860
|
|
Tx
|
1633492796000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$29.28
|
46.42
|
0.6308
|
|
Tx
|
1633491784000
|
What will the fully diluted market cap of Openseaβs token be 1 week after it starts trading?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x55a51564
|
Sell |
Long |
π |
$29.28
|
41.49
|
0.7058
|
|
Tx
|
1633489058000
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x5fc408a9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
79.20
|
0.6313
|
|
Tx
|
1632530940000
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x6dff66c5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.21
|
21.93
|
0.4200
|
|
Tx
|
1632228646000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$11.42
|
30.32
|
0.3766
|
|
Tx
|
1631549096000
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x65b68ebd
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
56.02
|
0.8926
|
|
Tx
|
1630875249000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
170.83
|
0.5854
|
|
Tx
|
1630736716000
|
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x0dcfc0d1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
54.78
|
0.9127
|
|
Tx
|
1630736477000
|
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xe9fc62ad
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
106.58
|
0.9382
|
|
Tx
|
1630736221000
|
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x556bff32
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
55.67
|
0.8981
|
|
Tx
|
1630734973000
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?
|
0xf485977f
|
0xa9b9e677
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
125.14
|
0.3995
|
|
Tx
|
1630733221000
|
Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship?
|
0xf485977f
|
0x13a1d126
|
Buy |
Magnus Carlsen |
|
$100.00
|
128.25
|
0.7797
|
|
Tx
|