1708716442000
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$14.00
|
200.00
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708716442000
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,300.00
|
1,397.85
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708716442000
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$77.77
|
1,111.00
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708716442000
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$6.08
|
86.85
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708715795000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.01
|
0.51
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708715795000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$107.50
|
250.00
|
0.4300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708715795000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$143.00
|
250.50
|
0.5708
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708705301000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0x30e44387
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$102.00
|
200.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708705281000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0x30e44387
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$510.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708704561000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$500.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708704561000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$500.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708704491000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$245.00
|
500.00
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708704491000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$255.00
|
500.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708684970000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0xe4ff1696
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$8.00
|
16.33
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708197573000
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$36.00
|
450.00
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708197573000
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$414.00
|
450.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708197252000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$108.00
|
200.00
|
0.5400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708197252000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$486.00
|
900.00
|
0.5400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708197252000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$92.00
|
200.00
|
0.4600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708197252000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$540.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708197252000
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,058.00
|
2,300.00
|
0.4600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707583591000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$24.00
|
300.00
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707583591000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$59.98
|
749.69
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707583591000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.98
|
49.69
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707583591000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$32.00
|
400.00
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707439684000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xb532895e
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$400.00
|
481.93
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707439684000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$400.00
|
481.93
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706732010000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$45.85
|
241.34
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706732010000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$823.77
|
1,017.00
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706732010000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x1e83fbe8
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$628.28
|
775.66
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706465253000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$187.50
|
750.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706131662000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x0c0e270c
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$460.00
|
500.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706131662000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$460.00
|
500.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706128058000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x0c0e270c
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,012.00
|
1,100.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706128058000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,012.00
|
1,100.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706113924000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$130.30
|
289.55
|
0.4500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706113924000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$139.70
|
303.70
|
0.4600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706113924000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$92.00
|
200.00
|
0.4600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706113924000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x6727da70
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$105.31
|
224.06
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706113924000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$550.00
|
1,017.31
|
0.5406
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706057906000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$820.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706057906000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$820.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706043402000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
|
0xef94954d
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.25
|
15.00
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705431026000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xee4b315a
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$19.25
|
25.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705431026000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xee4b315a
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$38.50
|
50.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704732150000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$415.00
|
477.01
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704732150000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$232.30
|
267.01
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704732150000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x45580fea
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$182.70
|
210.00
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704529303000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x16eb12c4
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.27
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704485158000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xadc6eeca
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$415.08
|
601.56
|
0.6900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704410958000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$297.21
|
1,292.21
|
0.2300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704410958000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$995.00
|
1,292.21
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704306738000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x09d74d65
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.46
|
48.56
|
0.0300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704306738000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x09d74d65
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.08
|
53.98
|
0.0200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704306738000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$100.00
|
102.54
|
0.9753
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703931076000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xa6127373
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.45
|
0.6900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703800942000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xb1a093ba
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$100.00
|
144.93
|
0.6900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703797822000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xb1a093ba
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.42
|
2.06
|
0.6900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701155759000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$73.00
|
101.39
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701155759000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x49b60d2c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$28.39
|
101.39
|
0.2800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701155737000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$71.00
|
100.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701155737000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xb532895e
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$71.00
|
100.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700874735000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x49b60d2c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$34.48
|
104.48
|
0.3300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700874735000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$70.00
|
104.48
|
0.6700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700874695000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$71.40
|
140.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700874695000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$71.40
|
140.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700874625000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$33.00
|
49.25
|
0.6700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700874625000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x49b60d2c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$16.25
|
49.25
|
0.3300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700869247000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$500.00
|
740.10
|
0.6756
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700869247000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x49b60d2c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$36.00
|
100.00
|
0.3600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700869247000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x71fb1b46
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$57.60
|
221.53
|
0.2600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700869247000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x84fee50c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$6.50
|
18.57
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700869247000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xc0eea700
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$140.00
|
400.00
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691604882000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x9d8a5a60
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$37.43
|
93.58
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691604882000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xe834d058
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$64.92
|
106.42
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691604882000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$121.06
|
200.00
|
0.6053
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691602374000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$305.00
|
500.00
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1691602374000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xe834d058
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$305.00
|
500.00
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690909730000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x9d8a5a60
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$52.50
|
150.00
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1690909730000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$97.50
|
150.00
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687525852000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x84f9909e
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$26.54
|
36.36
|
0.7300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687525852000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$9.82
|
36.36
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687451703000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$8.00
|
36.36
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687451703000
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x45cc7857
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$28.36
|
36.36
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687413889000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x39bbb209
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$56.00
|
100.00
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687308095000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xd912a5c0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
6.55
|
0.7639
|
|
Tx
|
1687308015000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xd912a5c0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
6.99
|
0.7148
|
|
Tx
|
1687307357000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xd912a5c0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
7.66
|
0.6530
|
|
Tx
|
1687297730000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xd912a5c0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$4.00
|
6.84
|
0.5845
|
|
Tx
|
1687297624000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$904.05
|
1,614.38
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687297624000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$280.00
|
500.00
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687297624000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xa92c0375
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$15.95
|
27.50
|
0.5800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687297624000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,200.00
|
2,141.88
|
0.5603
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687277403000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$200.00
|
357.14
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687277403000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$200.00
|
357.14
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687057585000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xacdabd9f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$80.00
|
102.56
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687057585000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0xc6fdca82
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$7.01
|
8.98
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687057585000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$72.99
|
93.58
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687057515000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$15.94
|
28.47
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1687057515000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xacdabd9f
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$15.81
|
28.74
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|