Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 01 2020
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 20 2020
|
β
|
5.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.02
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 26 2020
|
β
|
3.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.09
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 01 2020
|
β
|
3.47
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
3.50
|
Trades
|
What will the average sale price of a PS5 be on StockX on Christmas Day? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.10 |
0.90 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 26 2020
|
β
|
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 01 2021
|
β
|
62.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
62.63
|
Trades
|
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 01 2021
|
β
|
41.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.97
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 01 2021
|
β
|
11.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.19
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
β
|
-0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.06
|
Trades
|
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
β
|
6.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.31
|
Trades
|
Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
β
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
β
|
3.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.80
|
Trades
|
How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
β
|
1.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.49
|
Trades
|
Will Airbnb begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
β
|
4.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.26
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 20 2021
|
β
|
-4.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.15
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 23 2021
|
β
|
15.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.32
|
Trades
|
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 01 2021
|
β
|
-29.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.67
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 01 2021
|
β
|
16.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.64
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the senate? |
Republican |
Democratic |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 01 2021
|
β
|
-0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.23
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Bidenβs inauguration ceremony in person? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 01 2021
|
β
|
-1.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.98
|
Trades
|
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 03 2021
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 16 2021
|
β
|
-5.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.21
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 02 2021
|
β
|
4.09
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
4.14
|
Trades
|
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 10 2021
|
β
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 01 2021
|
β
|
2.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.06
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 10 2021
|
β
|
20.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.07
|
Trades
|
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 20 2021
|
β
|
4.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.42
|
Trades
|
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $33 on July 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 29 2021
|
β
|
14.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.44
|
Trades
|
Will a 2nd monkeypox case be reported in the US by August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 01 2021
|
β
|
2.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.83
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 01 2021
|
β
|
20.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.01
|
Trades
|
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 01 2021
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 08 2021
|
β
|
20.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.20
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 16 2021
|
β
|
2.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.95
|
Trades
|
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 02 2021
|
β
|
19.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.15
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 15 2021
|
β
|
4.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.03
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 28 2021
|
β
|
17.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.75
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 30 2021
|
β
|
1.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.01
|
Trades
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
96.79
|
0.00% |
|
0.6931
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
-67.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-67.08
|
Trades
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 05 2021
|
β
|
-15.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.36
|
Trades
|
Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 15 2021
|
β
|
16.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.90
|
Trades
|
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 15 2021
|
β
|
3.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.86
|
Trades
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
97.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.5481
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 22 2021
|
β
|
-53.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.36
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
5.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.63
|
Trades
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
320.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.5469
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-175.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-175.11
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
58.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.40
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) |
Dems/Ossoff |
Reps/Perdue |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
2.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.35
|
Trades
|
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
0.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.18
|
Trades
|
Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
0.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.89
|
Trades
|
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
11.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.09
|
Trades
|
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
7.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.22
|
Trades
|
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
16.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.41
|
Trades
|
What will Airbnb's market cap be at close on its 1st day publicly trading? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
6.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.76
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.41 |
0.59 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-2.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.31
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
63.02
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
63.10
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
63.02
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
63.10
|
|