Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? Yes No 0.00 4,273.97 0.00% 0.8936 0.02 0.98 0.00 4,187.24 Fri Jun 30 2023 -3,819.15 0.00 0.00 368.09 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.31 0.00 0.00% 0.01 0.99 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 87.19 0.00 0.00 87.19 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? Yes No 0.00 81.50 0.00% 0.9200 0.01 0.99 0.00 80.66 Tue Jun 27 2023 -74.98 0.00 0.00 5.68 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.05 0.95 52.85 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -50.00 0.00 0.00 2.85 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.09 0.91 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 1.41 0.00 0.00 1.41 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.25 0.75 125.02 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -125.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.00 10.42 0.00% 0.4800 0.54 0.46 0.00 4.80 Sun Dec 31 2023 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -8.51 0.96 0.00 -7.55 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 1,645.57 0.00 0.00% 0.7999 0.79 0.21 1,306.60 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1,316.28 0.00 0.00 -9.69 Trades
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? Yes No 525.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1790 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 -94.00 0.00 0.00 -94.00 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? Yes No 0.00 390.00 0.00% 0.6715 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 -261.90 0.00 0.00 -261.90 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? Yes No 0.00 831.67 0.00% 0.7180 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -597.11 0.00 0.00 -597.11 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 3,513.16 0.00 0.00% 0.2400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -843.16 0.00 0.00 -843.16 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 42,468.79 0.00% 0.4587 0.63 0.37 0.00 15,571.36 Tue Sep 10 2024 -19,481.91 0.00 0.00 -3,910.55 Trades
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 23,209.31 0.00 0.00 23,209.31 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 19,999.00 0.00 0.00 19,999.00 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œTrump” during his October 21st town hall? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 21 2021 βœ… 17,901.00 0.00 0.00 17,901.00 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 βœ… 17,101.97 0.00 0.00 17,101.97 Trades
Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 11,009.67 0.00 0.00 11,009.67 Trades
Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 23 2021 βœ… 11,003.96 0.00 0.00 11,003.96 Trades
Will 30 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 10th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 10 2021 βœ… 10,778.80 0.00 0.00 10,778.80 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 10,729.46 0.00 0.00 10,729.46 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 10,478.28 0.00 0.00 10,478.28 Trades
Sui Airdrop by May 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 βœ… 10,347.05 0.00 0.00 10,347.05 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 10,000.00 0.00 0.00 10,000.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win the 76ers v. Knicks game on October 26th? 76ers Knicks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 26 2021 βœ… 10,000.00 0.00 0.00 10,000.00 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 St. Louis Rapid and Blitz Chess Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 16 2021 βœ… 9,503.46 0.00 0.00 9,503.46 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 310K for the week ending on September 11? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 16 2021 βœ… 8,859.43 0.00 0.00 8,859.43 Trades
Will more than 2.05 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 22nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 23 2021 βœ… 8,232.47 0.00 0.00 8,232.47 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 11 2021 βœ… 8,135.24 0.00 0.00 8,135.24 Trades
Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.67% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 7,385.98 0.00 0.00 7,385.98 Trades
Will the Knicks or Magic win their October 24th matchup? Knicks Magic 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 24 2021 βœ… 7,096.54 0.00 0.00 7,096.54 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 12 2021 βœ… 6,180.83 0.00 0.00 6,180.83 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… 5,785.53 0.00 0.00 5,785.53 Trades
Will NATO expand by June 30? Yes No 0.00 39.46 99.50% -135.9244 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… 5,364.24 0.00 0.07 5,364.31 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 5,349.46 0.00 0.00 5,349.46 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… 4,990.07 0.00 0.00 4,990.08 Trades
Will Ed Ruscha's β€œRipe” (Lot 37C) sell for more than $22m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 βœ… 4,948.76 0.00 0.00 4,948.76 Trades
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 3,312.09 0.34 0.00 3,312.43 Trades
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 05 2023 βœ… 3,216.51 0.00 0.00 3,216.51 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 5,454.63 0.00 0.00% 0.4900 1.00 0.00 5,454.63 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -2,672.99 0.00 0.00 2,781.65 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 348K for the week ending on August 21? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 26 2021 βœ… 2,773.26 0.00 0.00 2,773.26 Trades
Will Spotify report at least 164m total premium subscribers in Q2 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2,500.06 0.00 0.00 2,500.06 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 373K for the week ending on July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 11.11% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 βœ… 2,496.17 0.00 0.00 2,496.17 Trades
Will Claude Monet's β€œLe bassin d'Argenteuil” (Lot 15C) sell for more than $25m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 βœ… 2,000.00 0.00 0.00 2,000.00 Trades
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.93 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 βœ… 1,932.15 0.00 0.00 1,932.15 Trades
Will 'Creed III' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.01 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 06 2023 βœ… 1,883.26 0.00 0.00 1,883.26 Trades
Will 227.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 1,766.66 1.97 0.00 1,768.62 Trades
Will Richard Rapport win the 2021 Norway Chess tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 18 2021 βœ… 1,752.80 0.00 0.00 1,752.80 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 1.54 0.00 0.00% -993.6553 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… 1,528.01 0.10 0.00 1,528.10 Trades
Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 1,453.00 0.00 0.00 1,453.00 Trades
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 1,381.50 0.00 0.00 1,381.50 Trades
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.06% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 1,378.73 0.00 0.00 1,378.73 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 1,138.28 0.00 0.00 1,138.28 Trades
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 1,121.98 0.00 0.00 1,121.98 Trades
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.45% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 1,056.23 0.00 0.00 1,056.23 Trades
Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 10 2021 βœ… 1,018.05 0.00 0.00 1,018.05 Trades
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from September to October 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 10 2021 βœ… 1,004.26 0.00 0.00 1,004.26 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 βœ… 1,004.11 0.00 0.00 1,004.11 Trades
Will Gerhard Richter's β€œAbstraktes Bild” (Lot 27C) sell for more than $35m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 βœ… 1,000.00 0.00 0.00 1,000.00 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 385K for the week ending on August 7? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 12 2021 βœ… 984.81 0.00 0.00 984.81 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other		 0.00
0.00
0.56 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		βœ… 971.74 0.00 0.00 971.74 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 βœ… 961.35 0.00 0.00 961.35 Trades
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 897.24 0.00 0.00 897.24 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 2,320.41 0.00% 0.6252 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,320.41 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -1,450.81 0.00 0.00 869.60 Trades
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 05 2021 βœ… 853.30 0.09 0.00 853.39 Trades
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? Yes No 993.19 0.00 0.00% -0.8421 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 836.33 0.00 0.00 836.33 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416 ppm on Christmas Eve? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 βœ… 824.06 0.00 0.00 824.06 Trades
Will there be more than 215 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 705.88 0.00 6.25% -0.1468 1.00 0.00 705.88 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… 103.62 0.00 0.00 809.50 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 βœ… 771.45 0.06 0.00 771.51 Trades
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… 647.50 0.00 0.00 647.50 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… 643.95 0.00 0.00 643.95 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… 642.62 0.00 0.00 642.62 Trades
World Chess Championship 2021: Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win a game? Yes No 0.00 5,539.01 0.00% 0.8849 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,539.01 Tue Dec 14 2021 βœ… -4,901.36 0.00 0.00 637.65 Trades
Will Russian Chess Player Sergey Karjakin be removed or withdraw from the FIDE 2022 Candidates Tournament? Yes No 2,643.25 0.00 0.00% 0.8031 1.00 0.00 2,643.25 0.00 Thu Jul 07 2022 βœ… -2,122.90 0.00 0.00 520.35 Trades
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 βœ… 485.76 0.00 0.00 485.76 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 βœ… 480.08 0.00 0.00 480.08 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… 449.66 0.00 0.00 449.66 Trades
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.42 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 βœ… 443.63 0.00 0.00 443.63 Trades
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 21 2023 βœ… 424.79 0.00 0.00 424.79 Trades
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 422.67 0.00 0.00 422.67 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… 422.53 0.00 0.00 422.53 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 βœ… 421.31 0.00 0.00 421.31 Trades
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… 418.38 0.00 0.00 418.38 Trades
Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 βœ… 358.08 0.00 0.00 358.08 Trades
Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 356.06 0.00 0.00 356.06 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 332.76 0.00 0.00 332.76 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 5.60 0.00 100.00% -55.4002 1.00 0.00 5.60 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… 310.08 0.00 0.00 315.67 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 1.45 0.00% -212.7948 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 307.80 0.02 0.00 307.82 Trades
Will the Berlin Defense be played during the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 304.90 0.00 0.00 304.90 Trades
Will 18 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 4th? Yes No 0.00 12,178.08 0.00% -0.0247 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 04 2021 βœ… 300.68 0.00 0.00 300.68 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 417 ppm on January 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 βœ… 298.13 0.00 0.00 298.13 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.55 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.55 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 βœ… 297.07 0.00 0.00 297.62 Trades
Will there be more than 217 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 297.68 6.67% 0.0481 0.00 1.00 0.00 297.68 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -14.32 0.00 0.00 283.36 Trades
Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.26% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 12 2021 βœ… 283.11 0.00 0.00 283.11 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.10 on May 17, 2022? Yes No 0.00 493.07 0.00% 0.4360 0.00 1.00 0.00 493.07 Tue May 17 2022 βœ… -215.00 0.00 0.00 278.07 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $16 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 βœ… 276.81 0.00 0.00 276.81 Trades
What will the margin be in Newsom’s recall election? Under 10%
10% to 15%
Over 15%		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		βœ… 249.00 0.00 0.00 249.00 Trades
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any regular game in the 2022 Tata Steel Masters? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 30 2022 βœ… 242.60 0.00 0.00 242.60 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… 221.00 0.00 0.00 221.00 Trades
2023 Australian Open Final: Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas Djokovic Tsitsipas 661.41 0.00 0.00% 0.6714 1.00 0.00 661.41 0.00 Sun Jan 29 2023 βœ… -444.07 0.00 0.00 217.34 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? Yes No 14.90 0.00 0.05% -14.5606 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 13 2021 βœ… 217.00 0.00 0.00 217.00 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.03 16.67% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 208.52 0.00 0.00 208.52 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 419 ppm on June 16, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 16 2021 βœ… 208.31 0.03 0.00 208.34 Trades
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 14 2022 βœ… 208.21 0.00 0.00 208.21 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 202.88 0.00 0.00 202.88 Trades
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 βœ… 197.79 0.00 0.00 197.79 Trades
Will β€˜Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 402.74 0.00 0.00% 0.5507 1.00 0.00 402.74 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 βœ… -221.79 0.00 0.00 180.94 Trades
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 βœ… 178.42 0.00 0.00 178.42 Trades
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.6600 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… -330.00 0.00 0.00 170.00 Trades
Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 165.55 0.00 0.00 165.55 Trades
Will the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So go to play-offs? Yes No 0.00 0.06 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 161.67 0.00 0.00 161.67 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 βœ… 152.95 0.00 0.00 152.95 Trades
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? Less than 8M
8M to less than 10M
10M to less than 15M
15M to less than 20M
20M or more		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Sat May 01 2021 βœ… 150.77 0.00 0.00 150.77 Trades
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 149.30 0.00 0.00 149.30 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… 143.04 0.03 0.00 143.08 Trades
Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? Bitcoin Tesla 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… 138.07 0.00 0.00 138.07 Trades
Will 'Shazam! Fury of the Gods' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 19 2023 βœ… 130.00 0.00 0.00 130.00 Trades
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 126.41 0.21 0.00 126.62 Trades
Will Surojit Chatterjee or Tekin Salimi win in their CryptoChamps Semifinals chess match? Chatterjee Salimi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 13 2021 βœ… 124.88 0.00 0.00 124.88 Trades
Will 25 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 50% of residents by July 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 05 2021 βœ… 122.98 0.00 0.00 122.98 Trades
Will Biden mention "Russia/Putin" 10 or more times during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 2,290.04 0.00% 0.9466 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,290.04 Thu Feb 02 2023 βœ… -2,167.68 0.00 0.00 122.36 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 16 2021 βœ… 120.64 0.00 0.00 120.64 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.40 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.40 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 βœ… 111.64 0.20 0.00 112.24 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 112.20 0.00 0.00 112.20 Trades
Will 'Fast X' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 3,443.28 100.00% 0.9684 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,443.28 Sun May 21 2023 βœ… -3,334.50 0.00 0.00 108.78 Trades
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by December 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 βœ… 106.43 0.00 0.00 106.43 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from February to March 2023? Yes No 0.00 184.66 100.00% 0.4446 0.00 1.00 0.00 184.66 Tue Apr 11 2023 βœ… -82.10 0.00 0.00 102.56 Trades
Will 231 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 βœ… 99.85 0.00 0.00 99.85 Trades
Will Kippenberger's "Martin, Into the Corner, You Should Be Ashamed of Yourself" sell for more than 15 million on Christie's? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 βœ… 94.65 0.00 0.00 94.65 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 βœ… 94.49 0.00 0.00 94.49 Trades
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi or Wesley So win their Semifinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? Nepomniachtchi So 0.76 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 29 2021 βœ… 91.75 0.00 0.00 91.76 Trades
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? 0
1
2		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.33
0.33
0.33 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		βœ… 91.32 0.00 0.00 91.32 Trades
Will there be more than 213 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… 90.76 0.00 0.00 90.76 Trades
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.85% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 βœ… 87.76 0.00 0.00 87.76 Trades
Will β€˜Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $200 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 124.41 0.00% 0.3296 0.00 1.00 0.00 124.41 Mon May 09 2022 βœ… -41.00 0.00 0.00 83.41 Trades
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4910 existing exoplanets by February 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 11 2022 βœ… 82.77 0.00 0.00 82.77 Trades
Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? Yes No 0.00 722,298.44 88.24% -0.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 77.82 0.00 0.00 77.82 Trades
Will Daniil Medvedev win the Australian Open 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 31 2022 βœ… 77.02 0.14 0.00 77.16 Trades
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2.03 0.00% -37.4494 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… 75.88 0.00 0.00 75.88 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 183.54 0.00 0.00% 0.5869 1.00 0.00 183.54 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -107.72 0.00 0.00 75.81 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Meltwater Champions Chess Tour Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 04 2021 βœ… 75.04 0.01 0.00 75.05 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.88% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… 73.70 0.00 0.00 73.70 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416.2 ppm on August 3, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 04 2021 βœ… 73.19 0.00 0.00 73.19 Trades
Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Other		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Sun Apr 25 2021 βœ… 72.90 0.00 0.00 72.90 Trades
Will Joan Mitchell's "Untitled" sell for more than $15 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… 70.85 0.00 0.00 70.85 Trades
Who will win UFC 261: Hall vs. Weidman? Hall Weidman 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 24 2021 βœ… 70.31 0.00 0.00 70.31 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.21 3.45% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 βœ… 69.65 0.00 0.00 69.65 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 3,334.74 0.00 0.00% 0.9803 1.00 0.00 3,334.74 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… -3,269.13 0.00 0.00 65.61 Trades
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.33% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 30 2021 βœ… 65.15 0.19 0.00 65.34 Trades
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? Yes No 2,559.01 0.00 0.00% 0.9750 1.00 0.00 2,559.01 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -2,494.93 0.00 0.00 64.08 Trades
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 08 2021 βœ… 63.40 0.00 0.00 63.40 Trades
Will Alexandra Botez/David Hoffman or Leighton Cusack/Cyrus Younessi win their Top Signal 2v2 chess match? Botez Hoffman Cusack Younessi 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 12 2021 βœ… 59.39 0.00 0.00 59.39 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? Yes No 2.52 0.00 0.00% -22.9225 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 βœ… 57.66 0.00 0.00 57.66 Trades
Will 'Creed III' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 1,638.99 0.00 100.00% 0.9673 1.00 0.00 1,638.99 0.00 Mon Mar 06 2023 βœ… -1,585.34 0.00 0.00 53.65 Trades
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? Cisneros Cuellar 0.00 208.19 0.00% 0.7445 0.00 1.00 0.00 208.19 Tue May 24 2022 βœ… -155.00 0.00 0.00 53.19 Trades
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… 51.99 0.00 0.00 51.99 Trades
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 17 2021 βœ… 51.19 0.00 0.00 51.19 Trades
Will there be more than 211 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… 50.88 0.00 0.00 50.88 Trades
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 17 2021 βœ… 49.80 0.03 0.00 49.83 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on January 28, 2022 be higher than on February 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 11 2022 βœ… 46.98 0.00 0.00 46.98 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8? Yes No 93.63 0.00 0.00% 0.5340 1.00 0.00 93.63 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 43.63 Trades
French Open: Who will win Alcaraz vs. Djokovic? Alcaraz Djokovic 4,964.10 0.00 100.00% -0.0086 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 09 2023 βœ… 42.90 0.00 0.00 42.90 Trades
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? McGregor Poirier 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 βœ… 42.76 0.00 0.00 42.76 Trades
Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 07 2021 βœ… 42.65 0.00 0.00 42.66 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… 40.87 0.00 0.00 40.87 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.47 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.47 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 40.02 0.00 0.00 40.49 Trades
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully in 2021? Yes No 0.00 15.98 0.00% -2.4762 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 39.57 0.01 0.00 39.58 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? Yes No 0.23 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 26 2022 βœ… 38.87 0.00 0.00 38.87 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? Yes No 0.00 135.79 0.00% 0.7194 0.00 1.00 0.00 135.79 Mon May 29 2023 βœ… -97.69 0.00 0.00 38.11 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 βœ… 37.05 0.49 0.00 37.54 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 Speed Chess Championship Main Event? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 19 2021 βœ… 37.17 0.00 0.00 37.17 Trades
Will Taiwan report 20,000 or more daily COVID-19 cases by May 10? Yes No 435.19 0.00 0.00% 0.9191 1.00 0.00 435.19 0.00 Tue May 10 2022 βœ… -400.00 0.00 0.00 35.19 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 18 be higher than on February 25? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 βœ… 34.58 0.00 0.00 34.58 Trades
Will Donda 2 be available for download on stemplayer.com on 2/22/22? Yes No 0.17 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 βœ… 33.93 0.04 0.00 33.97 Trades
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 386.14 0.00 0.00% 0.9145 1.00 0.00 386.14 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… -353.11 0.00 0.00 33.03 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 βœ… 32.56 0.00 0.00 32.56 Trades
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 1,450.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9786 1.00 0.00 1,450.00 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 βœ… -1,418.94 0.00 0.00 31.06 Trades
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 βœ… 29.87 0.00 0.00 29.87 Trades
2022 Wimbledon Championships: Will Novak Djokovic win Men's Singles? Yes No 2.78 0.00 0.00% -9.4151 1.00 0.00 2.78 0.00 Sun Jul 10 2022 βœ… 26.20 0.00 0.00 28.98 Trades
Will NASA conduct a sustained flight of Ingenuity on Mars by April 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 12 2021 βœ… 28.65 0.00 0.00 28.65 Trades
Will 19 states have high or substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 βœ… 25.96 0.00 0.00 25.96 Trades
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 20 2021 βœ… 25.59 0.00 0.00 25.59 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… 25.14 0.00 0.00 25.14 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Keiko Fujimori Pedro Castillo 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 24.93 0.01 0.00 24.94 Trades
Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 199.79 0.00 0.00% 0.8759 1.00 0.00 199.79 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 βœ… -175.00 0.00 0.00 24.79 Trades
Will Cy Twombly’s β€œUntitled (Rome)” sell for more than $45 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 3.88 0.00% -4.7900 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.88 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… 18.59 0.00 0.00 22.48 Trades
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 408.18 0.00 0.00% 0.9482 1.00 0.00 408.18 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 βœ… -387.02 0.00 0.00 21.16 Trades
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 20.74 0.00 0.00 20.74 Trades
Will Sequoia Capital's Youtube memo sell for more than 100 ETH? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 βœ… 20.62 0.00 0.00 20.62 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 19.67 0.00 0.00 19.67 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 249.32 0.00% 0.9225 0.00 1.00 0.00 249.32 Wed Jun 15 2022 βœ… -230.00 0.00 0.00 19.32 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 20 2021 βœ… 18.92 0.00 0.00 18.92 Trades
Will Donald Trump mention the word β€œrigged” on his communications platform by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.07 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 18.86 0.00 0.00 18.86 Trades
Will Biden mention "AI" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 5,049.69 0.00% 0.9964 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,049.69 Thu Feb 02 2023 βœ… -5,031.76 0.00 0.00 17.93 Trades
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 28 2021 βœ… 17.85 0.00 0.00 17.85 Trades
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $36 on April 27, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 27 2021 βœ… 15.80 0.00 0.00 15.80 Trades
Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 14.77 0.00 0.00 14.77 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 1,000,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 βœ… 13.51 0.00 0.00 13.51 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 07 2021 βœ… 13.37 0.00 0.00 13.37 Trades
Will β€˜Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $180 million or less on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 8.14 0.00 0.00% -1.6250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 βœ… 13.23 0.00 0.00 13.23 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.08 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 03 2023 βœ… 12.96 0.00 0.00 12.96 Trades
FIDE World Chess Grand Prix 2022 Leg #2: Will Alexander Grischuk win Pool A? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 βœ… 12.70 0.00 0.00 12.70 Trades
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 FIDE World Rapid Championship? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 28 2021 βœ… 12.12 0.00 0.00 12.12 Trades
Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 βœ… 11.43 0.00 0.00 11.43 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.01 0.00% -11.2023 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 18 2022 βœ… 11.36 0.00 0.00 11.36 Trades
Will Jeff Koons' β€œPancakes” sell for more than $1.5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… 11.31 0.00 0.00 11.31 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 11.30 0.00 0.00 11.30 Trades
What will the Margin of Victory be in the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.38 0.62 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 18 2021 βœ… 11.16 0.00 0.00 11.16 Trades
Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 10.79 0.00 0.00 10.79 Trades
NHL: Will the Knights beat the Penguins by more than 1.5 goals in their January 17 matchup? Yes No 0.19 0.00 14.29% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 17 2022 βœ… 10.75 0.00 0.00 10.75 Trades
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 15 2021 βœ… 10.58 0.00 0.00 10.58 Trades
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 808.53 0.00% 0.9871 0.00 1.00 0.00 808.53 Sun Mar 12 2023 βœ… -798.13 0.00 0.00 10.40 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… 10.39 0.00 0.00 10.39 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.01 on May 17, 2022? Yes No 0.00 10.71 0.00% -0.9538 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 βœ… 10.21 0.00 0.00 10.21 Trades
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.22 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 βœ… 10.13 0.00 0.00 10.13 Trades
What will the β€œOfficial Edition” of the United States Constitution sell for at Sotheby’s? Less than 20m
20-30m
More than 30m		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.01% 0.00
0.00
1.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… 9.47 0.59 0.00 10.06 Trades
Will Trump say "rape" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 βœ… -990.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will Trump say "January 6" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 βœ… 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen or Teimour Radjabov win their Semifinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? Carlsen Radjabov 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 29 2021 βœ… 8.85 0.00 0.00 8.85 Trades
2022 NBA Draft: Will Jabari Smith Jr. be the #1 Pick? Yes No 0.24 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 23 2022 βœ… 8.40 0.00 0.00 8.40 Trades
Will Truth Social be the #1 Free Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on May 10? Yes No 0.00 206.95 0.00% 0.9602 0.00 1.00 0.00 206.95 Tue May 10 2022 βœ… -198.70 0.00 0.00 8.24 Trades
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 1.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -7.50 0.00 0.00 7.50 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 7.12 0.00 0.00 7.12 Trades
Who will get more votes in the 2021 California recall election: Paffrath, Faulconer, or Cox? Paffrath
Faulconer
Cox		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		βœ… 6.74 0.00 0.00 6.74 Trades
Will Cate Blanchett win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 βœ… 6.33 0.00 0.00 6.33 Trades
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8830 1.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… -44.15 0.00 0.00 5.85 Trades
Will Claude Monet’s β€œWaterloo Bridge” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… 5.65 0.00 0.00 5.65 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $12 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 600.65 0.00 0.00% 0.9907 1.00 0.00 600.65 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 βœ… -595.05 0.00 0.00 5.60 Trades
Will 'Minions: The Rise of Gru' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 180.28 0.00 0.00% 0.9707 1.00 0.00 180.28 0.00 Tue Jul 05 2022 βœ… -175.00 0.00 0.00 5.28 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 9, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… 5.18 0.00 0.00 5.18 Trades
Will Trump mention "Russia/Putin" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 0.01 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 βœ… 5.03 0.00 0.00 5.03 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 5.02 0.00 0.00 5.02 Trades
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $70 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 βœ… -495.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… 4.81 0.00 0.00 4.82 Trades
Will MrBeast's next Youtube video get over 50M views in its firstΒ week? Yes No 7.53 0.00 0.00% -0.6230 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… 4.69 0.00 0.00 4.69 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.28 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 4.63 0.00 0.00 4.63 Trades
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,250.00 0.00% 0.9963 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,250.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -1,245.38 0.00 0.00 4.62 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.19 0.00% -0.5415 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… 4.43 0.02 0.00 4.45 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œTrump” during his August 20 speech? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 20 2021 βœ… 3.86 0.00 0.00 3.86 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 3.41 0.00 0.00 3.41 Trades
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… 3.14 0.00 0.00 3.14 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 120 ETH on October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 βœ… 2.76 0.00 0.00 2.76 Trades
Will Biden mention Fentanyl 5 or more times in the 2023 State of the Union? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 07 2023 βœ… 2.68 0.00 0.00 2.68 Trades
Will Lost Ark be #1 for peak players on Steam on February 25? Yes No 9.77 0.00 0.00% -0.2697 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 βœ… 2.64 0.00 0.00 2.64 Trades
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 βœ… 2.59 0.00 0.00 2.59 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 2.45 0.00 0.00 2.45 Trades
Will 'Shazam! Fury of the Gods' gross more than $25 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 27.50 0.00 0.00% 0.9200 1.00 0.00 27.50 0.00 Sun Mar 19 2023 βœ… -25.30 0.00 0.00 2.20 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9978 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -997.80 0.00 0.00 2.20 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? Yes No 0.70 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 2.20 0.00 0.00 2.20 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 23.66 0.00 0.00% -0.0884 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 2.09 0.00 0.00 2.09 Trades
Will 'Envolver' by Anitta be the #1 song on the Spotify Global Charts by April 14, 2022? Yes No 7.08 0.00 0.00% 0.7066 1.00 0.00 7.08 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 2.08 Trades
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 βœ… 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 βœ… 1.88 0.00 0.00 1.88 Trades
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.31 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 1.86 0.00 0.00 1.86 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen or Hikaru Nakamura win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? Carlsen Nakamura 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 βœ… 1.59 0.00 0.00 1.59 Trades
Will the floor price of Ryder Ripps BAYC (RR/BAYC) be above 1 ETH on June 30? Yes No 20.51 0.00 0.00% 0.4433 0.50 0.50 10.25 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -9.09 0.00 0.00 1.16 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… 1.08 0.00 0.00 1.08 Trades
Will Bing's market share be >4% in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… 1.01 0.00 0.00 1.01 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will the national anthem for Super Bowl LVII be longer than 126 seconds? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 βœ… -99.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 βœ… 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? Jeff Bezos
Elon Musk
Other		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		Sat Feb 27 2021 βœ… 0.82 0.00 0.00 0.82 Trades
Will Beeple's β€œOcean Front” sell for more than $25 million at auction? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 22 2021 βœ… 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.78 Trades
Will President Biden mention Russia in his press conference on January 19? Yes No 0.00 15.63 0.00% -0.0421 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 βœ… 0.66 0.00 0.00 0.66 Trades
Chess: Will the Van't Kruijs Opening (1. e3) be played at 2021 FIDE World Blitz Championship Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 30 2021 βœ… 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.65 Trades
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? Yes No 0.00 1.64 0.00% 0.6100 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.64 Fri Apr 07 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.64 Trades
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 2,749.99 0.00% 0.9998 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,749.99 Thu Feb 02 2023 βœ… -2,749.48 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 170 Gwei on April 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 19 2021 βœ… 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.48 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 1.50 0.00% -0.2599 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.39 Trades
Will England win the Euro 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 βœ… 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.31 Trades
Will the Dolphins or the Bills win their NFL week 2 matchup? Bills Dolphins 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 19 2021 βœ… 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.29 Trades
Will 229.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 βœ… 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.26 Trades
Will Basquiat's "Untitled (Soap)" sell for more than 15 million? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 βœ… 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.23 Trades
Who will win UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal? Usman Masvidal 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 24 2021 βœ… 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.19 Trades
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.19 Trades
Will Andy Warhol’s β€œMarilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.17 Trades
Will Robert Colescott’s β€œGeorge Washington Carver Crossing the Delaware” sell for more than $12 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Michelle Yeoh win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? Yes No 99.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9991 1.00 0.00 99.00 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 βœ… -98.91 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 0.00 0.16 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.16 Fri Mar 25 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will Emily Ratajkowski’s NFT go for more than $2 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 14 2021 βœ… 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 02 2023 βœ… 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.02 Wed Apr 05 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Compound suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 19, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Formula One: Will Max Verstappen finish ahead of Lewis Hamilton in the Mexican Grand Prix? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Chiefs beat the Raiders by more than 2.5 points in their November 14th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 14 2021 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
MLB: Who will win New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 12, 7:20 PM ET? Mets Braves 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 12 2022 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
ETH above $1,850 on April 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 08 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 18 2023 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 400K for the week ending on July 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 10.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 419K for the week ending on July 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 29 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 375K for the week ending on August 14? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 19 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for July? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.54 0.46 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 24 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 07 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 360K for the week ending on July 17? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
(Early Resolved) Will President Biden declare a new National Emergency before September? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.01 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $30 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Basquiat's "In this Case" sell for more than 70 million? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 10 2021 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Rihanna nip slip? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0529 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 βœ… -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 βœ… -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.12 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? Yes No 196.11 0.00 0.00% 0.0006 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 14 2021 βœ… -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.12 Trades
Will Edward Hopper's β€œTwo Puritans” (Lot 39C) sell for more than $15m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 28,220.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 22 2021 βœ… -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 Trades
Will the 2023 FIDE WCC last 12 or more games? Yes No 0.00 7.98 0.00% 0.0376 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.30 Trades
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 14, 5PM ET? Yes No 0.70 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 14 2021 βœ… -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.40 Trades
Will Roy Lichtenstein’s β€œInterior: Perfect Pitcher” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.52 Trades
Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15? Yes No 102.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0056 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 15 2023 βœ… -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.57 Trades
Will Andy Warhol’s β€œTwo Marilyns” sell for more than $18 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.59 Trades
Will Biden say "Super Bowl" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 2,168.98 0.00% 1.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,168.98 Thu Feb 02 2023 βœ… -2,169.62 0.00 0.00 -0.63 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 02 2021 βœ… -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.64 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.73 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.67 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.79 Trades
Will the Bongcloud be played during the FTX Crypto Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.80 Trades
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2021 Sinquefield Cup? Yes No 745.76 0.00 8.33% 0.0011 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 28 2021 βœ… -0.81 0.00 0.00 -0.81 Trades
Will more than 40.5 points be scored in Giants v. Washington? Yes No 0.00 17.28 0.00% 0.0578 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 16 2021 βœ… -1.00 0.11 0.00 -0.89 Trades
Will President Biden mention "anti-vaxxers" in his press conference on January 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 βœ… -0.91 0.00 0.00 -0.91 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… -0.95 0.00 0.00 -0.95 Trades
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 28 2021 βœ… -0.98 0.00 0.00 -0.98 Trades
Will President Biden mention Manchin, Sinema or filibuster in his press conference on January 19 ? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Federico GutiΓ©rrez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 383.87 0.00 0.00% 0.0026 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 19.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0575 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -1.09 0.00 0.00 -1.09 Trades
Will Fabiano Caruana or Ian Nepomniachtchi win their Quarterfinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? Caruana Nepomniachtchi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 27 2021 βœ… -1.17 0.00 0.00 -1.17 Trades
Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 βœ… -1.63 0.00 0.00 -1.63 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… -1.68 0.00 0.00 -1.68 Trades
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? Yes No 195.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 βœ… -1.92 0.00 0.00 -1.92 Trades
2022 Chess Candidates Tournament: Will Liren or Nepomniachtchi finish higher? Liren Nepomniachtchi 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Jul 05 2022 βœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021? Yes No 10.31 0.00 0.00% 0.1939 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 βœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 βœ… -2.08 0.00 0.00 -2.08 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on April 14, 2021? Less than 30
30-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
More than 80		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -2.90 0.00 0.00 -2.90 Trades
Will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for more than $20 million in its Christie's auction? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 11 2021 βœ… -2.93 0.00 0.00 -2.93 Trades
Will Anish Giri or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? Giri Nepomniachtchi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 βœ… -2.94 0.00 0.00 -2.94 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 36.68 0.00 0.00% 0.0818 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 βœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 66.56 0.00% 0.0500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -3.33 0.00 0.00 -3.33 Trades
Will there be more than 120 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… -3.92 0.00 0.00 -3.92 Trades
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave or Wesley So win their Quarterfinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? Vachier-Lagrave So 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 27 2021 βœ… -4.12 0.00 0.00 -4.12 Trades
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -4.58 0.00 0.00 -4.58 Trades
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -5.16 0.00 0.00 -5.16 Trades
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? Yes No 0.00 11,434.03 0.00% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -5.36 0.00 0.00 -5.36 Trades
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get a 95% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… -5.40 0.00 0.00 -5.40 Trades
Will 'The Super Mario Bros. Movie' gross more than $150 million domestically on its 5-day opening? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.4733 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 09 2023 βœ… -7.10 0.00 0.00 -7.10 Trades
World Chess Championship 2021: Will Game 12 be played? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 11 2021 βœ… -8.12 0.00 0.00 -8.12 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 βœ… -8.41 0.00 0.00 -8.41 Trades
Will 'Fast X' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 βœ… -8.85 0.00 0.00 -8.85 Trades
Who will win UFC 261: Zhang vs. Namajunas? Zhang Namajunas 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 24 2021 βœ… -9.97 0.00 0.00 -9.97 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 17 2021 βœ… -9.99 0.00 0.00 -9.99 Trades
Will Texas reinstate a mask mandate by April 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 11 2021 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 05 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Chess: Will Ding Liren win the 2022 Candidates Tournament? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 05 2022 βœ… -10.05 0.00 0.00 -10.05 Trades
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… -10.42 0.00 0.00 -10.42 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 6? Bucks Suns 0.00 1,001.91 0.00% 0.0105 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 βœ… -10.49 0.00 0.00 -10.49 Trades
Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 βœ… -11.84 0.00 0.00 -11.84 Trades
Will Biden say "Folks" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 βœ… -13.97 0.00 0.00 -13.97 Trades
Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship? Magnus Carlsen Ian Nepomniachtchi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 16 2021 βœ… -15.03 0.00 0.00 -15.03 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 1,999.97 0.00% 1.0079 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.97 Thu Feb 02 2023 βœ… -2,015.71 0.00 0.00 -15.74 Trades
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? Adams
Garcia
Wiley
Yang		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… -17.77 0.00 0.00 -17.77 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura or Magnus Carlsen win their Quarterfinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? Nakamura Carlsen 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 27 2021 βœ… -18.81 0.00 0.00 -18.81 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 βœ… -24.27 0.00 0.00 -24.27 Trades
Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs Eagles Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 βœ… -25.07 0.00 0.00 -25.07 Trades
Will Benjamin Cowen or Matt Huang win in their CryptoChamps Semifinals chess match? Cowen Huang 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 13 2021 βœ… -25.74 0.00 0.00 -25.74 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… -26.14 0.00 0.00 -26.14 Trades
Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -27.77 0.00 0.00 -27.77 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -29.75 0.00 0.00 -29.75 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 809.65 0.00 0.00% 0.0409 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -33.09 0.00 0.00 -33.09 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 βœ… -37.25 0.00 0.00 -37.25 Trades
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 βœ… -44.85 0.00 0.00 -44.85 Trades
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 FIDE World Blitz Championship? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 30 2021 βœ… -48.77 0.00 0.00 -48.77 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? Yes No 72.53 0.00 0.00% 0.7943 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -57.61 0.00 0.00 -57.61 Trades
Will β€˜Elvis’ gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 27 2022 βœ… -57.65 0.00 0.00 -57.65 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $20 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 2,585.61 0.00 0.00% 1.0225 1.00 0.00 2,585.61 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 βœ… -2,643.91 0.00 0.00 -58.30 Trades
Will the 2023 FIDE WCC have O/U 12 draws? Over Under 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -63.00 0.00 0.00 -63.00 Trades
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -71.98 0.00 0.00 -71.98 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 15 2021 βœ… -72.91 0.00 0.00 -72.91 Trades
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday? Yes No 0.01 0.00 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Apr 05 2023 βœ… -77.10 0.00 0.00 -77.10 Trades
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? Yes No 0.00 3,004.00 0.00% 0.0259 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -77.70 0.00 0.00 -77.70 Trades
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… -79.21 0.00 0.00 -79.21 Trades
Will β€˜Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross between $180 million and $200 million on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 βœ… -79.74 0.00 0.00 -79.74 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… -80.00 0.00 0.00 -80.00 Trades
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 βœ… -87.09 0.00 0.00 -87.09 Trades
Will Surojit Chatterjee or Matt Huang win in their CryptoChamps Finals chess match? Chatterjee Huang 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 13 2021 βœ… -98.34 0.00 0.00 -98.34 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.1000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 03 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Fabiano Caruana win the United States Chess Championship? Yes No 11,258.33 0.00 0.00% 0.0097 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 18 2021 βœ… -109.22 0.00 0.00 -109.22 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.96 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -120.82 0.00 0.00 -120.82 Trades
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? Yes No 350.45 0.00 0.00% 0.3773 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -132.24 0.00 0.00 -132.24 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 βœ… -142.85 0.34 0.00 -142.51 Trades
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be tiebreaks? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 14 2021 βœ… -142.61 0.00 0.00 -142.61 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 βœ… -144.50 0.26 0.00 -144.24 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 500,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 βœ… -154.65 0.00 0.00 -154.65 Trades
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws? More Less 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 14 2021 βœ… -155.34 0.00 0.00 -155.34 Trades
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -158.49 0.00 0.00 -158.49 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -165.92 0.00 0.00 -165.92 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 0.78 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -180.72 0.00 0.00 -180.72 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -199.41 0.00 0.00 -199.41 Trades
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… -200.77 0.00 0.00 -200.77 Trades
2022 Norway Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any game? Yes No 140.24 0.00 0.00% 1.6920 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 11 2022 βœ… -237.28 0.00 0.00 -237.28 Trades
Will 400 million doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by March 25, 2021? Yes No 0.41 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.41 0.00 Thu Mar 25 2021 βœ… -240.01 0.04 0.00 -239.55 Trades
Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 βœ… -247.72 0.00 0.00 -247.72 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… -248.76 0.00 0.00 -248.76 Trades
Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 9,924.44 0.00 0.00% 0.0252 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 βœ… -249.77 0.00 0.00 -249.77 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.32 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.32 Thu Nov 11 2021 βœ… -257.10 0.04 0.00 -256.75 Trades
What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? Under 1%
1% to 2%
Over 2%		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		9.09% 1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		βœ… -261.87 0.00 0.00 -261.87 Trades
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $80 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 448.01 0.00 0.00% 0.5937 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 βœ… -266.00 0.00 0.00 -266.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from March to April 2023? Yes No 0.00 726.00 0.00% 0.4004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 βœ… -290.68 0.00 0.00 -290.68 Trades
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 502.11 0.00% 0.5975 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -300.00 0.00 0.00 -300.00 Trades
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? Yes No 0.01 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… -305.97 0.00 0.00 -305.97 Trades
Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 128.10 0.00 0.00% 2.4451 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… -313.22 0.00 0.00 -313.22 Trades
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 0.00 1,017.53 0.00% 0.3120 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 βœ… -317.45 0.00 0.00 -317.45 Trades
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -323.45 0.00 0.00 -323.45 Trades
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.57 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… -370.86 0.00 0.00 -370.86 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 3,427.91 0.00 1.96% 0.1201 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 βœ… -411.75 0.00 0.00 -411.75 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -418.31 0.00 0.00 -418.31 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -419.04 0.00 0.00 -419.04 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -432.15 0.00 0.00 -432.15 Trades
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? Yes No 5,567.36 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -445.49 0.00 0.00 -445.49 Trades
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.57% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 βœ… -448.80 0.00 0.00 -448.80 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.25 ppm on March 23, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.67% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 23 2021 βœ… -461.26 0.00 0.00 -461.26 Trades
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -607.38 0.00 0.00 -607.38 Trades
Will 1 or more games of the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So begin with a knight move? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… -609.70 0.00 0.00 -609.70 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… -640.92 0.00 0.00 -640.92 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? Yes No 0.14 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 22 2021 βœ… -727.14 0.00 0.00 -727.14 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… -744.30 0.00 0.00 -744.30 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? Bucks Suns 0.00 957.56 0.00% 0.8024 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 17 2021 βœ… -768.37 0.00 0.00 -768.37 Trades
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? Yes No 6,049.02 0.00 0.00% 0.1477 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 βœ… -893.59 0.00 0.00 -893.59 Trades
2023 FIDE WCC: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Ding Liren Nepomniachtchi Liren 1.33 0.00 0.00% 786.3140 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -1,046.13 0.00 0.00 -1,046.13 Trades
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 02 2021 βœ… -1,470.39 0.00 0.00 -1,470.39 Trades
Will US inflation be more than 0.4% from December 2022 to January 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 14 2023 βœ… -1,483.87 0.00 0.00 -1,483.87 Trades
Will β€˜Thor: Love and Thunder’ gross more than $145 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 11 2022 βœ… -2,189.68 0.00 0.00 -2,189.68 Trades
What will monthly NFT trading volume be on April 13, 2021? $80M or Less
$81-105M
$106-120M
$121-135M
$136M or More		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Tue Apr 13 2021 βœ… -2,419.84 0.00 0.00 -2,419.84 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -2,759.40 0.00 0.00 -2,759.40 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œfolks” in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.91 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.91 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -9,618.61 0.00 0.00 -9,617.70 Trades
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.63% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… -9,854.13 0.01 0.00 -9,854.12 Trades
Resolved 25,643.17 31,126.46 209,028.13 5.40 0.07 265,803.23
Unresolved 1,484.47 19,844.05 -26,588.40 0.96 0.00 -5,258.91
Total 27,127.64 50,970.51 182,439.73 6.36 0.07 260,544.32