Account
0xf1bb700a67e3e8a45dc8160a92f4e0405f41bf09 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,273.97 | 0.00% | 0.8936 | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 4,187.24 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | -3,819.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 368.09 | Trades | ||
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.01 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | 87.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.19 | Trades | |||
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 81.50 | 0.00% | 0.9200 | 0.01 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 80.66 | Tue Jun 27 2023 | -74.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.68 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? | Yes | No | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0500 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 52.85 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.85 | Trades | ||
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.09 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.41 | Trades | |||
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 125.02 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | -125.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.42 | 0.00% | 0.4800 | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 4.80 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | ||
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -8.51 | 0.96 | 0.00 | -7.55 | Trades | |||
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 1,645.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7999 | 0.79 | 0.21 | 1,306.60 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -1,316.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.69 | Trades | ||
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? | Yes | No | 525.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1790 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | -94.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -94.00 | Trades | ||
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 390.00 | 0.00% | 0.6715 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 12 2023 | -261.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -261.90 | Trades | ||
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 831.67 | 0.00% | 0.7180 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | -597.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -597.11 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? | Yes | No | 3,513.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2400 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | -843.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -843.16 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 42,468.79 | 0.00% | 0.4587 | 0.63 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 15,571.36 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -19,481.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,910.55 | Trades | ||
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 23,209.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23,209.31 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 19,999.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19,999.00 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his October 21st town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 21 2021 | β | 17,901.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17,901.00 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | β | 17,101.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17,101.97 | Trades | ||
Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 11,009.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11,009.67 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | β | 11,003.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11,003.96 | Trades | ||
Will 30 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 10th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 10 2021 | β | 10,778.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10,778.80 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 10,729.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10,729.46 | Trades | ||
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 10,478.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10,478.28 | Trades | ||
Sui Airdrop by May 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 15 2023 | β | 10,347.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10,347.05 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 10,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10,000.00 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win the 76ers v. Knicks game on October 26th? | 76ers | Knicks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 26 2021 | β | 10,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10,000.00 | Trades | ||
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 St. Louis Rapid and Blitz Chess Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | β | 9,503.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9,503.46 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 310K for the week ending on September 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | β | 8,859.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8,859.43 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.05 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 22nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 23 2021 | β | 8,232.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8,232.47 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | β | 8,135.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8,135.24 | Trades | ||
Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.67% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 7,385.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7,385.98 | Trades | ||
Will the Knicks or Magic win their October 24th matchup? | Knicks | Magic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 24 2021 | β | 7,096.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7,096.54 | Trades | ||
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 12 2021 | β | 6,180.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6,180.83 | Trades | ||
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 5,785.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,785.53 | Trades | ||
Will NATO expand by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 39.46 | 99.50% | -135.9244 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | 5,364.24 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 5,364.31 | Trades | |
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 5,349.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,349.46 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 4,990.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,990.08 | Trades | ||
Will Ed Ruscha's βRipeβ (Lot 37C) sell for more than $22m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 4,948.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,948.76 | Trades | ||
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 3,312.09 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 3,312.43 | Trades | ||
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 05 2023 | β | 3,216.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,216.51 | Trades | ||
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 5,454.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,454.63 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -2,672.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,781.65 | Trades | |
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 348K for the week ending on August 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | β | 2,773.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,773.26 | Trades | ||
Will Spotify report at least 164m total premium subscribers in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 2,500.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.06 | Trades | |||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 373K for the week ending on July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.11% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | 2,496.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,496.17 | Trades | ||
Will Claude Monet's βLe bassin d'Argenteuilβ (Lot 15C) sell for more than $25m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 2,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,000.00 | Trades | ||
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 1,932.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,932.15 | Trades | ||
Will 'Creed III' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 100.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 06 2023 | β | 1,883.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,883.26 | Trades | ||
Will 227.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 1,766.66 | 1.97 | 0.00 | 1,768.62 | Trades | ||
Will Richard Rapport win the 2021 Norway Chess tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 18 2021 | β | 1,752.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,752.80 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -993.6553 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 1,528.01 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 1,528.10 | Trades | |
Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 1,453.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,453.00 | Trades | ||
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 1,381.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,381.50 | Trades | ||
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 1,378.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,378.73 | Trades | ||
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | 1,138.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,138.28 | Trades | ||
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 1,121.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,121.98 | Trades | ||
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 1,056.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,056.23 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 10 2021 | β | 1,018.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,018.05 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from September to October 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 10 2021 | β | 1,004.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,004.26 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | 1,004.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,004.11 | Trades | ||
Will Gerhard Richter's βAbstraktes Bildβ (Lot 27C) sell for more than $35m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 385K for the week ending on August 7? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 12 2021 | β | 984.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 984.81 | Trades | ||
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 0.00 0.56 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 971.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 971.74 | Trades | |||||||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | 961.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 961.35 | Trades | ||
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 897.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 897.24 | Trades | ||
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,320.41 | 0.00% | 0.6252 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,320.41 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -1,450.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 869.60 | Trades | |
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | β | 853.30 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 853.39 | Trades | ||
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? | Yes | No | 993.19 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.8421 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 836.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 836.33 | Trades | |
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416 ppm on Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | β | 824.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 824.06 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 215 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 705.88 | 0.00 | 6.25% | -0.1468 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 705.88 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 103.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 809.50 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 771.45 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 771.51 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | 647.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 647.50 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | 643.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 643.95 | Trades | ||
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | 642.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 642.62 | Trades | ||
World Chess Championship 2021: Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win a game? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,539.01 | 0.00% | 0.8849 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,539.01 | Tue Dec 14 2021 | β | -4,901.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 637.65 | Trades | |
Will Russian Chess Player Sergey Karjakin be removed or withdraw from the FIDE 2022 Candidates Tournament? | Yes | No | 2,643.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8031 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,643.25 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 07 2022 | β | -2,122.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 520.35 | Trades | |
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | 485.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 485.76 | Trades | ||
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | β | 480.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 480.08 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 449.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 449.66 | Trades | ||
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.42 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | 443.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 443.63 | Trades | ||
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 21 2023 | β | 424.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 424.79 | Trades | ||
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 422.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 422.67 | Trades | ||
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 422.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 422.53 | Trades | ||
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 17 2023 | β | 421.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 421.31 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | 418.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 418.38 | Trades | ||
Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | 358.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 358.08 | Trades | ||
Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 356.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 356.06 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 332.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 332.76 | Trades | ||
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? | Yes | No | 5.60 | 0.00 | 100.00% | -55.4002 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.60 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 310.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 315.67 | Trades | |
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.45 | 0.00% | -212.7948 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 307.80 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 307.82 | Trades | |
Will the Berlin Defense be played during the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 304.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 304.90 | Trades | ||
Will 18 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 4th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12,178.08 | 0.00% | -0.0247 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | 300.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 300.68 | Trades | |
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 417 ppm on January 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | β | 298.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 298.13 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 297.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 297.62 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 217 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 297.68 | 6.67% | 0.0481 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 297.68 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -14.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 283.36 | Trades | |
Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.26% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 12 2021 | β | 283.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 283.11 | Trades | ||
Will $UST be above $0.10 on May 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 493.07 | 0.00% | 0.4360 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 493.07 | Tue May 17 2022 | β | -215.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 278.07 | Trades | |
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $16 million domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 27 2023 | β | 276.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 276.81 | Trades | ||
What will the margin be in Newsomβs recall election? | Under 10% 10% to 15% Over 15% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 249.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 249.00 | Trades | |||||||
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any regular game in the 2022 Tata Steel Masters? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 30 2022 | β | 242.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 242.60 | Trades | ||
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 28 2023 | β | 221.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 221.00 | Trades | ||
2023 Australian Open Final: Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas | Djokovic | Tsitsipas | 661.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6714 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 661.41 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 29 2023 | β | -444.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 217.34 | Trades | |
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 14.90 | 0.00 | 0.05% | -14.5606 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | β | 217.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 217.00 | Trades | |
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.03 | 16.67% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 208.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 208.52 | Trades | ||
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 419 ppm on June 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | β | 208.31 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 208.34 | Trades | ||
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | 208.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 208.21 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 202.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 202.88 | Trades | ||
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 13 2022 | β | 197.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 197.79 | Trades | ||
Will βTop Gun: Maverickβ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? | Yes | No | 402.74 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5507 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 402.74 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -221.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 180.94 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | β | 178.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 178.42 | Trades | ||
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.6600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Sun May 28 2023 | β | -330.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 170.00 | Trades | |
Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 165.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 165.55 | Trades | ||
Will the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So go to play-offs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 161.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 161.67 | Trades | ||
Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | 152.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 152.95 | Trades | ||
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | β | 150.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 150.77 | Trades | ||||||
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 149.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 149.30 | Trades | ||
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 143.04 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 143.08 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? | Bitcoin | Tesla | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 138.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 138.07 | Trades | ||
Will 'Shazam! Fury of the Gods' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 19 2023 | β | 130.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 130.00 | Trades | ||
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 126.41 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 126.62 | Trades | ||
Will Surojit Chatterjee or Tekin Salimi win in their CryptoChamps Semifinals chess match? | Chatterjee | Salimi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | 124.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 124.88 | Trades | ||
Will 25 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 50% of residents by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | β | 122.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 122.98 | Trades | ||
Will Biden mention "Russia/Putin" 10 or more times during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,290.04 | 0.00% | 0.9466 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,290.04 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | β | -2,167.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 122.36 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | β | 120.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 120.64 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | β | 111.64 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 112.24 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | 112.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 112.20 | Trades | ||
Will 'Fast X' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,443.28 | 100.00% | 0.9684 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,443.28 | Sun May 21 2023 | β | -3,334.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 108.78 | Trades | |
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by December 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | β | 106.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 106.43 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from February to March 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 184.66 | 100.00% | 0.4446 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 184.66 | Tue Apr 11 2023 | β | -82.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.56 | Trades | |
Will 231 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | 99.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.85 | Trades | ||
Will Kippenberger's "Martin, Into the Corner, You Should Be Ashamed of Yourself" sell for more than 15 million on Christie's? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | 94.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.65 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 08 2022 | β | 94.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.49 | Trades | ||
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi or Wesley So win their Semifinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? | Nepomniachtchi | So | 0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | β | 91.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.76 | Trades | ||
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 91.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.32 | Trades | |||||||
Will there be more than 213 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 90.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.76 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.85% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | 87.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.76 | Trades | ||
Will βDoctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madnessβ gross $200 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 124.41 | 0.00% | 0.3296 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 124.41 | Mon May 09 2022 | β | -41.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.41 | Trades | |
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4910 existing exoplanets by February 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 11 2022 | β | 82.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.77 | Trades | ||
Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 722,298.44 | 88.24% | -0.0001 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 77.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.82 | Trades | |
Will Daniil Medvedev win the Australian Open 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 31 2022 | β | 77.02 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 77.16 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.03 | 0.00% | -37.4494 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | 75.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.88 | Trades | |
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 183.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5869 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 183.54 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -107.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.81 | Trades | |
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Meltwater Champions Chess Tour Finals? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 04 2021 | β | 75.04 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 75.05 | Trades | ||
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 73.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.70 | Trades | ||
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416.2 ppm on August 3, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9.09% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 04 2021 | β | 73.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.19 | Trades | ||
Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? | Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7 Minari Promising Young Woman Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 72.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.90 | Trades | ||||||
Will Joan Mitchell's "Untitled" sell for more than $15 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 70.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.85 | Trades | ||
Who will win UFC 261: Hall vs. Weidman? | Hall | Weidman | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 24 2021 | β | 70.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.31 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.21 | 3.45% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | 69.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.65 | Trades | ||
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? | Yes | No | 3,334.74 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9803 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,334.74 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 04 2023 | β | -3,269.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.61 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | 65.15 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 65.34 | Trades | ||
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? | Yes | No | 2,559.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9750 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,559.01 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -2,494.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.08 | Trades | |
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | β | 63.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.40 | Trades | ||
Will Alexandra Botez/David Hoffman or Leighton Cusack/Cyrus Younessi win their Top Signal 2v2 chess match? | Botez Hoffman | Cusack Younessi | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 12 2021 | β | 59.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.39 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 2.52 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -22.9225 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 57.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.66 | Trades | |
Will 'Creed III' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 1,638.99 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.9673 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,638.99 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 06 2023 | β | -1,585.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.65 | Trades | |
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? | Cisneros | Cuellar | 0.00 | 208.19 | 0.00% | 0.7445 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 208.19 | Tue May 24 2022 | β | -155.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.19 | Trades | |
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | 51.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.99 | Trades | ||
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | β | 51.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.19 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 211 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 50.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.88 | Trades | ||
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 17 2021 | β | 49.80 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 49.83 | Trades | ||
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on January 28, 2022 be higher than on February 4, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 11 2022 | β | 46.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.98 | Trades | ||
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 93.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5340 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 93.63 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.63 | Trades | |
French Open: Who will win Alcaraz vs. Djokovic? | Alcaraz | Djokovic | 4,964.10 | 0.00 | 100.00% | -0.0086 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 09 2023 | β | 42.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.90 | Trades | |
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? | McGregor | Poirier | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | 42.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.76 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 07 2021 | β | 42.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.66 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 40.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.87 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 40.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.49 | Trades | ||
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.98 | 0.00% | -2.4762 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 39.57 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 39.58 | Trades | |
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 26 2022 | β | 38.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.87 | Trades | ||
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 135.79 | 0.00% | 0.7194 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 135.79 | Mon May 29 2023 | β | -97.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.11 | Trades | |
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | β | 37.05 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 37.54 | Trades | ||
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 Speed Chess Championship Main Event? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 19 2021 | β | 37.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.17 | Trades | ||
Will Taiwan report 20,000 or more daily COVID-19 cases by May 10? | Yes | No | 435.19 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9191 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 435.19 | 0.00 | Tue May 10 2022 | β | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.19 | Trades | |
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 18 be higher than on February 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 04 2022 | β | 34.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.58 | Trades | ||
Will Donda 2 be available for download on stemplayer.com on 2/22/22? | Yes | No | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | β | 33.93 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 33.97 | Trades | ||
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? | Yes | No | 386.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9145 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 386.14 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | -353.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.03 | Trades | |
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | β | 32.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.56 | Trades | ||
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 1,450.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9786 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,450.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | β | -1,418.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.06 | Trades | |
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | 29.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.87 | Trades | ||
2022 Wimbledon Championships: Will Novak Djokovic win Men's Singles? | Yes | No | 2.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -9.4151 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.78 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 10 2022 | β | 26.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.98 | Trades | |
Will NASA conduct a sustained flight of Ingenuity on Mars by April 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 12 2021 | β | 28.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.65 | Trades | ||
Will 19 states have high or substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | 25.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.96 | Trades | ||
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 20 2021 | β | 25.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.59 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | β | 25.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.14 | Trades | ||
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 24.93 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 24.94 | Trades | ||
Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Yes | No | 199.79 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8759 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 199.79 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | β | -175.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.79 | Trades | |
Will Cy Twomblyβs βUntitled (Rome)β sell for more than $45 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.88 | 0.00% | -4.7900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.88 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 18.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.48 | Trades | |
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 408.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9482 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 408.18 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | β | -387.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.16 | Trades | |
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 20.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.74 | Trades | ||
Will Sequoia Capital's Youtube memo sell for more than 100 ETH? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | β | 20.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.62 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 19.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.67 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 249.32 | 0.00% | 0.9225 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 249.32 | Wed Jun 15 2022 | β | -230.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.32 | Trades | |
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | β | 18.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.92 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump mention the word βriggedβ on his communications platform by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 18.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.86 | Trades | ||
Will Biden mention "AI" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,049.69 | 0.00% | 0.9964 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,049.69 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | β | -5,031.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.93 | Trades | |
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 28 2021 | β | 17.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.85 | Trades | ||
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $36 on April 27, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 27 2021 | β | 15.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.80 | Trades | ||
Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 14.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.77 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 1,000,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | 13.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.51 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | β | 13.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.37 | Trades | ||
Will βDoctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madnessβ gross $180 million or less on its opening weekend in the USA? | Yes | No | 8.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.6250 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 09 2022 | β | 13.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.23 | Trades | |
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? | Yes | No | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 03 2023 | β | 12.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.96 | Trades | ||
FIDE World Chess Grand Prix 2022 Leg #2: Will Alexander Grischuk win Pool A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 14 2022 | β | 12.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.70 | Trades | ||
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 FIDE World Rapid Championship? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 28 2021 | β | 12.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.12 | Trades | ||
Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | β | 11.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.43 | Trades | ||
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.01 | 0.00% | -11.2023 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 18 2022 | β | 11.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.36 | Trades | |
Will Jeff Koons' βPancakesβ sell for more than $1.5 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 11.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.31 | Trades | ||
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 11.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.30 | Trades | ||
What will the Margin of Victory be in the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | β | 11.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.16 | Trades | ||
Will Iron Finance V2βs TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 10.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.79 | Trades | ||
NHL: Will the Knights beat the Penguins by more than 1.5 goals in their January 17 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.19 | 0.00 | 14.29% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 17 2022 | β | 10.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.75 | Trades | ||
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | 10.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.58 | Trades | ||
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 808.53 | 0.00% | 0.9871 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 808.53 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | β | -798.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.40 | Trades | |
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 10.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.39 | Trades | ||
Will $UST be above $0.01 on May 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.71 | 0.00% | -0.9538 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | β | 10.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.21 | Trades | |
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 10.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.13 | Trades | ||
What will the βOfficial Editionβ of the United States Constitution sell for at Sothebyβs? | Less than 20m 20-30m More than 30m |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.01% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | 9.47 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 10.06 | Trades | ||||||
Will Trump say "rape" during his CNN town hall? | Yes | No | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 09 2023 | β | -990.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | Trades | |
Will Trump say "January 6" during his CNN town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 09 2023 | β | 10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | Trades | ||
Will Magnus Carlsen or Teimour Radjabov win their Semifinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? | Carlsen | Radjabov | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | β | 8.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.85 | Trades | ||
2022 NBA Draft: Will Jabari Smith Jr. be the #1 Pick? | Yes | No | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 23 2022 | β | 8.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.40 | Trades | ||
Will Truth Social be the #1 Free Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on May 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 206.95 | 0.00% | 0.9602 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 206.95 | Tue May 10 2022 | β | -198.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.24 | Trades | |
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -7.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.50 | Trades | |
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 7.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.12 | Trades | ||
Who will get more votes in the 2021 California recall election: Paffrath, Faulconer, or Cox? | Paffrath Faulconer Cox |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 6.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.74 | Trades | |||||||
Will Cate Blanchett win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | β | 6.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.33 | Trades | ||
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? | Yes | No | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8830 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | -44.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.85 | Trades | |
Will Claude Monetβs βWaterloo Bridgeβ sell for more than $35 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 5.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.65 | Trades | ||
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $12 million domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 600.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9907 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 600.65 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 27 2023 | β | -595.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.60 | Trades | |
Will 'Minions: The Rise of Gru' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 180.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9707 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 180.28 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 05 2022 | β | -175.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.28 | Trades | |
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 9, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 5.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.18 | Trades | ||
Will Trump mention "Russia/Putin" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 100.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 09 2023 | β | 5.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.03 | Trades | ||
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | 5.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.02 | Trades | ||
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $70 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 26 2023 | β | -495.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | 4.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.82 | Trades | ||
Will MrBeast's next Youtube video get over 50M views in its firstΒ week? | Yes | No | 7.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.6230 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | 4.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.69 | Trades | |
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | 4.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.63 | Trades | ||
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9963 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,250.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -1,245.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.62 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.19 | 0.00% | -0.5415 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | 4.43 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4.45 | Trades | |
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his August 20 speech? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | β | 3.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.86 | Trades | ||
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 3.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.41 | Trades | ||
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 3.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.14 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 120 ETH on October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 2.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.76 | Trades | ||
Will Biden mention Fentanyl 5 or more times in the 2023 State of the Union? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 07 2023 | β | 2.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.68 | Trades | ||
Will Lost Ark be #1 for peak players on Steam on February 25? | Yes | No | 9.77 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.2697 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 25 2022 | β | 2.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.64 | Trades | |
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | 2.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.59 | Trades | ||
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 2.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.45 | Trades | ||
Will 'Shazam! Fury of the Gods' gross more than $25 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 27.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 27.50 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 19 2023 | β | -25.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.20 | Trades | |
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9978 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -997.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.20 | Trades | |
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 2.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.20 | Trades | ||
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? | Yes | No | 23.66 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0884 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 2.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.09 | Trades | |
Will 'Envolver' by Anitta be the #1 song on the Spotify Global Charts by April 14, 2022? | Yes | No | 7.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7066 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7.08 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 15 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.08 | Trades | |
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 26 2023 | β | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.88 | Trades | ||
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.86 | Trades | ||
Will Magnus Carlsen or Hikaru Nakamura win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? | Carlsen | Nakamura | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.59 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of Ryder Ripps BAYC (RR/BAYC) be above 1 ETH on June 30? | Yes | No | 20.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4433 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 10.25 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -9.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.16 | Trades | |
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sothebyβs auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Trades | ||
Will Bing's market share be >4% in February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.01 | Trades | ||
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Will the national anthem for Super Bowl LVII be longer than 126 seconds? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Wed Feb 08 2023 | β | -99.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | 0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.82 | Trades | ||||||
Will Beeple's βOcean Frontβ sell for more than $25 million at auction? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.78 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden mention Russia in his press conference on January 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.63 | 0.00% | -0.0421 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 19 2022 | β | 0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.66 | Trades | |
Chess: Will the Van't Kruijs Opening (1. e3) be played at 2021 FIDE World Blitz Championship Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 30 2021 | β | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 | Trades | ||
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.64 | 0.00% | 0.6100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.64 | Fri Apr 07 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.64 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,749.99 | 0.00% | 0.9998 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,749.99 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | β | -2,749.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 170 Gwei on April 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 19 2021 | β | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00% | -0.2599 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 | Trades | |
Will England win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 | Trades | ||
Will the Dolphins or the Bills win their NFL week 2 matchup? | Bills | Dolphins | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 19 2021 | β | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 | Trades | ||
Will 229.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 | Trades | ||
Will Basquiat's "Untitled (Soap)" sell for more than 15 million? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 | Trades | ||
Who will win UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal? | Usman | Masvidal | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 24 2021 | β | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.19 | Trades | ||
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.19 | Trades | ||
Will Andy Warholβs βMarilyn Monroeβ sell for more than $3 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 | Trades | ||
Will Robert Colescottβs βGeorge Washington Carver Crossing the Delawareβ sell for more than $12 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | ||
Will Michelle Yeoh win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? | Yes | No | 99.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9991 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | β | -98.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | |
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | β | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
Will Emily Ratajkowskiβs NFT go for more than $2 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | β | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 02 2023 | β | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Wed Apr 05 2023 | β | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
Will Compound suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Formula One: Will Max Verstappen finish ahead of Lewis Hamilton in the Mexican Grand Prix? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 07 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
NFL: Will the Chiefs beat the Raiders by more than 2.5 points in their November 14th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
MLB: Who will win New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 12, 7:20 PM ET? | Mets | Braves | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 12 2022 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
ETH above $1,850 on April 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 08 2023 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 18 2023 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 400K for the week ending on July 31? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 419K for the week ending on July 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 29 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 375K for the week ending on August 14? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 19 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for July? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 24 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 360K for the week ending on July 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
(Early Resolved) Will President Biden declare a new National Emergency before September? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $30 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Basquiat's "In this Case" sell for more than 70 million? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 10 2021 | β | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | Trades | ||
Rihanna nip slip? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0529 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 12 2023 | β | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | Trades | |
What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 26 2021 | β | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 196.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0006 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | β | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | Trades | |
Will Edward Hopper's βTwo Puritansβ (Lot 39C) sell for more than $15m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 28,220.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | |
Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | Trades | ||
Will the 2023 FIDE WCC last 12 or more games? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.98 | 0.00% | 0.0376 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | Trades | |
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 14, 5PM ET? | Yes | No | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | β | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | Trades | ||
Will Roy Lichtensteinβs βInterior: Perfect Pitcherβ sell for more than $30 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | Trades | ||
Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15? | Yes | No | 102.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0056 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 15 2023 | β | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.57 | Trades | |
Will Andy Warholβs βTwo Marilynsβ sell for more than $18 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | Trades | ||
Will Biden say "Super Bowl" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,168.98 | 0.00% | 1.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,168.98 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | β | -2,169.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.63 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | β | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.64 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.73 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.67 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.79 | Trades | ||
Will the Bongcloud be played during the FTX Crypto Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.80 | Trades | ||
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2021 Sinquefield Cup? | Yes | No | 745.76 | 0.00 | 8.33% | 0.0011 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | β | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.81 | Trades | |
Will more than 40.5 points be scored in Giants v. Washington? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 17.28 | 0.00% | 0.0578 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | -0.89 | Trades | |
Will President Biden mention "anti-vaxxers" in his press conference on January 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 19 2022 | β | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.91 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.95 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.98 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden mention Manchin, Sinema or filibuster in his press conference on January 19 ? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 19 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
Will Federico GutiΓ©rrez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | No | 383.87 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0026 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 29 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will NATO expand by March 31? | Yes | No | 19.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0575 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | -1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.09 | Trades | |
Will Fabiano Caruana or Ian Nepomniachtchi win their Quarterfinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? | Caruana | Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 27 2021 | β | -1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.17 | Trades | ||
Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.63 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | -1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.68 | Trades | ||
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? | Yes | No | 195.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0098 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 07 2023 | β | -1.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.92 | Trades | |
2022 Chess Candidates Tournament: Will Liren or Nepomniachtchi finish higher? | Liren | Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Jul 05 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 10.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1939 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | β | -2.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.08 | Trades | ||
How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on April 14, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -2.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.90 | Trades | ||||||
Will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for more than $20 million in its Christie's auction? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 11 2021 | β | -2.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.93 | Trades | ||
Will Anish Giri or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? | Giri | Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | -2.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.94 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 36.68 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0818 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 66.56 | 0.00% | 0.0500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -3.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.33 | Trades | |
Will there be more than 120 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -3.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.92 | Trades | ||
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave or Wesley So win their Quarterfinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? | Vachier-Lagrave | So | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 27 2021 | β | -4.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.12 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -4.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.58 | Trades | ||
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -5.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.16 | Trades | ||
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 11,434.03 | 0.00% | 0.0005 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -5.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.36 | Trades | |
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get a 95% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | -5.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.40 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Super Mario Bros. Movie' gross more than $150 million domestically on its 5-day opening? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00% | 0.4733 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 09 2023 | β | -7.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.10 | Trades | |
World Chess Championship 2021: Will Game 12 be played? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 11 2021 | β | -8.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.12 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -8.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.41 | Trades | ||
Will 'Fast X' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 21 2023 | β | -8.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.85 | Trades | ||
Who will win UFC 261: Zhang vs. Namajunas? | Zhang | Namajunas | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 24 2021 | β | -9.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.97 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 17 2021 | β | -9.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.99 | Trades | ||
Will Texas reinstate a mask mandate by April 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 11 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.0100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 05 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Chess: Will Ding Liren win the 2022 Candidates Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 05 2022 | β | -10.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.05 | Trades | ||
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -10.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.42 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 6? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 1,001.91 | 0.00% | 0.0105 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | -10.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.49 | Trades | |
Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | -11.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.84 | Trades | ||
Will Biden say "Folks" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | β | -13.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.97 | Trades | ||
Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship? | Magnus Carlsen | Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 16 2021 | β | -15.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.03 | Trades | ||
Will Biden say "Trump" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,999.97 | 0.00% | 1.0079 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,999.97 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | β | -2,015.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.74 | Trades | |
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Adams Garcia Wiley Yang |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -17.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.77 | Trades | ||||||
Will Hikaru Nakamura or Magnus Carlsen win their Quarterfinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? | Nakamura | Carlsen | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 27 2021 | β | -18.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.81 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -24.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.27 | Trades | ||
Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs | Eagles | Chiefs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 12 2023 | β | -25.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.07 | Trades | ||
Will Benjamin Cowen or Matt Huang win in their CryptoChamps Semifinals chess match? | Cowen | Huang | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | -25.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.74 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | -26.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -26.14 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -27.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.77 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -29.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.75 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? | Yes | No | 809.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0409 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | -33.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.09 | Trades | |
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 05 2022 | β | -37.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.25 | Trades | ||
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 05 2022 | β | -44.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -44.85 | Trades | ||
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 FIDE World Blitz Championship? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 30 2021 | β | -48.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.77 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? | Yes | No | 72.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7943 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -57.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -57.61 | Trades | |
Will βElvisβ gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 27 2022 | β | -57.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -57.65 | Trades | ||
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $20 million domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 2,585.61 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.0225 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,585.61 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 27 2023 | β | -2,643.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -58.30 | Trades | |
Will the 2023 FIDE WCC have O/U 12 draws? | Over | Under | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -63.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -63.00 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -71.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -71.98 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | -72.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -72.91 | Trades | ||
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 05 2023 | β | -77.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -77.10 | Trades | ||
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,004.00 | 0.00% | 0.0259 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -77.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -77.70 | Trades | |
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -79.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -79.21 | Trades | ||
Will βDoctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madnessβ gross between $180 million and $200 million on its opening weekend in the USA? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 09 2022 | β | -79.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -79.74 | Trades | ||
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? | Yes | No | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 01 2023 | β | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | -87.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -87.09 | Trades | ||
Will Surojit Chatterjee or Matt Huang win in their CryptoChamps Finals chess match? | Chatterjee | Huang | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | -98.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -98.34 | Trades | ||
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.1000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 03 2023 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
Will Fabiano Caruana win the United States Chess Championship? | Yes | No | 11,258.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0097 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 18 2021 | β | -109.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -109.22 | Trades | |
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -120.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -120.82 | Trades | ||
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 350.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3773 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -132.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -132.24 | Trades | |
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | -142.85 | 0.34 | 0.00 | -142.51 | Trades | ||
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be tiebreaks? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 14 2021 | β | -142.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -142.61 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -144.50 | 0.26 | 0.00 | -144.24 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 500,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | -154.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -154.65 | Trades | ||
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws? | More | Less | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 14 2021 | β | -155.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -155.34 | Trades | ||
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -158.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -158.49 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -165.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -165.92 | Trades | ||
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -180.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -180.72 | Trades | ||
Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -199.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -199.41 | Trades | ||
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -200.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.77 | Trades | ||
2022 Norway Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any game? | Yes | No | 140.24 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.6920 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 11 2022 | β | -237.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -237.28 | Trades | |
Will 400 million doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by March 25, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.41 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 25 2021 | β | -240.01 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -239.55 | Trades | ||
Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | -247.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -247.72 | Trades | ||
Will Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | -248.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -248.76 | Trades | ||
Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 9,924.44 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0252 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | β | -249.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -249.77 | Trades | |
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.32 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -257.10 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -256.75 | Trades | ||
What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? | Under 1% 1% to 2% Over 2% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
9.09% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | -261.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -261.87 | Trades | |||||||
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $80 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 448.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5937 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 26 2023 | β | -266.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -266.00 | Trades | |
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from March to April 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 726.00 | 0.00% | 0.4004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 09 2023 | β | -290.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -290.68 | Trades | |
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 502.11 | 0.00% | 0.5975 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | -305.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -305.97 | Trades | ||
Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? | Yes | No | 128.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 2.4451 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 04 2023 | β | -313.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -313.22 | Trades | |
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,017.53 | 0.00% | 0.3120 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | β | -317.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -317.45 | Trades | |
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -323.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -323.45 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -370.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -370.86 | Trades | ||
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? | Yes | No | 3,427.91 | 0.00 | 1.96% | 0.1201 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 21 2023 | β | -411.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -411.75 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 02 2023 | β | -418.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -418.31 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -419.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -419.04 | Trades | ||
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -432.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -432.15 | Trades | ||
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 5,567.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -445.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -445.49 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.57% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | -448.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -448.80 | Trades | ||
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.25 ppm on March 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.67% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 23 2021 | β | -461.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -461.26 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -607.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -607.38 | Trades | ||
Will 1 or more games of the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So begin with a knight move? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | -609.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -609.70 | Trades | ||
Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | -640.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -640.92 | Trades | ||
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | -727.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -727.14 | Trades | ||
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | β | -744.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -744.30 | Trades | ||
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 957.56 | 0.00% | 0.8024 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 17 2021 | β | -768.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -768.37 | Trades | |
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? | Yes | No | 6,049.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1477 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 17 2023 | β | -893.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -893.59 | Trades | |
2023 FIDE WCC: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Ding Liren | Nepomniachtchi | Liren | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 786.3140 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -1,046.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,046.13 | Trades | |
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | β | -1,470.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,470.39 | Trades | ||
Will US inflation be more than 0.4% from December 2022 to January 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 14 2023 | β | -1,483.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,483.87 | Trades | ||
Will βThor: Love and Thunderβ gross more than $145 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 11 2022 | β | -2,189.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,189.68 | Trades | ||
What will monthly NFT trading volume be on April 13, 2021? | $80M or Less $81-105M $106-120M $121-135M $136M or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | -2,419.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,419.84 | Trades | ||||||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -2,759.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,759.40 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βfolksβ in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.91 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -9,618.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9,617.70 | Trades | ||
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -9,854.13 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -9,854.12 | Trades | ||
Resolved | 25,643.17 | 31,126.46 | 209,028.13 | 5.40 | 0.07 | 265,803.23 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 1,484.47 | 19,844.05 | -26,588.40 | 0.96 | 0.00 | -5,258.91 | ||||||||||||
Total | 27,127.64 | 50,970.51 | 182,439.73 | 6.36 | 0.07 | 260,544.32 |