Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
188.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
188.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
38.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.19
|
Trades
|
OpenSea token by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
1.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
|
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
11.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0272
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
OpenSea token in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
17.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-0.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.53
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
52.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.0160
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 01 2024
|
|
-0.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.84
|
Trades
|
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
206.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-6.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.20
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
402.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
403.00
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
212.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
212.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
151.74
|
0.00% |
|
-0.2467
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
151.74
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
β
|
37.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
189.17
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
154.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
154.00
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
-1.3037
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
130.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
130.37
|
Trades
|
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.6080
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
121.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
121.60
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.5850
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
117.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
117.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.02
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
110.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.27
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
β
|
109.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
109.99
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
107.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
107.88
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.0247
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
102.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
102.47
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
100.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.00
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
95.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
95.18
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
83.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83.07
|
Trades
|
Will the 2023 FIDE WCC require tiebreaks? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
81.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
81.10
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? |
Yes |
No |
263.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2860
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 16 2023
|
β
|
75.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.49
|
Trades
|
Will Julie Su be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
70.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.40
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
66.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.90
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
65.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.97
|
Trades
|
2023 FIDE WCC: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Ding Liren |
Nepomniachtchi |
Liren |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
65.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
44.63
|
0.00% |
|
-1.0319
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
46.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.05
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
37.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.00
|
Trades
|
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
34.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.56
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
32.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
271.54
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1058
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
28.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.72
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
28.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.64
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
25.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.71
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by June 15? |
Yes |
No |
161.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1179
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 15 2023
|
β
|
19.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.02
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0873
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
17.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.46
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis say "Crypto" and/or "Cryptocurrency" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.6900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
17.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2134
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
17.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.07
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0740
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
14.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.79
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
205.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0695
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 27 2023
|
β
|
14.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.25
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
137.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0994
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
13.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.70
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
12.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.60
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.01
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0260
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
10.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.40
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0490
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
9.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.79
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
299.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0215
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
6.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.46
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
6.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.29
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from February to March 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 11 2023
|
β
|
5.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.93
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0714
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
IPL: Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kings 2023-03-31 |
Gujarat |
Chennai |
5.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.05
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.10
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.10
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
β
|
4.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.43
|
Trades
|
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0386
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
3.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.86
|
Trades
|
Alien contact in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2270
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.27
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
2.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.20
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will $BEN or $JEFF have a higher market cap on May 31? |
BEN |
JEFF |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
174.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0040
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.69
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.10
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.02
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Friend Tech fall off? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
2.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 2023-03-31 |
Dodgers |
Diamondbacks |
7.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.08
|
Trades
|
NHL: Winnipeg Jets vs. Detroit Red Wings 2023-03-31 |
Jets |
Red Wings |
0.00
|
10.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
NHL: Buffalo Sabres vs. New York Rangers 2023-03-31 |
Sabres |
Rangers |
0.00
|
10.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
NHL: Edmonton Oilers vs. Anaheim Ducks 2023-04-01 |
Oilers |
Ducks |
0.00
|
10.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
NHL: Seattle Kraken vs. Los Angeles Kings 2023-04-01 |
Kraken |
Kings |
10.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
NHL: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild 2023-04-01 |
Golden Knights |
Wild |
0.00
|
10.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
MLB: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles 2023-03-30 |
Red Sox |
Orioles |
10.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
MLB: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves 2023-03-30 |
Nationals |
Braves |
10.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
MLB: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox 2023-03-31 |
Astros |
White Sox |
0.00
|
10.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
MLB: Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets 2023-03-31 |
Marlins |
Mets |
0.00
|
10.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter vote "Yes" on Musk's poll to reinstate @realDonaldTrump? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 19 2022
|
β
|
-0.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.52
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
Binance insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.77
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? |
Yes |
No |
92.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-0.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.92
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
46.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-0.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.94
|
Trades
|
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
99.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
99.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: San Diego State Aztecs vs. Florida Atlantic Owls 2023-04-01 |
San Diego State |
Florida Atlantic |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
112.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0089
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 11 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
NBA: New Orleans Pelicans vs. LA Clippers 2023-04-01 |
Pelicans |
Clippers |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
NBA: Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks 2023-04-01 |
Heat |
Mavericks |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.US shut down by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Uniswap's wallet be live on the iOS app store by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians 2023-03-30 |
Mariners |
Guardians |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 2023-03-30 |
Dodgers |
Diamondbacks |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels 2023-03-30 |
Athletics |
Angels |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox 2023-03-30 |
Astros |
White Sox |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies 2023-03-30 |
Padres |
Rockies |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians 2023-04-01 |
Mariners |
Guardians |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 2023-04-01 |
Dodgers |
Diamondbacks |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies 2023-04-01 |
Padres |
Rockies |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers 2023-04-01 |
Rays |
Tigers |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins 2023-04-01 |
Royals |
Twins |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 2023-04-01 |
Reds |
Pirates |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets 2023-04-01 |
Marlins |
Mets |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles 2023-04-01 |
Red Sox |
Orioles |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels 2023-04-01 |
Athletics |
Angels |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies 2023-04-01 |
Rangers |
Phillies |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants 2023-04-01 |
Yankees |
Giants |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves 2023-04-01 |
Nationals |
Braves |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers 2023-04-01 |
Cubs |
Brewers |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays 2023-04-01 |
Cardinals |
Blue Jays |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox 2023-04-01 |
Astros |
White Sox |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Jamie Dimon announce he is running for president by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? |
BTC |
ETH |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.35
|
Trades
|
Will MEXC become insolvent by July 3? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0070
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 03 2023
|
β
|
-1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.40
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
84.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0177
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
360.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0042
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis say "A.I." and/or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Russia" or "Putin" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Is Google shutting down Gmail? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0030
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.86
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
199.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
199.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
62.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0319
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel win Eurovision 2023? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 12 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: UConn Huskies vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes 2023-04-01 |
UConn |
Miami (FL) |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by May 19? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 19 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,850 on May 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Curve's founder get liquidated? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Jesus Christ return by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0020
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0020
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Fabiano win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 04 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hikaru win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 04 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0050
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Serbia win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
129.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0194
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
80.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0325
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
-2.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.60
|
Trades
|
Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.95
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will $XRP hit $1 by July 20? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 20 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
46.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0639
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis say "Gun" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0075
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0080
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.20
|
Trades
|
$JTO above $2 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
170.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
β
|
-3.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.42
|
Trades
|
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
MetaMask airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
149.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0233
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from February to March 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 11 2023
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
593.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.0059
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
ARB above $1.50 on May 3? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 03 2023
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by end of March? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0350
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
197.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.0180
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
-3.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.55
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester City be the 2022-23 Premier League champions? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.75
|
Trades
|
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0190
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-3.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.80
|
Trades
|
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0267
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? |
Biden |
Haley |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester United be the 2022-23 Premier League champions? |
Yes |
No |
175.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0229
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,500 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
CZ jail in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Community notes on Biden Xeet by December 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 11 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war before February? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Biden cognitive test before April? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by end of March? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
145.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.37
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0077
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 01 2023
|
β
|
-4.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.60
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? |
Yes |
No |
97.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0482
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
-4.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.70
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
193.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0250
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-4.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.85
|
Trades
|
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? |
Yes |
No |
1,149.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0042
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 10 2024
|
β
|
-4.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.85
|
Trades
|
ARB or SUI higher on May 19? |
ARB |
SUI |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 19 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea announce a token by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0250
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 27 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Jupiter airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
198.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0251
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
300.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0170
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.10
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.25
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0135
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-5.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.40
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
293.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.0192
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-5.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.65
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.80
|
Trades
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0290
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.80
|
Trades
|
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? |
Yes |
No |
199.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.99
|
Trades
|
Will Binance list $PEPE by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 05 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview over 300 million views on X in first 24 hours? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Oct 11 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0120
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US soldier be released from North Korea by July 25? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Another Tesla recall before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk visit Gaza in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
200.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
22.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2739
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-6.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.18
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.40
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
215.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0314
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-6.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.75
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0350
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Tate launch a cryptocurrency in February? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0233
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
110.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.0663
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-7.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.31
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0320
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
405.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0207
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-8.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.40
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0293
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-8.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-8.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.91
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0450
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0225
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0186
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-9.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.30
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0250
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
4,200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0024
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0101
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-10.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.10
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
β
|
-10.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.78
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
800.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0139
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-11.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.10
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0387
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-11.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.60
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0079
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
-12.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0433
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1385
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-13.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.85
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0477
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-14.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.30
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
220.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0673
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-14.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.80
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0180
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0380
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 09 2023
|
β
|
-19.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,125.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0174
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
-19.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.62
|
Trades
|
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
β
|
-23.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.00
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0433
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-26.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0262
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-26.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.25
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0136
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-27.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.20
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
648.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.0633
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-41.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.06
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-42.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.50
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
556.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.0769
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
-42.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.76
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
800.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0575
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-46.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-46.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,700.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0403
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-68.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-68.50
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,522.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0457
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-69.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-69.55
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
480.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-125.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
107.37
|
151.88
|
|
|
1,169.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,429.24
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
210.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
210.08
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
107.37
|
151.88
|
|
|
1,380.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,639.32
|
|