Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 17.65 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.53 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.0160 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 01 2024 -4.80 0.00 0.00 -4.80 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? Yes No 11.13 0.00 0.00% 0.0272 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.30 Trades
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.07 0.93 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 38.19 0.00 0.00 38.19 Trades
Will Twitter vote "Yes" on Musk's poll to reinstate @realDonaldTrump? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 19 2022 ✅ -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.52 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 360.86 0.00 0.00% 0.0042 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 46.96 0.00 0.00% 0.0639 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 62.69 0.00 0.00% 0.0319 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Serbia win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 129.02 0.00 0.00% 0.0194 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -2.50 0.00 0.00 -2.50 Trades
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? Yes No 112.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0089 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 22.55 0.00 0.00% 0.2739 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -6.18 0.00 0.00 -6.18 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 84.94 0.00 0.00% 0.0177 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.02 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 2.00 0.00% 0.1000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
MLB: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves 2023-03-30 Nationals Braves 10.10 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
MLB: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles 2023-03-30 Red Sox Orioles 10.10 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
MLB: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies 2023-03-30 Padres Rockies 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox 2023-03-30 Astros White Sox 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels 2023-03-30 Athletics Angels 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 2023-03-30 Dodgers Diamondbacks 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians 2023-03-30 Mariners Guardians 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 31? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
MLB: Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets 2023-03-31 Marlins Mets 0.00 10.10 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
IPL: Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kings 2023-03-31 Gujarat Chennai 5.05 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 5.05 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -0.05 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
MLB: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox 2023-03-31 Astros White Sox 0.00 10.10 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 2023-03-31 Dodgers Diamondbacks 7.57 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.08 Trades
NHL: Buffalo Sabres vs. New York Rangers 2023-03-31 Sabres Rangers 0.00 10.10 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
NHL: Winnipeg Jets vs. Detroit Red Wings 2023-03-31 Jets Red Wings 0.00 10.10 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 220.00 0.00% 0.0673 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -14.80 0.00 0.00 -14.80 Trades
MLB: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox 2023-04-01 Astros White Sox 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays 2023-04-01 Cardinals Blue Jays 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers 2023-04-01 Cubs Brewers 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves 2023-04-01 Nationals Braves 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants 2023-04-01 Yankees Giants 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies 2023-04-01 Rangers Phillies 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels 2023-04-01 Athletics Angels 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles 2023-04-01 Red Sox Orioles 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets 2023-04-01 Marlins Mets 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 2023-04-01 Reds Pirates 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins 2023-04-01 Royals Twins 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers 2023-04-01 Rays Tigers 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies 2023-04-01 Padres Rockies 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 2023-04-01 Dodgers Diamondbacks 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
MLB: Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians 2023-04-01 Mariners Guardians 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
NCAAB: San Diego State Aztecs vs. Florida Atlantic Owls 2023-04-01 San Diego State Florida Atlantic 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
NBA: Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks 2023-04-01 Heat Mavericks 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
NBA: New Orleans Pelicans vs. LA Clippers 2023-04-01 Pelicans Clippers 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
NCAAB: UConn Huskies vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes 2023-04-01 UConn Miami (FL) 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
NHL: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild 2023-04-01 Golden Knights Wild 0.00 10.10 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
NHL: Seattle Kraken vs. Los Angeles Kings 2023-04-01 Kraken Kings 10.10 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
NHL: Edmonton Oilers vs. Anaheim Ducks 2023-04-01 Oilers Ducks 0.00 10.10 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 97.00 Trades
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 ✅ 6.29 0.00 0.00 6.29 Trades
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 ✅ -5.25 0.00 0.00 -5.25 Trades
Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? Yes No 92.33 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 ✅ -0.92 0.00 0.00 -0.92 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from February to March 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 11 2023 ✅ 5.93 0.00 0.00 5.93 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from February to March 2023? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 11 2023 ✅ -3.50 0.00 0.00 -3.50 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 14 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0695 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 27 2023 ✅ 14.25 0.00 0.00 14.25 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 25.71 0.00 0.00 25.71 Trades
Will the 2023 FIDE WCC require tiebreaks? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 81.10 0.00 0.00 81.10 Trades
2023 FIDE WCC: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Ding Liren Nepomniachtchi Liren 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 65.40 0.00 0.00 65.40 Trades
Will Uniswap's wallet be live on the iOS app store by April 30? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Binance.US shut down by April 30? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? Yes No 199.98 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 12.60 0.00 0.00 12.60 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0267 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
ETH above $1,850 on May 3? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 199.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.1000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
ARB above $1.50 on May 3? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 03 2023 ✅ -3.50 0.00 0.00 -3.50 Trades
Will Binance list $PEPE by Friday? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 05 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 11 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Israel win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 25.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 12 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 0.00 99.99 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 12 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0450 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ -9.00 0.00 0.00 -9.00 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% -1.3037 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ 130.37 0.00 0.00 130.37 Trades
ARB or SUI higher on May 19? ARB SUI 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 19 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by May 19? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 19 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Russia" or "Putin" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 ✅ -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will DeSantis say "Gun" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will DeSantis say "Crypto" and/or "Cryptocurrency" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 25.00 0.00 0.00% -0.6900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 ✅ 17.25 0.00 0.00 17.25 Trades
Will DeSantis say "A.I." and/or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 ✅ -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Manchester United be the 2022-23 Premier League champions? Yes No 175.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0229 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Manchester City be the 2022-23 Premier League champions? Yes No 0.00 75.00 0.00% 0.0500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 ✅ -3.75 0.00 0.00 -3.75 Trades
Will $BEN or $JEFF have a higher market cap on May 31? BEN JEFF 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0386 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 3.86 0.00 0.00 3.86 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
MetaMask airdrop by June 1? Yes No 149.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0233 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ -3.50 0.00 0.00 -3.50 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 1? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0320 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 593.75 0.00% 0.0059 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ -3.50 0.00 0.00 -3.50 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 80.00 0.00 0.00% -0.2134 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 ✅ 17.07 0.00 0.00 17.07 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by June 15? Yes No 161.29 0.00 0.00% -0.1179 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 15 2023 ✅ 19.02 0.00 0.00 19.02 Trades
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 80.00 0.00% 0.0325 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 ✅ -2.60 0.00 0.00 -2.60 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 27 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Will CZ be arrested by June 30? Yes No 137.81 0.00 0.00% -0.0994 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 13.70 0.00 0.00 13.70 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? Yes No 99.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0101 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -10.10 0.00 0.00 -10.10 Trades
Will NATO expand by June 30? Yes No 0.00 293.57 0.00% 0.0192 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -5.65 0.00 0.00 -5.65 Trades
Will MEXC become insolvent by July 3? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0070 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 03 2023 ✅ -1.40 0.00 0.00 -1.40 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? Yes No 45.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 ✅ -1.35 0.00 0.00 -1.35 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? Yes No 263.95 0.00 0.00% -0.2860 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 16 2023 ✅ 75.49 0.00 0.00 75.49 Trades
Will $XRP hit $1 by July 20? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 20 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will the US soldier be released from North Korea by July 25? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0873 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ 17.46 0.00 0.00 17.46 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% -1.0247 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ 102.47 0.00 0.00 102.47 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -2.95 0.00 0.00 -2.95 Trades
Will Jamie Dimon announce he is running for president by July 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1385 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -13.85 0.00 0.00 -13.85 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,500 by July 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
North Korea missile test by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 66.90 0.00 0.00 66.90 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.0077 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 01 2023 ✅ -4.60 0.00 0.00 -4.60 Trades
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? Yes No 97.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0482 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 04 2023 ✅ -4.70 0.00 0.00 -4.70 Trades
Will Curve's founder get liquidated? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
North Korea nuke by August 15? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ -12.00 0.00 0.00 -12.00 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Jesus Christ return by August 31? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0020 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0080 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -3.20 0.00 0.00 -3.20 Trades
Will Friend Tech fall off? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 17 2023 ✅ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 0.00 44.63 0.00% -1.0319 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 ✅ 46.05 0.00 0.00 46.05 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 ✅ 83.07 0.00 0.00 83.07 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 ✅ -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will OpenSea announce a token by September 30? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.0050 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ -2.50 0.00 0.00 -2.50 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 402.99 0.00 0.00 403.00 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? Yes No 0.00 1,125.00 0.00% 0.0174 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 ✅ -19.62 0.00 0.00 -19.62 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 10? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.0380 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 09 2023 ✅ -19.00 0.00 0.00 -19.00 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 11? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 11 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 400.01 0.00% -0.0260 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 ✅ 10.40 0.00 0.00 10.40 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.0250 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
North Korea missile test by October 15? Yes No 46.78 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -0.94 0.00 0.00 -0.94 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0020 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ 107.88 0.00 0.00 107.88 Trades
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? Yes No 0.00 1,600.00 0.00% 0.0079 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 ✅ -12.60 0.00 0.00 -12.60 Trades
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0190 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -3.80 0.00 0.00 -3.80 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% -0.6080 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 121.60 0.00 0.00 121.60 Trades
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween? Yes No 300.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0170 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -5.10 0.00 0.00 -5.10 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 2,000.00 0.00% 0.0136 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -27.20 0.00 0.00 -27.20 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0293 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -8.80 0.00 0.00 -8.80 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 110.31 0.00% 0.0663 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -7.31 0.00 0.00 -7.31 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0433 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -13.00 0.00 0.00 -13.00 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% -0.0490 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 9.79 0.00 0.00 9.79 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.0186 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -9.30 0.00 0.00 -9.30 Trades
Will Hikaru win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 04 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Fabiano win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 04 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1150 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ -23.00 0.00 0.00 -23.00 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ -10.78 0.00 0.00 -10.78 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ 37.00 0.00 0.00 37.00 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 299.99 0.00 0.00% -0.0215 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 6.46 0.00 0.00 6.46 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.0120 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? Yes No 0.00 151.74 0.00% -0.2467 0.00 1.00 0.00 151.74 Sat Dec 02 2023 ✅ 37.43 0.00 0.00 189.17 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ 110.25 0.00 0.00 110.27 Trades
Community notes on Biden Xeet by December 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 11 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 197.47 0.00% 0.0180 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ -3.55 0.00 0.00 -3.55 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
$JTO above $2 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 170.80 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -3.42 0.00 0.00 -3.42 Trades
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? Yes No 215.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0314 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 ✅ -6.75 0.00 0.00 -6.75 Trades
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 556.02 0.00% 0.0769 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -42.76 0.00 0.00 -42.76 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 2.20 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 1.00 0.00 2.20 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -0.20 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Julie Su be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ 70.40 0.00 0.00 70.40 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Jupiter airdrop in 2023? Yes No 198.95 0.00 0.00% 0.0251 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? Yes No 199.63 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.99 0.00 0.00 -5.99 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0290 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.80 0.00 0.00 -5.80 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 65.97 0.00 0.00 65.97 Trades
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Elon Musk visit Gaza in 2023? Yes No 200.10 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
CZ jail in 2023? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 145.62 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4.37 0.00 0.00 -4.37 Trades
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0225 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -9.00 0.00 0.00 -9.00 Trades
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.0433 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -26.00 0.00 0.00 -26.00 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% -0.5850 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 117.00 0.00 0.00 117.00 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0350 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3.50 0.00 0.00 -3.50 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 95.17 0.00 0.00 95.18 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 480.77 0.00 0.00% 0.2600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -125.00 0.00 0.00 -125.00 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 800.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0575 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -46.00 0.00 0.00 -46.00 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.86 0.00 0.00 -1.86 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0262 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -26.25 0.00 0.00 -26.25 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -12.00 0.00 0.00 -12.00 Trades
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,700.00 0.00% 0.0403 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -68.50 0.00 0.00 -68.50 Trades
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
zkSync airdrop in 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,522.00 0.00% 0.0457 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -69.55 0.00 0.00 -69.55 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.91 0.00 0.00 -8.91 Trades
Will Tucker interview Putin? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 648.26 0.00% 0.0633 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -41.06 0.00 0.00 -41.06 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.0180 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -18.00 0.00 0.00 -18.00 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -42.50 0.00 0.00 -42.50 Trades
North Korea nuke by December 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Alien contact in 2023? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% -0.2270 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2.27 0.00 0.00 2.27 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0387 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -11.60 0.00 0.00 -11.60 Trades
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Binance insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.75 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 174.76 0.00 0.00% -0.0040 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.69 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? Yes No 0.00 25.77 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.77 0.00 0.00 -0.77 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6.40 0.00 0.00 -6.40 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0477 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -14.30 0.00 0.00 -14.30 Trades
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? $1 first $2 first 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 70.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0714 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.80 0.00 0.00 -5.80 Trades
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? Yes No 1,149.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0042 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 ✅ -4.85 0.00 0.00 -4.85 Trades
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 28 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% -1.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 212.00 0.00 0.00 212.00 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war before February? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 193.85 0.00 0.00% 0.0250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -4.85 0.00 0.00 -4.85 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 34.56 0.00 0.00 34.56 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? Yes No 0.00 0.10 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.10 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ 4.33 0.00 0.00 4.43 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 4,200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0024 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.0075 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview over 300 million views on X in first 24 hours? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.60 Trades
Is Google shutting down Gmail? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0030 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 32.00 0.00 0.00 32.00 Trades
Will Andrew Tate launch a cryptocurrency in February? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0233 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% -0.0740 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ 14.79 0.00 0.00 14.79 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Ethereum all time high by end of March? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by end of March? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0350 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -3.50 0.00 0.00 -3.50 Trades
Biden cognitive test before April? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.0135 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -5.40 0.00 0.00 -5.40 Trades
North Korea nuke by March 31? Yes No 405.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0207 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -8.40 0.00 0.00 -8.40 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 154.00 0.00 0.00 154.00 Trades
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April? Yes No 0.00 271.54 0.00% -0.1058 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 28.72 0.00 0.00 28.72 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? Yes No 2.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.0139 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -11.10 0.00 0.00 -11.10 Trades
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% -0.3730 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 186.50 0.00 0.00 186.50 Trades
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
CZ sentenced to prison? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
zkSync airdrop by April? Yes No 206.77 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -6.20 0.00 0.00 -6.20 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
OpenSea token by May 1? Yes No 1.53 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
Another Tesla recall before July? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 ✅ 28.64 0.00 0.00 28.64 Trades
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? BTC ETH 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 ✅ 109.98 0.00 0.00 109.99 Trades
Resolved 107.37 151.88 1,342.25 0.00 0.00 1,601.51
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 28.36 0.00 0.00 28.36
Total 107.37 151.88 1,370.61 0.00 0.00 1,629.86