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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 576.79 0.00 0.00% 0.3629 0.89 0.11 512.17 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -209.30 0.00 0.00 302.88 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 100.65 0.00 0.00 100.65 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1850 0.50 0.50 100.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -37.00 0.00 0.00 63.00 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 72.36 0.00 0.00% -0.5304 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 38.38 0.00 0.00 38.38 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 29.99 0.00 0.00 29.99 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 8.38 0.00 0.00 8.38 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 555.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0477 0.05 0.95 29.73 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -26.45 0.00 0.00 3.28 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.03 0.97 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.85 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 28.88 0.00 0.00% 0.4320 0.44 0.56 12.69 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.22 Trades
Solana ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 298.15 0.00 0.00% 0.0501 0.03 0.97 10.21 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -14.93 0.00 0.00 -4.72 Trades
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 808.20 0.00 0.00% 0.0207 0.01 0.99 8.16 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -16.69 0.00 0.00 -8.53 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 210.57 0.00 0.00% 0.0475 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 14.29 0.00 0.00% 0.7000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Elizabeth Warren crypto bill become law by June? Yes No 26.40 0.00 0.00% 0.3788 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 40.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 0.00 13.70 0.00% 0.7920 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -10.85 0.00 0.00 -10.85 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1515 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -30.30 0.00 0.00 -30.30 Trades
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 1,303.21 0.00 0.00% 0.0743 0.01 0.99 16.40 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -96.84 0.00 0.00 -80.44 Trades
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -92.00 0.00 0.00 -92.00 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 891.42 0.00 0.00% 0.1643 0.04 0.96 37.23 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -146.42 0.00 0.00 -109.19 Trades
Fed rate cut by September 18? Yes No 226.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6371 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 18 2024 -143.98 0.00 0.00 -143.98 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 1,982.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0946 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -187.52 0.00 0.00 -187.52 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 335.27 0.00 0.00% 0.5625 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -188.58 0.00 0.00 -188.58 Trades
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes No 1,447.47 0.00 0.00% 0.4222 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -611.09 0.00 0.00 -611.09 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 1,310.00 0.00% 0.7223 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -946.19 0.00 0.00 -946.19 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 0.00 6,665.70 0.00% 0.1511 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,007.51 0.00 0.00 -1,007.51 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 24,226.66 0.00 0.00% 0.0944 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -2,287.57 0.00 0.00 -2,287.57 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 13,501.02 0.00% 0.2929 0.96 0.04 0.00 536.19 Tue Sep 10 2024 -3,954.83 0.00 0.00 -3,418.63 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 20,128.13 0.00 0.00% 0.4125 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -8,303.54 0.00 0.00 -8,303.54 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 3,489.37 0.00 0.00 3,489.37 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… 2,424.37 0.00 0.00 2,424.37 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 1,640.69 0.00 0.00 1,640.69 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… 1,020.79 0.00 0.00 1,020.79 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 1,006.44 0.00 0.00 1,006.44 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 819.52 0.00 0.00 819.52 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 βœ… 687.67 0.00 0.00 687.67 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 665.74 0.00 0.00 665.74 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 βœ… 615.67 0.00 0.00 615.67 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… 531.40 0.00 0.00 531.40 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 377.92 0.00 0.00 377.92 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 309.11 0.00 0.00 309.11 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 βœ… 294.41 0.00 0.00 294.42 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… 290.14 0.00 0.00 290.14 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 βœ… 250.76 0.00 0.00 250.76 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 βœ… 219.78 0.00 0.00 219.78 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 218.69 0.00 0.00 218.69 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 211.68 0.00 0.00 211.69 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 200.35 0.00 0.00 200.36 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 199.07 0.00 0.00 199.07 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) Protasiewicz Kelly 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… 196.35 0.00 0.00 196.35 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 186.73 0.00 0.00 186.73 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 168.96 0.00 0.00 168.97 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 155.04 0.00 0.00 155.04 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 βœ… 145.24 0.00 0.00 145.25 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 120.83 0.00 0.00 120.84 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 116.87 0.00 0.00 116.87 Trades
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 98.39 0.00 0.00 98.39 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 89.33 0.00 0.00 89.33 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? Democrat Republican 0.00 1.02 0.00% -77.9181 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 79.44 0.04 0.00 79.47 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 7.39 0.00% -9.8777 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 72.97 0.15 0.00 73.12 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 71.81 0.00 0.00 71.81 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 βœ… 64.84 0.00 0.00 64.84 Trades
SBF guilty of all charges? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 61.06 0.00 0.00 61.06 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 53.56 0.00 0.00 53.56 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… 51.41 0.00 0.00 51.41 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Mills) or Republican (LePage) win in Maine? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 48.66 0.00 0.00 48.67 Trades
Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… 48.34 0.00 0.00 48.34 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 29 2022 βœ… 45.51 0.00 0.00 45.52 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 38.45 0.00 0.00 38.45 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 31.44 0.00 0.00 31.44 Trades
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 26 2024 βœ… 30.82 0.00 0.00 30.82 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 30.56 0.00 0.00 30.56 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 βœ… 26.09 0.00 0.00 26.10 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 24.88 0.00 0.00 24.89 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 21.49 0.00 0.00 21.50 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 βœ… 20.05 0.00 0.00 20.05 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 13.77 0.00 0.00 13.77 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 βœ… 13.70 0.00 0.00 13.70 Trades
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… 13.64 0.00 0.00 13.64 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 11.69 0.00 0.00 11.69 Trades
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 11.21 0.00 0.00 11.22 Trades
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 10.62 0.00 0.00 10.62 Trades
The Thiel Parlay Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 10.61 0.00 0.00 10.62 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 10.37 0.00 0.00 10.37 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% -0.1000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 βœ… 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 9.73 0.00 0.00 9.73 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 8.21 0.00 0.00 8.21 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 βœ… 8.17 0.00 0.00 8.17 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 8.12 0.00 0.00 8.13 Trades
OH-09 House: Will a Democrat (Kaptur) or Republican (Majewski) win? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 7.21 0.00 0.00 7.22 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 βœ… 6.00 0.00 0.00 6.01 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 5.74 0.00 0.00 5.75 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 βœ… 4.65 0.00 0.00 4.65 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
India Election: Modi reelected? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 βœ… 3.99 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 2.74 0.00 0.00 2.75 Trades
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 07 2024 βœ… 2.57 0.00 0.00 2.58 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 2.09 0.00 0.00 2.09 Trades
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 1.12 0.00 0.00 1.12 Trades
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
Trump contempt of court by September 30? Yes No 5.21 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 Trades
SBF jail by August 31? Yes No 0.00 2.78 0.00% 0.7482 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -2.08 0.00 0.00 -2.08 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0130 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 βœ… -2.60 0.00 0.00 -2.60 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 730.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0125 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 βœ… -9.15 0.00 0.00 -9.15 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 230.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 βœ… -9.20 0.00 0.00 -9.20 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 38.46 0.00 0.00% 0.2600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Yulia Navalnaya arrested in February? Yes No 526.32 0.00 0.00% 0.0190 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Biden executive action on US-Mexico border in February? Yes No 142.86 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March? Yes No 700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0143 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 08 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 326.32 0.00% 0.0337 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson announce he is running for president by May 31? Yes No 950.66 0.00 0.00% 0.0202 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -19.17 0.00 0.00 -19.17 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -21.50 0.00 0.00 -21.50 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 4.11 0.00 0.00% 6.9579 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -28.58 0.13 0.00 -28.45 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 917.00 0.00% 0.0318 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -29.19 0.00 0.00 -29.19 Trades
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? Yes No 711.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0419 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… -29.78 0.00 0.00 -29.78 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by April 30? Yes No 325.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0940 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -30.55 0.00 0.00 -30.55 Trades
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) Presley Reeves 364.48 0.00 0.00% 0.0999 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… -36.41 0.00 0.00 -36.41 Trades
Will USA win the 2023 Women's World Cup? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3726 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 19 2023 βœ… -37.26 0.00 0.00 -37.26 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida? Democrat Republican 300.01 0.00 0.00% 0.1298 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -38.93 0.00 0.00 -38.93 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 807.86 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -56.55 0.00 0.00 -56.55 Trades
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2280 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 βœ… -57.00 0.00 0.00 -57.00 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 164.91 0.00 0.00% 0.3546 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -58.47 0.00 0.00 -58.47 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? Yes No 555.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1061 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 βœ… -58.87 0.00 0.00 -58.87 Trades
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1260 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -63.00 0.00 0.00 -63.00 Trades
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -67.00 0.00 0.00 -67.00 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? Yes No 2,740.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0249 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -68.32 0.00 0.00 -68.32 Trades
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 βœ… -76.00 0.00 0.00 -76.00 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 1,020.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0816 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 βœ… -83.23 0.00 0.00 -83.23 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 318.50 0.00% 0.2625 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 βœ… -83.60 0.00 0.00 -83.60 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -85.77 0.00 0.00 -85.77 Trades
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? Yes No 399.55 0.00 0.00% 0.2186 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -87.35 0.00 0.00 -87.35 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 468.27 0.00 0.00% 0.1994 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 βœ… -93.40 0.00 0.00 -93.40 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -110.10 0.00 0.00 -110.09 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 709.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1566 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 βœ… -111.06 0.00 0.00 -111.06 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 1,605.37 0.00 0.00% 0.0772 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -123.97 0.00 0.00 -123.97 Trades
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? Yes No 1,432.78 0.00 0.00% 0.0986 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 βœ… -141.28 0.00 0.00 -141.28 Trades
Fed rate cut by June 12? Yes No 754.97 0.00 0.00% 0.2080 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 12 2024 βœ… -157.06 0.00 0.00 -157.06 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 1,153.42 0.00 0.00% 0.1427 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -164.62 0.00 0.00 -164.62 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 212.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -175.96 0.00 0.00 -175.96 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 1,364.27 0.00 0.00% 0.1619 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -220.82 0.00 0.00 -220.82 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 2,668.58 0.00 0.00% 0.0906 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -241.78 0.00 0.00 -241.78 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? Yes No 6,480.81 0.00 0.00% 0.0424 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -274.69 0.00 0.00 -274.69 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 1,437.38 0.00 0.00% 0.1963 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -282.20 0.00 0.00 -282.20 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 1,029.77 0.00 0.00% 0.2769 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -285.13 0.00 0.00 -285.13 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… -370.40 0.00 0.00 -370.40 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 1,983.40 0.00 0.00% 0.1998 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -396.30 0.00 0.00 -396.30 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 2,264.73 0.00 0.00% 0.1920 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -434.76 0.00 0.00 -434.76 Trades
Ukraine aid package by March 31? Yes No 1,982.79 0.00 0.00% 0.3319 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -658.10 0.00 0.00 -658.10 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 3,112.14 0.00% 0.2265 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 βœ… -704.95 0.00 0.00 -704.95 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 9,625.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1591 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 βœ… -1,531.72 0.00 0.00 -1,531.72 Trades
Resolved 0.15 0.03 10,065.81 0.32 0.00 10,066.31
Unresolved 726.60 536.20 -18,185.70 0.00 0.00 -16,922.91
Total 726.75 536.23 -8,119.89 0.32 0.00 -6,856.60