Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
|
54.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.17
|
Trades
|
House control after 2024 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
335.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5625
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-188.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-188.58
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
24,442.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0941
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-2,299.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,299.18
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
29.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.99
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
13.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.7920
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-10.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.85
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
99.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4021
|
|
0.49 |
0.51 |
49.19
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-40.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.02
|
Trades
|
Solana ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
1,982.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0946
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-187.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-187.52
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
28,082.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3758
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10,553.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10,553.84
|
Trades
|
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4600
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-92.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-92.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
12,446.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4058
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5,050.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,050.62
|
Trades
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
2.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.99
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
✅ |
294.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
294.42
|
Trades
|
The Thiel Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
10.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.62
|
Trades
|
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
11.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.22
|
Trades
|
OH-09 House: Will a Democrat (Kaptur) or Republican (Majewski) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
7.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.22
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
5.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.75
|
Trades
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
98.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
98.39
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida? |
Democrat |
Republican |
300.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1298
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-38.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-38.93
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? |
Democrat |
Republican |
2,668.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0906
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-241.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-241.78
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? |
Democrat |
Republican |
1,437.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1963
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-282.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-282.20
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
309.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
309.11
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-85.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-85.77
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
1.02
|
0.00% |
|
-77.9181
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
79.44
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
79.48
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
31.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.44
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
30.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.56
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Mills) or Republican (LePage) win in Maine? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
48.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.67
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
4.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
6.9579
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-28.58
|
0.13
|
0.00
|
-28.44
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.39
|
0.00% |
|
-9.8777
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
72.97
|
0.15
|
0.01
|
73.12
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
24.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.89
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
211.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
211.69
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
168.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
168.97
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
1,029.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2769
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-285.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-285.13
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
199.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
199.07
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
155.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
155.04
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
120.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
120.84
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
200.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
200.36
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
377.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
377.92
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 29 2022
|
✅ |
45.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.52
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
1,020.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0816
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
✅ |
-83.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-83.23
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
✅ |
145.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
145.25
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
13.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.77
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
38.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.45
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
2.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.75
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1,983.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1998
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-396.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-396.30
|
Trades
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
8.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.13
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
6,480.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0424
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-274.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-274.69
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
3,489.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,489.37
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
1,364.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1619
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
-220.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-220.82
|
Trades
|
Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
✅ |
48.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.34
|
Trades
|
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
✅ |
51.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.41
|
Trades
|
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) |
Protasiewicz |
Kelly |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
✅ |
196.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
196.35
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
53.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
53.56
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
325.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0940
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
-30.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.55
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
✅ |
615.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
615.67
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
917.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0318
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
-29.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.19
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoÄŸan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
✅ |
2,424.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,424.37
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson announce he is running for president by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
950.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0202
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
-19.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.17
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
71.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71.81
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
✅ |
-370.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-370.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
✅ |
26.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.10
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
2,740.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0249
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-68.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-68.32
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
819.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
819.52
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
1,006.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,006.44
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
116.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.87
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
531.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
531.40
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
711.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0419
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
-29.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.78
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
730.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0125
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
-9.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.15
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
468.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1994
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
-93.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-93.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
318.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.2625
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
-83.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-83.60
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
1,432.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0986
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
✅ |
-141.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-141.28
|
Trades
|
Will USA win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3726
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
✅ |
-37.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.26
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
709.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1566
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
✅ |
-111.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-111.06
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
✅ |
250.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
250.76
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
399.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2186
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-87.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-87.35
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
Trades
|
SBF jail by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.7482
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.08
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
-67.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-67.00
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
2,264.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1920
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
-434.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-434.76
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
1,020.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,020.79
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0130
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
✅ |
-2.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
230.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
✅ |
-9.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.20
|
Trades
|
Trump contempt of court by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
5.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-0.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.21
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
1,153.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1427
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-164.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-164.62
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
8.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.17
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,112.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.2265
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-704.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-704.95
|
Trades
|
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
13.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.64
|
Trades
|
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) |
Presley |
Reeves |
364.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0999
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-36.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36.41
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
9,625.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1591
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
-1,531.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,531.72
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
186.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
186.73
|
Trades
|
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1260
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-63.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-63.00
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
164.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3546
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-58.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.47
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-21.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.50
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,640.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,640.69
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
10.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.37
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
9.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.73
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.09
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
326.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.0337
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
212.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-175.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-175.96
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,605.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0772
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-123.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-123.97
|
Trades
|
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.12
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
218.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
218.69
|
Trades
|
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 07 2024
|
✅ |
2.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.58
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
20.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.05
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
555.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1061
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
-58.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.87
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) |
Suozzi |
Pilip |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
✅ |
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.01
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
13.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.70
|
Trades
|
Biden executive action on US-Mexico border in February? |
Yes |
No |
142.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Yulia Navalnaya arrested in February? |
Yes |
No |
526.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0190
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
10.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.62
|
Trades
|
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March? |
Yes |
No |
700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0143
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
38.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2280
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-57.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-57.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-76.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-76.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
807.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-56.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.55
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-110.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-110.09
|
Trades
|
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
✅ |
687.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
687.67
|
Trades
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
290.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
290.14
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,982.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3319
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-658.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-658.10
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
89.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
89.33
|
Trades
|
Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 08 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 26 2024
|
✅ |
30.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.82
|
Trades
|
India Election: Modi reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
3.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
219.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
219.78
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
754.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2080
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
✅ |
-157.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-157.06
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
11.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.69
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
210.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0475
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Elizabeth Warren crypto bill become law by June? |
Yes |
No |
26.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3788
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
8.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.21
|
Trades
|
SBF guilty of all charges? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
61.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.06
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
21.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.50
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
999.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0814
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
-81.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-81.36
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
849.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4586
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-389.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-389.61
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
72.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.5304
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
✅ |
38.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.38
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0919
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-36.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36.76
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
102.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
102.06
|
Trades
|
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
808.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0207
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-16.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.69
|
Trades
|
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
555.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0477
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-26.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.45
|
Trades
|
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1,303.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0743
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-96.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-96.84
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
8.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.38
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
298.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0501
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-14.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.93
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
705.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1599
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-112.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-112.70
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13,501.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.2929
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-3,954.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,954.83
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
0.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.85
|
Trades
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? |
Biden |
Haley |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
4.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.65
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6,665.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.1511
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-1,007.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,007.51
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
321.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9766
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-313.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-313.50
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
64.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
64.84
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
665.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
665.74
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.15
|
0.04
|
|
|
4,144.30
|
0.32
|
0.01
|
4,144.81
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
49.19
|
0.00
|
|
|
-18,345.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18,296.30
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
49.34
|
0.04
|
|
|
-14,201.19
|
0.32
|
0.01
|
-14,151.49
|
|