Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 128.88 0.00 0.00 128.88 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 8.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -56.50 0.00 0.00 -56.50 Trades
Fed rate cut by June 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 12 2024 -71.00 0.00 0.00 -71.00 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.3900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -78.00 0.00 0.00 -78.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by September 18? Yes No 150.17 0.00 0.00% 0.7025 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 18 2024 -105.50 0.00 0.00 -105.50 Trades
Fed rate cut by November 7? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6150 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 07 2024 -123.00 0.00 0.00 -123.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by December 18? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6650 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 18 2024 -133.00 0.00 0.00 -133.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 βœ… 880.48 0.00 0.00 880.48 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 βœ… 401.50 0.00 0.00 401.50 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 281.00 0.00 0.00 281.00 Trades
Will Olivia Chow win the 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 βœ… 220.18 0.00 0.00 220.18 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from April to May 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 βœ… 197.03 0.00 0.00 197.03 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 02 2023 βœ… 172.47 0.00 0.00 172.47 Trades
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… 165.00 0.00 0.00 165.00 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 162.70 0.00 0.00 162.70 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… 150.85 0.00 0.00 150.85 Trades
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 134.86 0.00 0.00 134.86 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 βœ… 121.00 0.00 0.00 121.00 Trades
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 βœ… 113.00 0.00 0.00 113.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1750 on April 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 06 2023 βœ… 102.02 0.00 0.00 102.02 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from June to July 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 09 2023 βœ… 100.10 0.00 0.00 100.10 Trades
$ETH above $1850 on April 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 14 2023 βœ… 95.96 0.00 0.00 95.96 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 81.40 0.00 0.00 81.40 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from May to Jun 2023? Yes No 293.38 0.00 0.00% 0.7242 1.00 0.00 293.38 0.00 Tue Jul 11 2023 βœ… -212.46 0.00 0.00 80.92 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 78.00 0.00 0.00 78.00 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 71.95 0.00 0.00 71.95 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 βœ… 64.01 0.00 0.00 64.01 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… 55.60 0.00 0.00 55.60 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1750 on March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… 44.82 0.00 0.00 44.82 Trades
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… 44.70 0.00 0.00 44.70 Trades
Will Aston Martin beat Mercedes in the 2023 F1 season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 βœ… 43.73 0.00 0.00 43.73 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from June to July 2023? Yes No 190.71 0.00 0.00% 0.7712 1.00 0.00 190.71 0.00 Wed Aug 09 2023 βœ… -147.07 0.00 0.00 43.64 Trades
Did US GDP grow 1.0% or more in Q2 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 26 2023 βœ… 40.28 0.00 0.00 40.28 Trades
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 βœ… 37.00 0.00 0.00 37.00 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… 34.26 0.00 0.00 34.26 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 βœ… 31.00 0.00 0.00 31.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 27.00 0.00 0.00 27.00 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 26.00 0.00 0.00 26.00 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 21 2023 βœ… 25.11 0.00 0.00 25.11 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 βœ… -75.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Trades
ETH above $1,900 on April 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 10 2023 βœ… 24.68 0.00 0.00 24.68 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 βœ… 18.17 0.00 0.00 18.17 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 16.74 0.00 0.00 16.74 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 16.64 0.00 0.00 16.64 Trades
ARB or SUI higher on May 19? ARB SUI 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 19 2023 βœ… 13.85 0.00 0.00 13.85 Trades
ETH above $1,800 on April 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 02 2023 βœ… 12.92 0.00 0.00 12.92 Trades
BTC above $30,000 on April 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 12 2023 βœ… 12.28 0.00 0.00 12.28 Trades
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? $1 first $2 first 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 12.23 0.00 0.00 12.23 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 12.22 0.00 0.00 12.22 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 12.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Trades
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.2400 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -3.60 0.00 0.00 11.40 Trades
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -89.00 0.00 0.00 11.00 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 10.60 0.00 0.00 10.60 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from March to April 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 βœ… 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will β€˜Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 βœ… -90.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from April to May 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9100 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 βœ… -91.00 0.00 0.00 9.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from May to June 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 11 2023 βœ… 8.15 0.00 0.00 8.15 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… 7.50 0.00 0.00 7.50 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 βœ… 7.10 0.00 0.00 7.10 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 βœ… 6.83 0.00 0.00 6.83 Trades
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 6.16 0.00 0.00 6.16 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from May to June 2023? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9600 1.00 0.00 150.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 βœ… -144.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from March to April 2023? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 99.99 0.00% -0.0493 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 βœ… 4.93 0.00 0.00 4.93 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 4.77 0.00 0.00 4.77 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% -0.1440 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 3.60 0.00 0.00 3.60 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… 3.08 0.00 0.00 3.08 Trades
$ETH above $1800 on April 14? Yes No 22.22 0.00 0.00% 0.9000 1.00 0.00 22.22 0.00 Fri Apr 14 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 2.22 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from February to March 2023? Yes No 102.04 0.00 0.00% 0.9800 1.00 0.00 102.04 0.00 Tue Apr 11 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 2.04 Trades
Will Tucker interview Putin? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 βœ… 1.78 0.00 0.00 1.79 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 1.67 0.00 0.00 1.67 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? Yes No 0.00 3.00 0.00% 0.6500 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 βœ… -1.95 0.00 0.00 1.05 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1700 on April 7? Yes No 101.01 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 101.01 0.00 Thu Apr 06 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 1.01 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.26 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from April to May 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
BTC above $27,000 at end of September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.19 Trades
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 βœ… -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.29 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from August to September 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.33 0.00% 0.2500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 11 2023 βœ… -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.33 Trades
ETH above $1,900 on April 12? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 12 2023 βœ… -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.56 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1800 on April 7? Yes No 131.13 0.00 0.00% 1.0149 1.00 0.00 131.13 0.00 Thu Apr 06 2023 βœ… -133.09 0.00 0.00 -1.96 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 βœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' flop? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -3.28 0.00 0.00 -3.28 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 βœ… -3.60 0.00 0.00 -3.60 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1800 on March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… -4.05 0.00 0.00 -4.05 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 βœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 βœ… -6.01 0.00 0.00 -6.01 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from May to June 2023? Yes No 113.53 0.00 0.00% 0.0639 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 11 2023 βœ… -7.25 0.00 0.00 -7.25 Trades
Will Trump's 538 favorability rating be 37.4% or higher on April 14? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.5000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 14 2023 βœ… -7.50 0.00 0.00 -7.50 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
ETH above $1,800 on May 25? Yes No 23.68 0.00 0.00% 0.4000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 24 2023 βœ… -9.47 0.00 0.00 -9.47 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -10.50 0.00 0.00 -10.50 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from May to June 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 11 2023 βœ… -14.71 0.00 0.00 -14.71 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 48.42 0.00 0.00% 0.3098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? Yes No 0.00 45.45 0.00% 0.3300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from February to March 2023? Yes No 33.33 0.00 0.00% 0.4500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 11 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? Yes No 0.00 29.41 0.00% 0.5100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 14 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.0500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.1500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Sweden win the 2023 Women's World Cup? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 19 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 21.43 0.00% 0.7000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -17.50 0.00 0.00 -17.50 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from June to July 2023? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 09 2023 βœ… -18.50 0.00 0.00 -18.50 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 βœ… -21.58 0.00 0.00 -21.58 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -27.54 0.00 0.00 -27.54 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -33.00 0.00 0.00 -33.00 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 βœ… -37.00 0.00 0.00 -37.00 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 βœ… -37.00 0.00 0.00 -37.00 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.2025 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 βœ… -40.50 0.00 0.00 -40.50 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from April to May 2023? Yes No 141.50 0.00 0.00% 0.2883 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 βœ… -40.80 0.00 0.00 -40.80 Trades
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 βœ… -46.00 0.00 0.00 -46.00 Trades
Will TD get over 11% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 βœ… -47.00 0.00 0.00 -47.00 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? Yes No 0.00 149.54 0.00% 0.3300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -49.35 0.00 0.00 -49.35 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 336.44 0.00 0.00% 0.1511 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 βœ… -50.83 0.00 0.00 -50.83 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 βœ… -55.00 0.00 0.00 -55.00 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -60.50 0.00 0.00 -60.50 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -66.00 0.00 0.00 -66.00 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -66.70 0.00 0.00 -66.70 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -67.28 0.00 0.00 -67.28 Trades
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 18 2023 βœ… -75.00 0.00 0.00 -75.00 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 576.19 0.00% 0.1432 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 βœ… -82.50 0.00 0.00 -82.50 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… -83.70 0.00 0.00 -83.70 Trades
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 βœ… -92.00 0.00 0.00 -92.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -93.10 0.00 0.00 -93.10 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 βœ… -94.00 0.00 0.00 -94.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.10 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -110.70 0.00 0.00 -110.70 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.3950 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -118.50 0.00 0.00 -118.50 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 1.9550 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -195.50 0.00 0.00 -195.50 Trades
Resolved 1,210.51 218.02 1,096.65 0.00 0.00 2,525.17
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -430.09 0.00 0.00 -430.09
Total 1,210.51 218.02 666.56 0.00 0.00 2,095.08