1713492601000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x44c298af
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$42.00
|
150.00
|
0.2800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713477217000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x0020580c
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$29.00
|
100.00
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713477217000
|
Fed rate cut by December 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$71.00
|
100.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713046183000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$28.50
|
50.00
|
0.5700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712961509000
|
Fed rate cut by November 7?
|
0x43372356
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$68.00
|
100.00
|
0.6800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712929545000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$27.00
|
150.00
|
0.1800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712929545000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x3c73c07b
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$57.40
|
70.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712929545000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x482555ee
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$14.40
|
80.00
|
0.1800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712694414000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x7419add7
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$11.40
|
20.00
|
0.5700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712694360000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x7419add7
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$57.15
|
74.22
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712685622000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x0a26054f
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$21.00
|
50.00
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712684358000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0xcc60efa2
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$17.10
|
30.00
|
0.5700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712679608000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?
|
0x3ce32f81
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$38.00
|
200.00
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712679143000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$19.85
|
25.95
|
0.7650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712679143000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x671151cf
|
0xcc60efa2
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6.10
|
25.95
|
0.2350
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712322042000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x71e11e0f
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$14.00
|
20.00
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712322042000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x71e11e0f
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$56.00
|
80.00
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711379315000
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
|
0x86f013f9
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$55.00
|
100.00
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711037153000
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
|
0x4c2da46b
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$13.00
|
100.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710952434000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?
|
0x13fcb768
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$65.00
|
100.00
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710948574000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x22dbd51e
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$33.00
|
100.00
|
0.3300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710948574000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$67.00
|
100.00
|
0.6700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710514040000
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
|
0xa04fa489
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$22.05
|
45.00
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710506178000
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$26.95
|
55.00
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710168892000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$22.00
|
100.00
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710168892000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?
|
0x671151cf
|
0xb7471199
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$22.00
|
100.00
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709258256000
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?
|
0xfb28de47
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$18.00
|
100.00
|
0.1800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709250057000
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x30e44387
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$21.00
|
50.00
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709250057000
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$21.00
|
50.00
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709191446000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x1f0a3435
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$99.50
|
100.00
|
0.9950
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709127478000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x88caf892
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$27.00
|
100.00
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709127478000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$27.00
|
100.00
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709067472000
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
|
0x69026a45
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$112.50
|
150.00
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709040093000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x24c58fe0
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$39.50
|
50.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709037159000
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$30.00
|
150.00
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709037159000
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$120.00
|
150.00
|
0.8000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709037127000
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$80.00
|
100.00
|
0.8000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709037127000
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$20.00
|
100.00
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709023242000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$167.99
|
199.99
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708993803000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0xdd28e6a3
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$69.00
|
100.00
|
0.6900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708986862000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x484285ca
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$23.50
|
50.00
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708970201000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0xf118d0d1
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$75.00
|
100.00
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708964071000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$59.90
|
100.00
|
0.5990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708964071000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x9a080a77
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$40.10
|
100.00
|
0.4010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708963867000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x7c61fa02
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$26.00
|
100.00
|
0.2600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708949416000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x24c58fe0
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$50.49
|
99.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708948347000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x927a057b
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.51
|
1.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708793170000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$321.34
|
331.97
|
0.9680
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708793170000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.62
|
331.97
|
0.0320
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708549879000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x5f211a24
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$66.00
|
100.00
|
0.6600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708280267000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
|
0x24c58fe0
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$95.00
|
100.00
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708275118000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$385.00
|
393.25
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708275118000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x542aae10
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$8.09
|
385.00
|
0.0210
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708275118000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.17
|
8.25
|
0.0200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708274898000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$23.00
|
100.00
|
0.2300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708274898000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x671151cf
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.31
|
44.81
|
0.2300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708274898000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$12.69
|
55.19
|
0.2300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707831743000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$77.00
|
100.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707081831000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xb904a273
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$107.08
|
123.08
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707073047000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x351a7216
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$19.00
|
100.00
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707069537000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xddaec1a6
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$66.92
|
76.92
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706592704000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$0.50
|
100.00
|
0.0050
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706592704000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.50
|
100.00
|
0.0050
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705501270000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$41.52
|
70.37
|
0.5900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705482434000
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
|
0xd36b57a3
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$18.00
|
50.00
|
0.3600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705482212000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x12e86aa0
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$9.83
|
51.71
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705478650000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x260f5884
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7.04
|
37.04
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705474600000
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
|
0x6af75d4e
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$39.00
|
100.00
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705011576000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x817ccaea
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$19.50
|
97.51
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704873586000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x260f5884
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.50
|
2.49
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704752394000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0xa54af1ee
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.25
|
1.25
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704732228000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
10.00
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704724629000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$200.00
|
370.37
|
0.5400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704724629000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$78.37
|
170.37
|
0.4600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704724629000
|
Fed rate cut by March 20?
|
0x671151cf
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$92.00
|
200.00
|
0.4600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704464989000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0x671151cf
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$0.40
|
100.00
|
0.0040
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704464989000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$99.60
|
100.00
|
0.9960
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703056951000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
|
0x3d81c9ba
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$25.00
|
100.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702966816000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x32cf8efc
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.90
|
100.00
|
0.0090
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702966816000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.90
|
100.00
|
0.0090
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702966778000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x32cf8efc
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$12.10
|
1,099.90
|
0.0110
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702966778000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x671151cf
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.20
|
100.00
|
0.0120
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702966778000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$13.30
|
1,199.90
|
0.0111
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702773526000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$61.00
|
100.00
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702773526000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x4c2da46b
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$11.70
|
30.00
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702773526000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$27.30
|
70.00
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702773430000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$89.00
|
100.00
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702773430000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$11.00
|
100.00
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702648658000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$104.41
|
106.00
|
0.9850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701718817000
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?
|
0x644ad369
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$84.00
|
100.00
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701710332000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
|
0xbffeed39
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.25
|
5.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701707038000
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
|
0x3098f334
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$23.75
|
95.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701473203000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$97.00
|
100.00
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701448371000
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31?
|
0x41485ee5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$54.00
|
180.00
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701419460000
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
|
0x50b2c154
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$0.70
|
5.80
|
0.1200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701412018000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$36.00
|
900.00
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701412018000
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
|
0x671151cf
|
0xf4ad6aed
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$36.00
|
900.00
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701411712000
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
|
0x671151cf
|
0x84fee50c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.94
|
24.72
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701411712000
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
|
0x671151cf
|
0xca5224eb
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$55.11
|
68.89
|
0.8000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701411712000
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x671151cf
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$18.72
|
93.61
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|