Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
3,944.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,944.08
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.16
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
0.03
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
2,495.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,495.47
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.95 |
0.05 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
1,525.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,525.20
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
315.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
315.95
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.58
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.29
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
124.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
124.83
|
Trades
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
69.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
69.30
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
9.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.13
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
|
0.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.63
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
205.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-200.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.90
|
Trades
|
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? |
Yes |
No |
456.84
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4789
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-218.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-218.78
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-328.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-328.53
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
457.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-411.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-411.66
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
451.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-428.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-428.52
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-438.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-438.63
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,406.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3537
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-497.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-497.32
|
Trades
|
Alien contact in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
927.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-889.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-889.92
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
10,244.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1297
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-1,329.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,329.19
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,912.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.9790
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-2,850.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,850.88
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,927.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.6000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
|
-2,956.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,956.20
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7,349.60
|
0.00% |
|
0.9593
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-7,050.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7,050.40
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
39,994.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39,994.32
|
Trades
|
Will Kari Lake be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
35,339.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35,339.00
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
33,116.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33,116.93
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
40,955.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2497
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
40,955.24
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-10,225.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30,729.87
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
25,972.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25,972.20
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
12,695.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12,695.57
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
11,834.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11,834.42
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
10,712.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,712.25
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Jun 02 2023
|
β
|
9,988.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,988.69
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
39,003.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2332
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
9,095.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,095.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
7,614.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,614.21
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
6,210.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,210.17
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
5,674.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,674.30
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: San Diego State Aztecs vs. Florida Atlantic Owls 2023-04-01 |
San Diego State |
Florida Atlantic |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
5,502.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,502.50
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
5,153.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,153.14
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
5,055.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,055.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
4,961.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,961.55
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
4,027.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,027.01
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
3,611.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,611.74
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
2,287.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,287.65
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,857.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,857.43
|
Trades
|
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.03
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.03
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
1,837.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,837.41
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,411.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.6972
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,411.42
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-3,772.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,638.57
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,608.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,608.73
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
1,162.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,162.82
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
47,032.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9780
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
47,032.09
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-45,999.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,032.96
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 21 2023
|
β
|
921.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
921.58
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
878.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
878.80
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
820.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
820.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
792.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
792.74
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
655.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
655.40
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
635.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
635.63
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
551.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
551.35
|
Trades
|
Will an American win WSOP main event? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
519.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
519.04
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVII Coin Toss: Heads or Tails? |
Heads |
Tails |
0.00
|
1,058.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.5272
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,058.82
|
Wed Feb 08 2023
|
β
|
-558.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
500.59
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 08 2023
|
β
|
481.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
481.29
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
61.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-6.7189
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
61.67
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
414.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
476.00
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
410.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
410.16
|
Trades
|
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury |
Paul |
Fury |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 26 2023
|
β
|
403.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
403.91
|
Trades
|
Will Trump mention "Joe/Joseph Biden" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
369.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
369.98
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14,075.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9759
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
14,075.70
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-13,736.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
338.89
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
309.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
309.39
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? |
Yes |
No |
797.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6287
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
797.54
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
-501.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
296.11
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
504.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4533
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
504.43
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-228.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
275.79
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
656.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.5866
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
656.43
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
β
|
-385.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
271.36
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on February 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 24 2023
|
β
|
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
250.00
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Joe Biden" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 20 2023
|
β
|
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
250.00
|
Trades
|
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.30
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
191.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
191.38
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
249.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.7481
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
186.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
186.45
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
1,112.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8330
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,112.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-926.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
185.75
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
149.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
149.13
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21,270.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.9931
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
21,270.96
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-21,124.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
146.86
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
134.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
134.86
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
755.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8545
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
755.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-645.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
109.85
|
Trades
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
92.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.50
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
99.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
99.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-10.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
88.11
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Folks" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
335.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8182
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
335.66
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-274.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.04
|
Trades
|
Will Bank of America fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 15 2023
|
β
|
57.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
57.46
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
53.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
53.70
|
Trades
|
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
736.84
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0637
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
46.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.90
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 67 ETH on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
45.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.56
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
40.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.19
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
40.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.06
|
Trades
|
Red Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
194.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7948
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
194.00
|
Wed Feb 08 2023
|
β
|
-154.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.80
|
Trades
|
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
39.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.21
|
Trades
|
Is Vivek Ramaswamy GCR? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,698.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,698.99
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-3,662.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.99
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
2,385.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9865
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,385.66
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-2,353.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.22
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: UConn Huskies vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes 2023-04-01 |
UConn |
Miami (FL) |
288.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8890
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
288.24
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-256.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.00
|
Trades
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
β
|
30.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.50
|
Trades
|
Instacart market cap >20b? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
28.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.25
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9900
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,500.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-2,475.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 08 2022
|
β
|
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.50
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,155.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,155.87
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,144.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.56
|
Trades
|
Will Schwab fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Wed Mar 15 2023
|
β
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
310.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0305
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
9.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.47
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Super Bowl" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.7372
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
33.91
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.91
|
Trades
|
Will Jamie Dimon announce he is running for president by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
7.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.95
|
Trades
|
Will SVB fail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
7.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.57
|
Trades
|
Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
4.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.97
|
Trades
|
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
423.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.9894
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
423.43
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-418.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.47
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? |
Yes |
No |
8.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
8.82
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 03 2023
|
β
|
-4.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.41
|
Trades
|
Will Bryce Young be first QB selected in the 2023 NFL draft? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 28 2023
|
β
|
2.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.93
|
Trades
|
Is Obama queer? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
289.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.9904
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
289.63
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-286.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.78
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $26,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
850.54
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0020
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
1.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.70
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
β
|
1.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.52
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
47.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.9850
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
47.97
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-47.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.72
|
Trades
|
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2023 Masters Tournament? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
0.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.62
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2023 Masters Tournament? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.7627
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.62
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.62
|
Trades
|
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2023 Masters Tournament? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.7627
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.62
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.62
|
Trades
|
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
48.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9900
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
48.33
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-47.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.48
|
Trades
|
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2023 Masters Tournament? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.59
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-2.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.39
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
4.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9767
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.10
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Jon Rahm win the 2023 Masters Tournament? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.7627
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
252.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0185
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.67
|
Trades
|
Will @elonmusk have 23,391-23,410 tweets on March 6? |
Yes |
No |
133.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0376
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 06 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will @elonmusk have 23,411-23,430 tweets on March 6? |
Yes |
No |
267.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0187
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 06 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will @elonmusk have 23,370 or fewer tweets on March 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
260.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.0192
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 06 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will @elonmusk have 23,431-23,450 tweets on March 6? |
Yes |
No |
203.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0246
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 06 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will @elonmusk have 23,371-23,390 tweets on March 6? |
Yes |
No |
240.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0208
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 06 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will @elonmusk have 23,451 or more tweets on March 6? |
Yes |
No |
531.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0188
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 06 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nate Silver win the WSOP main event? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
114.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1353
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
β
|
-15.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.52
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-17.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.22
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1167
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-17.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.50
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-18.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.83
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Clinton" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? |
Yes |
No |
555.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-27.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.75
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-30.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.17
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,214.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.0107
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
-34.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.31
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
2,498.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 15 2023
|
β
|
-37.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.48
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
400.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0981
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-39.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-39.31
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
785.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0568
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-44.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-44.55
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention "AI" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
235.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1916
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-45.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.04
|
Trades
|
Patriots vs. Dolphins |
Patriots |
Dolphins |
520.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0899
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
-46.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-46.75
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,608.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-48.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-48.25
|
Trades
|
NFL: Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots 2023-08-19 |
Packers |
Patriots |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-51.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-51.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-51.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-51.35
|
Trades
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 19.75 on May 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
248.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.2200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 22 2023
|
β
|
-54.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.73
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
555.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-55.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.50
|
Trades
|
Chiefs vs. Bears |
Chiefs |
Bears |
0.00
|
565.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.1100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 24 2023
|
β
|
-62.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-62.25
|
Trades
|
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,181.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0544
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-64.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-64.30
|
Trades
|
Eagles vs. Vikings |
Eagles |
Vikings |
0.00
|
281.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.2900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 14 2023
|
β
|
-81.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-81.69
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-89.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-89.10
|
Trades
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 21 on June 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-90.00
|
Trades
|
Will Super Bowl LVII's final score be "The Script Score"? |
Yes |
No |
9,001.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 09 2023
|
β
|
-90.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-90.01
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
3,991.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0251
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-100.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.17
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.05
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.05
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
-106.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-106.90
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
750.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
-112.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-112.50
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Illinois Fighting Illini 2023-03-16 |
Arkansas |
Illinois |
0.00
|
371.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.3214
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 16 2023
|
β
|
-119.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-119.35
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
900.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1389
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-125.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,500 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-129.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-129.77
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
4,147.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0356
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-147.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-147.83
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-160.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-160.00
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Russia" or "Putin" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
498.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
-164.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-164.51
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
2,242.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0849
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-190.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-190.39
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
971.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-194.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-194.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1333
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
1,602.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1309
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-209.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-209.71
|
Trades
|
Will the national anthem for Super Bowl LVII be longer than 126 seconds? |
Yes |
No |
666.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 08 2023
|
β
|
-219.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-219.78
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,214.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.1837
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-223.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-223.21
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-233.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-233.31
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-233.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-233.31
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-250.00
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
5,554.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-277.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-277.69
|
Trades
|
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
2,602.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1088
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
-283.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-283.14
|
Trades
|
UFC 288: Who will win - Sterling or Cejudo? |
Sterling |
Cejudo |
0.00
|
555.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 05 2023
|
β
|
-294.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-294.15
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
10,555.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0325
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-342.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-342.75
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-385.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-385.00
|
Trades
|
NCAAB Championship: UConn (-7.5) v. San Diego State |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
950.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.4753
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 03 2023
|
β
|
-451.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-451.56
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,730.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.1728
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
β
|
-471.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-471.71
|
Trades
|
Chargers vs. Cowboys |
Chargers |
Cowboys |
1,600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3250
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-520.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-520.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
3,840.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1511
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-580.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-580.12
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
4,127.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1505
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-621.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-621.09
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention "Russia/Putin" 10 or more times during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
1,262.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5549
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-700.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-700.39
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 16 2023
|
β
|
-798.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-798.19
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8,982.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.0937
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-841.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-841.89
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
24,943.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.5361
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
12,471.53
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-13,370.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-899.45
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
58,192.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0157
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-916.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-916.38
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
1,579.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5805
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
-917.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-917.00
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,700.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5629
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
β
|
-957.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-957.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9,596.90
|
0.00% |
|
0.1065
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,021.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,021.94
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
14,732.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0831
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-1,224.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,224.83
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14,879.79
|
0.00% |
|
0.0959
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-1,426.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,426.82
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1535
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,534.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,534.54
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
6,324.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2480
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-1,568.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,568.23
|
Trades
|
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18,319.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.1429
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-2,618.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,618.52
|
Trades
|
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LVII? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 12 2023
|
β
|
-2,650.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,650.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? |
1k |
2k |
10,225.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2734
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2,795.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,795.41
|
Trades
|
NCAAB Championship: San Diego State v. UConn |
San Diego State |
UConn |
14,989.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2116
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 03 2023
|
β
|
-3,172.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,172.34
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9,999.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.3708
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-3,707.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,707.59
|
Trades
|
Tails Never Fails Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 08 2023
|
β
|
-3,772.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,772.76
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
63,350.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.0649
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-4,114.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,114.41
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
45,463.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1018
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
-4,627.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,627.35
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
17,451.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3262
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-5,692.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,692.28
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
26,301.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2638
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-6,937.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,937.53
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs |
Eagles |
Chiefs |
15,980.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 12 2023
|
β
|
-8,230.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8,230.38
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35,000.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.2428
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-8,498.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8,498.88
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
62,943.79
|
0.30% |
|
0.4870
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-30,655.39
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
-30,655.30
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96,902.79
|
60,896.61
|
|
|
24,666.20
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
182,465.69
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.32
|
|
|
-9,116.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9,116.29
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96,902.80
|
60,896.93
|
|
|
15,549.58
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
173,349.39
|
|