Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
36.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.23
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
13,809.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13,809.22
|
Trades
|
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
4,150.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,150.22
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
3,139.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2045
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3,139.15
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-642.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,497.15
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
965.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
965.80
|
Trades
|
BTC above $70,000 next friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
676.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
676.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
657.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
657.21
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
613.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
613.75
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
442.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
442.26
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
429.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
429.29
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
382.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
382.15
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
352.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
352.72
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
234.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
234.99
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
224.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
224.61
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
138.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
138.46
|
Trades
|
DOGE above 8Β’ on April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
117.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
117.10
|
Trades
|
Will the 2022 World Cup winner be from South America? |
Yes |
No |
194.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4625
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
194.59
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
104.59
|
Trades
|
World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina |
France |
Argentina |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
95.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
95.31
|
Trades
|
Will the 2022 World Cup winner be from Europe? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
85.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.19
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Friday - Argentina vs. Netherlands |
Argentina |
Netherlands |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 09 2022
|
β
|
70.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.14
|
Trades
|
Will France win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
63.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.58
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
51.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.24
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
47.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.27
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
44.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.01
|
Trades
|
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 08 2022
|
β
|
27.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.53
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
β
|
16.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.98
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Will Portugal beat Uruguay? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 28 2022
|
β
|
16.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.50
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.33
|
Trades
|
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
7.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.22
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Will Brazil beat Switzerland? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 28 2022
|
β
|
5.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.90
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
5.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.60
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Argentina beat Poland? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
β
|
4.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.98
|
Trades
|
Will Japan win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
130.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0231
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
52.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
β
|
-5.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.20
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-6.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.17
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Sunday - Will England beat Senegal? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.2523
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 04 2022
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-7.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.85
|
Trades
|
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
81.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0986
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-9.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.94
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
-12.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.87
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
-16.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.06
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-16.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.60
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
265.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0679
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.04
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.04
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
-19.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.35
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-21.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.31
|
Trades
|
NBA: Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls 2023-04-14 |
Heat |
Bulls |
0.00
|
74.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.3600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
-26.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.68
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.5041
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 29 2022
|
β
|
-30.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.50
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
294.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1698
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-54.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.30
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-60.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.33
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-63.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-63.18
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on November 28? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 28 2022
|
β
|
-72.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-72.63
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
88.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8412
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-74.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-74.54
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-98.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-98.95
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Friday - Will Wales beat Iran? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 25 2022
|
β
|
-101.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-101.97
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-136.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-136.39
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
162.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8479
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 27 2023
|
β
|
-138.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-138.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $4,000 next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-184.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-184.67
|
Trades
|
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
507.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4548
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-230.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-230.98
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
283.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8860
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
β
|
-251.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-251.14
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
5,507.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0587
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-323.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-323.40
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
1,359.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2676
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-363.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-363.65
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
710.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7099
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 27 2023
|
β
|
-504.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-504.12
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-549.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-549.13
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
5,548.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-637.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-637.88
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high today? |
Yes |
No |
3,413.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1903
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-649.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-649.59
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-746.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-746.18
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
112.39
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
6.9580
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-782.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-782.03
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-806.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-806.51
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-968.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-968.67
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? |
Yes |
No |
1,496.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6968
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 16 2023
|
β
|
-1,042.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,042.60
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,333.79
|
0.05
|
|
|
13,911.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17,245.02
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
36.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.23
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,333.79
|
0.05
|
|
|
13,947.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17,281.25
|
|