Account
0x15ae79d7cd60b2a7f06ae46eb4c7a0eb16096ffd Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,898.97 | 0.00% | -1.5131 | 0.63 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 696.27 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 2,873.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,569.53 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.27 | 0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 350.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 350.48 | Trades | |||
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 153.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 153.36 | Trades | |||
Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 138.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 138.05 | Trades | |||
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 119.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.32 | Trades | |||
Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 116.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 116.82 | Trades | |||
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 114.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 114.45 | Trades | |||
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 12.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.47 | Trades | |||
Will the jury find Derek Chauvin guilty? you | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||||
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -8.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.37 | Trades | |||
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 20,261.28 | 22.36 | 0.00 | 20,283.64 | Trades | ||
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 14,282.05 | 44.93 | 0.00 | 14,326.97 | Trades | ||
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 22 2022 | β | 13,156.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13,156.26 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | β | 13,013.87 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 13,014.24 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 12,933.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12,933.97 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 6,723.77 | 559.49 | 0.00 | 7,283.25 | Trades | ||
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 7,268.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7,268.60 | Trades | ||
Will Larva Labβs 104 Cryptopunks sell for $20M or more at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 23 2022 | β | 6,430.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6,430.76 | Trades | ||
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 15,548.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7175 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15,548.41 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -11,155.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,392.64 | Trades | |
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 27,768.97 | 0.00% | 0.8440 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 27,768.97 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -23,436.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,332.95 | Trades | |
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 230.15 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -17.6748 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 230.15 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 4,067.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,297.91 | Trades | |
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 4,182.55 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 4,182.64 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | 3,960.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,960.80 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 14,232.90 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7923 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 14,232.90 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | -11,276.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,956.38 | Trades | |
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Hornets by more than 5.5 points in their November 3rd matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 03 2021 | β | 2,687.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,687.82 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 2,394.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,394.88 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? | Democrat | Republican | 4,371.97 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4575 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,371.97 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -2,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,371.97 | Trades | |
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 2,621.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1946 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,621.34 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -510.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,111.18 | Trades | |
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | β | 1,985.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,985.11 | Trades | ||
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 05 2022 | β | 1,964.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,964.26 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.26% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | 1,914.89 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 1,915.09 | Trades | ||
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod? | Do Kwon | Sensei Algod | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 14 2023 | β | 1,865.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,865.59 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.49 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 1,704.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,705.41 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 348K for the week ending on August 21? | Yes | No | 5,995.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7297 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,995.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | β | -4,374.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,620.51 | Trades | |
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | β | 1,481.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,481.35 | Trades | ||
Who will win the Colts v. 49ers game on October 24th? | Colts | 49ers | 0.00 | 848.53 | 0.00% | -1.7337 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 24 2021 | β | 1,471.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,471.09 | Trades | |
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his October 21st town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 21 2021 | β | 1,394.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,394.13 | Trades | ||
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 3,160.84 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5685 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,160.84 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -1,796.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,363.99 | Trades | |
Will Kippenberger's "Martin, Into the Corner, You Should Be Ashamed of Yourself" sell for more than 15 million on Christie's? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | 1,300.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,300.13 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | 1,135.92 | 140.95 | 0.00 | 1,276.87 | Trades | ||
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 759.50 | 506.90 | 0.00 | 1,266.41 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Panthers (-7.5) v. Texans Spread | Panthers | Texans | 0.00 | 194.14 | 0.00% | -6.4234 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 23 2021 | β | 1,247.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,247.02 | Trades | |
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 28 2022 | β | 1,179.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,179.02 | Trades | ||
Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | 1,148.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,148.50 | Trades | ||
Will the Bills or Titans win in their week six matchup? | Bills | Titans | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -5.6858 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 18 2021 | β | 1,137.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,137.18 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? | Democrat | Republican | 1,499.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2734 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,499.82 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -410.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,089.79 | Trades | |
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 958.97 | 129.13 | 0.00 | 1,088.10 | Trades | ||
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | β | 1,085.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,085.29 | Trades | ||
What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? | Under 1% 1% to 2% Over 2% |
2,361.97 0.00 0.34 |
9.09% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
2,361.97 0.00 0.00 |
β | -1,279.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,082.72 | Trades | |||||||
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? | Yes | No | 23.21 | 0.00 | 0.24% | -43.9743 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 23.21 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 30 2022 | β | 1,020.50 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 1,044.07 | Trades | |
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? | Yes | No | 577.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.7858 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 577.07 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | 453.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,030.54 | Trades | |
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? | Cisneros | Cuellar | 0.00 | 2,521.30 | 0.00% | 0.5939 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,521.30 | Tue May 24 2022 | β | -1,497.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,023.79 | Trades | |
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 1,015.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,015.21 | Trades | |||
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? | Yes | No | 8,123.74 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8780 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8,123.74 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -7,132.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 991.12 | Trades | |
Will Foundation airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 989.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 989.06 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 971.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 971.00 | Trades | ||
(Live Trading) Will England or Italy win the Euro 2020 final? | England | Italy | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | 947.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 947.13 | Trades | ||
Will van Goghβs βLe pont de Trinquetailleβ sell for more than $35 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 946.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 946.71 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? | Democrat | Republican | 1,601.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4191 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,601.55 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -671.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 930.36 | Trades | |
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | 876.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 876.06 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 607.25 | 0.00% | -0.4403 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 607.25 | Fri Aug 26 2022 | β | 267.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 874.65 | Trades | |
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? | Yes | No | 1,117.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.7806 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 872.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 872.65 | Trades | |
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | Yes | No | 3,582.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7612 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,582.25 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | β | -2,726.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 855.44 | Trades | |
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 850.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 850.04 | Trades | ||
Will Claude Monetβs βWaterloo Bridgeβ sell for more than $35 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 833.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 833.65 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 829.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 829.32 | Trades | ||
(In-game Trading) Who will win the Celtics v. Knicks game on October 20th? | Celtics | Knicks | 87.75 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -9.1681 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 20 2021 | β | 804.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 804.48 | Trades | |
How many Yea votes in the House for the American Rescue Plan? | 218 or fewer 219 220 221 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 773.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 773.37 | Trades | ||||||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 683.89 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.1291 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 683.89 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | β | 88.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 772.18 | Trades | |
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 13 2022 | β | 768.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 768.65 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 741.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 741.19 | Trades | ||
Will Jungle Cruise gross more than $30M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | 727.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 727.47 | Trades | ||
Will Andy Warholβs βTwo Marilynsβ sell for more than $18 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 723.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 723.34 | Trades | ||
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | 705.98 | 6.08 | 0.00 | 712.06 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his August 24 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 139.73 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -5.0543 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 24 2021 | β | 706.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 706.23 | Trades | |
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 1,959.04 | 0.00% | 0.6430 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,959.04 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -1,259.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 699.35 | Trades | |
Will Mark Rothkoβs βUntitledβ sell for more than $40 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 695.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 695.54 | Trades | ||
Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars? | Yes | No | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 682.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 682.06 | Trades | ||
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 14.68 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -44.8567 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 14.68 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 658.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 673.37 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 670.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 670.21 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 09 2021 | β | 667.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 667.93 | Trades | ||
Will Georges Seurat's βPaysage et personnagesβ sell for more than $8 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 665.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 665.82 | Trades | ||
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 659.45 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 659.47 | Trades | ||||||
Will DDG KO, TKO, or retire Nate Wyatt? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | 657.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 657.45 | Trades | ||
Will Basquiat's "In this Case" sell for more than 70 million? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | 642.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 642.91 | Trades | ||
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 628.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 628.56 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 64.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -8.5902 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 64.56 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 554.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 619.18 | Trades | |
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | 617.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 617.61 | Trades | ||
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | 585.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 585.28 | Trades | ||
Will Portugal win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | 583.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 583.80 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βfolksβ in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 582.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 582.62 | Trades | ||
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,372.48 | 0.00% | 0.5829 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,372.48 | Sun Oct 30 2022 | β | -800.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 572.48 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | 571.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 571.28 | Trades | ||
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? | Yes | No | 2,413.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7641 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,413.21 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -1,844.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 569.16 | Trades | |
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 17 2021 | β | 568.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 568.67 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Rockets by more than 10.5 points in their November 4th matchup? | Yes | No | 735.66 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2294 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 735.66 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | -168.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 566.92 | Trades | |
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | β | 562.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 562.30 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his August 26 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 492.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.1265 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 492.09 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | β | 62.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 554.33 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 921.36 | 0.00% | 0.4003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 921.36 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | -368.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 552.58 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,382.87 | 0.00% | 0.6070 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,382.87 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -839.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 543.41 | Trades | |
Will Cy Twomblyβs βUntitled (Rome)β sell for more than $45 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 523.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 523.65 | Trades | ||
Will Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 502.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 502.04 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | β | 491.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 491.67 | Trades | ||
Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | β | 491.17 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 491.24 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 28.57 | 0.00% | -16.9663 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 484.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 484.65 | Trades | |
Will Fractional airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 484.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 484.30 | Trades | ||
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | β | 475.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 475.94 | Trades | ||
Will Mitt Romney vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 470.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 470.27 | Trades | ||
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 681.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3113 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 681.62 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | -212.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 469.42 | Trades | |
(In-Game Trading) Who will win the Clippers v. Warriors game on October 21st? | Clippers | Warriors | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 21 2021 | β | 467.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 467.71 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Warriors by more than 2.5 points in their November 30th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 461.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 461.86 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | β | 446.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 446.58 | Trades | ||
(In-game Trading) Will the Buccaneers beat the Patriots by more than 7.5 points in their week four matchup? | Yes | No | 3,478.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.1281 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 03 2021 | β | 445.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 445.69 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 439.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 439.45 | Trades | ||
Will Larva Labβs 104 Cryptopunks sell for $25M or more at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 23 2022 | β | 433.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 433.19 | Trades | ||
Will Basquiatβs βVersus Mediciβ sell for more than $50 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 417.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 417.43 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 2.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -166.0547 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | β | 393.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 393.45 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 387.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 387.89 | Trades | ||
NFL: Will the Vikings beat the Cowboys by more than 2.5 points in their October 31st matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,620.41 | 0.00% | 0.7609 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,620.41 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | β | -1,233.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 387.41 | Trades | |
Will Caeleb Dressel win gold in the Menβs 100M freestyle at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 28 2021 | β | 380.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 380.84 | Trades | ||
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 377.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 377.12 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | β | 373.23 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 375.22 | Trades | ||
Will Andy Warholβs βMarilyn Monroeβ sell for more than $3 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 374.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 374.58 | Trades | ||
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 373.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 373.36 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 359.27 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 360.18 | Trades | ||
Will the Steelers beat the Seahawks by more than 4.5 points in their week six matchup? | Yes | No | 72.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -4.8841 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 17 2021 | β | 354.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 354.42 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | β | 344.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 344.44 | Trades | ||
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 293.66 | 29.01 | 0.00 | 322.67 | Trades | ||
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) flip CryptoPunks by January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | β | 317.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 317.53 | Trades | ||
Will Wayne Thiebaudβs βWinding Riverβ sell for more than $8M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | β | 316.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 316.64 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9374 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | β | -4,687.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 312.89 | Trades | |
Will Marc Chagallβs βLes trois bouquetsβ sell for more than $1 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | β | 308.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 308.70 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | 307.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 307.60 | Trades | ||
Will the Warriors beat the Thunder by more than 9.5 points in their October 26th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 26 2021 | β | 304.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 304.38 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 17.29 | 284.12 | 0.00 | 301.42 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 215.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.3945 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 215.76 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 85.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 300.87 | Trades | |
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 298.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 298.20 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | β | 290.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 290.88 | Trades | ||
Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebookβs decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 289.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 289.68 | Trades | ||
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 2,030.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8591 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,030.36 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | -1,744.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 286.03 | Trades | |
Will Vinnie Hacker KO, TKO, or retire Deji? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | 283.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 283.02 | Trades | ||
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on February 1st, 2022? | Bored Apes | CryptoPunks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 01 2022 | β | 277.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 277.27 | Trades | ||
Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 274.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 274.40 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading)Who will win the Celtics v. Hornets game on October 25th? | Celtics | Hornets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 25 2021 | β | 267.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 267.95 | Trades | ||
Will Hop Protocol airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 259.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 259.22 | Trades | ||
Will Royal airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 251.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 251.91 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | 247.10 | 2.66 | 0.00 | 249.76 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | 248.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 248.87 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,400.00 | 0.00% | -0.1768 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 247.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 247.48 | Trades | |
NFL Thursday: Ravens vs. Buccaneers | Ravens | Buccaneers | 510.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5217 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 510.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 27 2022 | β | -266.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 243.95 | Trades | |
(In-Game Trading) Will the 49ers beat the Seahawks by over 2.5 points in their week four matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 03 2021 | β | 242.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 242.97 | Trades | ||
What will monthly NFT trading volume be on April 13, 2021? | $80M or Less $81-105M $106-120M $121-135M $136M or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | 233.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 233.65 | Trades | ||||||
NFL: Will the Chiefs beat the Chargers by more than 3.5 points in their December 16 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 16 2021 | β | 232.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 232.03 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,644.51 | 0.00% | 0.9132 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,644.51 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | β | -2,414.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 229.60 | Trades | |
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his August 20 speech? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | β | 226.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 226.96 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by Noon, November 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,246.88 | 0.00% | 0.9310 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,246.88 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -3,022.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 223.96 | Trades | |
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 108.78 | 0.00% | -2.0365 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 30 2022 | β | 221.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 221.52 | Trades | |
World Cup: Saturday - Will Netherlands beat USA? | Yes | No | 3.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -57.6826 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.76 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 03 2022 | β | 216.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 220.41 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | β | 205.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 205.82 | Trades | ||
Will Pablo Picassoβs βFemme assise prΓ¨s d'une fenΓͺtre (Marie-ThΓ©rΓ¨se)β sell for more than $55 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 203.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 203.99 | Trades | ||
Will Austin McBroom KO, TKO, or retire Bryce Hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | 199.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 199.50 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | β | 198.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 198.42 | Trades | ||
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sothebyβs auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | 198.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 198.24 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 192.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 192.33 | Trades | ||
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | β | 188.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 188.35 | Trades | ||||||
Will the Wormhole hacker return 69% or more of the exploited funds by February 9th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 09 2022 | β | 181.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 181.80 | Trades | ||
Will Eric Greitens win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 248.22 | 0.00% | 0.3315 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 248.22 | Tue Aug 02 2022 | β | -82.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 165.92 | Trades | |
Will $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 15 2022 | β | 164.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 164.80 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 24 2022 | β | 163.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 163.97 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 103.94 | 0.00% | -0.5114 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 103.94 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | 53.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 157.09 | Trades | |
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 154.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 154.40 | Trades | ||
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 147.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 147.60 | Trades | ||
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 145.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 145.86 | Trades | ||
Will Pablo Picassoβs βFemme dans un fauteuilβ sell for more than $20 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 145.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 145.24 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? | Yes | No | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | 144.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 144.02 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | β | 143.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 143.70 | Trades | ||
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | β | 143.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 143.65 | Trades | ||
Will Mark Rothkoβs βUntitledβ sell for more than $4.5M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | β | 143.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 143.27 | Trades | ||
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 117.72 | 24.96 | 0.00 | 142.68 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | β | 142.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 142.34 | Trades | ||
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.8618 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Fri Dec 02 2022 | β | -861.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 138.22 | Trades | |
NBA: Will the Clippers beat the Heat by more than 4.5 points in their November 11th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 135.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 135.80 | Trades | ||
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $1 on its 1st day of trading? | Yes | No | 126.97 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0668 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 126.97 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 8.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 135.46 | Trades | |
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from August to September 2022? | Yes | No | 999.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8645 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 999.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 13 2022 | β | -863.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 135.34 | Trades | |
(To be Emergency Resolved) Will Amber Heard be found guilty of defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 54.47 | 0.00% | -1.6706 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 43.58 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 91.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 134.58 | Trades | |
The Thiel Parlay | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 133.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 133.68 | Trades | ||
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? | Yes | No | 751.80 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8228 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 751.80 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | β | -618.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 133.24 | Trades | |
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 132.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.05 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from September to October 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 10 2021 | β | 131.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 131.36 | Trades | ||
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | 20.41 | 109.65 | 0.00 | 130.06 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 125.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 125.76 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Celtics by more than 3.5 points in their December 17 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 17 2021 | β | 125.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 125.49 | Trades | ||
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 262.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5225 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 262.02 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -136.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 125.12 | Trades | |
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 124.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 124.87 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | 123.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 123.15 | Trades | ||
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 17 2021 | β | 119.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.82 | Trades | ||
NHL: Will the Blues beat the Rangers by more than 1.5 goals in their March 10 matchup (8 PM ET)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | β | 118.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.42 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 117.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 117.49 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Nets by more than 4.5 points in their March 10 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | β | 116.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 116.52 | Trades | ||
NFL: Will the 49ers beat the Cardinals by more than 2.5 points in their November 7th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 07 2021 | β | 112.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 112.32 | Trades | ||
Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? | Yes | No | 4,185.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9737 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,185.21 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | -4,075.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 109.96 | Trades | |
Will Robert Colescottβs βGeorge Washington Carver Crossing the Delawareβ sell for more than $12 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 106.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 106.62 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 08 2022 | β | 106.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 106.10 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk tweet βDogeβ or βDogecoinβ before March 19, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 18 2022 | β | 105.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 105.58 | Trades | ||
Will OpenTableβs βSeated diners from online, phone, and walk-in reservationsβ data point for the United States exceed its 2019 baseline by 7% or more by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 305.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6546 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 305.51 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 105.51 | Trades | |
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 104.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 104.67 | Trades | ||
Will Princeton University remain the highest ranking national university in the US according to the 2022 US News ranking? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 101.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 101.18 | Trades | ||
NHL: Will the Maple Leafs beat the Coyotes by more than 1.5 goals in their March 10 matchup (7 PM ET)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | β | 100.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.88 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | 98.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.17 | Trades | ||
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 96.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 96.95 | Trades | ||
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 91.53 | 2.78 | 0.00 | 94.31 | Trades | ||
NFL: Who will win Chiefs v. Bengals? | Chiefs | Bengals | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 06 2022 | β | 93.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 93.20 | Trades | ||
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | 93.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 93.01 | Trades | ||
Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 92.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.85 | Trades | |||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 13 2022 | β | 92.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.55 | Trades | ||
Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 92.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.24 | Trades | |||
Will Ed Ruscha's βRipeβ (Lot 37C) sell for more than $22m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9540 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,000.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -1,907.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.08 | Trades | |
NFL: Who will win Rams v. 49ers? | Rams | 49ers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 06 2022 | β | 91.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.56 | Trades | ||
Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 91.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.07 | Trades | ||
NFL: Will the Chiefs beat the Giants by more than 10.5 points in their November 1st matchup? | Yes | No | 1.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -61.4891 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 88.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.19 | Trades | |
Will Liverpool FC win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 343.24 | 0.00% | 0.7586 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 343.24 | Sat May 28 2022 | β | -260.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.85 | Trades | |
What will Pakβs Sothebyβs auction generate in total sales? | Less than $20M $20M to less than $45M $45M to less than $70M $70M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | 82.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.75 | Trades | ||||||
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 82.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.01 | Trades | ||
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 Speed Chess Championship Main Event? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 19 2021 | β | 81.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.48 | Trades | ||
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | β | 80.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.96 | Trades | ||||||
Will Yuh-Line Niou win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? | Yes | No | 5.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -15.1359 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 23 2022 | β | 79.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.92 | Trades | |
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 22 2022 | β | 79.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.18 | Trades | ||
Superbowl LVI: Who will win Rams v. Bengals? | Rams | Bengals | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 13 2022 | β | 78.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.47 | Trades | ||
Will Logan Paul knock down Floyd Mayweather? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 78.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.32 | Trades | ||
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 74.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.76 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | 74.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.68 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace be live by April 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 13.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -5.7066 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | 74.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.56 | Trades | |
NHL: Will the Hurricanes beat the Avalanche by more than 1.5 goals in their March 10 matchup (7 PM ET)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | β | 73.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.51 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? | Democrat | Republican | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7647 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -229.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.60 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 190.41 | 0.00% | 0.6324 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 190.41 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -120.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.00 | Trades | |
NFL: Will the Rams beat the 49ers by more than 3.5 points in their January 30 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 06 2022 | β | 69.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.24 | Trades | ||
Will Donovan Mitchell get traded to the Knicks? | Yes | No | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 66.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.48 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 400.00 | 0.00% | 0.8363 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 400.00 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | β | -334.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.49 | Trades | |
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9870 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -4,935.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.80 | Trades | |
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 64.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.32 | Trades | ||
Will the Academy strip Will Smithβs Oscar by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 703.79 | 0.00% | 0.9093 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 703.79 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | -639.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.81 | Trades | |
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | β | 63.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.60 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 362.13 | 0.00% | 0.8284 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 362.13 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.13 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? | Democrat | Republican | 2,104.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9706 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,104.49 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -2,042.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.86 | Trades | |
Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 1,114.25 | 0.00 | 0.16% | -0.0547 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 60.96 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 61.16 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 60.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.18 | Trades | ||
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | β | 56.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.56 | Trades | ||
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 55.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.45 | Trades | ||
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | 55.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.00 | Trades | ||
Ohio (-14) v. Minnesota Spread | Ohio State | Minnesota | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | 54.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.60 | Trades | ||
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 52,444.61 | 1.46% | -0.0007 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 38.08 | 0.00 | 15.56 | 53.64 | Trades | |
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 34.03 | 0.00% | -0.5484 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 34.03 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | 18.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.69 | Trades | |
NBA: Who will win the 76ers vs. Nets, scheduled for March 10 (7.30 PM ET)? | 76ers | Nets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | β | 52.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.47 | Trades | ||
Will the Kansas "Value Them Both" anti-abortion amendment pass? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 75.93 | 0.00% | 0.3186 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 75.93 | Tue Aug 02 2022 | β | -24.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.74 | Trades | |
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 51.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.71 | Trades | ||
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | 49.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.99 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 49.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.03 | Trades | ||
Will the Celtics beat the Rockets by more than 5.5 points in their October 24th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 24 2021 | β | 49.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.01 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from August to September 2022? | Yes | No | 999.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9519 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 999.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 13 2022 | β | -950.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.06 | Trades | |
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 20 2022 | β | 47.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.14 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Will the Jazz beat the Nuggets by more than 7.5 points in their October 26th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 26 2021 | β | 45.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.77 | Trades | ||
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 342.80 | 0.00% | 0.8751 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 342.80 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.80 | Trades | |
Will Spain win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | 42.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.71 | Trades | ||
Will Gerhard Richterβs βAbstraktes Bildβ sell for more than $5.5M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | β | 41.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.85 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? | Bucks | Suns | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 14 2021 | β | 41.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.81 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye West mention Pete Davidson as "Skete" again on Instagram before March 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 41.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.75 | Trades | ||
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 28 2022 | β | 39.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.42 | Trades | ||
Will Mac Jones be the 3rd pick in the NFL draft? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | 39.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.07 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Nuggets by more than 2.5 points in their March 10 (10 PM ET) matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | β | 38.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.71 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump mention the word βriggedβ on his communications platform by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 38.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.37 | Trades | ||
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 25.90 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.4591 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.90 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 11.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.79 | Trades | |
Will France win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 87.39 | 0.00% | 0.5813 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 87.39 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | -50.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.59 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 08 2022 | β | 36.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.39 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? | Yes | No | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 35.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.99 | Trades | ||
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 35.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.38 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden mention Russia/Putin 12 or more times in his 1st State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 33.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.55 | Trades | ||
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $2 on its 1st day of trading? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 83.50 | 0.00% | 0.5988 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 83.50 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.50 | Trades | |
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.02 | 0.00% | -5.3532 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 32.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.23 | Trades | |
Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 31.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.02 | Trades | ||
Will OpenSea airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 30.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.57 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Lakers beat the Rockets by more than 12.5 points in their October 31st matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.7146 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | β | -71.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.54 | Trades | |
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? | McGregor | Poirier | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | 24.39 | 3.83 | 0.00 | 28.22 | Trades | ||
Will Henry Moore's βGirl: Bustβ sell for more than $1 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | β | 27.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.96 | Trades | ||
Panthers (-7.5) v. Texans Spread | Panthers | Texans | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 23 2021 | β | 27.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.62 | Trades | ||
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 2? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 08 2021 | β | 27.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.19 | Trades | ||
Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 26.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.55 | Trades | ||
(NBA) Bucks in six? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.39 | 0.00% | -3.5208 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | 26.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.02 | Trades | |
Will MetaMask launch a token by February 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 01 2022 | β | 25.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.27 | Trades | ||
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 24.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.33 | Trades | ||
How many tweets will @DonaldJTrumpJr post from Jan 18th to 25th? | 80 or more 70-79 60-69 50-59 49 or less |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Jan 25 2021 | β | 23.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.91 | Trades | ||||||
Will The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It gross more than $25M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 08 2021 | β | 22.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.78 | Trades | ||
Will natural gas close above $7 on July 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 22 2022 | β | 21.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.77 | Trades | ||
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | 20.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.73 | Trades | ||
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 19.28 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 20.23 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.83 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 | Wed Aug 10 2022 | β | 18.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.61 | Trades | ||
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | 19.02 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 19.05 | Trades | ||
Will $LINK (Chainlink) be above $27 on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 17.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.30 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from August to September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,001.00 | 0.00% | 0.9840 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,001.00 | Thu Oct 13 2022 | β | -984.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.02 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? | Democrat | Republican | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9841 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -984.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.87 | Trades | |
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Adams Garcia Wiley Yang |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 15.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.62 | Trades | ||||||
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 04 2021 | β | 15.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.39 | Trades | ||
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 15 2022 | β | 15.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.34 | Trades | ||
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 170 Gwei on April 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 19 2021 | β | 15.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.30 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | β | 15.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.30 | Trades | ||
Will Robert Leshner or Anthony Pompliano win in their CryptoChamps chess match? | Leshner | Pompliano | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | 14.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.53 | Trades | ||
Will Alfred Sisley's βLa Seine Γ Argenteuilβ (Lot 5C) sell for more than $3m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 14.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.34 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | 14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.00 | Trades | ||
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | 13.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.82 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 513.65 | 0.00% | 0.9734 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 513.65 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.65 | Trades | |
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 12.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.28 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 12.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.02 | Trades | ||
Will the Saints beat the Seahawks by more than 5.5 points in their October 25th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 25 2021 | β | 11.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.94 | Trades | ||
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? | Yes | No | 7.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.4992 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7.86 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | 3.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.79 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 11.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.57 | Trades | ||
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2022 US Masters Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | β | 11.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.53 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 11.50 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 11.52 | Trades | ||
Will the US win Bronze in Curling at the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 18 2022 | β | 10.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.36 | Trades | ||
Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend? | Space Jam | Black Widow | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | 9.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.95 | Trades | ||
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? | Lee Jae-myung | Yoon Seok-youl | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 09 2022 | β | 8.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.67 | Trades | ||
Will Vincent van Gogh's βMeules de blΓ©β (Lot 8C) sell for more than $30m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 8.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.49 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 7.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.68 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | 7.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.41 | Trades | ||
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | β | 7.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.39 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) hit $20,000 or less by June 30? | Yes | No | 507.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9858 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 507.18 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.18 | Trades | |
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 14 2022 | β | 6.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.91 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | 6.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.83 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12.16 | 0.00% | 0.4421 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 12.16 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -5.38 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 6.82 | Trades | |
What will the final score points spread be for Super Bowl 55? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | β | 6.04 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 6.08 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 15 2022 | β | 5.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.54 | Trades | ||
Will year-to-year inflation in the European Union be 4.3% or more in October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | β | 4.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.89 | Trades | ||
Will a team from China win the 2021 LoL Worlds? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 06 2021 | β | 4.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.38 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 4.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.37 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 4.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.18 | Trades | |||
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | 4.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.01 | Trades | ||
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | 3.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.85 | Trades | ||
NFL Monday: Commanders vs. Eagles | Commanders | Eagles | 0.00 | 233.40 | 0.00% | -0.0151 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 14 2022 | β | 3.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.51 | Trades | |
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | 3.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.50 | Trades | ||
Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? | USA | China | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 3.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.25 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 38.0% or higher on July 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 197.19 | 0.00% | 0.9853 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 197.19 | Thu Jul 21 2022 | β | -194.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.89 | Trades | |
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 2.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.61 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 2.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.57 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $2000 on April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 2.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.32 | Trades | ||
Will the Heat or the Rockets win their February 11th matchup? | Heat | Rockets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 11 2021 | β | -0.21 | 1.92 | 0.00 | 1.71 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.38 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | β | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.90 | Trades | ||
Will Benjamin Cowen or Matt Huang win in their CryptoChamps Semifinals chess match? | Cowen | Huang | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.86 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? | Yes | No | 3.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8318 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.94 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | β | -3.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.66 | Trades | |
Who will win Canadiens v. Lightning: Stanley Cup Final Game 2? | Canadiens | Lightning | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.58 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | β | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 0.01 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.42 | Trades | ||
What will the price of Avalanche (AVAX) be at noon on November 19, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | β | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of Ryder Ripps BAYC (RR/BAYC) be above 1 ETH on June 30? | Yes | No | 2.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4640 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.08 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | Trades | |
Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? | Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7 Minari Promising Young Woman Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||||||
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on April 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 05 2021 | β | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.05 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 22nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 23 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Rockets or the Wizards win their February 15th matchup? | Wizards | Rockets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 15 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
How many more tweets will be on the @MCuban account on February 17, 2021? | Less Than 20 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
9.09% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 17 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||||||
Will the Hawks or the Mavericks win their February 10th matchup? | Hawks | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.14% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 10 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will the US hit its highest recorded gas price per gallon according to AAA by March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
How many more tweets will be on the @WHCOS account on March 12, 2021? | Less than 190 190-205 206-220 221-235 236-250 More than 250 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Mar 12 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||||||
Who will win UFC 263: Figueiredo vs. Moreno? | Figueiredo | Moreno | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will George Condoβs βReclining Blue Formβ sell for more than $3.5 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Joan MirΓ³βs βFemme (Femme debout)β sell for more than $10 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will the price of $TITAN be above $5 on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will more or less than 221 total points be scored in Suns v. Clippers: Finals Game 3? | More | Less | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 24 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Finals Game 3? | Suns | Clippers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 24 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trumpβs Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Eliud Kipchoge win gold in the Men's Marathon at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | |||
Will the Warriors or Lakers win their season opener? | Warriors | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 19 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021? | Texas Florida California |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 15 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||||||
Will the Grizzlies or the Lakers win their February 12th matchup? | Grizzlies | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.29% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 12 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 120 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 3? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
What will the price of Terra ($LUNA) be at noon on November 19, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
What will the price of Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be at noon on November 16, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 16 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Italy or Switzerland win their Euro 2020 match? | Italy | Switzerland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 10 2022 | β | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | Trades | ||
Will Kawhi Leonard Sign with the Clippers for the NBA 2021-22 season on or before October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | Trades | ||
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | Trades | ||
Will Ja Morant win NBA β21-β22 MVP? | Yes | No | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | β | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Pacers by more than 9.5 points in their November 11th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $40 on November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
NBA: Who will win Raptors vs. Heat, scheduled for October 24 (7:30 PM ET)? | Raptors | Heat | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 24 2022 | β | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on October 17, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 17 2022 | β | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 891.79 | 0.00% | 0.0001 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | Trades | |
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? | Yes | No | 7.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0130 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | β | -0.10 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -0.06 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | Trades | ||
Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 25 2022 | β | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | β | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | ||
What will the fully diluted market cap of Openseaβs token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.22 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | Trades | ||
Will Johnson and Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.31 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 375K for the week ending on August 14? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3535 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 19 2021 | β | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.35 | Trades | |
How many more tweets will be on the @SouljaBoy account on February 25, 2021? | Less than 60 60-75 76-90 91-105 106-120 more than 120 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Feb 25 2021 | β | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | Trades | ||||||
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in July 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | Trades | ||
Who will win Canadiens v. Lightning: Stanley Cup Final Game 4? | Canadiens | Lightning | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | β | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | Trades | ||
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.64 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Gara) or Republican (Dunleavy) win in Alaska? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.66 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 360K for the week ending on July 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.69 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | β | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.93 | Trades | ||
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.97 | Trades | ||
NBA: Who will win the Jazz v. Bucks game on October 31st? | Bucks | Jazz | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | β | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.98 | Trades | ||
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 130 Gwei on March 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 20 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 17.92 | 0.00% | 0.0558 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022? | Yes | No | 6.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will the Gorgosaurus skeleton sell for more than $6 million at Sotheby's? | Yes | No | 1,064.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0009 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 28 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -2.36 | 1.32 | 0.00 | -1.04 | Trades | ||
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 419 ppm on June 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | β | -1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.08 | Trades | ||
Will England or Denmark qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals? | England | Denmark | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 07 2021 | β | -1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.52 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.53 | Trades | ||
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | -1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.54 | Trades | ||
Will any of SuperRare, Zora, Foundation, OpenSea, or NiftyGateway have a live token by April 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | -1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.59 | Trades | ||
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | -1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.86 | Trades | ||||||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 3? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | -1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.98 | Trades | ||
Will Morocco win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 17.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1133 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chiefs | Bucs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | β | -2.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.27 | Trades | ||
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -2.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.29 | Trades | ||
Will Croatia win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | -2.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.80 | Trades | ||
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -3.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.86 | Trades | ||
Will Logan Paul KO, TKO, or retire Floyd Mayweather? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | -3.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.97 | Trades | ||
Emmys 2022: Will βWhite Lotusβ win Outstanding Limited Series? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 409.94 | 0.00% | 0.0098 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 13 2022 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.73 | 0.01% | 0.7784 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 29 2022 | β | -4.46 | 0.28 | 0.00 | -4.18 | Trades | |
Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -4.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.34 | Trades | ||
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | β | -4.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.38 | Trades | ||
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -4.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.63 | Trades | ||
Will the Mavericks or the Rockets win their February 19th matchup? | Mavericks | Rockets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 19 2021 | β | -5.41 | 0.66 | 0.00 | -4.74 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading, Low Fee Promotion) Who will win the Trail Blazers v. Clippers game on October 25th? | Trail Blazers | Clippers | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 25 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Bryce Hall KO, TKO, or retire Austin McBroom? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
Will @elonmusk post more than 70 new tweets by June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | -5.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.27 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.84 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | -5.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.46 | Trades | ||
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | -5.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.48 | Trades | ||
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | -5.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.52 | Trades | ||
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | -5.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.77 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win the Suns v. Lakers on October 22nd? | Suns | Lakers | 0.00 | 25.97 | 0.00% | 0.2310 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 22 2021 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -6.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.27 | Trades | ||
Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -6.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.58 | Trades | ||
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.64 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | β | -7.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.22 | Trades | ||
MLB World Series: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Astros | Phillies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 05 2022 | β | -8.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.15 | Trades | ||
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | -8.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.76 | Trades | ||
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -9.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.07 | Trades | ||
Will Matt Dolan win 2nd place in the Republican primary for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Yes | No | 72.66 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1376 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 03 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 313.38 | 0.00% | 0.0319 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 6? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 03 2021 | β | -11.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.98 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -12.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.07 | Trades | ||
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -12.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.89 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 29.52 | 0.00% | 0.4404 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 07 2022 | β | -13.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.00 | Trades | |
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yeah | Nope | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Mon Jul 25 2022 | β | -14.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.25 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hofmeister) or Republican (Stitt) win in Oklahoma? | Democrat | Republican | 417.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0359 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? | SBF | Bitboy | 0.00 | 4.65 | 0.00% | 3.4045 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -15.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.82 | Trades | |
Will Jalen Brunson join the Knicks for the 2022-23 NBA season? | Yes | No | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -16.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.17 | Trades | ||
How many subscribers will /r/wallstreetbets have on February 7, 2021? | Less than 6.5 Million 6.5-7.5 Million 7.5-8.5 Million 8.5-9.5 Million 9.5-10.5 Million Greater than 10.5 Million |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
4.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Feb 07 2021 | β | -16.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.38 | Trades | ||||||
(In-Game Trading) Will the Chargers beat the Raiders by over 3.5 points in their Monday Night matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 43.36 | 0.00% | 0.3825 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 04 2021 | β | -16.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.58 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -16.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.91 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | β | -19.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.03 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 234.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0853 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will Basquiat's "Untitled (Soap)" sell for more than 15 million? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | -20.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.86 | Trades | ||
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -21.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.61 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -22.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.55 | Trades | ||
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | -23.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.97 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace be live by June 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | -25.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.12 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 03 2021 | β | -25.67 | 0.11 | 0.00 | -25.56 | Trades | ||
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 16 2022 | β | -26.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -26.26 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -27.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.59 | Trades | ||
Will Novak Djokovic advance to semifinals in the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 269.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1114 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 28 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
(In-Game Trading) Who will win the 76ers v. Nets on October 22nd? | 76ers | Nets | 0.00 | 114.32 | 0.00% | 1.2861 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 114.32 | Fri Oct 22 2021 | β | -147.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.71 | Trades | |
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | β | -35.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.33 | Trades | ||
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | -36.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.06 | Trades | ||
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | β | -36.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.62 | Trades | ||
Will the USA or European Union report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 16? | USA | European Union | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | β | -37.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.31 | Trades | ||
UFC 275: Who will win - Valentina Shevchenko or Talia Santos? | Shevchenko | Santos | 0.00 | 145.05 | 0.00% | 0.2611 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 11 2022 | β | -37.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.87 | Trades | |
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 17 2021 | β | -39.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.09 | Trades | ||
How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on April 14, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -39.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.39 | Trades | ||||||
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? | Yes | No | 68.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.5961 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 68.14 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -108.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.62 | Trades | |
What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -41.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -41.60 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? | Democrat | Republican | 369.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1259 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 369.91 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -416.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -46.59 | Trades | |
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -49.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.66 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? | Yes | No | 132.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3776 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -49.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.84 | Trades | |
Will Jeff Koons' βPancakesβ sell for more than $1.5 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | -50.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.59 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | β | -50.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.82 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? | Democrat | Republican | 586.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0872 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -51.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -51.14 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | -53.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -53.07 | Trades | ||
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 15 2022 | β | -54.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.25 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 6? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | -57.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -57.34 | Trades | ||
Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -61.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -61.05 | Trades | ||
Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -62.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -62.00 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -62.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -62.67 | Trades | ||
Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be 5.15% or higher on April 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.84 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | -68.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -68.54 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -198.17 | 126.81 | 0.00 | -71.36 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | β | -74.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -74.85 | Trades | ||
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 212.44 | 0.00% | 0.3606 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | β | -76.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -76.61 | Trades | |
(In-Game Trading) Who will win the 76ers v. Knicks game on October 26th? | 76ers | Knicks | 231.68 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3408 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 26 2021 | β | -78.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -78.96 | Trades | |
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12,647.00 | 0.00% | 0.0063 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 15 2022 | β | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -80.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.96 | Trades | ||
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? | Yes | No | 164.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5156 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -85.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -85.00 | Trades | |
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -88.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -88.27 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? | Yes | No | 215.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4521 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 10 2022 | β | -97.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -97.59 | Trades | |
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? | Yes | No | 9,197.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0112 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -103.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -103.27 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 06 2021 | β | -109.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -109.54 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -121.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -121.98 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -129.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -129.70 | Trades | ||
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 175.97 | 0.00% | 0.7415 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 02 2022 | β | -130.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -130.49 | Trades | |
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -133.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -133.61 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? | Yes | No | 688.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2035 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -140.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -140.00 | Trades | |
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,483.51 | 0.00% | 0.0980 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 03 2022 | β | -145.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -145.43 | Trades | |
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? | Yes | No | 249.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6023 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 25 2022 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | |
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 4th: $DOGE or $SHIB? | Dogecoin | Shiba Inu | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | -153.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -153.79 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,924.72 | 0.00% | 0.0619 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -181.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -181.17 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 69 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 592.77 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3436 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | -203.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -203.69 | Trades | |
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,377.03 | 0.00% | 1.0867 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,377.03 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | β | -2,583.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -206.15 | Trades | |
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? | Yes | No | 301.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7150 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 16 2022 | β | -215.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -215.51 | Trades | |
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 1,256.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1990 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -250.00 | Trades | |
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 6,559.96 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0408 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | β | -267.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -267.89 | Trades | |
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 534.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5614 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
Will Arbitrum have a token by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 913.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3284 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his August 16 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8,589.18 | 0.00% | 0.0376 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | β | -322.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -322.91 | Trades | |
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -361.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -361.75 | Trades | ||
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,000.00 | 0.00% | 1.1267 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,000.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -3,380.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -380.06 | Trades | |
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -397.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -397.16 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | -404.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -404.24 | Trades | ||
NFL: Will the Rams beat the Seahawks by more than 9.5 points in their December 21 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | β | -446.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -446.29 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Rockets by more than 12.5 points in their November 7th matchup? | Yes | No | 2,896.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1549 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,896.60 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 07 2021 | β | -3,345.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -448.58 | Trades | |
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 1,700.80 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2646 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -450.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -450.00 | Trades | |
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | -491.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -491.30 | Trades | ||
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | -518.33 | 4.30 | 0.00 | -514.03 | Trades | ||
Will Nick Diaz or Robbie Lawler win their UFC fight on September 25th? | Diaz | Lawler | 996.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5289 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 25 2021 | β | -527.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -527.07 | Trades | |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | -565.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -565.45 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.5783 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -578.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -578.33 | Trades | |
Will Roy Lichtensteinβs βInterior: Perfect Pitcherβ sell for more than $30 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | -650.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -650.00 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 5,981.22 | 0.00% | 0.1144 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -684.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -684.31 | Trades | |
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.17% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | β | -798.75 | 1.36 | 0.00 | -797.40 | Trades | ||
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
2.94% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | -850.08 | 15.99 | 0.00 | -834.09 | Trades | |||||||
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 17,045.03 | 0.00% | 0.0815 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 02 2022 | β | -1,389.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,389.93 | Trades | |
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 6.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 292.8426 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | β | -1,833.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,833.55 | Trades | |
Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | -2,770.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,770.94 | Trades | ||
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | -3,836.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,836.53 | Trades | ||
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 19,964.05 | 0.00% | 0.2325 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 30 2022 | β | -4,642.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,642.26 | Trades | |
Resolved | 86,690.49 | 67,380.84 | 43,252.05 | 2,024.76 | 16.11 | 199,364.25 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 696.27 | 3,869.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,566.10 | ||||||||||||
Total | 86,690.49 | 68,077.11 | 47,121.89 | 2,024.76 | 16.11 | 203,930.36 |