Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
10.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.12
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
|
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.04
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.37
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
567.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
567.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
424.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
424.94
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
392.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
392.50
|
Trades
|
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
234.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
234.78
|
Trades
|
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
β
|
185.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
185.27
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
132.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
132.29
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
106.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
106.23
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,079.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9062
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,079.57
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-978.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.22
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 25 2022
|
β
|
100.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.68
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
73.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.46
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
71.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71.24
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.04
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 22 2022
|
β
|
60.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.06
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 20 2022
|
β
|
49.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.88
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.5% or more in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 23 2022
|
β
|
46.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
45.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.90
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? |
Yes |
No |
105.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5672
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
105.78
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 10 2022
|
β
|
-60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.78
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
45.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.43
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
87.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5696
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
87.77
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.77
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 7.0%? |
Yes |
No |
137.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7277
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
137.42
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 10 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.42
|
Trades
|
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
111.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7173
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
111.53
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 10 2022
|
β
|
-80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.53
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
90.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.6639
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
90.38
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
β
|
-60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.38
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 07 2022
|
β
|
17.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.43
|
Trades
|
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
β
|
16.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.91
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
12.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.94
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 6.8%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 10 2022
|
β
|
12.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.27
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
800.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0139
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
11.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.10
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
9.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.17
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
9.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.07
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 13 ETH on January 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 12 2022
|
β
|
7.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.45
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
91.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.9350
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
91.78
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-85.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.97
|
Trades
|
Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.8781
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
28.47
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.47
|
Trades
|
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
2.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.78
|
Trades
|
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 19 2022
|
β
|
2.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.68
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
52.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9523
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
52.50
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
β
|
1.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.66
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Gara) or Republican (Dunleavy) win in Alaska? |
Democrat |
Republican |
12.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
11.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0207
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.23
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
-0.18
|
Trades
|
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.53
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first? |
Token |
Public |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.64
|
Trades
|
Will 'CafΓ© con aroma de mujer: Season 1' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 30? |
Yes |
No |
30.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0774
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 02 2022
|
β
|
-2.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.38
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 7 ETH on January 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.0249
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 12 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.1414
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
24,677.13
|
0.00
|
0.38% |
0.0007
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-16.94
|
11.18
|
0.00
|
-5.77
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-9.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.18
|
Trades
|
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
217.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0459
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 17 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
70.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.1414
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.2800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 20 2022
|
β
|
-10.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.02
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $UMA be above $8.00 on March 17, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
7.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.6554
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 17 2022
|
β
|
-12.15
|
1.22
|
0.00
|
-10.93
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 11? |
Yes |
No |
32.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4553
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 11 2022
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
15.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0530
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-16.49
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
-16.48
|
Trades
|
Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
42.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4761
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 20 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
34.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.8794
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 28 2022
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
67.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6704
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 27 2022
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
165.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4568
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-75.60
|
1.38
|
0.00
|
-74.22
|
Trades
|
Will Girl with Balloon (by Banksy) sell for Β£500k or more at Sothebyβs? |
Yes |
No |
212.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 26 2022
|
β
|
-153.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-153.12
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
645.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.3100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
651.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.3838
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 12 2022
|
β
|
-250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-250.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,574.61
|
210.64
|
|
|
253.42
|
13.83
|
0.00
|
2,052.51
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
|
|
-15.30
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
-15.24
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,574.65
|
210.65
|
|
|
238.13
|
13.83
|
0.02
|
2,037.27
|
|