1710144805000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x209c21d4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
125.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1710144805000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$25.00
|
125.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1710144639000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$0.08
|
0.16
|
0.5100
|
π |
Tx
|
1710144639000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Republican |
π΅ |
$0.08
|
0.16
|
0.5100
|
π |
Tx
|
1701639952000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$50.00
|
61.73
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1701639952000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$11.73
|
61.73
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1701639840000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xc4eddd28
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$487.50
|
500.00
|
0.9750
|
π |
Tx
|
1701639840000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$487.50
|
500.00
|
0.9750
|
π |
Tx
|
1700474904000
|
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$142.65
|
163.96
|
0.8700
|
π |
Tx
|
1700474904000
|
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$21.31
|
163.96
|
0.1300
|
π |
Tx
|
1700474872000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$142.65
|
150.00
|
0.9510
|
π |
Tx
|
1700474872000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xecdbd795
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$142.65
|
150.00
|
0.9510
|
π |
Tx
|
1698394564000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x5eeca297
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$47.12
|
673.12
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1698394564000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$626.00
|
673.12
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1698393894000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$232.50
|
250.00
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1698393894000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x5eeca297
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$17.50
|
250.00
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1698393592000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x5eeca297
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$56.45
|
806.45
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1698393592000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$750.00
|
806.45
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1679432528000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0xc4dc5183
|
0x01c58151
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.45
|
15.00
|
0.2300
|
π |
Tx
|
1679412217000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0xa4a6fcb5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.85
|
15.00
|
0.1900
|
π |
Tx
|
1679323610000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$107.50
|
250.00
|
0.4300
|
π |
Tx
|
1679323610000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$142.50
|
250.00
|
0.5700
|
π |
Tx
|
1678999131000
|
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$17.39
|
217.39
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1678999131000
|
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$200.00
|
217.39
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1678999067000
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$445.16
|
645.16
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1678999067000
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$200.00
|
645.16
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678998927000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.50
|
200.00
|
0.1025
|
π |
Tx
|
1678998927000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x4a2ba979
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.50
|
50.00
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678998927000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$15.00
|
150.00
|
0.1000
|
π |
Tx
|
1678308250000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$990.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1678308250000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678308088000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$217.00
|
350.00
|
0.6200
|
π |
Tx
|
1678308088000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x01c58151
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$133.00
|
350.00
|
0.3800
|
π |
Tx
|
1672412964000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x84834141
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$35.12
|
74.55
|
0.4711
|
|
Tx
|
1672412580000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
67.59
|
0.0148
|
|
Tx
|
1672309686000
|
Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xb86838ee
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$150.00
|
221.24
|
0.6780
|
|
Tx
|
1671035152000
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xf414c775
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.75
|
38.14
|
0.0197
|
|
Tx
|
1670078161000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x5ba640f9
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$145.90
|
157.50
|
0.9263
|
|
Tx
|
1668966853000
|
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x25079f80
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
12.78
|
0.7822
|
|
Tx
|
1668966191000
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x639c8163
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$9.63
|
10.74
|
0.8965
|
|
Tx
|
1668941767000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$80.00
|
101.19
|
0.7906
|
|
Tx
|
1668894681000
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xf414c775
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$21.68
|
39.54
|
0.5484
|
|
Tx
|
1668820765000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x40547087
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
35.37
|
0.1414
|
|
Tx
|
1668662544000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x386feb76
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.14
|
2.91
|
0.7352
|
|
Tx
|
1668662328000
|
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person before 2023?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x8a00a3b7
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.47
|
98.29
|
0.0455
|
|
Tx
|
1668639645000
|
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xce04400c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$85.81
|
91.78
|
0.9350
|
|
Tx
|
1668639137000
|
Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x57334fe5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$15.00
|
33.83
|
0.4433
|
|
Tx
|
1668026882000
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x61234ab9
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$306.38
|
378.98
|
0.8084
|
|
Tx
|
1668021290000
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x639c8163
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
10.75
|
0.9307
|
|
Tx
|
1668021230000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x84834141
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
74.55
|
0.3354
|
|
Tx
|
1668021102000
|
Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x57334fe5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
8.17
|
0.6120
|
|
Tx
|
1668021054000
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x47a05b70
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
87.77
|
0.5696
|
|
Tx
|
1668020958000
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 11?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x7ac90aa3
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
32.94
|
0.4553
|
|
Tx
|
1668020726000
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xa0711fc0
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
35.71
|
0.2800
|
|
Tx
|
1668020690000
|
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person before 2023?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x8a00a3b7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
98.29
|
0.0509
|
|
Tx
|
1668020664000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x11e2c6d7
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
59.07
|
0.8464
|
|
Tx
|
1668020550000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xd5a6656d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
145.43
|
0.6876
|
|
Tx
|
1668020514000
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xca1c9ffe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
52.50
|
0.9523
|
|
Tx
|
1668020346000
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x5ba640f9
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
157.51
|
0.6349
|
|
Tx
|
1667983026000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xc589ae55
|
Sell |
Democratic |
π΄ |
$726.38
|
854.95
|
0.8496
|
|
Tx
|
1667444144000
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x61234ab9
|
Buy |
Republican |
π΄ |
$448.25
|
507.94
|
0.8825
|
|
Tx
|
1667443924000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
π΅ |
$150.00
|
425.32
|
0.3527
|
|
Tx
|
1667443644000
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xc589ae55
|
Buy |
Democratic |
π΅ |
$151.45
|
429.63
|
0.3525
|
|
Tx
|
1650662923000
|
Will Girl with Balloon (by Banksy) sell for Β£500k or more at Sothebyβs?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x1030b433
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$150.00
|
212.68
|
0.7053
|
|
Tx
|
1650662767000
|
Will Girl with Balloon (by Banksy) sell for Β£500k or more at Sothebyβs?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x1030b433
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$146.88
|
404.10
|
0.3635
|
|
Tx
|
1650662635000
|
Will Girl with Balloon (by Banksy) sell for Β£500k or more at Sothebyβs?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x1030b433
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$150.00
|
404.10
|
0.3712
|
|
Tx
|
1648063868000
|
Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x08a1e280
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
28.47
|
0.8781
|
|
Tx
|
1647434961000
|
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x3a1084bf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
21.91
|
0.2282
|
|
Tx
|
1647434921000
|
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xd904834c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
30.46
|
0.6565
|
|
Tx
|
1647434889000
|
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x2c60c2d2
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
217.94
|
0.0459
|
|
Tx
|
1647434819000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x467f7b3a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$150.00
|
224.83
|
0.6672
|
|
Tx
|
1647362333000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x1bdd7f4a
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$75.02
|
94.20
|
0.7964
|
|
Tx
|
1647361973000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x467f7b3a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$60.00
|
91.40
|
0.6564
|
|
Tx
|
1647361857000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xdfe46b04
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
19.17
|
0.5217
|
|
Tx
|
1647361821000
|
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xd904834c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
36.66
|
0.6820
|
|
Tx
|
1647361749000
|
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xedfdb2c3
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$80.00
|
111.53
|
0.7173
|
|
Tx
|
1647361681000
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x1cf1b9d8
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
34.11
|
0.8794
|
|
Tx
|
1646517163000
|
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xb0c7c647
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$60.00
|
105.78
|
0.5672
|
|
Tx
|
1646293839000
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xfd493c08
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
22.94
|
0.4360
|
|
Tx
|
1645908087000
|
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x126c185c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
70.73
|
0.1414
|
|
Tx
|
1645907881000
|
Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x12b48ee2
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
42.43
|
0.5893
|
|
Tx
|
1645787219000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x1bdd7f4a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
94.24
|
0.1592
|
|
Tx
|
1645787195000
|
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xbbe01b09
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$82.61
|
91.50
|
0.9029
|
|
Tx
|
1645698003000
|
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xa570a159
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$76.80
|
97.14
|
0.7906
|
|
Tx
|
1645690397000
|
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xa570a159
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$141.26
|
184.66
|
0.7650
|
|
Tx
|
1645690311000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x1b989fec
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$141.26
|
159.77
|
0.8842
|
|
Tx
|
1645474644000
|
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xa570a159
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$29.36
|
66.29
|
0.4428
|
|
Tx
|
1645474588000
|
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x96f8c98f
|
Sell |
Public |
|
$29.36
|
56.79
|
0.5169
|
|
Tx
|
1645474468000
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xe5a77941
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$59.69
|
80.86
|
0.7381
|
|
Tx
|
1644784634000
|
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xbbe01b09
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$80.00
|
91.57
|
0.8737
|
|
Tx
|
1644783514000
|
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.5% or more in January?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x6ae1f7ef
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
76.80
|
0.3906
|
|
Tx
|
1644782288000
|
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x22fa9a31
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
21.66
|
0.9232
|
|
Tx
|
1644781640000
|
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x96f8c98f
|
Buy |
Public |
|
$30.00
|
56.80
|
0.5282
|
|
Tx
|
1643645710000
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xe5a77941
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$9.98
|
16.34
|
0.6106
|
|
Tx
|
1643645576000
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x6d9f7082
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$9.98
|
59.71
|
0.1671
|
|
Tx
|
1643016940000
|
Will 'CafΓ© con aroma de mujer: Season 1' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 30?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x41a27cf9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.38
|
30.76
|
0.0774
|
|
Tx
|
1642951695000
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0xe5a77941
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
52.34
|
0.5732
|
|
Tx
|
1642951675000
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x6d9f7082
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
59.71
|
0.3349
|
|
Tx
|
1642942557000
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x38a8cacb
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$60.00
|
90.38
|
0.6639
|
|
Tx
|
1642842656000
|
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 7.0%?
|
0x01c58151
|
0x01eb76dd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
137.42
|
0.7277
|
|
Tx
|