1708630139000
|
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.77
|
1.07
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708630082000
|
Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a hack?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.05
|
1.05
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708630082000
|
Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a hack?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.05
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708597732000
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.02
|
0.9940
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708597732000
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.02
|
3.02
|
0.0060
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708597554000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.00
|
5.02
|
0.9960
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708597554000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.02
|
5.02
|
0.0040
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708590238000
|
Will Daniel Alegre change pfp by April 1?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.50
|
5.00
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708588453000
|
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.75
|
1.15
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708588453000
|
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0xf1899a30
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.75
|
1.15
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708588001000
|
TikTok/UMG deal before March?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.12
|
0.62
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708588001000
|
TikTok/UMG deal before March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.50
|
0.62
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708545461000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5.00
|
5.26
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708545461000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x71f105ea
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4.75
|
5.00
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708545461000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x71f105ea
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.25
|
0.26
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708542870000
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.54
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708542870000
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.54
|
1.54
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708542854000
|
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000?
|
0xcb11f64d
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.75
|
5.00
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708540063000
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.46
|
1.78
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708540063000
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1.46
|
1.78
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708539706000
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.50
|
5.00
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708537311000
|
Ukraine aid package in February?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.06
|
2.06
|
0.0310
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708537311000
|
Ukraine aid package in February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
2.06
|
0.9690
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708536552000
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0xe6b051d2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1.00
|
1.79
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708536552000
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.79
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708532022000
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x629bc4a1
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3.00
|
3.03
|
0.9890
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708532022000
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.00
|
3.03
|
0.9890
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708529711000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.59
|
23.67
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708529711000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0xecdbd795
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$20.59
|
23.67
|
0.8700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708335270000
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.00
|
1.01
|
0.9890
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708335270000
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x629bc4a1
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.01
|
0.9890
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708206468000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.00
|
0.10
|
0.0080
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708206468000
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.10
|
0.10
|
0.9920
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708205751000
|
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.10
|
0.10
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708205751000
|
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.00
|
0.10
|
0.0300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708205719000
|
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.00
|
0.10
|
0.0200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708205719000
|
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.10
|
0.10
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708205509000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.00
|
5.26
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708205509000
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x0b644e44
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5.00
|
5.26
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708196936000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.00
|
0.10
|
0.0270
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708196936000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.10
|
0.10
|
0.9730
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708179727000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.04
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708179727000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.04
|
1.04
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708179701000
|
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x24c8cf69
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.01
|
1.01
|
0.0140
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708179701000
|
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.01
|
0.9860
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708179671000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.02
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708179671000
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.02
|
1.02
|
0.0200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708179603000
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.02
|
1.02
|
0.0210
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708179603000
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.02
|
0.9790
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708179173000
|
North Korea nuke by March 31?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.00
|
0.10
|
0.0260
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708179173000
|
North Korea nuke by March 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.10
|
0.10
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708169185000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$15.00
|
16.85
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708169185000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x209c21d4
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$15.00
|
16.85
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708156268000
|
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
2.35
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708156268000
|
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.35
|
2.35
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708155333000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x30e44387
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2.00
|
2.22
|
0.8990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708155333000
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
2.22
|
0.8990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708154977000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
2.78
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708154977000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.78
|
2.78
|
0.2800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708122147000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.00
|
5.68
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708122147000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5.00
|
5.68
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708121684000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.00
|
2.33
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708121684000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0xf8b58c79
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2.00
|
2.33
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708121528000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5.00
|
5.26
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708121528000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.00
|
5.26
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708121362000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.00
|
1.14
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708121362000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0xd5ecfa17
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1.00
|
1.14
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|