Unknown |
0 |
1 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.52
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.41
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
4.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2005
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.93
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.2600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.09
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.8990
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.9307
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-3.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.60
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.9180
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
5.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.30
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
✅ |
5.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.14
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
3.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.16
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
✅ |
3.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.04
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
1.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.47
|
Trades
|
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 25 2024
|
✅ |
1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a hack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.11
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.7838
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.10
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.10
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
1.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.04
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
1.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.04
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high today? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
0.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.68
|
Trades
|
Will Odysseus Lander lose communication by Feb 27? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 27 2024
|
✅ |
0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.6500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.54
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.54
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.94
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.44
|
Trades
|
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.33
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
TikTok/UMG deal before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.8161
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.05
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-0.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Feb 26 2024
|
✅ |
0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.18
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.8717
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.32
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.17
|
Trades
|
SBF reduced sentence because autism? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.67
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.67
|
Thu Mar 28 2024
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.17
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.15
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Daniel Alegre change pfp by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.09
|
Trades
|
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? |
Google |
NVIDIA |
0.00
|
2.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9780
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.04
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
4.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9890
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.04
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.04
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will roon deactivate his account in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Do Kwon extradited before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9860
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.10
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.10
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.10
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.10
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.10
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.10
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.10
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? |
Biden |
Haley |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.45
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by March 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.58
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.2137
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
✅ |
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.75
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.16
|
17.04
|
|
|
-4.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.03
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-18.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.82
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.16
|
17.04
|
|
|
-22.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.79
|
|