Elizabeth Warren crypto bill become law by June? |
Yes |
No |
9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.3389
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
3.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.05
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.20
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0840
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
0.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.42
|
Trades
|
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-0.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.45
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.74
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.51
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.3860
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.10
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.33
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1500
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
1.80
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.95
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
1.04
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.46
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-6.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.25
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9260
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
|
-46.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-46.30
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
48.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.50
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.9653
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
44.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.48
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
29.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.99
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
11.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.95
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
111.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.9236
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
111.76
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-103.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.54
|
Trades
|
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 26 2023
|
β
|
7.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.30
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? |
$1800 |
$2200 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
β
|
6.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.55
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
6.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.40
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
5.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1863
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.33
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.32
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 11 2024
|
β
|
6.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.30
|
Trades
|
CZ jail before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
220.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.9747
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
220.31
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-214.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.56
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8767
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
30.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-26.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.70
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April? |
Yes |
No |
3.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3.80
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.65
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.05
|
Trades
|
Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
1.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.75
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-3.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.10
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.45
|
Trades
|
Will the GΓ€vle Goat be destroyed in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.34
|
Trades
|
SOL/ETH new high by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
32.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.9990
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
32.36
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-32.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Base airdrop by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
5.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0476
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-0.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.24
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0280
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.28
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Alex Jones banned from X again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will X start charging all users? |
Yes |
No |
33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0240
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.79
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0350
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-0.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.87
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
5.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
UK election called by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.40
|
Trades
|
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0075
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-1.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.75
|
Trades
|
$BITCOIN (HPOS10i) all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-1.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.80
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0280
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-1.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.96
|
Trades
|
Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1110
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high today? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.10
|
Trades
|
2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2250
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 14 2024
|
β
|
-2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.25
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-2.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.58
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.60
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
-2.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.70
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? |
Yes |
No |
130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0225
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
β
|
-2.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.92
|
Trades
|
TRUMP all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-3.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.30
|
Trades
|
Saudi Arabia and Yemeni Houthis peace deal by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.75
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-3.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.80
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
113.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0336
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.81
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3850
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-3.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.85
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0326
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.13
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.80
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-5.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.19
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
864.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0063
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-5.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.48
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? |
$2000 |
$2500 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
β
|
-7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.50
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
149.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2825
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-42.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.09
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
39.13
|
374.43
|
|
|
-341.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.51
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.78
|
1.80
|
|
|
-59.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.68
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40.91
|
376.23
|
|
|
-400.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.83
|
|