Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
16.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-19.0023
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
322.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
322.64
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
264.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
264.00
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
125.06
|
0.00% |
|
-1.8691
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
✅ |
233.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
233.75
|
Trades
|
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
109.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
109.60
|
Trades
|
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
61.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.28
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.36
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.36
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
26.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.01
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
14.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.8047
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
25.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.72
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
24.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.39
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
21.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.24
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
7.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.28
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
5.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.10
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.25
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.97
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
0.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.81
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.70
|
Trades
|
OpenAI board out by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
0.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.58
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.49
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0110
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
-0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.16
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
128.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0036
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.46
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
✅ |
-0.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.78
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0050
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.38
|
0.00% |
|
1.3101
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4.38
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.36
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0630
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
✅ |
-6.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.30
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
171.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0503
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-8.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.60
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17? |
Yes |
No |
401.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0225
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
✅ |
-9.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.01
|
Trades
|
Hunter Biden arrested before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.00
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
✅ |
-22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.00
|
Trades
|
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
815.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0429
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-34.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.98
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-244.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-244.21
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
900.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3363
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-302.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-302.65
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.49
|
4.74
|
|
|
437.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
442.72
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.49
|
4.74
|
|
|
437.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
443.02
|
|