Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
21.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.4700
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
10.56
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.56
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
8.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6100
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
4.10
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
86.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0580
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
3.91
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.09
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
5.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8900
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
7.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.5300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.5900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
15.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.5300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
34.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.05
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
67.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.5800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
67.24
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-39.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.24
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
20.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.30
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
✅ |
12.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.22
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
11.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.98
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
11.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.67
|
Trades
|
Will Magnus play Hans by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.33
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.90
|
Trades
|
Hunter Biden arrested before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
5.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.87
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
5.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.59
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.64
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
7.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.1900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
AI on Amazon speaker by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.5500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
67.24
|
|
|
53.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
120.80
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.00
|
10.56
|
|
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-71.44
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.00
|
77.80
|
|
|
-36.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.37
|
|