Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
48.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.53
|
Trades
|
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,086.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,000.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
6,979.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1730
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1,207.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,207.10
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11,456.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.6097
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-6,984.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,984.70
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25,270.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.6035
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-15,250.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15,250.51
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
6,455.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,455.35
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
116.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.41
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
✅ |
7.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.47
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
6.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.67
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,785.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.8402
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,500.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-4,096.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,096.53
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
989.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
989.36
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-24,393.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24,393.78
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
-23,404.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23,404.41
|
|