Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.93
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.65
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Is Obama queer? |
Yes |
No |
78.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0160
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.25
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.71
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 01 2023
|
✅ |
-0.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.42
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
12.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.49
|
Trades
|
Will Olivia Chow win the 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
✅ |
0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.03
|
20.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
✅ |
110.59
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
110.66
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.51 |
0.49 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-7.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.46
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
120.12
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
120.20
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-7.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.46
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
112.66
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
112.74
|
|