Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
β
|
112.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
112.07
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
β
|
752.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
752.71
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
β
|
1,477.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,477.95
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
14,213.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14,213.21
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
66.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.13
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
β
|
-2,799.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,799.51
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
9.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.70
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
β
|
1,008.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,008.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
1,072.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,072.13
|
Trades
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,404.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6355
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,404.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-892.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
511.71
|
Trades
|
2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 14 2024
|
β
|
902.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
902.20
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
227.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
227.01
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,619.51
|
0.00% |
|
0.9606
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,619.51
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1,555.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.82
|
Trades
|
OpenAI settlement with NYT by March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-7.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.30
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
544.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7964
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
544.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-433.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.77
|
Trades
|
Coinbase a top 25 app in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13,268.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.9775
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13,268.57
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-12,970.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
298.33
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
β
|
2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.10
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9,775.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.9801
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
9,775.58
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
-9,581.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
194.43
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
591.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
591.19
|
Trades
|
ETH above $4,000 next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
704.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
704.29
|
Trades
|
BTC above $70,000 next friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,566.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.8931
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-4,971.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,971.18
|
Trades
|
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
3,578.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,578.13
|
Trades
|
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $48m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 11 2024
|
β
|
2,003.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,003.40
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,170.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.9892
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,170.78
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-2,147.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.35
|
Trades
|
DOGE all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin new all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
1,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,500.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-1,498.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Alex Wice vs. Hsaka - Most Liked Post Today |
Alex Wice |
Hsaka |
0.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9990
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,000.00
|
Thu Mar 07 2024
|
β
|
-1,998.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum hit $4k today? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 07 2024
|
β
|
200.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
200.20
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,281.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.9817
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,281.77
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-2,240.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.65
|
Trades
|
Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
48.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.46
|
Trades
|
Will Ronna Mcdaniel step down as RNC Chair before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9870
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-987.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
318.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
318.58
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by March 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
2,976.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,976.73
|
Trades
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.11
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Oklahoma Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
4,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4,000.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-3,996.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Arkansas Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
2,002.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,002.00
|
Trades
|
Will Milady flip MAYC by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
285.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9780
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
285.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-278.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.27
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,389.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.9821
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,389.16
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-5,292.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.69
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
278.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
278.71
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,593.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.9130
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,593.58
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-3,281.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
312.58
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.50
|
Trades
|
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
0.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.69
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.08
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview over 300 million views on X in first 24 hours? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,385.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.9940
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,385.98
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-5,353.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.32
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
50.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.87
|
Trades
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
47.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.91
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,340.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7507
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-3,258.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,258.21
|
Trades
|
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
23.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.69
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5,500.00
|
48,717.94
|
|
|
-27,749.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26,468.72
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-3,135.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,135.74
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5,500.00
|
48,717.94
|
|
|
-30,884.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23,332.98
|
|