Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
3.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.42
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
62.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.3200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
59.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.7588
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
46.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.67
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
45.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.56
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
✅ |
43.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.75
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
33.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.33
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
33.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.33
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
28.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.77
|
Trades
|
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
28.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.46
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
✅ |
22.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.34
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
20.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.30
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
19.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.75
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
✅ |
19.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.39
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
17.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.78
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
✅ |
17.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.73
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
✅ |
10.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.62
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
9.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.54
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
✅ |
7.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.05
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 8 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
6.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.76
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
6.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.76
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
6.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.49
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
5.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.64
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
5.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.49
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
✅ |
4.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.70
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "January 6th" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
✅ |
4.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.09
|
Trades
|
Will the Nuggets be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
✅ |
3.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.56
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
✅ |
2.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.48
|
Trades
|
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
1.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.98
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
0.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.41
|
Trades
|
Will X start charging all users? |
Yes |
No |
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
✅ |
-0.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.96
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Clinton" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
7.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
22.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Putin" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
21.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
102.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0487
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
✅ |
-7.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.29
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
58.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
76.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.1300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
32.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.3100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.6600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
47.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
24.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8040
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
129.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1547
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "woke" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
30.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
60.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3291
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-21.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.58
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
275.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
275.89
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-61.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-61.58
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
214.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
214.32
|
|