Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
2.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.26
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.20
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
0.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.36
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
179.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
179.68
|
Trades
|
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
11.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.05
|
Trades
|
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
9.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.51
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
✅ |
4.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.51
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
3.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.60
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
3.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.18
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
3.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.10
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
2.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.62
|
Trades
|
India Election: Modi reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
1.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.96
|
Trades
|
Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 26 2024
|
✅ |
1.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.53
|
Trades
|
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.08
|
Trades
|
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.93
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by end of March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.87
|
Trades
|
Any Hamas leader out in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.79
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.77
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.49
|
Trades
|
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $36m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
749.99
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0005
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 11 2024
|
✅ |
0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.34
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.24
|
Trades
|
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.17
|
Trades
|
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 26 2024
|
✅ |
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0280
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
-0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
360.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-0.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.36
|
Trades
|
Hunter Biden arrested before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.74
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.19
|
Trades
|
Is P. Diddy queer? |
Yes |
No |
123.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.23
|
Trades
|
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $48m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0016
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 11 2024
|
✅ |
-1.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.90
|
Trades
|
Biden cognitive test before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.80
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.02
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-6.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.80
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-7.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.47
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
-8.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.80
|
Trades
|
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
588.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.0170
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Haiti Prime Minister resigns in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-11.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.50
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
388.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.0643
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6,159.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.0184
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
✅ |
-113.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-113.04
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.06
|
|
|
15.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.52
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
3.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.82
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0.06
|
|
|
19.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.34
|
|