Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
3.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.33
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.02
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.27
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-5.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.29
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
24.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.68
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
20.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
19.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.85
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
β
|
11.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.93
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.63
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
9.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.55
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Denmark beat Australia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
β
|
6.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.18
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Saturday - Will Netherlands beat USA? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 03 2022
|
β
|
5.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.56
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
5.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.09
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Sunday - Will France beat Poland? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 04 2022
|
β
|
2.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.81
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Friday - Will Portugal beat South Korea? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 02 2022
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
32.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.93
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Japan vs. Croatia |
Japan |
Croatia |
26.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3302
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 05 2022
|
β
|
-8.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.84
|
Trades
|
Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-18.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.48
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.64
|
0.01
|
|
|
73.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.31
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
|
|
-1.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.68
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.68
|
0.01
|
|
|
71.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.63
|
|