Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
39.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8577
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
36.27
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-33.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.75
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
39.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.5100
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
19.46
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.54
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
33.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
98.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1020
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
42.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.62
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
13.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.03
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
12.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.38
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
9.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.30
|
Trades
|
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.2400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.49
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
-11.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.44
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
63.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.89
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36.27
|
19.46
|
|
|
-66.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.79
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36.27
|
19.46
|
|
|
-2.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
53.10
|
|