| Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
11.11% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 03 2021
|
✅ |
16.10
|
163.79
|
0.00
|
179.89
|
Trades
|
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416.2 ppm on August 3, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
9.09% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 04 2021
|
✅ |
-443.10
|
38.76
|
0.00
|
-404.34
|
Trades
|
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 400K for the week ending on July 31? |
Yes |
No |
4,575,319.26
|
0.00
|
10.00% |
0.0001
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 05 2021
|
✅ |
-499.95
|
78.09
|
0.00
|
-421.86
|
Trades
|
| Will Allyson Felix win a medal in the Women’s 400M? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8,380,927.86
|
10.00% |
|
0.0001
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 06 2021
|
✅ |
-499.97
|
89.75
|
0.00
|
-410.22
|
Trades
|
| How many album unit sales will Billie Eilish’s “Happier Than Ever” generate in its first week? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 06 2021
|
✅ |
-246.42
|
20.83
|
0.00
|
-225.58
|
Trades
|
| Will Eliud Kipchoge win gold in the Men's Marathon at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 07 2021
|
✅ |
-1.20
|
21.35
|
0.00
|
20.15
|
Trades
|
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 385K for the week ending on August 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 12 2021
|
✅ |
-5.78
|
10.93
|
0.00
|
5.15
|
Trades
|
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 01 2021
|
✅ |
5.89
|
84.65
|
0.00
|
90.54
|
Trades
|
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 02 2021
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
| Will PNAS retract Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,634,102.85
|
100.00% |
|
0.0002
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
✅ |
-291.76
|
22.12
|
93.98
|
-175.66
|
Trades
|
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by December 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 01 2021
|
✅ |
-49.49
|
21.20
|
0.00
|
-28.29
|
Trades
|
| Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
999,920.62
|
0.00
|
82.03% |
0.0003
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
✅ |
-349.88
|
0.00
|
23.58
|
-326.30
|
Trades
|
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
138.10
|
0.00% |
|
17.5768
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
138.10
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
✅ |
-2,427.42
|
797.67
|
0.00
|
-1,491.65
|
Trades
|
| Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
138.10
|
|
|
-4,793.07
|
1,349.14
|
117.56
|
-3,188.27
|
|
| Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
| Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
138.10
|
|
|
-4,793.07
|
1,349.14
|
117.56
|
-3,188.27
|
|