Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.4500
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
27.78
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.78
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© sign for Real Madrid? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 01 2024
|
|
0.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.67
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.25
|
Trades
|
Who Gets Sacked First: Erik ten Hag or Mauricio Pochettino? |
ten Hag |
Pochettino |
0.00
|
41.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-0.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.41
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
66.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
90.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
49.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
House control after 2024 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
54.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.4600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
39.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7027
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-28.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.10
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
402.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
402.02
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
201.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
201.48
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
110.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.14
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
66.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.92
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
50.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.80
|
Trades
|
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard week of Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 19 2024
|
β
|
49.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.50
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
27.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.74
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
β
|
27.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.04
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? |
Haley |
DeSantis |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
21.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.75
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
21.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.75
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
11.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.75
|
Trades
|
Coinbase a top 25 app in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
32.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
32.05
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.05
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
β
|
6.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.08
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-9.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.25
|
Trades
|
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
Trades
|
Haaland to break PL goal record this season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
β
|
-10.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.86
|
Trades
|
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
β
|
1.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
Trades
|
NYC trucker strike for Trump by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
0.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.67
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100? |
Yes |
No |
22.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0158
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-0.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.35
|
Trades
|
Do Kwon extradited before March? |
Yes |
No |
31.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.91
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
166.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-9.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.96
|
Trades
|
Will Warpcast break top 5 on the iOS App Store in February? |
Yes |
No |
333.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-9.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.99
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
261.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0382
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? |
Yes |
No |
14.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
153.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0650
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
55.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
38.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? |
Yes |
No |
66.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
43.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
142.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0702
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 14 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games) |
Yes |
No |
62.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
62.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
42.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.08
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-24.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.00
|
Trades
|
Will Man City win the Premier League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.6800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
63.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.3940
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
83.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by end of March? |
Yes |
No |
70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-25.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.20
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
226.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.4866
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-110.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-110.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
60.05
|
|
|
573.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
633.18
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
27.78
|
|
|
-122.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-94.82
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
87.83
|
|
|
450.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
538.36
|
|