Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.49 0.51 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -0.10 0.96 0.00 0.86 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ 254,279.04 0.00 0.00 254,279.04 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ 119,893.22 0.00 0.00 119,893.22 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 72,433.83 0.00 0.00 72,433.83 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 01 2023 ✅ 63,689.29 0.00 0.00 63,689.29 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ 59,708.39 0.00 0.00 59,708.39 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 18,814.90 0.00 0.00 18,814.90 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 7.84 0.00% -1942.4468 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 15,237.69 0.00 0.00 15,237.69 Trades
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 12,909.99 0.00 0.00 12,909.99 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 5.70 0.00% -2170.8194 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ 12,369.03 290.97 0.00 12,659.99 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 12,514.60 0.00 0.00 12,514.60 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2.02 0.00% -3556.3008 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ 7,183.62 1,778.39 0.00 8,962.01 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 10.43 0.00% -480.8932 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 ✅ 5,013.65 1,400.06 0.00 6,413.71 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 ✅ 5,608.99 0.00 0.00 5,608.99 Trades
Virginia State Legislature: Will Republicans gain full control? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 5,574.88 0.00 0.00 5,574.88 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 0.00 26,706.80 0.00% 0.8484 0.00 1.00 0.00 26,706.80 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -22,657.26 1,305.83 0.00 5,355.36 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 4,737.90 0.00 0.00 4,737.90 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 4,316.98 0.00 0.00 4,316.98 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Aug 10 2024 ✅ 3,904.49 0.00 0.00 3,904.49 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ 3,561.45 0.00 0.00 3,561.45 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 265,150.38 0.00% 0.9879 0.00 1.00 0.00 265,150.38 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -261,953.95 0.00 0.00 3,196.43 Trades
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 3,079.38 0.00 0.00 3,079.38 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 159,003.53 0.00 0.00% 0.9815 1.00 0.00 159,003.53 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ -156,065.82 0.00 0.00 2,937.72 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 0.00 67,219.20 0.00% 0.9676 0.00 1.00 0.00 67,219.20 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -65,040.48 501.71 0.00 2,680.43 Trades
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 2,620.00 0.00 0.00 2,620.00 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 40,688.48 0.00% 0.9449 0.00 1.00 0.00 40,688.48 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -38,446.67 9.69 0.00 2,251.51 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.70 0.00% -242.9341 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ 2,114.59 44.53 0.00 2,159.12 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.00 71,155.52 0.00% 0.9710 0.00 1.00 0.00 71,155.52 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -69,095.39 0.00 0.00 2,060.13 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 1,607.01 0.00 0.00 1,607.01 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.38 0.00% -308.0068 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 1,349.34 233.83 0.00 1,583.17 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.99 0.00% -286.0982 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 1,141.02 370.33 0.00 1,511.35 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 1,457.06 0.00 0.00 1,457.06 Trades
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 4.36 0.00 0.00% -301.0313 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 1,311.90 75.49 0.00 1,387.39 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,369.89 0.00 0.00 1,369.89 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,299.69 0.00 0.00 1,299.69 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ 989.76 8.63 0.00 998.40 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 6.59 0.00 0.00% -145.7423 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ 959.80 27.25 0.00 987.05 Trades
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 ✅ 906.16 0.00 0.00 906.16 Trades
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? $1 first $2 first 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 900.00 0.00 0.00 900.00 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 815.90 0.00 0.00 815.90 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? Yes No 0.00 12,100.00 0.00% 0.9362 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,100.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -11,328.43 0.00 0.00 771.57 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? Yes No 0.00 44,556.55 0.00% 0.9843 0.00 1.00 0.00 44,556.55 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -43,855.68 0.00 0.00 700.87 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 7.39 0.00% -92.1963 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 681.54 0.00 0.00 681.54 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? Democrat Republican 0.00 2.02 0.00% -254.1144 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 514.54 116.06 0.00 630.59 Trades
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? Yes No 0.00 48,670.00 0.00% 0.9875 0.00 1.00 0.00 48,670.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -48,059.90 0.00 0.00 610.10 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? Yes No 1.47 0.00 0.00% -352.2053 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ 517.53 58.55 0.00 576.08 Trades
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 566.10 0.00 0.00 566.10 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 7.93 0.00 0.00% -64.4491 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ 511.05 32.66 0.00 543.71 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 524.03 0.00 0.00 524.03 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 441.85 0.00 0.00 441.85 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 5.21 0.00 0.28% -74.4900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ 387.80 31.80 0.00 419.60 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 0.00 18,599.14 0.00% 0.9785 0.00 1.00 0.00 18,599.14 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -18,199.18 0.00 0.00 399.97 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 350.64 0.00 0.00 350.64 Trades
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 6,637.01 0.00% 0.9488 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,637.01 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -6,297.36 2.90 0.00 342.55 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 0.00 10,988.61 0.00% 0.9694 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,988.61 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -10,652.42 0.00 0.00 336.19 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 4,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9200 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -3,680.00 0.00 0.00 320.00 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 0.00 6,231.13 0.00% 0.9544 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,231.13 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -5,947.20 0.82 0.00 284.74 Trades
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30? Yes No 4.54 0.00 0.00% -62.3671 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ 283.04 1.32 0.00 284.37 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 0.00 13,498.90 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,498.90 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -13,228.93 0.00 0.00 269.97 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.92 0.00% -5.4422 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 48.52 202.95 0.00 251.47 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 5,112.93 0.00 0.00% 0.9563 1.00 0.00 5,112.93 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -4,889.28 24.01 0.00 247.66 Trades
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,275.21 0.00% 0.9057 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,275.21 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -2,060.65 0.00 0.00 214.56 Trades
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 209.36 0.00 0.00 209.36 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.8000 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 ✅ -800.00 0.00 0.00 200.00 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? Yes No 2,609.90 0.00 0.00% 0.9380 1.00 0.00 2,609.90 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -2,448.11 0.00 0.00 161.79 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 151.01 0.00 0.00 151.01 Trades
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ 150.00 0.00 0.00 150.00 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ -860.00 0.00 0.00 140.00 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 1,000.09 0.00 0.00% 0.8641 1.00 0.00 1,000.09 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -864.21 0.00 0.00 135.88 Trades
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 ✅ 126.75 0.00 0.00 126.75 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? Yes No 0.00 761.17 0.00% 0.8364 0.00 1.00 0.00 761.17 Thu Apr 27 2023 ✅ -636.67 0.00 0.00 124.49 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 120.00 0.00 0.00 120.00 Trades
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through 2022? Yes No 13,286.52 0.00 0.00% 0.9914 1.00 0.00 13,286.52 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -13,172.13 0.00 0.00 114.39 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 109.37 0.00 0.00 109.37 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 4.10 0.00 0.00% -26.4754 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 108.60 0.00 0.00 108.60 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 4,306.83 0.00% 0.9754 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,306.83 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -4,200.69 0.00 0.00 106.14 Trades
Will Lukas Matsson be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 ✅ -900.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.8762 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -701.00 0.00 0.00 99.00 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 8,984.28 0.00 0.00% 0.9898 1.00 0.00 8,984.28 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -8,892.67 0.00 0.00 91.61 Trades
Is Obama queer? Yes No 0.00 12,125.00 0.00% 0.9928 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,125.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -12,038.00 0.00 0.00 87.00 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 2.01 0.00% -38.8407 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 78.09 0.00 0.00 80.10 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.81 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ 73.59 0.00 0.00 73.59 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30? Yes No 0.00 1,316.60 0.00% 0.9479 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,316.60 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -1,247.94 0.00 0.00 68.66 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 8,691.40 0.00 0.00% 0.9939 1.00 0.00 8,691.40 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -8,638.55 14.73 0.00 67.58 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,593.43 0.03% 0.9857 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,593.43 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -4,527.65 0.00 0.00 65.78 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 63.32 0.00 0.00 63.32 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (O'Rourke) or Republican (Abbott) win in Texas? Democrat Republican 2.67 0.00 0.00% -20.8967 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 55.70 0.00 0.00 55.70 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.65 0.00% -11.8100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 54.92 0.00 0.00 54.92 Trades
Will Curve's founder get liquidated? Yes No 0.00 12,436.69 0.00% 0.9958 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,436.69 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ -12,384.83 0.00 0.00 51.86 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,991.83 0.00% 0.9929 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,991.83 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -6,942.43 0.00 0.00 49.39 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ 47.48 0.00 0.00 47.48 Trades
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? Yes No 5,978.55 0.00 0.00% 0.9922 1.00 0.00 5,978.55 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -5,931.70 0.00 0.00 46.85 Trades
North Korea nuke by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 45.36 0.00 0.00 45.36 Trades
$ARB above $10 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 4,500.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,500.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -4,455.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? Yes No 2,464.52 0.00 0.00% 0.9819 1.00 0.00 2,464.52 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -2,419.87 0.00 0.00 44.65 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.37 0.00% -4.8981 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 41.00 0.00 0.00 41.00 Trades
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 40.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? Yes No 0.00 12,890.45 0.00% 0.9969 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,890.45 Sat Jan 07 2023 ✅ -12,850.60 0.00 0.00 39.85 Trades
Will Binance.US shut down by April 30? Yes No 0.00 526.69 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 526.69 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -489.83 0.00 0.00 36.87 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 ✅ 33.96 0.00 0.00 33.96 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Welch) or Republican (Malloy) win in Vermont? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.60 0.00% -6.8971 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 31.76 0.80 0.00 32.56 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Christ) or Republican (DeSantis) win in Florida? Democrat Republican 0.23 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 32.33 0.00 0.00 32.33 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,982.68 0.00% 0.9937 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,982.68 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -4,951.52 0.00 0.00 31.16 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Gara) or Republican (Dunleavy) win in Alaska? Democrat Republican 2.45 0.00 0.00% -12.7325 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 31.14 0.00 0.00 31.14 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 30.03 0.00 0.00 30.03 Trades
Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 US Open? Yes No 6.11 0.00 0.00% -4.8754 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 ✅ 29.78 0.01 0.00 29.79 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? Yes No 8.47 0.00 0.00% -3.4466 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ 29.19 0.00 0.00 29.19 Trades
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 28.26 0.00 0.00 28.27 Trades
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? Yes No 0.00 52,290.46 0.00% 0.9995 0.00 1.00 0.00 52,290.46 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ -52,262.46 0.00 0.00 28.00 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 4.56 0.00 0.00% -6.0763 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 27.70 0.00 0.00 27.70 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7400 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -74.00 0.00 0.00 26.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ 23.79 0.00 0.00 23.79 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,976.65 0.06% 0.9895 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,976.65 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,955.93 0.00 0.00 20.72 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,993.91 0.00% 0.9897 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,993.91 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -1,973.38 0.00 0.00 20.53 Trades
Will Coinbase list PEPE by July 31? Yes No 0.00 1,865.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,865.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -1,846.35 0.00 0.00 18.65 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8500 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -85.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 ✅ -285.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? SBF Bitboy 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 13.90 0.00 0.00 13.90 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 8,998.99 0.00% 0.9985 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,998.99 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -8,985.38 0.00 0.00 13.62 Trades
Binance insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 13.00 0.00 0.00 13.00 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -990.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -90.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? Yes No 0.00 230.81 0.00% 0.9670 0.00 1.00 0.00 230.81 Tue Jun 27 2023 ✅ -223.19 0.00 0.00 7.62 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 ✅ 5.72 0.00 0.00 5.72 Trades
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 5.28 0.00 0.00 5.28 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hofmeister) or Republican (Stitt) win in Oklahoma? Democrat Republican 5.55 0.00 0.00% -0.9306 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 5.16 0.00 0.00 5.16 Trades
Will England win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 6,990.94 0.00% 0.9994 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,990.94 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -6,986.80 0.00 0.00 4.14 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 ✅ -96.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 105.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9624 1.00 0.00 105.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -101.05 0.00 0.00 3.95 Trades
North Korea nuke by August 15? Yes No 0.00 148.23 0.00% 0.9810 0.00 1.00 0.00 148.23 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ -145.41 0.00 0.00 2.82 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 9,101.48 0.00% 0.9997 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,101.48 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ -9,098.71 0.00 0.00 2.76 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 6.76 0.00 0.00% -0.3779 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 2.55 0.00 0.00 2.55 Trades
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 6,998.99 0.00% 0.9998 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,998.99 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -6,997.33 0.00 0.00 1.66 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? Yes No 0.00 59.00 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 59.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -57.82 0.00 0.00 1.18 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 6,898.99 0.00% 0.9998 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,898.99 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -6,897.91 0.00 0.00 1.08 Trades
Will Shiv Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 83.34 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 83.34 Sat Jul 29 2023 ✅ -82.51 0.00 0.00 0.83 Trades
NFL Thursday: Bills vs. Rams Bills Rams 0.00 0.04 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 ✅ -15.54 16.23 0.00 0.69 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Mills) or Republican (LePage) win in Maine? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.36 0.00% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on November 8? Yes No 1.08 0.00 0.00% 1.9261 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -2.08 1.36 0.00 -0.72 Trades
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 40,865.91 0.00 0.00% 0.0000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -1.90 0.47 0.00 -1.43 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? Yes No 9.17 0.00 0.00% 0.7690 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 30 2022 ✅ -7.05 0.44 0.00 -6.61 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13? Yes No 18.12 0.00 0.00% 1.6530 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 18 2022 ✅ -29.95 5.17 0.00 -24.77 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 12.22 0.00 0.00% 12.8959 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -157.61 112.29 0.00 -45.32 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -51.48 0.00 0.00 -51.48 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 155.57 0.05% 0.4041 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ -62.87 9.57 0.00 -53.30 Trades
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? Yes No 406.67 0.00 0.00% 0.1377 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ -56.00 0.00 0.00 -56.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? Democrat Republican 5.86 0.00 0.00% 14.5894 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -85.43 5.52 0.00 -79.90 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 6.89 0.00 0.00% 14.6441 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 12 2022 ✅ -100.86 9.21 0.00 -91.65 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.16 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ -191.43 60.33 0.00 -131.10 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 1,772.41 0.00 0.00% 0.0841 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -149.06 3.14 0.00 -145.92 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 1,356.38 0.00 0.00% 0.1475 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ -226.57 0.00 0.00 -226.57 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -334.14 0.00 0.00 -334.14 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 1,102.63 0.00 0.00% 0.3191 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -351.86 0.00 0.00 -351.86 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? Yes No 0.04 0.00 11.11% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -405.71 0.00 0.00 -405.71 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 0.04 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -496.68 0.00 0.00 -496.68 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.09 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 16 2022 ✅ -713.16 64.61 0.00 -648.56 Trades
Will NATO expand by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.6600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -660.00 0.00 0.00 -660.00 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -828.00 0.00 0.00 -828.00 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 1,263.71 0.00 0.00% 0.8504 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 ✅ -1,074.72 0.00 0.00 -1,074.72 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.22 0.00% 393.8264 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -1,661.91 136.95 0.00 -1,524.96 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 2,881.55 0.00 0.00% 0.8931 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,573.38 0.00 0.00 -2,573.38 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,205.05 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -3,140.95 0.00 0.00 -3,140.95 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -3,845.26 480.26 0.00 -3,365.00 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? Higher Lower 6.73 0.00 0.00% 695.0508 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -4,679.48 109.58 0.00 -4,569.91 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 9,000.00 0.00% 0.8833 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ -7,950.00 0.00 0.00 -7,950.00 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ -11,529.96 0.00 0.00 -11,529.96 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 5.62 0.00% 3413.4948 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -19,192.63 581.21 0.00 -18,611.42 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.16 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 ✅ -80,696.28 5.84 0.00 -80,690.44 Trades
Resolved 211,436.73 802,847.12 -422,197.64 8,135.50 0.00 600,221.70
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.96 0.00 0.86
Total 211,436.73 802,847.12 -422,197.74 8,136.46 0.00 600,222.56