Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Messi score in his next game? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 26 2023
|
β
|
1.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.41
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.74
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 1? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0390
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.39
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.4700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 10 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Antony suspended by Man United? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 12 2023
|
β
|
1.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.45
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
β
|
0.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.71
|
Trades
|
Will "inflation" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
1.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
1.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.53
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "woke" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will "China" be said 15 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.3800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Trump contempt of court by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
2.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa GonzΓ‘lez win? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-0.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.62
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-0.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.24
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
7.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.80
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
5.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.69
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0060
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
50.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.26
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
6.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.63
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
-0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.11
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.7668
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-7.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.93
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
3.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.70
|
Trades
|
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.3500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Another African coup by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.50
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
6.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.09
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden face new criminal charges before November 1? |
Yes |
No |
3.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
β
|
15.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.68
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
4.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.05
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-3.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.10
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.90
|
0.00% |
|
0.2900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-8.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.96
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
4.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.3900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.46
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-119.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-119.32
|
Trades
|
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.74
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.06
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.71
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.3600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 17 2024
|
β
|
1.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.52
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
139.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
139.83
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
10.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1586
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
β
|
-1.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.66
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.08
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
4.51
|
|
|
89.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
94.13
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
4.51
|
|
|
89.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
94.13
|
|