Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 19.72 0.00 0.00 19.72 Trades
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 2.20 0.00 0.00 2.20 Trades
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? Yes No 0.00 1.18 0.00% 0.8300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.98 0.00 0.00 -0.98 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 0.00 7.14 0.00% 0.8400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 43.75 0.00 0.00% 0.1600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 0.00 29.85 0.00% 0.6700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 40.00 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -34.40 0.00 0.00 -34.40 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 40.00 0.00% 0.8700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -34.80 0.00 0.00 -34.80 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 βœ… 240.09 0.00 0.00 240.09 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 177.20 0.00 0.00 177.20 Trades
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… 173.37 0.00 0.00 173.37 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 163.24 0.00 0.00 163.24 Trades
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 27 2023 βœ… 161.37 0.00 0.00 161.37 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 βœ… 146.91 0.00 0.00 146.91 Trades
Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 23 2023 βœ… 129.89 0.00 0.00 129.89 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.00 214.27 0.00% 0.4123 0.00 1.00 0.00 214.27 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… -88.35 0.00 0.00 125.92 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 βœ… 121.45 0.00 0.00 121.45 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 βœ… 117.39 0.00 0.00 117.39 Trades
Will a Korean team win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 179.49 0.00 0.00% 0.3900 1.00 0.00 179.49 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 βœ… -70.00 0.00 0.00 109.49 Trades
Will 'The Exorcist: Believer' gross over $28m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 09 2023 βœ… 97.41 0.00 0.00 97.41 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? $1800 $2200 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 βœ… 82.36 0.00 0.00 82.36 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Elon Musk? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 80.54 0.00 0.00 80.54 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Jun 25 2024 βœ… 77.14 0.00 0.00 77.15 Trades
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 βœ… 76.45 0.00 0.00 76.45 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? Yes No 0.00 172.41 0.00% 0.5800 0.00 1.00 0.00 172.41 Tue Oct 17 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 72.41 Trades
ETH above $1,700 on October 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 βœ… 69.06 0.00 0.00 69.06 Trades
ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 22 2023 βœ… 64.17 0.00 0.00 64.17 Trades
Any Hamas leader out in January? Yes No 0.00 111.11 0.00% 0.4500 0.00 1.00 0.00 111.11 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 61.11 Trades
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 15 2023 βœ… 59.89 0.00 0.00 59.89 Trades
Will SBF testify? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 58.18 0.00 0.00 58.18 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 56.13 0.00 0.00 56.13 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 53.33 0.00 0.00 53.33 Trades
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa GonzΓ‘lez win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 βœ… 51.78 0.00 0.00 51.78 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 βœ… 51.00 0.00 0.00 51.00 Trades
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Nov 10 2023 βœ… 50.18 0.00 0.00 50.19 Trades
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 50.04 0.00 0.00 50.04 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 βœ… 49.45 0.00 0.00 49.46 Trades
New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 45.95 0.00 0.00 45.95 Trades
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 βœ… 45.11 0.00 0.00 45.11 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 45.11 0.00 0.00 45.11 Trades
Will Odysseus Lander lose communication by Feb 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 27 2024 βœ… 45.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 Trades
Will Shirley Weber replace Feinstein? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 04 2024 βœ… 44.65 0.00 0.00 44.65 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… 38.82 0.00 0.00 38.82 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 βœ… 38.18 0.00 0.00 38.18 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 0.00 79.74 0.00% 0.5229 0.00 1.00 0.00 79.74 Fri Nov 17 2023 βœ… -41.70 0.00 0.00 38.04 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 136.99 0.00 0.00% 0.7300 1.00 0.00 136.99 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 36.99 Trades
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? Google NVIDIA 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… 36.03 0.00 0.00 36.04 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship? Yes No 81.95 0.00 0.00% 0.5607 1.00 0.00 81.95 0.00 Fri Sep 22 2023 βœ… -45.95 0.00 0.00 36.00 Trades
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 33.16 0.00 0.00 33.16 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 βœ… 31.83 0.00 0.00 31.83 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 175.35 0.00% 0.8200 0.00 1.00 0.00 175.35 Sat Oct 21 2023 βœ… -143.79 0.00 0.00 31.56 Trades
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 31.33 0.00 0.00 31.33 Trades
Will β€˜Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 βœ… 31.24 0.00 0.00 31.24 Trades
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 30.71 0.00 0.00 30.71 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 30.57 0.00 0.00 30.58 Trades
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 29.65 0.00 0.00 29.66 Trades
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? Yes No 40.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3000 1.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 Sun May 26 2024 βœ… -12.00 0.00 0.00 28.00 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 57.24 0.00% 0.5241 0.00 1.00 0.00 57.24 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 27.24 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… 26.96 0.00 0.00 26.96 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 76.92 0.00 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 76.92 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 26.92 Trades
2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Magnus Carlsen win top 3? Yes No 76.92 0.00 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 76.92 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 26.92 Trades
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? Yes No 73.93 0.00 0.00% 0.6763 1.00 0.00 73.93 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 23.93 Trades
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 23.57 0.00 0.00 23.57 Trades
$WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 23.10 0.00 0.00 23.10 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 0.00 52.89 0.00% 0.5672 0.00 1.00 0.00 52.89 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 22.89 Trades
FIDE World Cup Final: Magnus vs. Pragg Magnus Pragg 83.75 0.00 0.00% 0.7311 1.00 0.00 83.75 0.00 Thu Aug 24 2023 βœ… -61.23 0.00 0.00 22.52 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 βœ… 22.35 0.00 0.00 22.35 Trades
Will 'Saw X' gross over $21m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 βœ… 21.98 0.00 0.00 21.98 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… 21.58 0.00 0.00 21.58 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 20.66 0.00 0.00 20.66 Trades
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Oct 14 2023 βœ… 20.64 0.00 0.00 20.65 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 20.19 0.00 0.00 20.20 Trades
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 14 2024 βœ… 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 62.50 0.00% 0.6976 0.00 1.00 0.00 62.50 Wed Nov 15 2023 βœ… -43.60 0.00 0.00 18.90 Trades
Bitcoin new all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 βœ… 18.60 0.00 0.00 18.60 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 βœ… 17.47 0.00 0.00 17.47 Trades
Will roon deactivate his account in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 16.40 0.00 0.00 16.40 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 16.39 0.00 0.00 16.39 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 16.25 0.00 0.00 16.25 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 46.15 0.00% 0.6500 0.00 1.00 0.00 46.15 Wed Nov 22 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 16.15 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 βœ… 15.56 0.00 0.00 15.56 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 βœ… -85.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 βœ… 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 64.10 0.00% 0.7800 0.00 1.00 0.00 64.10 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 14.10 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? Yes No 0.00 113.64 0.00% 0.8800 0.00 1.00 0.00 113.64 Mon Oct 16 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 13.64 Trades
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? Yes No 43.48 0.00 0.00% 0.6900 1.00 0.00 43.48 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 13.48 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? Yes No 66.85 0.00 0.00% 0.8054 1.00 0.00 66.85 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 βœ… -53.84 0.00 0.00 13.01 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 60.00 0.00% 0.8056 0.00 1.00 0.00 60.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 βœ… -48.33 0.00 0.00 11.66 Trades
Will Josh Giddey's contract be terminated? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Dec 07 2023 βœ… 11.36 0.00 0.00 11.36 Trades
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $36m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 11 2024 βœ… 11.20 0.00 0.00 11.20 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 10.39 0.00 0.00 10.39 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 10.11 0.00 0.00 10.11 Trades
US bank failure in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Boeing Max 9 cleared to fly by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 βœ… 9.47 0.00 0.00 9.47 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 9.36 0.00 0.00 9.36 Trades
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.8200 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -41.00 0.00 0.00 9.00 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 8.99 0.00 0.00 8.99 Trades
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 βœ… 8.80 0.00 0.00 8.80 Trades
US bank failure in February? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 8.46 0.00 0.00 8.47 Trades
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 βœ… 8.32 0.00 0.00 8.32 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 7.97 0.00 0.00 7.97 Trades
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… 7.80 0.00 0.00 7.80 Trades
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 10 2024 βœ… 7.60 0.00 0.00 7.60 Trades
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 40.41 0.00% 0.8129 0.00 1.00 0.00 40.41 Wed Nov 15 2023 βœ… -32.85 0.00 0.00 7.56 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 37.50 0.00 0.00% 0.8000 1.00 0.00 37.50 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 7.50 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 βœ… 7.04 0.00 0.00 7.04 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 37.04 0.00% 0.8100 0.00 1.00 0.00 37.04 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 7.04 Trades
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis Paul Danis 36.95 0.00 0.00% 0.8119 1.00 0.00 36.95 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 6.95 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Feb 07 2024 βœ… 6.80 0.00 0.00 6.81 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… 6.77 0.00 0.00 6.77 Trades
North Korea missile test by October 15? Yes No 0.00 26.67 0.00% 0.7500 0.00 1.00 0.00 26.67 Sun Oct 15 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 26.67 0.00 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 26.67 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 Trades
Will β€˜The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? Yes No 0.00 66.67 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 66.67 Mon Nov 20 2023 βœ… -60.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 Trades
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? Yes No 0.00 45.98 0.00% 0.8700 0.00 1.00 0.00 45.98 Fri Dec 08 2023 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 5.98 Trades
North Korea nuke by December 31? Yes No 0.00 65.22 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 65.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -60.00 0.00 0.00 5.22 Trades
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? Yes No 0.00 45.96 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 1.00 0.00 45.96 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -40.90 0.00 0.00 5.06 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 82.74 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 82.74 Sun Oct 22 2023 βœ… -77.78 0.00 0.00 4.96 Trades
Will Ben Armstrong regain control of BitBoy Crypto by EOY? Yes No 0.00 34.88 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 1.00 0.00 34.88 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 4.88 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 61.20 0.00% 0.9209 0.00 1.00 0.00 61.20 Fri Nov 10 2023 βœ… -56.36 0.00 0.00 4.84 Trades
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 22 2024 βœ… 4.80 0.00 0.00 4.80 Trades
Another African coup by October 31? Yes No 0.00 14.42 0.00% 0.6933 0.00 1.00 0.00 14.42 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 4.42 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 24.39 0.00% 0.8200 0.00 1.00 0.00 24.39 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 4.39 Trades
OpenAI Sora public release before May? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Apr 30 2024 βœ… 4.36 0.00 0.00 4.37 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,500 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 βœ… 4.03 0.00 0.00 4.04 Trades
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -46.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Kate Middleton appearance by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 03 2024 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Netanyahu Sinwar 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.6200 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 βœ… -6.20 0.00 0.00 3.80 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 3.50 0.00 0.00 3.50 Trades
Musk drops OpenAI case in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 3.46 0.00 0.00 3.46 Trades
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 3.45 0.00 0.00 3.46 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 53.19 0.00 0.00% 0.9400 1.00 0.00 53.19 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 3.19 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 50.80 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.80 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -47.75 0.00 0.00 3.05 Trades
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? Yes No 0.00 20.28 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.28 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -17.24 0.00 0.00 3.04 Trades
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 15 2024 βœ… 3.03 0.00 0.00 3.03 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? Yes No 0.00 9.99 0.00% 0.7000 0.00 1.00 0.00 9.99 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -7.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 βœ… 2.99 0.00 0.00 2.99 Trades
Kanye digital release of 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… 2.97 0.00 0.00 2.97 Trades
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 32.97 0.00% 0.9100 0.00 1.00 0.00 32.97 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 2.97 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 βœ… 2.90 0.00 0.00 2.90 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 βœ… 2.80 0.00 0.00 2.80 Trades
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 2.80 0.00 0.00 2.80 Trades
Will ETH dip below $2,000 by end of Jan? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 2.78 0.00 0.00 2.78 Trades
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 0.00 32.92 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 32.92 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.29 0.00 0.00 2.63 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 32.61 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 32.61 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 2.61 Trades
BTC above $70,000 next friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… 2.60 0.00 0.00 2.60 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 62.50 0.00 0.00% 0.9600 1.00 0.00 62.50 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -60.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
ETH above $4,000 next Friday? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… 2.39 0.00 0.00 2.39 Trades
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 2.39 0.00 0.00 2.39 Trades
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 38.37 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 38.37 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -36.07 0.00 0.00 2.30 Trades
Will 'Dune: Part Two' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 βœ… 2.26 0.00 0.00 2.27 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 32.26 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 32.26 Fri Nov 24 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 2.16 0.00 0.00 2.17 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 31.91 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 31.91 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 1.91 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 1.78 0.00 0.00 1.78 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.16 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… 1.52 0.13 0.00 1.66 Trades
Egypt Presidential Election: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 βœ… 1.64 0.00 0.00 1.64 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 1.63 0.00 0.00 1.63 Trades
Will Elon Musk visit Gaza in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 1.61 0.00 0.00 1.61 Trades
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 1.26 0.00 0.00 1.26 Trades
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 βœ… 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.94 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.78 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 βœ… 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will Walmart buy Vizio in February? Yes No 0.94 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.94 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -0.88 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.59 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.30 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -0.28 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Jul 31 2024 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Starknet airdrop in February? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.0240 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.24 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.17 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 βœ… -0.47 0.04 0.00 -0.43 Trades
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.02 0.00 50.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.77 0.31 0.00 -0.47 Trades
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.66 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Sep 09 2024 βœ… -1.74 0.00 0.00 -1.74 Trades
Will Hunter Biden face new criminal charges before November 1? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… -2.25 0.00 0.00 -2.25 Trades
Will Chelsea F.C. win another Premier League game this year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -3.96 0.00 0.00 -3.96 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -4.84 0.00 0.00 -4.84 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? Yes No 30.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 βœ… -5.40 0.00 0.00 -5.40 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2915 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 βœ… -5.83 0.00 0.00 -5.83 Trades
$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March? Yes No 40.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Coinbase top 25 app by Friday? Yes No 40.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 10.15 0.00% 0.7900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -8.02 0.00 0.00 -8.02 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 412.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 βœ… -8.25 0.00 0.00 -8.25 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.14 0.00 0.05% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -9.63 0.00 0.00 -9.63 Trades
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween? Yes No 123.38 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -9.87 0.00 0.00 -9.87 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.40 0.05% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -9.88 0.00 0.00 -9.88 Trades
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? Yes No 456.17 0.00 0.00% 0.0219 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? Yes No 464.64 0.00 0.00% 0.0215 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31? Yes No 352.48 0.00 0.00% 0.0284 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 24.39 0.00% 0.4100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 23.26 0.00% 0.4300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 588.24 0.00 0.00% 0.0170 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will a team from a minor region win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 1,800.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0056 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Rafah border crossing open for humanitarian aid by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 0.00% 0.0020 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 200.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0499 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? Yes No 125.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 βœ… -10.86 0.00 0.00 -10.86 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 173.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0690 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -11.94 0.00 0.00 -11.94 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… -12.29 0.00 0.00 -12.29 Trades
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 278.78 0.00 0.00% 0.0454 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 βœ… -12.66 0.00 0.00 -12.66 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 115.38 0.00 0.00% 0.1300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? Yes No 26.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -17.94 0.00 0.00 -17.94 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.3610 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -18.05 0.00 0.00 -18.05 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 24.27 0.00% 0.8200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -19.90 0.00 0.00 -19.90 Trades
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 25.32 0.00% 0.7900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 18 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? Yes No 0.00 22.22 0.00% 0.9000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? Yes No 142.33 0.00 0.00% 0.1405 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? Yes No 0.00 285.71 0.00% 0.0700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? Yes No 0.00 166.67 0.00% 0.1200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 47.73 0.00% 0.4190 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say nuclear in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 57.54 0.00% 0.3476 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? Yes No 0.00 245.00 0.00% 0.0816 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 800.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 72.79 0.00 0.00% 0.2800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -20.38 0.00 0.00 -20.38 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -20.74 0.00 0.00 -20.74 Trades
Paramount merger/acquisition in Q1? Yes No 44.86 0.00 0.00% 0.4900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -21.98 0.00 0.00 -21.98 Trades
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? Yes No 0.00 27.82 0.00% 0.8000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 βœ… -22.26 0.00 0.00 -22.26 Trades
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? Yes No 193.17 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 01 2024 βœ… -23.18 0.00 0.00 -23.18 Trades
More hostages in Gaza freed before April? Yes No 40.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -24.00 0.00 0.00 -24.00 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? Yes No 40.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -24.80 0.00 0.00 -24.80 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? Yes No 0.00 40.00 0.00% 0.6550 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 βœ… -26.20 0.00 0.00 -26.20 Trades
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? Yes No 437.83 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -26.27 0.00 0.00 -26.27 Trades
Will Messi win Ballon d'Or? Yes No 0.00 153.33 0.00% 0.1723 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 βœ… -26.42 0.00 0.00 -26.42 Trades
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 40.00 0.00% 0.7100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -28.40 0.00 0.00 -28.40 Trades
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? Yes No 217.65 0.00 0.00% 0.1378 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 25 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will Sheikh Jassim buy Man United in 2023? Yes No 1,034.48 0.00 0.00% 0.0290 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 46.15 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 73.17 0.00 0.00% 0.4100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
ETH above $2,000 at end of September? Yes No 626.42 0.00 0.00% 0.0479 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.6000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 04 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 240.50 0.00 0.00% 0.1279 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 βœ… -30.76 0.00 0.00 -30.76 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 112.68 0.00 0.00% 0.2800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -31.55 0.00 0.00 -31.55 Trades
Cricket World Cup: India vs. Australia India Australia 49.13 0.00 0.00% 0.6700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 βœ… -32.92 0.00 0.00 -32.92 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 40.00 0.00% 0.8400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -33.60 0.00 0.00 -33.60 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -34.24 0.00 0.00 -34.24 Trades
Will X start charging all users? Yes No 472.89 0.00 0.00% 0.0740 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -35.00 0.00 0.00 -35.00 Trades
Will Messi score in his next game? Yes No 47.84 0.00 0.00% 0.7500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 βœ… -35.88 0.00 0.00 -35.88 Trades
Military intervention in Niger by October 31? Yes No 130.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2815 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -36.60 0.00 0.00 -36.60 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 0.00 50.62 0.00% 0.7778 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -39.37 0.00 0.00 -39.37 Trades
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? Yes No 0.00 43.48 0.00% 0.9200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 43.01 0.00% 0.9300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 57.97 0.00 0.00% 0.6900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 2,126.32 0.00 0.00% 0.0188 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 262.74 0.00 0.00% 0.1522 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 167.26 0.00% 0.2392 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.00 61.54 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 0.00 74.07 0.00% 0.5400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 57.14 0.00% 0.7000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 95.24 0.00 0.00% 0.4200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will US attack Yemen before February? Yes No 0.00 86.96 0.00% 0.4600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? Yes No 57.14 0.00 0.00% 0.7000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 80.00 0.00% 0.5000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
SBF guilty of all charges? Yes No 0.00 85.96 0.00% 0.4700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -40.40 0.00 0.00 -40.40 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 131.63 0.00 0.00% 0.3082 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 βœ… -40.57 0.00 0.00 -40.57 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… -41.46 0.00 0.00 -41.46 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 963.34 0.00% 0.0442 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -42.55 0.00 0.00 -42.55 Trades
Will Zuck KO Musk? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 βœ… -42.76 0.00 0.00 -42.76 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? Yes No 64.95 0.00 0.00% 0.7400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 02 2023 βœ… -48.06 0.00 0.00 -48.06 Trades
Ryder Cup: USA vs. Europe USA Europe 30.48 0.00 0.01% 1.6402 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 βœ… -50.00 0.43 0.00 -49.57 Trades
Will a Chinese team win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 76.46 0.00 0.00% 0.6700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 βœ… -51.23 0.00 0.00 -51.23 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -54.40 0.00 0.00 -54.40 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 127.17 0.00% 0.4393 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 βœ… -55.87 0.00 0.00 -55.87 Trades
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 109.62 0.00 0.00% 0.5200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 βœ… -57.00 0.00 0.00 -57.00 Trades
Rugby World Cup: New Zealand vs. South Africa New Zealand South Africa 118.64 0.00 0.00% 0.5900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 βœ… -70.00 0.00 0.00 -70.00 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.7565 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 βœ… -75.65 0.00 0.00 -75.65 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 βœ… -81.50 0.00 0.00 -81.50 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -85.10 0.00 0.00 -85.10 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.5100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 23 2024 βœ… -102.00 0.00 0.00 -102.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 178.08 0.00 0.00% 0.7300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 βœ… -130.00 0.00 0.00 -130.00 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 186.47 0.00% 0.6972 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -130.00 0.00 0.00 -130.00 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 641.22 0.00% 0.2519 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -161.54 0.00 0.00 -161.54 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 288.96 0.00% 0.7675 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 βœ… -221.77 0.00 0.00 -221.77 Trades
Resolved 1,078.39 2,247.29 -2,285.35 0.91 0.00 1,041.24
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -81.25 0.00 0.00 -81.25
Total 1,078.39 2,247.29 -2,366.60 0.91 0.00 959.99