Account
0xe92c4dd69dfd711de025f4fcdd54b32772013f0d Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | 206.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 206.47 | Trades | ||
| MLB: Who will win Dodgers vs. Cardinals, scheduled for July 13, 7:45 PM ET? | Dodgers | Cardinals | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | β | 154.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 154.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 141.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 141.20 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? | Bitcoin | Tesla | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 79.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.85 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | 72.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.57 | Trades | ||
| Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 9th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? | Cardano | Solana | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 09 2021 | β | 62.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.17 | Trades | ||
| Who will win 9th round of FIDE Chess.com Grand Swiss Open: Alireza Firouzja vs. Fabiano Caruana? | Firouzja | Caruana | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 05 2021 | β | 53.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.09 | Trades | ||
| How many subscribers will /r/wallstreetbets have on February 7, 2021? | Less than 6.5 Million 6.5-7.5 Million 7.5-8.5 Million 8.5-9.5 Million 9.5-10.5 Million Greater than 10.5 Million |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Feb 07 2021 | β | 45.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.91 | Trades | ||||||
| Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 03 2021 | β | 44.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.54 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 44.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.10 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 36.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Italy win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | 34.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.24 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | β | 32.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.96 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 32.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump mention the word βriggedβ on his communications platform by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 31.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) | Yes | No | 71.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6170 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 71.31 | 0.00 | Sun May 28 2023 | β | -44.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.31 | Trades | |
| How many tweets will @DonaldJTrumpJr post from Jan 18th to 25th? | 80 or more 70-79 60-69 50-59 49 or less |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Jan 25 2021 | β | 25.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.71 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 23.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.90 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | 22.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.64 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | 21.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.78 | Trades | ||
| MLB: Who will win Atlanta Braves v. Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 9, 7:10 PM ET? | Braves | Red Sox | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 09 2022 | β | 20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 19.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.85 | Trades | ||
| Will Hikaru Nakamura draw 3 or more times during his May 24 FTX Crypto Cup preliminary games? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | 18.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.13 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 88.01 | 0.00% | 0.7954 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 88.01 | Tue Aug 30 2022 | β | -70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.01 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | 17.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.47 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his August 16 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | β | 16.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.57 | Trades | ||
| Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 16.29 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 16.32 | Trades | ||
| Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 35.71 | 0.00% | 0.5600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 35.71 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.71 | Trades | |
| Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | 15.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.33 | Trades | ||
| Will year-to-year inflation in the European Union be 4.3% or more in October? | Yes | No | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | β | 14.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 46, 2021 (Nov 15 - Nov 21)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 15.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.10 | Trades | ||
| Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.41 | 0.00% | -4.3682 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 15 2022 | β | 14.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.88 | Trades | |
| Chess: Will the Van't Kruijs Opening (1. e3) be played at 2021 FIDE World Blitz Championship Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 30 2021 | β | 14.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | β | 14.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.29 | Trades | ||
| Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 31.69 | 0.00% | 0.5628 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 31.69 | Mon Sep 05 2022 | β | -17.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.86 | Trades | |
| Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 13.43 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 13.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Ole Gunnar Solskjaer be sacked (or resign) as Manchester United F.C. coach by November 23rd? | Ole stays | Ole goes | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 23 2021 | β | 12.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | β | 12.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | 11.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.17 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? | $1,000 | $2,000 | 0.00 | 25.82 | 0.00% | 0.5810 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.82 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.82 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | β | 10.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.72 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 10.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.42 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | β | 10.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.19 | Trades | ||
| Will Miso Robotics expand its restaurant partnerships in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 10.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.13 | Trades | ||
| Will year-to-year inflation in the European Union be 5.2% or more in November? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 17 2021 | β | 9.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.92 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $ETH be on August 11? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.72 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | β | 9.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.73 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 9.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 9.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | β | 8.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.83 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? | Yes | No | 18.81 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5316 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 18.81 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 22 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.81 | Trades | |
| Will the winning margin of the 2021 Tour de France be less than 1 minute? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | β | 8.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.30 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA or European Union report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 16? | USA | European Union | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | β | 8.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | β | 7.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.97 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 750,000 or more total ETH burned before November 4th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 03 2021 | β | 7.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.69 | Trades | ||
| Will the USDC Market Cap be above $36.5 billion on November 28th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 28 2021 | β | 7.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 7.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.45 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from August to September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 13 2021 | β | 7.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.28 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | 6.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.98 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 6.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | β | 6.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.78 | Trades | ||
| Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 01 2020 | β | 6.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.49 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 6.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.46 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 419 ppm on June 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | β | 6.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.28 | Trades | ||
| Chess: Will the Van't Kruijs Opening (1. e3) be played at 2021 FIDE World Rapid Championship Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 28 2021 | β | 6.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.17 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | β | 6.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.10 | Trades | ||
| Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | 6.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.02 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Germany or Poland report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18? | Germany | Poland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | β | 5.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Juventus or Zenit St. Petersburg win their Champions League match on October 20th? | Juventus | Zenit | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 20 2021 | β | 5.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.89 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on April 14, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | 5.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88 | Trades | ||||||
| Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.86 | 0.00% | 0.6303 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.86 | Thu Sep 29 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.86 | Trades | |
| Prop 26: Will California legalize sports betting on tribal lands? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.48 | 0.00% | 0.6459 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.48 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.48 | Trades | |
| Will the Jazz beat the Thunder by more than 12.5 points in their October 20th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 20 2021 | β | 5.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.41 | Trades | ||
| What will the average sale price of a PS5 be on StockX on Christmas Day? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.10 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 26 2020 | β | 5.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.40 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 5.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.35 | Trades | ||
| Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 5.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Airbnb begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 5.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.24 | Trades | ||
| Will $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15? | Yes | No | 9.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4357 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 9.18 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 15 2022 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.18 | Trades | |
| Will The Queen's Gambit win the Emmy Award for Best Limited Series?Β | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 19 2021 | β | 5.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.11 | Trades | ||
| Will the majority of Franceβs starters kneel before the Euro 2020 match between Germany and France? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 5.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.03 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? | Higher | Lower | 0.00 | 9.97 | 0.00% | 0.5014 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 9.97 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.97 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15? | Yes | No | 9.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5043 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 9.91 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 15 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.91 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 4.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.88 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | 4.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.86 | Trades | ||
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the ATP Finals? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 21 2021 | β | 4.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.76 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | 4.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.75 | Trades | ||
| Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 4.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.62 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 4.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.49 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 4.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.38 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022? | Yes | No | 6.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3273 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.11 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 18 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.11 | Trades | |
| $2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | 4.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 3.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.96 | Trades | ||
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 3.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | 3.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.84 | Trades | ||
| Will the Grizzlies beat the Cavaliers by more than 7.5 points in their October 20th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 20 2021 | β | 3.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.83 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.77 | 0.00% | 0.5149 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7.77 | Fri Dec 02 2022 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.77 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 2.97 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 3.74 | Trades | ||
| How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 3.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.68 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | β | 3.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.63 | Trades | ||
| Will Claude Monet's βAu jardin, la famille de lβartisteβ (Lot 41C) sell for more than $18m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 3.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.52 | Trades | ||
| Will Vincent van Gogh's βMeules de blΓ©β (Lot 8C) sell for more than $30m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 3.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.48 | Trades | ||
| Will Claude Monetβs βNymphΓ©as (fragment)β (Lot 1C) sell for more than $1m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 3.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45 | Trades | ||
| Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 3.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -3.91 | 7.16 | 0.00 | 3.25 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | β | 3.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.23 | Trades | ||
| 2022 Open Championship: Will Rory McIlroy win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 13.21 | 0.00% | 0.7568 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 13.21 | Sun Jul 17 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.21 | Trades | |
| Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | 3.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.17 | Trades | ||
| Will 'Don't Worry Darling' gross more than $20 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.11 | 0.00% | 0.4907 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.11 | Mon Sep 26 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.11 | Trades | |
| Will Playboi Carti release a new album before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | β | 2.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.94 | Trades | ||
| Will any NBA Conference Semifinal Series go to a Game 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | β | 2.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.92 | Trades | ||
| Will 'The Batman' gross between $120 million and $160 million on the opening weekend in the USA? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 07 2022 | β | 2.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.90 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.89 | 0.00% | 0.5093 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.89 | Fri Jul 22 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.89 | Trades | |
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | β | 2.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.89 | Trades | ||
| Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 7.88 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6343 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7.88 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.88 | Trades | |
| Will the Magic beat the Spurs by more than 5.5 points in their October 20th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 20 2021 | β | 2.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.88 | Trades | ||
| Will PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS be Top 3 in Peak Players on Steam on November 22, 5PM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 2.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.85 | Trades | ||
| What will the fully diluted market cap of dYdX's token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 2.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.84 | Trades | |||
| Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his October 21st town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 21 2021 | β | 2.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.83 | Trades | ||
| Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | 2.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.78 | Trades | ||
| Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | β | 2.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.67 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.5% or more from September to October 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 10 2021 | β | 2.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.66 | Trades | ||
| World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws? | More | Less | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 14 2021 | β | 2.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Ukraine or the Netherlands win their Euro 2020 match? | Ukraine | Netherlands | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | 2.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.58 | Trades | ||
| Will England be the Group D winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 2.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.58 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | 2.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.57 | Trades | ||
| Will France or Germany win their Euro 2020 match? | France | Germany | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 2.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.55 | Trades | ||
| Will Vincent van Gogh's βJeune homme au bleuetβ (Lot 20C) sell for more than $7m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 2.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.54 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.54 | 0.00% | 0.5434 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.54 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | β | -3.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.53 | Trades | |
| Will Italy be the Group A winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 2.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.48 | Trades | ||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 2.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.46 | Trades | ||
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo leave Manchester United by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | 2.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.41 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 1.62 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 2.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 2.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.31 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 2.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.13 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a new (1,073rd) NFL Scorigami in September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.12 | 0.00% | 0.7023 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7.12 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.12 | Trades | |
| Will Messi score a goal on his PSG debut? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 34.78 | 0.00% | 0.9402 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 34.78 | β | -32.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.08 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | β | 2.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 02 2021 | β | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
| Will USD be worth more than EUR on October 14? | Yes | No | 4.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6013 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.99 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 14 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.99 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 02 2021 | β | 1.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired before June 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 1.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2021 Wimbledon? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | 1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.89 | Trades | ||
| Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.84 | Trades | ||
| Will 'Spider-Man: No Way Home' get a 90% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 20 2021 | β | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.84 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.80 | 0.00% | 0.6250 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.80 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.80 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.80 | Trades | ||
| Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.76 | Trades | ||
| Will Fratelli D'italia or Partito Democratico win more seats in the Italian Chamber in the 2022 election? | Partito Democratico | Fratelli D'Italia | 0.00 | 6.75 | 0.00% | 0.7405 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.75 | Mon Sep 26 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.75 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Russia or Belgium win their Euro 2020 match? | Russia | Belgium | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | 1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | β | 1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Spain be the Group E winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | ||
| What will the fully diluted market cap of Openseaβs token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.49 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | 1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.46 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.46 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.46 | 0.00% | 0.7744 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.46 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.46 | Trades | |
| 538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? | Democrats | Republicans | 4.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6747 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.45 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 09 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.45 | Trades | |
| What rating will theneedledrop give Drakeβs "Certified Lover Boy"? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.33 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.41 | Trades | |||
| Will βTop Gun: Maverickβ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? | Yes | No | 12.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8954 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 12.28 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.28 | Trades | |
| Will Sweden or Slovakia win their Euro 2020 match? | Sweden | Slovakia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | β | 1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.22 | Trades | ||
| Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.17 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.15 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.14 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 7.0%? | Yes | No | 3.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6380 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.13 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 10 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.13 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Belgium be the Group B winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 | Trades | ||
| Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.10 | 0.00% | 0.7309 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.10 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.10 | Trades | |
| Will Germany be the Group F winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.10 | Trades | ||
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | β | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Trades | ||||||
| Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.02 | 0.00% | 0.7462 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.02 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.02 | Trades | |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.99 | 0.00% | 0.8351 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.99 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.99 | Trades | |
| Will Albert Pujols get 700 home runs by the end of the 2022 MLB regular season? | Yes | No | 4.96 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8065 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.96 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 05 2022 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 | Trades | |
| Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? | Bezos | Musk | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | -1.33 | 2.24 | 0.00 | 0.91 | Trades | ||
| How much will βDuneβ gross domestically on opening weekend? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.37 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 25 2021 | β | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.87 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.03 | 0.00% | -0.4144 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.84 | Trades | |
| Will Tadej PogaΔar win the 2022 Tour de France? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.76 | 0.00% | 0.7255 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.76 | Sun Jul 24 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.76 | Trades | |
| Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 100 ETH on July 18? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.73 | 0.00% | 0.7328 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.73 | Mon Jul 18 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.73 | Trades | |
| Will Real Madrid win 2021-22 La Liga? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 22 2022 | β | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.61 | Trades | ||
| Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.54 | Trades | ||
| Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | β | 0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 | Trades | ||
| Will 3 or more of Dan Arielyβs papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 | Trades | ||
| Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | β | -1.27 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.49 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? | Yes | No | 2.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8037 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.49 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 16 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.49 | Trades | |
| Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022? | Yes | No | 2.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8268 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.42 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 18 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.42 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | Trades | ||
| Will 229.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.36 | Trades | ||
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.99 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.99 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 36,733.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | -11.17 | 11.49 | 0.00 | 0.32 | Trades | |
| What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Trades | ||
| Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Spotify report at least 164m total premium subscribers in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 | Trades | |||
| Will Uniswap be live on Polygon before 2022? | Yes | No | 3.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9364 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.20 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | Trades | |
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.5 ppm on July 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | β | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | Trades | ||
| Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? | France USA Italy Spain |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.13 | 0.00% | 0.9392 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.13 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.85 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.85 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | -0.81 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
| What will the fully diluted market cap of Foundationβs token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
| Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| What will the fully diluted market cap of Zoraβs token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | Trades | ||
| Will CryptoPunks flip Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) by August 1? | Yes | No | 12.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0267 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -0.34 | 0.28 | 0.00 | -0.06 | Trades | |
| Will 'The Witcher: Season 2' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 9? | Yes | No | 791.85 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.0001 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.01 | -0.08 | Trades | |
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 23.53 | 0.00% | 0.0042 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | Trades | |
| Will Texas reinstate a mask mandate by April 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 11.27 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0135 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 11 2021 | β | -0.15 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.14 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -0.80 | 0.61 | 0.00 | -0.19 | Trades | ||
| Will Johnson and Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.67% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | -0.44 | 0.07 | 0.00 | -0.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -0.48 | 0.11 | 0.00 | -0.37 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.11% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | -3.37 | 2.97 | 0.00 | -0.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump complete his first term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | -1.38 | 0.82 | 0.00 | -0.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Daniil Dubov or Hikaru Nakamura win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? | Dubov | Nakamura | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.63 | Trades | ||
| Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 4,836.92 | 0.00 | 0.15% | 0.0002 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | β | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.11 | -0.75 | Trades | |
| Will Spain or Poland win their Euro 2020 match? | Spain | Poland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | β | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Hungary or France win their Euro 2020 match? | Hungary | France | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | β | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.83 | Trades | ||
| Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 52.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0190 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be 850,000 or more total ETH burned before November 10th, 2021? | Yes | No | 9.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1076 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 10 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will natural gas close above $6 on July 11, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.31 | 0.00% | 0.7649 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 11 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | -1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.11 | Trades | ||
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.03 | 0.00% | 0.2263 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | -1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.14 | Trades | |
| Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be above 10% on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 54.20 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.0504 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | -2.73 | 1.57 | 0.00 | -1.16 | Trades | |
| Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -1.72 | 0.37 | 0.00 | -1.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 5.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2938 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | β | -1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.48 | Trades | |
| Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | β | -1.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.99 | Trades | ||
| Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12.60 | 0.00% | 0.1587 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 269.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0074 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 10 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 15.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1296 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| What will the price of $ETH be on June 22? | Long | Short | 4.22 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4735 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Portugal or Germany win their Euro 2020 match? | Portugal | Germany | 4.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4811 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish ahead of Max Verstappen in the French Grand Prix? | Yes | No | 3.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5745 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will a McLaren car finish top 3 in the French Grand Prix? | Yes | No | 8.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2456 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 394.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0051 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6669 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 St. Louis Rapid and Blitz Chess Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.81 | 0.00% | 0.5249 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his August 26 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.81 | 0.00% | 0.5249 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Juventus or Chelsea win their Champions League match on September 29? | Juventus | Chelsea | 0.00 | 3.08 | 0.00% | 0.6498 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 29 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Treasury Department mint the trillion dollar coin by November 5th? | Yes | No | 415.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0048 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 05 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Pablo Picasso's βFemme accroupie en costume turc II (Jacqueline)β (Lot 44C) sell for more than $30m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 5.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3666 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Pablo Picasso's βHomme Γ la pipeβ (Lot 58C) sell for more than $20m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 5.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3586 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on the New Year's Eve (Dec 31)? | Yes | No | 176.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0114 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas? | Yes | No | 2.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7537 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.91 | 0.00% | 0.3386 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 20 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? | Yes | No | 8.27 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2417 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 19.88 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1006 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? | Yes | No | 49.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0406 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 14 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? | Yes | No | 32.84 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0609 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.90 | 0.00% | 0.2899 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 28 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donovan Mitchell get traded to the Knicks? | Yes | No | 3.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6287 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? | Yes | No | 3.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5075 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Pound dip below the US Dollar before November? | Yes | No | 5.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3755 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 31 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 8.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2827 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -2.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.27 | Trades | |
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 3.38 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7696 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | β | -2.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.60 | Trades | |
| How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | β | -2.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.65 | Trades | ||
| Will the Mavericks or the Rockets win their February 19th matchup? | Mavericks | Rockets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 19 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.18 | 0.00 | -2.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Barcelona or Bayern Munich win their Champions League match on September 14? | Barcelona | Bayern Munich | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | β | -2.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.84 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | -2.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.99 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @laurenboebert account on April 6, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
190.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 06 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 26.96 | 0.00% | 0.1113 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Netherlands be the Group C winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.57 | 0.00% | 0.3135 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? | Yes | No | 6.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4560 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will France or Switzerland qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | France | Switzerland | 3.73 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8035 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 28 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will Sweden or Ukraine qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Sweden | Ukraine | 5.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5870 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 29 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 17.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1707 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.55 | 0.00% | 0.3510 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.04 | 0.00% | 0.1995 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will 19 states have high or substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 37.03 | 0.00% | 0.0810 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by December 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 265.83 | 0.00% | 0.0113 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will Manchester United or FC Liverpool win their game on October 24th? | Manchester United | Liverpool | 6.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4440 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 24 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will Claude Monet's βLe bassin d'Argenteuilβ (Lot 15C) sell for more than $25m at Christieβs on November 11? | Yes | No | 8.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3566 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will Germany or United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 24? | Germany | United Kingdom | 0.00 | 4.14 | 0.00% | 0.7244 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Serie A: Who will win the Roma v. Inter Milan game on December 4? | Roma | Inter | 7.90 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3799 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 04 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 FIDE World Rapid Championship? | Yes | No | 4.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6563 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 28 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? | Yes | No | 4.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6309 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi be $85 billion or higher on April 17? | Yes | No | 5.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5775 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 17 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.55 | 0.00% | 0.6596 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 15 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will βThor: Love and Thunderβ gross more than $145 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 42.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0709 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 11 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in July 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 6.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4904 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? | Yes | No | 8.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3478 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 10 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 39.0% or higher on August 4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.24 | 0.00% | 0.3248 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 04 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 8.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3709 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 10.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2895 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12.89 | 0.00% | 0.2327 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 31 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) | Yes | No | 5.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5324 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 03 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| 538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.83 | 0.00% | 0.6206 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanyeβs Donda or Drakeβs Certified Lover Boy? | Kanye | Drake | 16.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -3.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.26 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.56 | 0.00% | 0.6097 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 16 2021 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 324.37 | 0.00% | 0.0123 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 30 2021 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |
| Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 45M global streams for the week ending on November 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.67 | 0.00% | 0.5217 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 26 2021 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |
| Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
10.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will $USDD fall below 85 cents by July 30? | Yes | No | 26.95 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1484 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 30 2022 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |
| Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -5.49 | 1.23 | 0.00 | -4.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | β | -4.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? | Yes | No | 35.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1359 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -4.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.82 | Trades | |
| Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.99 | 0.00% | 0.3127 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will LINK be above $30 on February 10th? | Yes | No | 24.73 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2022 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 10 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will any NBA Topshot sell for more than $300,000 by March 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 12.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4148 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 20 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will Alireza Firouzja or Anish Giri win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? | Firouzja | Giri | 10.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4931 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 27.68 | 0.00% | 0.1806 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 156.08 | 0.00% | 0.0320 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| What will the price of $DOGE be on August 20, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 32.34 | 0.00% | 0.1546 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be over 220,000 encounters at the US-Mexico border in August 2021? | Yes | No | 10.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4584 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 16th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 36.60 | 0.00% | 0.1366 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 16 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 47, 2021 (Nov 22 - Nov 28)? | Yes | No | 10.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4696 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Carabao Cup: Who will win the Arsenal v. Liverpool game on January 13? | -other- Arsenal Liverpool |
0.00 0.00 10.32 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Jan 13 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 14.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3501 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 6.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7807 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by August 31? | Yes | No | 18.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2776 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? | Yes | No | 9.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5551 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? | Yes | No | 22.73 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 31 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -7.40 | 2.07 | 0.00 | -5.32 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.66 | 0.00% | 0.0299 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 165.70 | 0.00% | 0.0362 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
| Will βmetaβ be included in Facebookβs new name? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.35 | 0.00% | 0.8160 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
| Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 80.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0748 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
| How much ETH will be burned one month after EIP-1559 was implemented? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.78 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 05 2021 | β | -6.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | -7.95 | 1.30 | 0.00 | -6.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -6.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.98 | Trades | |||
| Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 16.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4357 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 26 2022 | β | -7.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 31.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2237 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | β | -7.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.00 | Trades | |
| Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 23.25 | 0.00% | 0.3011 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -7.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.00 | Trades | |
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 116.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0685 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 13.11 | 0.00% | 0.6100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | |
| Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 34.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2315 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 13.23 | 0.00% | 0.6049 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | |
| Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 22,182.99 | 0.00% | 0.0005 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.88 | 0.00 | -9.11 | Trades | |
| Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -9.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.89 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 28.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3475 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 18.57 | 0.00% | 0.5384 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be on April 9? | 49,999 or fewer 50,000-62,499 62,500-74,999 75,000 or more |
0.00 23.29 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Apr 09 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 18.38 | 0.00% | 0.5439 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game between Anish Giri and Hikaru Nakamura end in a draw? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 22.87 | 0.00% | 0.4373 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 8? | Yes | No | 25.59 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3908 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve? | Poland | United Kingdom | 19.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5184 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 37.30 | 0.00% | 0.2681 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will FTX's deal with BlockFi be announced by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 33.07 | 0.00% | 0.3024 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| 2022 Open Championship: Will Tiger Woods make the cut? | Yes | No | 18.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5433 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 17 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 128.44 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0856 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.00 | Trades | |
| Who will win the MLB 2021 World Series? | Braves | Astros | 0.00 | 27.59 | 0.00% | 0.3986 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 07 2021 | β | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.00 | Trades | |
| Will Lionel Messi win Ballon d'Or 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14.04 | 0.00% | 0.9824 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | -13.79 | 1.92 | 0.00 | -11.87 | Trades | |
| Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.56 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 23 2023 | β | -14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.00 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 36.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3858 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | -14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.00 | Trades | |
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022? | Yes | No | 20.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6897 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 10 2022 | β | -14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.00 | Trades | |
| How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on February 3, 2021? | 49 or less 50-59 60-69 70-79 80 or more |
29.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 03 2021 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will ETH be above $2000 on April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 36.38 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4123 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 64.35 | 0.00% | 0.2331 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will a French cyclist win the Tour de France polka dot jersey? | Yes | No | 26.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5558 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 52.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2857 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6? | Yes | No | 27.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 06 2022 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| What will the average sale price of the Jordan 1 Mocha on StockX be on Christmas Day? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.72 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 26 2020 | β | -17.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.04 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @DonaldJTrumpJr account by February 1, 2021? | 39 or less 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
7.69% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -19.53 | 0.92 | 0.00 | -18.62 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | -19.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.26 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 26 2020 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 35.73 | 0.00% | 0.5597 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 51.02 | 0.00% | 0.3920 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | -20.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.60 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 720K for the week ending on April 10? | Yes | No | 44.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4947 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 15 2021 | β | -22.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.00 | Trades | |
| Will Dogecoin be above $.069 on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 315.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0708 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | β | -22.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.34 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 38.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6391 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | -24.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.42 | Trades | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 71.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3515 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Manchester United F.C. announce their new manager by December 2? | Yes | No | 48.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5794 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 02 2021 | β | -28.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -28.01 | Trades | |
| Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? | Yes | No | 49.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5807 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | -29.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.00 | Trades | |
| Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yeah | Nope | 105.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2842 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 25 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
| UEFA Champions League: Will Manchester Utd or Atletico qualify to the quarterfinals? | Manchester | AtlΓ©tico | 78.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5047 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -39.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.86 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? | Yes | No | 79.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5011 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 28 2021 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | -47.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Allyson Felix win a medal in the Womenβs 400M? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 117.78 | 0.00% | 0.8491 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 195.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5931 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | -116.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -116.00 | Trades | |
| Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | β | -125.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -125.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win 2 or more times during his May 24 FTX Crypto Cup preliminary games? | Yes | No | 437.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7150 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -312.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -312.69 | Trades | |
| Will 'Eternals' get 85% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | β | -399.94 | 0.98 | 0.00 | -398.96 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 161.89 | 344.56 | -688.53 | 40.93 | 0.12 | -141.04 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 161.89 | 344.56 | -688.53 | 40.93 | 0.12 | -141.04 | ||||||||||||