Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 1.02 0.06 0.00 1.08 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.87 0.13 0.01 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 0.62 0.00 0.00 0.63 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.48 0.52 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.27 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.28 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 ✅ 5.49 0.00 0.00 5.49 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 ✅ 4.18 0.00 0.00 4.18 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3.83 0.00 0.00 3.83 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.69 0.00% -0.9767 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 1.65 0.72 0.00 2.38 Trades
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 ✅ 1.46 0.00 0.00 1.46 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ 1.13 0.00 0.00 1.13 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 1.01 0.00 0.00 1.01 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 ✅ 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.84 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ 0.82 0.00 0.00 0.82 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 ✅ 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.70 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.69 Trades
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ 0.55 0.00 0.00 0.55 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.47 Trades
Will NATO expand by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.41 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 ✅ 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.36 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.31 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 10.27 0.00% 0.9740 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.27 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 2.67 0.00 0.00% -0.0975 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.26 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will an earthquake with magnitude 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.19 Trades
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 3.30 0.00% 0.9710 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.30 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3.20 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.00 4.97 0.00% 0.9840 0.00 1.00 0.00 4.97 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4.89 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.07 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 ✅ 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 0.00 103.70 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 0.00 5.52 0.00% 1.0249 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.52 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.65 0.00 0.00 -0.14 Trades
USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 21 on June 9? Yes No 0.00 0.02 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 09 2023 ✅ -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.15 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.30 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.45 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3.76 0.00% 0.1330 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? Yes No 2.42 0.00 0.00% 0.4132 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.22 0.00 0.00 -1.22 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -1.68 0.00 0.00 -1.68 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 2.73 0.00 0.00% 0.7328 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.92 0.00% 0.3378 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 16 2022 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? Yes No 0.00 7.88 0.00% 0.3174 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -2.50 0.00 0.00 -2.50 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -2.81 0.00 0.00 -2.81 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 8.73 0.00 0.00% 0.3276 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -2.86 0.00 0.00 -2.86 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 2.30 0.00 0.00% 1.2641 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -2.91 0.00 0.00 -2.91 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 0.00 129.62 0.00% 0.0251 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ -3.25 0.00 0.00 -3.25 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.51 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.51 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4.09 0.00 0.00 -3.58 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 256.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0156 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 1.43 0.00 0.02% 2.8261 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -4.05 0.01 0.00 -4.04 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? Yes No 8.67 0.00 0.00% 0.8536 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -7.40 0.00 0.00 -7.40 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15.98 0.00 0.00 -15.98 Trades
Resolved 0.02 24.57 -58.09 0.74 0.00 -32.76
Unresolved 0.01 0.00 1.11 0.06 0.00 1.19
Total 0.03 24.58 -56.98 0.80 0.00 -31.57