Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
6,036.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4969
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
5,271.66
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-3,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,271.66
|
Trades
|
Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
104.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9551
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
102.74
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.74
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
106.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.9404
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
104.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1,428.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,428.98
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.02
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
488.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
488.92
|
Trades
|
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
β
|
43.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.55
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
5,733.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,733.67
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
465.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
465.04
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
194.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
194.41
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
9,014.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,014.98
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-4,672.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,672.55
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
12.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.39
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
4.22
|
0.00% |
|
-359.7519
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
1,518.12
|
0.62
|
0.00
|
1,518.74
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
112.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
112.32
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.66
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
184.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
184.80
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
2.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.49
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
32.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3114
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
482.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
482.10
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
97.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.77
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-863.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-863.36
|
Trades
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
5,179.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,179.59
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
822.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3287
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-270.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-270.16
|
Trades
|
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) |
Presley |
Reeves |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,017.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,017.00
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
346.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2885
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
11,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0850
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-977.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-977.50
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
1,237.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2791
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-345.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-345.33
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
1,874.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,874.34
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
16,619.66
|
0.62
|
0.00
|
16,620.28
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5,271.69
|
206.73
|
|
|
-4,140.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,338.34
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5,271.69
|
206.73
|
|
|
12,479.57
|
0.62
|
0.00
|
17,958.62
|
|