Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
10,093.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,093.50
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
3,188.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,188.06
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
1,098.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,098.74
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,045.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,045.58
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
842.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
842.50
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
531.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
531.00
|
Trades
|
Will Canada sanction India by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
146.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
146.64
|
Trades
|
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou |
Fury |
Ngannou |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 28 2023
|
✅ |
96.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.66
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
846.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0992
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
83.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83.97
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
72.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.72
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
892.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0458
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
40.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.93
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
14.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.65
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? |
Yes |
No |
698.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0679
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-47.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-47.45
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? |
Yes |
No |
200.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2987
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-70.00
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.08
|
3.11% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.04
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-120.77
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
-120.72
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
3,822.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0595
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-227.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-227.32
|
Trades
|
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz |
Paul |
Diaz |
0.00
|
1,275.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 05 2023
|
✅ |
-267.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-267.75
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,750.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1971
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
✅ |
-345.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-345.00
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
2,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-350.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-350.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-375.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-375.00
|
Trades
|
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
7,930.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0631
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-530.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-530.10
|
Trades
|
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
-780.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-780.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
24,016.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0574
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,378.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,378.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.05
|
|
|
12,203.58
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
12,203.65
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.05
|
|
|
12,203.58
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
12,203.65
|
|