Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Solana ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.9100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -9.10 0.00 0.00 -9.10 Trades
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 โœ… 106.64 0.00 0.00 106.64 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.2600 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 โœ… -13.00 0.00 0.00 37.00 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Brazil vs. Croatia Brazil Croatia 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 09 2022 โœ… 33.73 0.00 0.00 33.73 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 โœ… 29.00 0.00 0.00 29.00 Trades
Will James Maynard win the 2022 Fields Medal? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 14 2022 โœ… 27.82 0.00 0.00 27.82 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 โœ… 27.00 0.00 0.00 27.00 Trades
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 โœ… 26.10 0.00 0.00 26.10 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 โœ… 24.47 0.00 0.00 24.47 Trades
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 22.26 0.00 0.00 22.26 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 21.51 0.00 0.00 21.51 Trades
FTX claims worth >75ยข on the dollar by end of Q1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 21.45 0.00 0.00 21.45 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 19.87 0.00 0.00 19.88 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.6100 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -30.50 0.00 0.00 19.50 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 โœ… 17.02 0.00 0.00 17.02 Trades
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 14 2022 โœ… 13.91 0.00 0.00 13.91 Trades
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 โœ… 13.25 0.00 0.00 13.25 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Portugal vs. Morocco Portugal Morocco 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 10 2022 โœ… 13.07 0.00 0.00 13.07 Trades
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 โœ… 12.24 0.00 0.00 12.24 Trades
2022 Chess Candidates Tournament: Will Caruana or Nakamura finish higher? Caruana Nakamura 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 05 2022 โœ… 11.68 0.00 0.00 11.68 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 10.80 0.00 0.00 10.80 Trades
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 10.20 0.00 0.00 10.20 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.0040 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -0.04 0.00 0.00 9.96 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 13.70 0.00% 0.2910 0.00 1.00 0.00 13.70 Sat Aug 10 2024 โœ… -3.99 0.00 0.00 9.71 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 โœ… 9.58 0.00 0.00 9.58 Trades
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 โœ… 9.20 0.00 0.00 9.20 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 โœ… 8.74 0.00 0.00 8.74 Trades
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 โœ… 7.84 0.00 0.00 7.84 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 โœ… 7.56 0.00 0.00 7.56 Trades
Will the Socialist Party win 108 or more seats in the January 30, 2022 Portuguese legislative election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 31 2022 โœ… 7.51 0.00 0.00 7.51 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 3? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 08 2022 โœ… 7.42 0.00 0.00 7.42 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… 7.09 0.00 0.00 7.09 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 โœ… 7.04 0.00 0.00 7.05 Trades
Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami by January 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 โœ… 6.78 0.00 0.00 6.78 Trades
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 โœ… 6.51 0.00 0.00 6.51 Trades
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 โœ… 6.11 0.00 0.00 6.11 Trades
NFL Wild Card Round: Chargers Vs. Jaguars Chargers Jaguars 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 โœ… 5.90 0.00 0.00 5.90 Trades
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 โœ… 5.70 0.00 0.00 5.70 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 โœ… 5.61 0.00 0.00 5.61 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 8.61 0.00 0.00% 0.3485 1.00 0.00 8.61 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 5.61 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 13.49 0.00% 0.5931 0.00 1.00 0.00 13.49 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 5.49 Trades
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 10.40 0.00 0.00% 0.4806 1.00 0.00 10.40 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 โœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 5.40 Trades
Will Bryce Young be first QB selected in the 2023 NFL draft? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 28 2023 โœ… 5.01 0.00 0.00 5.01 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 โœ… 4.47 0.00 0.00 4.47 Trades
NFL: Will the Chiefs beat the Bills by more than 1.5 points in their January 22 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 22 2022 โœ… 4.46 0.00 0.00 4.46 Trades
Will France have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 โœ… 4.31 0.00 0.00 4.31 Trades
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? BTC ETH 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5700 1.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 โœ… -5.70 0.00 0.00 4.30 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 โœ… 4.19 0.00 0.00 4.19 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Warriors by more than 3.5 points in their December 25 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 โœ… 4.11 0.00 0.00 4.11 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6100 1.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 โœ… -6.10 0.00 0.00 3.90 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? Yes No 0.00 7.88 0.00% 0.5078 0.00 1.00 0.00 7.88 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -4.00 0.00 0.00 3.88 Trades
NFL Sunday: Broncos vs. Rams Broncos Rams 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 25 2022 โœ… 3.85 0.00 0.00 3.85 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 3.54 0.00 0.00 3.54 Trades
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the โ€˜21-โ€™22 Superbowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 โœ… 3.48 0.00 0.00 3.48 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 โœ… 3.46 0.00 0.00 3.46 Trades
NFL: Will the Jaguars beat the Texans by more than 3.5 points in their December 19 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 19 2021 โœ… 3.44 0.00 0.00 3.44 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 3.41 0.00 0.00 3.41 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 3.22 0.00 0.00 3.22 Trades
2022 Wimbledon Championships: Will Iga ลšwiฤ…tek win Women's Singles? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 10 2022 โœ… 3.11 0.00 0.00 3.11 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 โœ… 3.10 0.00 0.00 3.10 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 8.05 0.00% 0.6208 0.00 1.00 0.00 8.05 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 3.05 Trades
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.8000 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… -12.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 โœ… 2.98 0.00 0.00 2.98 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 โœ… 2.98 0.00 0.00 2.98 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 โœ… 2.98 0.00 0.00 2.98 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 417 ppm on January 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 โœ… 2.97 0.00 0.00 2.97 Trades
Chess: Will the Van't Kruijs Opening (1. e3) be played at 2021 FIDE World Blitz Championship Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 30 2021 โœ… 2.95 0.00 0.00 2.95 Trades
NBA: Will the Lakers beat the Nets by more than 1.5 points in their December 25 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 โœ… 2.86 0.00 0.00 2.86 Trades
NFL: Will the Cardinals beat the Colts by more than 1.5 points in their December 25 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 โœ… 2.86 0.00 0.00 2.86 Trades
NFL: Will the Jets beat the Jaguars by more than 1.5 points in their December 26 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 26 2021 โœ… 2.83 0.00 0.00 2.83 Trades
Will June Huh win the 2022 Fields Medal? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 14 2022 โœ… 2.77 0.00 0.00 2.77 Trades
Will Hugo Duminil-Copin win the 2022 Fields Medal? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 14 2022 โœ… 2.73 0.00 0.00 2.73 Trades
NFL Wild Card Round: Ravens Vs. Bengals Ravens Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 15 2023 โœ… 2.66 0.00 0.00 2.66 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Total point spread more than 10.5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 โœ… 2.65 0.00 0.00 2.65 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on December 23, 12pm ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 โœ… 2.64 0.00 0.00 2.64 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 โœ… 2.61 0.00 0.00 2.61 Trades
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 2.56 0.00 0.00 2.56 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… 2.45 0.00 0.00 2.45 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 โœ… 2.38 0.00 0.00 2.38 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 โœ… 2.35 0.02 0.00 2.37 Trades
Will Spain have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, France, and Italy on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 โœ… 2.37 0.00 0.00 2.37 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 โœ… 2.34 0.00 0.00 2.34 Trades
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 โœ… 2.27 0.00 0.00 2.27 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by March 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 โœ… 2.22 0.00 0.00 2.22 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 โœ… 2.21 0.00 0.00 2.21 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.29 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 โœ… 2.13 0.00 0.00 2.13 Trades
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the โ€˜21-โ€™22 Superbowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 โœ… 1.98 0.00 0.00 1.98 Trades
NFL Wild Card Round: Cowboys Vs. Buccaneers Cowboys Buccaneers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 16 2023 โœ… 1.98 0.00 0.00 1.98 Trades
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 1.96 0.00 0.00 1.96 Trades
Will the US have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than France, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 โœ… 1.91 0.00 0.00 1.91 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.8200 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 โœ… -8.20 0.00 0.00 1.80 Trades
Will Joe Bidenโ€™s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 1.76 0.00 0.00 1.76 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 โœ… 1.65 0.00 0.00 1.65 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… 1.60 0.00 0.00 1.60 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… 1.45 0.00 0.00 1.45 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 โœ… 1.44 0.00 0.00 1.45 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 โœ… 1.42 0.00 0.00 1.42 Trades
NBA All-Star Game: Team Giannis vs. Team Lebron Team Giannis Team LeBron 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 19 2023 โœ… 1.37 0.00 0.00 1.37 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 0.00 11.00 0.00% 0.8800 0.00 1.00 0.00 11.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -9.68 0.00 0.00 1.32 Trades
2022 French Legislative Election: Will Macron's party win an outright majority? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 โœ… 1.31 0.00 0.00 1.31 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416 ppm on Christmas Eve? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 โœ… 1.25 0.00 0.00 1.25 Trades
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 โœ… 1.20 0.00 0.00 1.20 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 0.00 8.00 0.00% 0.8505 0.00 1.00 0.00 8.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -6.80 0.00 0.00 1.20 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 โœ… 1.18 0.00 0.00 1.18 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on January 6? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8825 1.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 โœ… -8.82 0.00 0.00 1.18 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 โœ… 1.12 0.00 0.00 1.12 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 0.00 5.00 0.00% 0.7844 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 โœ… -3.92 0.00 0.00 1.08 Trades
Will Nexo become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.84 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 โœ… 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.81 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.77 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 โœ… 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.76 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 โœ… 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.73 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 โœ… 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.71 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 0.00 12.46 0.00% 0.9432 0.00 1.00 0.00 12.46 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -11.75 0.00 0.00 0.71 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 โœ… 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.69 Trades
Will UST (TerraUSD) lose its peg by March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 โœ… 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.67 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.00 8.00 0.00% 0.9211 0.00 1.00 0.00 8.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 โœ… -7.37 0.00 0.00 0.63 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.52 Trades
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 โœ… 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 5.69 0.00% 0.9211 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.69 Sat Aug 10 2024 โœ… -5.24 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 10 2023 โœ… 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.39 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 0.00 6.00 0.00% 0.9469 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 โœ… -5.68 0.00 0.00 0.32 Trades
Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 โœ… 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.31 Trades
Will the 2022 World Cup winner be from Europe? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 โœ… 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.31 Trades
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.04 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 โœ… 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.30 Trades
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 โœ… 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.29 Trades
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 โœ… 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 โœ… 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 0.00 10.36 0.00% 0.0042 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 โœ… -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 Trades
Will NATO expand by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 โœ… -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.33 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.34 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.54 0.00% 0.1091 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 โœ… -0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.49 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.0630 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.63 Trades
Will Petr Pavel win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 โœ… -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.80 Trades
Will Bing's market share be >4% in February? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 โœ… -0.90 0.00 0.00 -0.90 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 โœ… -0.98 0.00 0.00 -0.98 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 18.84 0.00 0.00% 0.0531 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 โœ… -1.43 0.00 0.00 -1.43 Trades
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the โ€˜21-โ€™22 Superbowl? Yes No 0.00 5.00 0.00% 0.3760 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 โœ… -1.88 0.00 0.00 -1.88 Trades
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 โœ… -1.94 0.00 0.00 -1.94 Trades
Will Chelsea win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 โœ… -1.98 0.00 0.00 -1.98 Trades
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? Yes No 0.00 15.11 0.00% 0.1323 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Saints beat the Jets by more than 5.5 points in their December 12 matchup? Yes No 0.00 4.67 0.00% 0.4286 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 12 2021 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? France
USA
Italy
Spain
0.00
0.00
13.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Fri Jan 14 2022 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 6.8%? Yes No 0.00 64.60 0.00% 0.0310 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 10 2022 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Jane Timken win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 8.33 0.00 0.00% 0.2402 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from March to April 2022? Yes No 5.56 0.00 0.00% 0.3595 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? Yes No 17.46 0.00 0.00% 0.1146 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 8.01 0.00% 0.2496 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? Yes No 0.00 10.78 0.00% 0.1855 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on December 30? Yes No 3.80 0.00 0.00% 0.5263 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by December 31? Yes No 19.52 0.00 0.00% 0.1025 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture Yes No 13.82 0.00 0.00% 0.1447 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the first offensive play of Super Bowl LVII be a run or a pass? Run Pass 0.00 3.97 0.00% 0.5044 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? Yes No 11.97 0.00 0.00% 0.1671 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? Yes No 11.02 0.00 0.00% 0.1815 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 โœ… -2.93 0.00 0.00 -2.93 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Chilean presidential elections? Boric Kast 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 โœ… -2.96 0.00 0.00 -2.96 Trades
NFL: Will the Packers beat the Browns by more than 6.5 points in their December 25 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? Bitcoin Ethereum 0.00 5.51 0.00% 0.5449 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Bills beat the Panthers by more than 10.5 points in their December 19 matchup? Yes No 0.00 7.18 0.00% 0.4181 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 19 2021 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Cowboys beat the Giants by more than 10.5 points in their December 19 matchup? Yes No 0.00 6.21 0.00% 0.4829 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 19 2021 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Dolphins beat the Jets by more than 9.5 points in their December 19 matchup? Yes No 5.57 0.00 0.00% 0.5388 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 19 2021 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Vikings beat the Bears by more than 4.5 points in their December 20 matchup? Yes No 0.00 6.29 0.00% 0.4773 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 20 2021 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Buccaneers beat the Panthers by more than 10.5 points in their December 26 matchup? Yes No 0.00 5.81 0.00% 0.5167 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 26 2021 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? Yes No 6.64 0.00 0.00% 0.4518 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9? Yes No 8.09 0.00 0.00% 0.3707 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 09 2022 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? Yes No 0.00 33.76 0.00% 0.0889 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference? Yes No 9.89 0.00 0.00% 0.3035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on May 27, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.93 0.00% 0.5058 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 27 2022 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
NHL 2022 Stanley Cup Finals: Who will win Avalanche vs. Lightning, Game 6? Avalanche Lightning 0.00 6.21 0.00% 0.4831 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 26 2022 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? Yes No 14.18 0.00 0.00% 0.2115 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 20 2022 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) Yes No 0.00 10.83 0.00% 0.2770 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? Yes No 0.00 11.11 0.00% 0.2701 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 9.37 0.00% 0.3202 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
NBA: Will Russell Westbrook win Sixth Man of the Year? Yes No 5.57 0.00 0.00% 0.5385 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 20 2023 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 12 2023 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election? Yes No 30.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 08 2024 โœ… -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 โœ… -3.23 0.00 0.00 -3.23 Trades
Will Chelsea get 2nd place in the 2021-22 English Premier League? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 22 2022 โœ… -3.54 0.00 0.00 -3.54 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.22 0.00% 0.4314 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -3.55 0.00 0.00 -3.55 Trades
Will Manchester City win the 2023 Champions League? Yes No 0.00 9.54 0.00% 0.4000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 09 2023 โœ… -3.82 0.00 0.00 -3.82 Trades
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 FIDE World Blitz Championship? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 30 2021 โœ… -3.98 0.00 0.00 -3.98 Trades
NFL: Will the Chiefs beat the Bengals by more than 3.5 points in their January 2 matchup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 02 2022 โœ… -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Falcons beat the Lions by more than 5.5 points in their December 26 matchup? Yes No 7.37 0.00 0.00% 0.5431 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 26 2021 โœ… -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Patriots beat the Bills by more than 2.5 points in their December 26 matchup? Yes No 8.12 0.00 0.00% 0.4926 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 26 2021 โœ… -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Dolphins beat the Saints by more than 1.5 points in their December 27 matchup? Yes No 0.00 8.28 0.00% 0.4832 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 27 2021 โœ… -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 13.25 0.00% 0.3018 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 11.16 0.00% 0.3585 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 โœ… -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 21.14 0.00% 0.1892 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 โœ… -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 โœ… -4.05 0.00 0.00 -4.05 Trades
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? Yes No 0.00 5.96 0.00% 0.7936 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 05 2023 โœ… -4.73 0.00 0.00 -4.73 Trades
NBA: Will the Knicks beat the Hawks by more than 1.5 points in their December 25 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 โœ… -4.85 0.00 0.00 -4.85 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 11.29 0.00 0.00% 0.4371 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 โœ… -4.93 0.00 0.00 -4.93 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 0.00 11.70 0.00% 0.4273 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
NFL: Will the Buccaneers beat the Rams by more than 2.5 points in their January 22 matchup? Yes No 9.47 0.00 0.00% 0.5278 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 22 2022 โœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Who will win the 2022 NFL Pro Bowl? AFC NFC 0.00 9.76 0.00% 0.5124 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 06 2022 โœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 20? Yes No 12.42 0.00 0.00% 0.4024 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 โœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15? Republicans Democrats 13.28 0.00 0.00% 0.3764 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 โœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Argentina vs. Croatia Argentina Croatia 0.00 16.40 0.00% 0.3048 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 โœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference? Yes No 15.22 0.00 0.00% 0.3366 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… -5.12 0.00 0.00 -5.12 Trades
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 8.00 0.00% 0.6900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -5.52 0.00 0.00 -5.52 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? $1,000 $2,000 13.98 0.00 0.00% 0.3979 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… -5.56 0.00 0.00 -5.56 Trades
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 35.00 0.00% 0.1629 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 โœ… -5.70 0.00 0.00 -5.70 Trades
Will an earthquake with magnitude 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 โœ… -5.96 0.00 0.00 -5.96 Trades
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 โœ… -5.97 0.00 0.00 -5.97 Trades
Will Terra (LUNA) reach $100 again by January 10? Yes No 10.52 0.00 0.00% 0.5706 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 โœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.3% or less on January 26? Yes No 0.00 12.04 0.00% 0.4984 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 26 2022 โœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 0.00 12.83 0.00% 0.4675 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 19.94 0.00 0.00% 0.3009 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 10.16 0.00 0.00% 0.5905 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 โœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? Celtics Warriors 13.70 0.00 0.00% 0.4381 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 โœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 5? Celtics Warriors 12.83 0.00 0.00% 0.4676 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 13 2022 โœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -6.60 0.00 0.00 -6.60 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 13.23 0.00% 0.5289 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? Yes No 16.02 0.00 0.00% 0.4369 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 โœ… -7.02 0.00 0.00 -7.02 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… -7.73 0.00 0.00 -7.73 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 26 2022 โœ… -7.95 0.00 0.00 -7.95 Trades
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? Yes No 28.05 0.00 0.00% 0.2852 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 โœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 4? Celtics Warriors 15.18 0.00 0.00% 0.5270 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 โœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - France vs. England France England 0.00 18.16 0.00% 0.4406 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 10 2022 โœ… -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.8200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -8.20 0.00 0.00 -8.20 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 โœ… -8.97 0.00 0.00 -8.97 Trades
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? SBF Bitboy 0.00 26.18 0.00% 0.3605 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -9.44 0.00 0.00 -9.44 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022? Yes No 29.44 0.00 0.00% 0.3397 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 โœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 16.92 0.00% 0.5910 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - France vs. Morocco France Morocco 0.00 44.64 0.00% 0.2240 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 โœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? Yes No 22.56 0.00 0.00% 0.4498 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 โœ… -10.15 0.00 0.00 -10.15 Trades
NFL Monday: Chargers vs. Colts Chargers Colts 0.00 24.83 0.00% 0.4098 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 26 2022 โœ… -10.18 0.00 0.00 -10.18 Trades
Will Trumpโ€™s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 โœ… -10.19 0.00 0.00 -10.19 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 38.49 0.00% 0.3014 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 โœ… -11.60 0.00 0.00 -11.60 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.7800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -11.70 0.00 0.00 -11.70 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… -12.66 0.00 0.00 -12.66 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -13.97 0.00 0.00 -13.97 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 29.82 0.00% 0.4863 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -14.50 0.00 0.00 -14.50 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 39.47 0.00% 0.3800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 40.43 0.00 0.00% 0.4452 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 โœ… -18.00 0.00 0.00 -18.00 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 40.00 0.00% 0.4500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 โœ… -18.00 0.00 0.00 -18.00 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% 0.7760 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -19.40 0.00 0.00 -19.40 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 53.66 0.00% 0.3727 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 โœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November? Yes No 0.00 36.15 0.00% 0.5533 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 โœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 40.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 โœ… -26.80 0.00 0.00 -26.80 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… -33.76 0.00 0.00 -33.76 Trades
Resolved 49.03 234.29 -108.78 0.02 0.00 174.56
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -11.10 0.00 0.00 -11.10
Total 49.03 234.29 -119.88 0.02 0.00 163.46