Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
3.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-5182.5884
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3.38
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
✅ |
17,530.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17,533.70
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,120.86
|
0.00% |
|
-0.2790
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
✅ |
591.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
591.78
|
Trades
|
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
115.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0261
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 15 2022
|
✅ |
-7.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.35
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 500,000 on February 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
195.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0513
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 08 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0578
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
✅ |
-11.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.55
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 65 ETH on January 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.3319
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 14 2022
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
224.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0669
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will an earthquake with magnitude 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
80.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2475
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
938.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0266
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
1,844.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0163
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 02 2021
|
✅ |
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 53 ETH on January 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
256.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.1169
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 14 2022
|
✅ |
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will 227.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
1,816.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0198
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 15 2021
|
✅ |
-35.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.99
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
✅ |
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
4.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
15.3757
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
-70.01
|
20.66
|
0.00
|
-49.35
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
292.55
|
0.00% |
|
0.3418
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 12 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? |
Yes |
No |
344.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2906
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
943.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.1059
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
443.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2257
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
MLB World Series: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies |
Astros |
Phillies |
0.00
|
967.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.1364
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 05 2022
|
✅ |
-132.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-132.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,581.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.0377
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 24 2021
|
✅ |
-135.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-135.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
8,943.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0224
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
385.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5193
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,307.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.0464
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 11 2022
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
1,238.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1615
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 02 2022
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
437.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4576
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,560.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.0859
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 08 2022
|
✅ |
-220.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-220.00
|
Trades
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2,971.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0841
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-250.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
3,553.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0704
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
✅ |
-250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-250.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
6,023.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0495
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-298.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-298.11
|
Trades
|
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
7,927.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0517
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 15 2021
|
✅ |
-410.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-410.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.38
|
0.00
|
|
|
14,664.08
|
20.66
|
0.00
|
14,688.12
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.38
|
0.00
|
|
|
14,664.08
|
20.66
|
0.00
|
14,688.12
|
|