Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
5.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1890
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.29
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.29
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.4200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4.74
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-1.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.75
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
2.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.28
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
4.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6700
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.48
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.48
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
1.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.41
|
Trades
|
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.09
|
Trades
|
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? |
Yes |
No |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0030
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? |
Yes |
No |
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.39
|
Trades
|
$BONK all time high before February? |
Yes |
No |
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? |
Yes |
No |
3.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
96.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0160
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-1.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.54
|
Trades
|
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
12.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-3.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.16
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.5900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 11 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.77
|
4.74
|
|
|
-14.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.27
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.10
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.77
|
4.74
|
|
|
-15.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.83
|
|