Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
3,868.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,868.42
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
2,346.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,346.24
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
1,272.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,272.48
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.96 |
0.04 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1,238.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,238.68
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,356.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,356.66
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.04
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-1,428.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,428.87
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
10,750.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1924
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-2,068.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,068.52
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.89 |
0.11 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-6,904.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,904.23
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17,092.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.7254
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
3,514.55
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-12,399.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8,884.51
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
52,243.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3323
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-17,358.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17,358.48
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
350,980.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1712
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-60,086.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60,086.72
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
6,130.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,130.47
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
3,514.55
|
|
|
-101,484.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-97,970.01
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
3,514.57
|
|
|
-95,354.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-91,839.54
|
|