Account
0xe11693758b74b72d8ea0d26b008b3fe24a7cb606 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | 538.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 538.33 | Trades | ||
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 466.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 466.27 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 311.48 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 311.49 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 310.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 310.60 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 3,650.73 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9277 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,650.73 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -3,386.87 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 264.35 | Trades | |
Will OpenSea airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 206.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 206.57 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 186.74 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 186.99 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 175.39 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 175.52 | Trades | ||
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 142.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 142.81 | Trades | ||
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3.03% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 113.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 113.82 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | 106.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 106.69 | Trades | ||
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 95.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.87 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | β | 95.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.01 | Trades | ||
Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 92.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.37 | Trades | ||
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 86.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.98 | Trades | ||
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | 86.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.35 | Trades | ||
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 172.94 | 0.00% | 0.5782 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 172.94 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.94 | Trades | |
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.37 | 4.17% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | β | 66.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.15 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 65.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.80 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 62.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.31 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.07% | 0.9409 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -940.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.07 | Trades | |
Will 3 or more of Dan Arielyβs papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 57.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.56 | Trades | ||
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 55.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.52 | Trades | |||
Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 75% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | β | 52.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.01 | Trades | ||
Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be 5.15% or higher on April 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 49.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.49 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 45.21 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 45.44 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 45.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.39 | Trades | ||
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 141.77 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7054 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 141.77 | 0.00 | Fri May 20 2022 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.77 | Trades | |
Will any of SuperRare, Zora, Foundation, OpenSea, or NiftyGateway have a live token by April 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 40.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.66 | Trades | ||
Will Real Madrid win 2021-22 La Liga? | Yes | No | 240.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8319 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 240.42 | 0.00 | Sun May 22 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.42 | Trades | |
Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | 39.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.26 | Trades | ||
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 36.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.06 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 35.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.74 | Trades | ||
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.10 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 31.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.55 | Trades | ||
Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 01 2020 | β | 31.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.25 | Trades | ||
Will FC Barcelona win 2021-22 La Liga? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 330.63 | 0.00% | 0.9073 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 330.63 | Sun May 22 2022 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.63 | Trades | |
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | 30.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.15 | Trades | ||
Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.10 | 0.00% | 0.6993 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.10 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.10 | Trades | |
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 130.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7691 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 130.03 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 20 2022 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.03 | Trades | |
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | 29.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.45 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 28.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.78 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 26.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.94 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 411.40 | 0.00% | 0.9408 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 411.40 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | -387.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.36 | Trades | |
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 23.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.55 | Trades | ||||||
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 22.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.81 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 03 2021 | β | 22.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.80 | Trades | ||
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on May 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 04 2021 | β | 22.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.43 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | β | 22.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.29 | Trades | ||
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 21.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.83 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 21.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.82 | Trades | ||
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 20.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.88 | Trades | ||
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.00 | 0.00% | 0.8613 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | -129.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.81 | Trades | |
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 19.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.87 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 19.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.77 | Trades | ||
Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | 18.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.97 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | 18.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.43 | Trades | ||
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on January 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 20 2022 | β | 16.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.70 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 15.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.95 | Trades | ||
Will President Bidenβs first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trumpβs? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 14.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.65 | Trades | ||
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | β | 13.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.92 | Trades | ||
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 13.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.80 | Trades | ||
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.70% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | 12.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.86 | Trades | ||
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | 12.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.50 | Trades | ||
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 12.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.36 | Trades | ||
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 12.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.09 | Trades | ||
Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.67% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 11 2022 | β | 11.39 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 12.01 | Trades | ||
Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired before June 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 11.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.95 | Trades | ||
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 87.87 | 0.00% | 0.8705 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 87.87 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | -76.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.38 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | 11.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.05 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? | Bezos | Musk | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 11.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.01 | Trades | ||
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 10.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.84 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | β | 10.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.19 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | β | 9.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.91 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 209.74 | 0.00% | 0.9535 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 209.74 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.74 | Trades | |
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | β | 9.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.37 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Bidenβs inauguration ceremony in person? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 9.31 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 9.36 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye West release 'Donda 2' (or another new album) by 2/22/22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | β | 9.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.22 | Trades | ||
Will Crypto.com's $CRO price be above $0.80 at noon on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 8.56 | 0.64 | 0.00 | 9.20 | Trades | ||
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 8.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.87 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 108.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9223 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 108.43 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.43 | Trades | |
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? | Yes | No | 58.19 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8593 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 58.19 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.19 | Trades | |
Will Declan Rice sign for Chelsea on or before August 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | 8.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.05 | Trades | ||
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 7.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.94 | Trades | ||
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 7.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.16 | Trades | ||
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 7.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.06 | Trades | ||
Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 6.65 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 6.86 | Trades | ||
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? | Yes | No | 106.38 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9400 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 106.38 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.38 | Trades | |
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 5.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.72 | Trades | ||
Will Binance Coin (BNB) have a higher market cap than Ethereum (ETH) at any time before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 5.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.50 | Trades | ||
Will OpenSea launch a token by February 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 01 2022 | β | 5.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.38 | Trades | ||
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 5.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.25 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 105.17 | 0.00% | 0.9509 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 105.17 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.17 | Trades | |
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 165 Gwei on February 16? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | 5.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.14 | Trades | ||
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | β | 5.04 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 5.06 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace launch before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 4.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.50 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 4.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.33 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | 4.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.23 | Trades | ||
How many more tweets will be on the @DonaldJTrumpJr account by February 1, 2021? | 39 or less 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 or more |
0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
7.69% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 3.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.87 | Trades | ||||||
Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | β | 3.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.66 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? | Bitcoin | Tesla | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 3.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.17 | Trades | ||
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | β | 3.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.10 | Trades | ||
Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 15 2021 | β | 3.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | β | 3.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.01 | Trades | ||
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 2.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.99 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 2.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.83 | Trades | ||
Which movie will gross more domestically on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die? | Venom 2 | No Time to Die | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 11 2021 | β | 2.13 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 2.33 | Trades | ||
Will Princeton University remain the highest ranking national university in the US according to the 2022 US News ranking? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 2.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.18 | Trades | ||
Will Magnus Carlsen or Hikaru Nakamura win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? | Carlsen | Nakamura | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | 1.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.94 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.70 | Trades | ||
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | 1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.68 | Trades | ||||||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.62 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | -2.01 | 3.43 | 0.00 | 1.42 | Trades | ||
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Adams Garcia Wiley Yang |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 | Trades | ||||||
Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.18 | Trades | ||
How many more tweets will be on the @MCuban account on February 17, 2021? | Less Than 20 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
9.09% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 17 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||||||
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
How many more tweets will be on the @WHCOS account on March 4, 2021? | Less than 170 170-185 186-200 201-215 216-230 More than 230 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Mar 04 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||||||
Will the Treasury Department mint the trillion dollar coin by November 5th? | Yes | No | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 05 2021 | β | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.27 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.73 | Trades | ||
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -0.82 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -0.78 | Trades | ||
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) | Dems/Warnock | Reps/Loeffler | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.91 | Trades | |||
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.67 | Trades | ||
Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -1.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.95 | Trades | ||
Will Spain be the Group E winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.98 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | -14.95 | 12.80 | 0.00 | -2.14 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 419K for the week ending on July 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 29 2021 | β | -2.67 | 0.13 | 0.00 | -2.54 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -2.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.99 | Trades | ||
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | -3.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.10 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -3.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.63 | Trades | ||
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | -4.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.31 | Trades | ||
Will Kawhi Leonard Sign with the Clippers for the NBA 2021-22 season on or before October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -4.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.52 | Trades | ||
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | -5.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.91 | Trades | ||
Will the Bongcloud be played during the FTX Crypto Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | -5.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.50 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | -6.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.74 | Trades | ||
Will LINK be above $30 on February 10th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 10 2021 | β | -7.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.41 | Trades | ||
Will Real Madrid or Chelsea advance to the Champions League final? | Real Madrid | Chelsea | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | β | -7.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.65 | Trades | ||
What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -8.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.81 | Trades | ||
Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -9.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.52 | Trades | ||
Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
Will Villarreal or Manchester United win the Europa League Final? | Man United | Villarreal | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 26 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
Will The Queen's Gambit win the Emmy Award for Best Limited Series?Β | Yes | No | 0.00 | 22.70 | 0.00% | 0.4406 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 19 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 13.17 | 0.00% | 0.7594 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 FIDE World Blitz Championship? | Yes | No | 17.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5574 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 30 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any regular game in the 2022 Tata Steel Masters? | Yes | No | 24.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4089 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 30 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | β | -10.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.13 | Trades | ||
Will PNAS retract Dan Arielyβs 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.4214 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -10.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.53 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.01% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | β | -11.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.78 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | β | -12.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.54 | Trades | ||
Will Hashmasks be the highest volume NFT category by 7-day volume on February 25, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 25 2021 | β | -12.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.91 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | -13.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.78 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | ||
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | β | -17.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.55 | Trades | ||
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -20.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.96 | Trades | ||
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 27.68 | 0.00% | 0.7305 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -20.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.22 | Trades | |
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 44.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5618 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -25.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.50 | Trades | ||
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? | Yes | No | 68.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4375 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -32.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.20 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 788.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0423 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | -33.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.33 | Trades | |
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -33.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.89 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 56.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6234 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
Will βmetaβ be included in Facebookβs new name? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.8156 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | β | -40.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.78 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | -41.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -41.84 | Trades | ||
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | -45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.00 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by February 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 15 2022 | β | -47.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.81 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | -49.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.95 | Trades | ||
Will NASA conduct a sustained flight of Ingenuity on Mars by April 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 12 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 66.60 | 0.00% | 0.7507 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) flip CryptoPunks by January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 61.29 | 0.00% | 0.8158 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 57.38 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8714 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will President Biden say βfolksβ in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -53.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -53.07 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -60.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.13 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -61.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -61.35 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Molnupiravir before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 117.54 | 0.00% | 0.8508 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.01 | 0.00% | 0.6558 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -131.16 | 0.13 | 0.00 | -131.03 | Trades | |
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2020 Chess Fide Candidates Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -215.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -215.45 | Trades | ||
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -455.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -455.17 | Trades | ||
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12,418.06 | 0.00% | 0.5934 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -7,369.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7,369.40 | Trades | |
Resolved | 4,437.50 | 2,568.26 | -11,266.73 | 19.10 | 0.00 | -4,241.86 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
Total | 4,437.50 | 2,568.26 | -11,266.73 | 19.10 | 0.00 | -4,241.86 |