Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.37
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Doge ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
4.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2290
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.37
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.37
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
2.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.57
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
1.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8900
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.12
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will Odysseus Lander lose communication by Feb 27? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.10
|
Tue Feb 27 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.08
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.58
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
37.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
✅ |
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
14.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0670
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 07 2024
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
22.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
42.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0470
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
40.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0490
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? |
Yes |
No |
4.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
6.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
33.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
44.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
13.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.57
|
1.10
|
|
|
-48.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.29
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-2.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.51
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.57
|
1.10
|
|
|
-51.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.80
|
|